Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-08 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-08 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $517.14
Margin Used: $251.01 (48.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-08 20:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-08 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-06 18:00 → 2025-11-08 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $103,403.00
Period Change: +1.79%
Range: $97,676.00 - $105,070.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 12:00: O=$102,267.00 H=$102,972.00 L=$101,899.00 C=$102,554.00 (+0.3%)
11-08 13:00: O=$102,378.00 H=$103,855.00 L=$101,987.00 C=$102,004.00 (-0.4%)
11-08 14:00: O=$101,932.00 H=$104,089.00 L=$99,279.00 C=$103,056.00 (+1.1%)
11-08 15:00: O=$103,020.00 H=$103,456.00 L=$101,799.00 C=$102,739.00 (-0.3%)
11-08 16:00: O=$102,431.00 H=$103,120.00 L=$101,804.00 C=$103,019.00 (+0.6%)
11-08 17:00: O=$103,045.00 H=$103,045.00 L=$101,933.00 C=$102,971.00 (-0.1%)
11-08 18:00: O=$102,972.00 H=$104,149.00 L=$102,198.00 C=$102,693.00 (-0.3%)
11-08 19:00: O=$102,690.00 H=$103,403.00 L=$101,814.00 C=$103,403.00 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 66.0
RSI(14): 59.4
EMA(20): $102,577.09
EMA(50): $101,921.28
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1397.28
ETH:
Current Price: $3,397.10
Period Change: +1.45%
Range: $3,188.10 - $3,533.70
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 12:00: O=$3,441.80 H=$3,448.20 L=$3,413.90 C=$3,435.20 (-0.2%)
11-08 13:00: O=$3,430.00 H=$3,438.50 L=$3,408.60 C=$3,417.30 (-0.4%)
11-08 14:00: O=$3,412.30 H=$3,439.40 L=$3,402.20 C=$3,417.00 (+0.1%)
11-08 15:00: O=$3,431.60 H=$3,435.90 L=$3,394.60 C=$3,402.10 (-0.9%)
11-08 16:00: O=$3,402.50 H=$3,475.50 L=$3,371.00 C=$3,374.40 (-0.8%)
11-08 17:00: O=$3,394.30 H=$3,426.40 L=$3,374.70 C=$3,426.40 (+0.9%)
11-08 18:00: O=$3,426.40 H=$3,436.30 L=$3,400.40 C=$3,434.20 (+0.2%)
11-08 19:00: O=$3,425.60 H=$3,428.60 L=$3,385.80 C=$3,397.10 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.7
RSI(14): 43.6
EMA(20): $3,428.07
EMA(50): $3,394.71
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $54.29
SOL:
Current Price: $157.67
Period Change: +0.08%
Range: $138.99 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 12:00: O=$159.85 H=$160.06 L=$159.24 C=$159.82 (-0.0%)
11-08 13:00: O=$159.93 H=$159.93 L=$158.74 C=$158.74 (-0.7%)
11-08 14:00: O=$158.84 H=$158.95 L=$157.39 C=$158.19 (-0.4%)
11-08 15:00: O=$158.10 H=$158.15 L=$156.58 C=$157.08 (-0.6%)
11-08 16:00: O=$157.01 H=$157.63 L=$156.18 C=$156.96 (-0.0%)
11-08 17:00: O=$157.03 H=$158.02 L=$156.47 C=$157.92 (+0.6%)
11-08 18:00: O=$157.76 H=$158.57 L=$157.30 C=$158.29 (+0.3%)
11-08 19:00: O=$158.25 H=$158.41 L=$156.67 C=$157.67 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 33.8
RSI(14): 40.2
EMA(20): $159.40
EMA(50): $158.83
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.99
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.26
Period Change: +8.64%
Range: $15.89 - $18.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 12:00: O=$17.76 H=$17.76 L=$17.76 C=$17.76 (+0.0%)
11-08 13:00: O=$17.60 H=$17.60 L=$17.39 C=$17.39 (-1.2%)
11-08 14:00: O=$17.34 H=$17.34 L=$17.34 C=$17.34 (+0.0%)
11-08 15:00: O=$17.19 H=$17.19 L=$17.13 C=$17.13 (-0.4%)
11-08 16:00: O=$17.12 H=$17.12 L=$17.11 C=$17.11 (-0.1%)
11-08 17:00: O=$17.12 H=$17.25 L=$17.12 C=$17.22 (+0.6%)
11-08 18:00: O=$17.22 H=$17.34 L=$17.22 C=$17.33 (+0.6%)
11-08 19:00: O=$17.15 H=$17.26 L=$17.15 C=$17.26 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.0
RSI(14): 44.7
EMA(20): $17.46
EMA(50): $17.11
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.14
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00656 @ $100,269.00 (Current: $103,403.00, P&L: +3.13%)
TP: $104,500.00 (+4.2%)
SL: $98,000.00 (-2.3%)
Exit Plan: TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.
