Alpha Bot - Trades

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH shows clear weakness: price broke below EMA(20) at $3,034, RSI deteriorating (44.8/48.4 both sub-50), and recent -0.9% decline breaking $3,040 support. Multiple failed attempts at $3,070-3,075 resistance confirm selling pressure. Bearish momentum divergence with RSI(7) < RSI(14). Entry at current weakness with 2:1 R:R targeting the $2,982 support zone tested on Dec 30. This aligns with trend-following in a weakening structure.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,985 targets Dec 30 low support zone (~1.35% move, 2.4:1 R:R with ATR consideration). SL at $3,055 above recent consolidation and failed breakdown level (~0.96% risk, 1.25x ATR). Exit manually only if strong bullish reversal reclaims $3,045+ with volume and RSI crosses back above 50.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $2985.00

Stop Loss: $3055.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Bearish EMA crossover confirmed (EMA20 below EMA50) with price at $12.59 below both. Weak momentum (RSI 37.4/41.8) in downtrend context. Extremely tight consolidation at $12.54-$12.60 suggests compression before continuation lower. Support at $12.51 (50h low) is target. Low volatility (ATR $0.07) allows tighter stops. Entry at current level with 2.5:1 R:R setup.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.20 targets breakdown below 50h low support (~3.1% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $12.85 above EMA resistance and recent consolidation (~2.1% risk, 3x ATR). Bearish crossover + weak RSI + tight consolidation = high probability breakdown. Exit manually only if bullish reversal reclaims $12.75+ with volume spike.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.20

Stop Loss: $12.85

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT THESIS HIGHLY QUESTIONABLE. Data is 5 hours stale (major red flag), and what's available shows RSI(7) at 74.2 (overbought but in context of uptrend recovery), price above EMA(20) at $12.70 after breaking out from tight consolidation. The 'breakout move' at 01:00 UTC suggests bullish momentum, not bearish breakdown. Position is -0.45% underwater. Given: (1) stale data making current assessment unreliable, (2) price action showing upside breakout not breakdown, (3) RSI overbought in recovery context often continues higher, (4) recent pattern of losing shorts. Exit now - the 5-hour data gap alone makes holding this short irresponsible.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL broke down from $127.50-$128.50 consolidation and testing EMA(50) support at $124.56. RSI(7) oversold at 29.3 but in context of breakdown, this signals continuation potential. Price showing controlled selling (low ATR) with minimal bounce attempts. Recent long hit TP successfully, but subsequent long got stopped out - pattern suggests shorts work better in current regime. Clear resistance at $127.50 provides good risk definition.

Exit Plan:

TP at $122.00 targets 50-hour low support (~2.3% move, 2:1 R:R). SL at $127.00 just below breakdown level (~1.7% risk, 1.7x ATR). If EMA(50) at $124.56 breaks cleanly, this confirms continuation. Exit manually only if strong bullish reversal candle reclaims $126+ with volume.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $122.00

Stop Loss: $127.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT THESIS INVALIDATED. SOL has broken above resistance at $125.35, trading above both EMAs with RSI(7) at 60.3 showing accelerating momentum. The 'controlled buying' and 'steady measured advance' described in analysis directly contradicts the short thesis. Price has moved from $124.75 to $125.81 in a trending regime with strong bid support. The position is -0.37% underwater and fighting a clear uptrend. Recent trade history shows pattern of premature shorts getting stopped out (3 losing shorts in last 5 days). Exit now to preserve capital rather than wait for $127 SL.

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing clear downward momentum with price below both EMAs, RSI(7) at severely oversold 24.6 but RSI(14) at 36.7 suggests room for further downside. Consistent lower lows/highs pattern with elevated volatility (ATR $546). Testing $87,500 support with next support at $87,549. In bearish structure, oversold RSI often signals continuation rather than reversal. Previous BTC short was closed manually too early at small loss - this setup has better entry timing near support retest.

Exit Plan:

TP at $85,500 targets next major support level (~2.6% move, 2.4:1 R:R). SL at $89,200 above resistance zone and recent consolidation (~1.6% risk, 1.5x ATR). Will hold through volatility as trend is clearly down - no manual exit unless bullish reversal pattern emerges with volume.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $85500.00

Stop Loss: $89200.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL presents the best risk/reward setup: (1) Bullish trend with price above both EMAs, (2) RSI(7) 65.9 and RSI(14) 68.2 in strong momentum zone without extreme overbought readings, (3) Clear consolidation at $127-$128 after spike to $130.05 shows healthy digestion of gains, (4) Tight recent ranges suggest coiling for next move, (5) Strong support at $126-$127 breakout zone provides clear risk definition. Entry at current $127.55 with stop below $125.80 (EMA20 and support confluence) gives ~$1.75 risk. Target $132.00 (extension of recent move) provides $4.45 reward = 2.5:1 R/R. Recent SOL long was profitable (+2.30%), validating the bullish thesis.

Exit Plan:

TP at $132.00 targets measured move extension from consolidation breakout. SL at $125.50 placed below EMA(20) at $125.80 and support zone, giving 1.5x ATR room ($1.00 ATR × 1.5 = $1.50 buffer). Will monitor for breakdown below $126.00 as early exit signal if momentum shifts. Close manually if BTC/ETH show significant weakness that could drag SOL lower.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $132.00

Stop Loss: $125.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX is severely overbought with RSI(7) at 72.0 and RSI(14) at 71.4 - textbook divergence setup. Price at $12.80 has rallied +5.9% in 48h from $12.07 to $12.86 high, now at resistance. Recent 8h candles show momentum stalling with tight consolidation at highs ($12.78-$12.86). This is a classic exhaustion pattern after a strong move. Price is 1.3% above EMA(20) at $12.63, stretched beyond mean. WARNING: Data is 2h old, but the overbought condition and resistance level remain valid. Short with tight stop above recent high.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.35 targets mean reversion to EMA(20) support at $12.63, capturing -3.5% move (2.3x R/R). SL at $13.00 above recent high of $12.86 protects against breakout continuation (~1.6% risk = 4x ATR). Exit early if BTC/ETH surge strongly or if RSI breaks above 75 indicating further extension. The overbought RSI + resistance + momentum stalling creates high-probability mean reversion setup.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $12.35

Stop Loss: $13.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT position from $12.79 is now -0.36% and thesis is invalidated. AVAX shows strongest performance (+3.29% over 50h) with price consolidating ABOVE entry at $12.83. Both RSI readings at 74-75 show momentum intact despite overbought levels. The 4-hour data staleness adds uncertainty. Position is fighting the trend - cut the loss before it expands. Recent history shows 3 failed AVAX shorts in a row.

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strongest bullish structure: +1.9% Dec 27, bullish EMA trend (20>50), price above both EMAs. RSI(7) at 72 shows momentum but not extreme. Price recovered from $119.74 low and holding gains. Recent 8h candles show steady climb from $122.76 to $124.51 with higher lows. This is trend-following WITH momentum after a successful TP hit on Dec 26. Entry after pullback to $123.50 area provides better R/R than chasing current highs.

Exit Plan:

TP at $128.50 targets +3.2% move (psychological resistance, 2.5x R/R). SL at $122.50 below recent consolidation and EMA(20) at $123.18 (~1.2% risk = 1.7x ATR). Exit early if price breaks below $123 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply. This respects the bullish trend while managing risk after recent volatility.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $128.50

Stop Loss: $122.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing clear exhaustion after 2-day rally from $12.07→$12.46 (+3.2%). RSI(7) at 67.9 and RSI(14) at 62.1 indicate overbought conditions - highest of all assets. Price has stalled at $12.46 resistance with last 4 hourly candles showing declining momentum and tight range ($12.42-$12.46). Despite bullish EMA alignment, price is only marginally above EMAs ($12.40/$12.37), suggesting limited upside. Recent trade history shows volatility (previous short hit SL at -2.44% on 12/26). However, current setup offers good R/R: short at $12.46, TP at $12.15 (2.5% gain targeting EMA support), SL at $12.60 (1.1% risk = 4.6x ATR for safety). Market correlation: if BTC continues lower, AVAX rally should reverse. Conservative 15% allocation given mixed recent results.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.15 targets EMA(20) support and prior consolidation zone for 2.5% gain (2.2:1 R/R). SL at $12.60 above recent high provides 1.1% risk buffer. Exit early if price breaks above $12.55 with volume, indicating continuation of rally rather than exhaustion. Monitor BTC correlation - if BTC stabilizes above $88,000, consider closing to avoid counter-trend risk.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.15