ETH (LONG): 0.1322 @ $3,473.59 (Current: $3,397.10, P&L: -2.20%)
TP: $3,529.00 (+1.6%)
SL: $3,350.00 (-3.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,529 (recent high resistance). SL at $3,350 just above EMA(20) support. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,400 or if BTC reverses sharply from its overbought level.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-08 12:00 → 11-08 14:30 (2.5h)
Entry: $159.85, Exit: $157.40 P&L: -1.53% ($-3.72) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 14:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $17.81, Exit: $17.39 P&L: -2.36% ($-17.84) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $164.43, Exit: $159.88 P&L: -2.77% ($-14.24) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-07 08:00 → 11-07 08:15 (0.2h)
Entry: $16.91, Exit: $16.93 P&L: -0.09% ($-0.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 12:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $3,468.50, Exit: $3,378.30 P&L: -2.60% ($-20.81) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: ETH is -2.20% underwater and showing concerning weakness. Price broke below EMA(20) at $3,428 and current $3,397 is near the SL at $3,350. RSI(7) at 38.7 and RSI(14) at 43.6 indicate bearish momentum. Recent 8h shows consistent lower highs. Thesis invalidated - ETH underperforming BTC significantly despite correlation. Cut loss before SL hit to preserve capital.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing bullish divergence - price consolidating above EMA(50) at $158.83 despite low RSI(7) 33.8 and RSI(14) 40.2 indicating oversold conditions. Recent 8h candles forming higher lows from $156.67. EMA structure bullish (20>50). After multiple failed longs, price has reset and found support. Entry at current levels with tight risk management.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $164.50 targeting prior resistance zone (+4.3% move). SL at $154.50 below recent consolidation lows and EMA(50) support (-2.0% move). 2.15:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price fails to break above $160 within 8 hours or if BTC shows reversal below $102k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $517.14
Allocation: 18.0% ($93.08 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $157.67
Size: 2.3600 coins
Notional value: $372.10
📝 Executing LONG 2.36 SOL @ 4x with TP: $164, SL: $154
✅ Market order filled @ $157.84
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX strongest performer +8.64% over period, showing clear accumulation. Price consolidating above EMA(20) at $17.46 after strong rally. RSI(14) 44.7 reset from overbought, RSI(7) 36.0 oversold on pullback. Recent 8h showing stabilization with small gains. Bullish EMA structure maintained. Entry on consolidation with momentum intact.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: TP at $18.20 targeting prior high at $18.50 zone (+5.4% move). SL at $16.75 below EMA(20) and recent consolidation support (-3.0% move). 1.8:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price breaks below $17.10 (EMA(50)) or if broader market shows weakness with BTC failing $102k support.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $517.14
Allocation: 20.0% ($103.43 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $17.26
Size: 29.9600 coins
Notional value: $517.08
📝 Executing LONG 29.96 AVAX @ 5x with TP: $18, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $17.29
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is +3.13% in profit and approaching TP at $104,500 (currently $103,403). Price is above both EMAs (bullish structure), RSI(14) at 59.4 shows room to run. Recent 8h candles show consolidation with higher lows. Trust the TP/SL orders - thesis remains valid with bullish momentum intact. No reason to manually close before TP hits.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=10
3 order(s) executed
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