Stop Loss: $12.60

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX SHORT position opened 6h ago at $12.47 is -0.74% and showing similar invalidation as SOL. Price at $12.57 is ABOVE both EMA(20) $12.45 and EMA(50) $12.41 confirming bullish trend. RSI(7) at 82.7 is extremely overbought BUT in uptrend this indicates strong momentum, not reversal. Recent 8h candles show steady climb with tight consolidation. Already at SL level of $12.60 (only 0.2% away). Most damning: +1.63% on 50h period shows strong uptrend, and recent history shows 3 failed AVAX shorts (2 SL hits, 1 manual close). Currently fighting a clear uptrend with insufficient edge. Exit now at -0.74% to preserve capital and reduce margin usage from 69.9% to safer levels for better ETH short opportunity.

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish setup with price below both EMAs ($2,955 vs EMA20 $2,989, EMA50 $2,998). Down -3.23% over 50h showing persistent weakness. RSI(14) at 44.8 in neutral zone allows for downside. Recent candles show failed rally attempt - pumped to $2,997 at 19:00 then rejected hard back to $2,955. Pattern of lower highs visible. ETH historically lags BTC in downtrends. With BTC short working and margin at 54.9%, adding correlated ETH short creates portfolio synergy. Recent stop-outs were from counter-trend longs during bounce - now trading WITH the trend.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,850 targets -3.6% move (2:1 R/R, aligns with Dec 23 low zone). SL at $3,050 above EMAs and recent rejection high (+3.2% = 1.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC reclaims $88,300+ with volume or if ETH breaks above $3,000 with strong momentum. Monitor correlation - if BTC breaks $86,800, ETH likely accelerates to $2,900 zone.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $2850.00

Stop Loss: $3050.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

ETH short is underwater at -1.56% and showing concerning reversal signals. Price broke above $3,000 psychological level and EMA(20) at $2,994, now trading at $3,001.70. The 8h candles show strong bounce from $2,955 low with consistent buying pressure (Dec 27 00:00 candle +1.2%). RSI at 54.5 indicates momentum shift. While still below EMA(50), the reclaim of $3,000 invalidates the bearish thesis. With margin at 74.7%, need to cut this loser to preserve capital and reduce risk exposure.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL in clear downtrend: -2.1% yesterday, price below both EMAs ($122.43/$122.38), and showing consistent lower highs. Recent long position stopped out at -2.35% confirms bearish pressure. Sharp rejection from $124.89 at 13:00 followed by -2.1% drop to $122.12. RSI(14) at 44.3 shows bearish momentum with room to fall. Price struggling at current levels after failed bounce attempt. Following BTC's weakness with high correlation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $118.50 targets recent lows (~2.7% move, 2.5:1 R/R). SL above rejection high at $123.80 (~1.7% risk = 1.6x ATR). Monitor correlation with BTC - if BTC breaks $86,800, SOL likely accelerates lower. Exit if price reclaims $122.40 EMA level with strong volume.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $118.50

Stop Loss: $123.80

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SOL SHORT position opened 6h ago at $121.73 is now -1.19% and thesis is being invalidated. Price at $123.18 is ABOVE both EMA(20) $122.73 and EMA(50) $122.55, showing bullish structure. RSI(7) at 62.7 and RSI(14) at 54.0 indicate continued strength, not exhaustion. Recent 8h candles show steady grind higher with higher lows. Price already near SL at $123.80 (only 0.5% away). Most critically: SOL is showing RELATIVE STRENGTH vs BTC/ETH - while they're weak, SOL is holding gains. This divergence suggests wrong side of trade. Cut loss now at -1.19% rather than risk full -1.7% SL hit. Fighting the trend here.

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing clear bearish structure: price below both 20/50 EMA ($88,277/$88,315), sharp -1.8% rejection candle at 14:00 from $89,200 to $87,601, and continued weakness. RSI(14) at 41.1 confirms bearish momentum without being oversold. Recent failed rally to $89,257 followed by violent selloff indicates distribution. Price action shows lower highs pattern over past 3 days. High ATR ($648) warrants wider stops but volatility favors directional moves.

Exit Plan:

TP at $85,500 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL above recent rejection high at $89,200 (~1.96% risk = 1.5x ATR). Will monitor for break below $86,800 low to confirm continuation. Exit early if price reclaims $88,300 EMA cluster with volume.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $85500.00

Stop Loss: $89200.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

BTC short is underwater (-0.74%) and showing strong bullish momentum. RSI(7) at 76.2 indicates overbought conditions with recent 8h candles showing consistent upward pressure. Price broke above EMA(20) at $87,823 and is testing resistance. The short thesis is invalidated by this strength - we're fighting momentum. Better to cut the small loss than risk further upside continuation.

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL bounced strongly from $119.74 low (+3.1% today) and now at $123.54, above both EMAs (20: $122.65, 50: $122.34). RSI at 62.5/58.3 shows bullish momentum without extreme readings. Recent SHORT position closed at TP successfully, but current price action shows reversal - bouncing off support. Price consolidating near $123.50 after recovery, forming potential base. ATR relatively low at $1.02 suggests controlled volatility. Two confirmation signals: EMA crossover and price reclaiming previous support zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $127 targets Dec 19-22 resistance zone with 2.8% gain. SL at $121 (~2.5x ATR below entry) protects against failed breakout. Exit early if RSI divergence forms or if price closes below $122.50 on 4h timeframe. Monitor BTC correlation - if BTC breaks down, exit immediately regardless of SOL price.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $127.00

Stop Loss: $121.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing strongest momentum of all assets with +3.4% today and bullish spike to $3,106.80 at 07:00. Price now at $3,051, above both EMAs (20: $3,010, 50: $3,001) confirming bullish structure. RSI at 57.7/55.8 shows strength without being overbought. Recent volatility spike (high-low swings in last 4h) suggests increased participation. Two recent SHORT positions hit SL, indicating bearish bias was wrong - market wants to go higher. Entry after pullback from $3,106 high provides better R:R. ATR at $80.89 supports wider stops.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,180 targets recent resistance zone with ~4.2% gain. SL at $2,925 (~1.5x ATR below entry) protects against breakdown below consolidation. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,000 on 4h close or if BTC shows significant weakness. R:R ratio approximately 1:1 due to recent volatility, acceptable given trend strength.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3180.00

Stop Loss: $2925.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX weakening with RSI(7) at 26.0 (oversold) and RSI(14) at 38.4. Price at $12.08 below EMA20 ($12.29) despite bullish EMA structure. Recent price action shows failed bounce attempt - last candle dropped -0.4% after testing $12.43-$12.48 resistance. Following SOL's weakness (high correlation). ATR at $0.07 suggests tight stop possible. Target breakdown to $11.80-$11.90 zone (Dec 23-24 lows).

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.85 (1.9% move, near 50h low of $11.90 and recent support cluster). SL at $12.35 (2.2% risk above EMA20 and recent consolidation resistance). Exit early if: 1) SOL reverses strongly above $122, 2) Volume spike with bullish engulfing above $12.20, 3) BTC rallies above $89k. R:R = 0.86:1. Conservative sizing given oversold RSI and existing 21.3% margin usage.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $11.85

Stop Loss: $12.35

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing clear weakness: last candle dropped -0.9% to $2,969.60, briefly touching $2,913.20 (50h low). Price now below EMA20 ($2,995) while maintaining bullish EMA structure creates vulnerable setup. RSI(7) at 41.4 shows momentum fading. Recent 8h shows multiple failed attempts to hold $3k+ with increasing volatility (ATR $94.81). Holiday thin liquidity amplifying moves. Target retest of $2,900 support zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,900 (2.3% move, psychological support and Dec 23 low area). SL at $3,050 (2.7% risk above recent highs and EMA20). Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks decisively above $89k pulling alts up, 2) Strong reversal candle with volume above $3,020, 3) RSI(7) crosses back above 50. R:R = 0.86:1 but high probability setup given recent rejection pattern.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $2900.00

Stop Loss: $3050.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong SHORT setup: Price $11.98 below both EMAs (20: $12.05, 50: $12.15) confirming bearish trend. RSI(14) at 41.3 shows weakness without oversold bounce risk. Recent TP hit at $11.91 proves downside momentum. Price making lower highs from $12.42→$12.27→$12.08→$11.98. Christmas Eve low liquidity favors continuation. ATR $0.05 allows tight stops. Entry at market with TP at $11.70 (below 50h low $11.90) and SL at $12.25 (above EMA20 + buffer). R:R = 2.3:1.

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.70 targets breakdown below 50h low of $11.90 (~2.3% move). SL at $12.25 (~2.3% risk) above EMA20 and recent resistance. Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims $12.15 (EMA50) with volume, 2) BTC reverses strongly above $89,000, 3) RSI forms bullish divergence above 50. Using conservative 15% allocation (3x = 45% notional) to keep total margin under 75% given existing positions.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $11.70

Stop Loss: $12.25

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Position moving against us (-1.55% P&L). Entry $11.91, current $12.10, dangerously close to SL $12.25. Price has reclaimed EMA20 ($12.05) and showing relative strength with RSI at 62.7 (overbought in downtrend = reversal risk). Recent candles grinding higher ($11.94→$12.10 steady climb). Thesis invalidated: expected breakdown below $11.90 failed, instead seeing accumulation. Exit now to preserve capital before SL hit. With BTC stabilizing and AVAX showing strength, risk/reward no longer favorable.

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing sharp +2.6% spike in last 3 hours (Dec 24 09:00-12:00) from $2,924 to $3,040, but this appears to be a bear market rally into resistance. RSI(7) at 79.3 is extremely overbought, RSI(14) at 67.3 also elevated. Price still below EMA50 ($2,982.65) confirming overall bearish trend. Current price $3,040 is at the top of 50h range ($3,076.50 high). This looks like a liquidity grab before continuation lower. Strong divergence opportunity - overbought conditions in downtrend typically lead to rejections. Entry at resistance with tight stop above recent high.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,880 targets ~5.3% move back toward EMA50 and Dec 23 low area ($2,966). SL at $3,100 (~2.0% risk) above 50h high of $3,076.50 plus buffer. R:R = 2.65:1. Exit early if: 1) Price breaks and holds above $3,080 with volume showing genuine breakout, 2) BTC reverses strongly above $89,000, 3) RSI stays elevated above 70 for 4+ hours suggesting momentum shift. Using 18% allocation (3x leverage = 54% notional) due to overbought setup but respecting current 61% margin usage.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $2880.00

Stop Loss: $3100.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing divergence from BTC/SOL bearish structure. Price at $3,008.50 now ABOVE both EMA20 ($2,975) and EMA50 ($2,972) - bullish trend confirmed. RSI(14) at 55.8 (neutral-bullish) vs BTC 46.2 (bearish). Recent candles show buying pressure with recovery from $2,931 to $3,050 range. This contradicts our SHORT thesis - ETH has relative strength. Close now at +0.77% before it invalidates further. Christmas Eve thin liquidity could amplify moves against us.

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing relative strength (+2.02% over 50h) but concerning divergence emerging. RSI(7) at 67.0 is overbought while broader market (BTC/ETH/SOL) remains bearish. Price at $12.27 above EMA20 ($12.15) but this appears to be a counter-trend bounce in bear market structure. WARNING: Data is 3h old, but last candles show momentum stalling at $12.27-$12.31 range. High probability of mean reversion back to support at $12.00 area. Entry timing: fade the strength as market correlation reasserts. Conservative sizing given data lag and existing 45.6% margin usage.

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.90 targets Dec 18 low area (~3.0% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $12.55 above recent 50h high of $12.54 plus buffer (~2.3% risk, 1.4x ATR). Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks above $89,000 with conviction triggering risk-on, 2) Price holds above $12.40 for 4+ hours showing sustained strength, 3) Data updates show volume surge invalidating setup. Conservative 15% allocation due to data lag concern and portfolio already at 45.6% margin.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $11.90

Stop Loss: $12.55

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Bearish structure intact: price at $122.83 below both EMAs (20: $124.25, 50: $125.39). Recent 17:00 candle rejected from $124.60 with -1.3% drop. RSI at 39.8 shows weakness without being oversold. SOL down -2.2% today, following broader market weakness. Recent TP hit at 06:00 validates short thesis. Entry after failed bounce, targeting $119.50 (Dec 18 low area), SL above $125.50 (EMA50 + buffer).

Exit Plan:

TP at $119.50 (~2.7% move, near Dec 18 low of $119.74). SL at $125.50 (~2.2% risk, above EMA50 and recent consolidation). Exit early if: 1) Strong reversal above EMA20 with volume, 2) BTC breaks above $89,000 decisively, 3) RSI divergence forms. R:R = 1.23:1. Conservative sizing due to recent whipsaw history.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $119.50

Stop Loss: $125.50

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish momentum: -2.9% today, price at $2,918.70 well below EMA20 ($2,963.63) and EMA50 ($2,998.21). Recent 17:00 candle showed -1.3% rejection from $2,960. RSI(14) at 35.6 shows weakness but not yet oversold. ETH is underperforming BTC (-1.87% vs -0.84% over 50h). Clear downtrend with lower highs/lows. Entry near current resistance, targeting support at $2,850 area (Dec 18 bounce level), with SL above $2,975 (recent consolidation high).

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,850 (~2.4% move, near Dec 18 support at $2,812). SL at $2,975 (~1.9% risk, above recent consolidation and EMA20). Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims EMA20 with strong volume, 2) BTC shows strong reversal above $89,000, 3) RSI forms bullish divergence below 30. R:R = 1.26:1 in confirmed downtrend.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $2850.00

Stop Loss: $2975.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing bearish structure: price at $124.81 below both EMA20 ($125.72) and EMA50 ($125.80) with bearish EMA trend. Recent price action shows steady decline from $126.67 high to current levels. RSI(7) at 35.2 in downtrend suggests continuation. Last 4 hourly candles all negative with latest showing sharp drop to $124.37. Price failing to reclaim $125.50 support zone. Following BTC's lead lower. In bear markets, SHORT the weakness.

Exit Plan:

TP at $122.50 (near Dec 18 low of $119.74, ~1.9% move). SL at $126.80 (above recent high of $126.67 + ATR buffer, ~1.6% risk). Exit early if: 1) Price breaks back above EMA20 with volume confirmation, 2) BTC shows strong reversal dragging alts up, 3) RSI forms bullish divergence. R:R = 1.18:1. Conservative sizing given recent SOL losses.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $122.50

Stop Loss: $126.80

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing clear bearish momentum: price down -0.8% today, trading below both EMA20 ($88,822) and EMA50 ($88,920) with bearish EMA trend. RSI(7) at 27.7 is oversold but in a downtrend this signals continuation, not reversal. Recent 8h candles show consistent selling pressure with lower lows (latest: $87,820). Price rejected from $89,158 high and now trending down. Market structure is bearish - this is a SHORT continuation opportunity, not a long entry. ATR at $538 suggests setting wider stops.

Exit Plan:

TP at $86,500 (below Dec 17 low of $85,874, ~1.7% move). SL at $89,300 (above recent rejection high of $89,158 + buffer, ~1.5% risk). Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims and holds above EMA20 with volume, 2) RSI divergence forms showing momentum shift, 3) Strong bounce above $89,000 with conviction. R:R = 1.13:1 but high probability in bear structure.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $86500.00

Stop Loss: $89300.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Closing SHORT position. BTC has reclaimed and held above EMA20 ($88,301) with price at $88,456. Recent 8h candles show consolidation above EMA20 with attempted breakout to $89,195 (15:00 candle). RSI(14) at 49.4 is neutral, and EMA trend remains bullish (20>50). The bearish thesis is weakening - price is not following through to downside despite multiple opportunities. Currently -0.66% P&L, but risk of squeeze higher into year-end is increasing. Better to exit at small loss than risk SL hit at $89,300.

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing strongest setup: bounced +4.7% from $11.41 low, now at $11.99. Price crossed above both EMA(20) $11.80 and EMA(50) $11.82 - potential bullish crossover forming. RSI(14) at 58.5 (healthy, not overbought). Clear support established at $11.40-11.50 level (tested multiple times). ATR at $0.13 suggests setting stop at $11.50 (3.5x ATR = ~$11.55, round to $11.50 for safety). Target $12.80 resistance (Dec 14 level) gives 6.8% gain vs 4.1% risk = 1.65:1 R/R. Note: Data shows flat candles 04:00-06:00 and 07:00-09:00 (possible data issues), but recent price action 10:00-11:00 confirms move. Conservative position given portfolio drawdown.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.80

Stop Loss: $11.50

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

THESIS INVALIDATED: Opened long at $11.99 expecting bounce to $12.80, but AVAX showing concerning weakness. Data is 2h stale (last update 10:00, now 12:00), price dropped from $12.42 → $12.20 (-1.8% today). Currently at $12.20 (+1.71% from entry) but recent 8h candles show consistent selling pressure and failure to hold gains. With 66% margin already used and AVAX data staleness creating execution risk, take the small profit rather than risk another SL hit. Recent history shows 6 consecutive stop-outs - preserve capital.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL in clear downtrend: -4.4% over 50h, price below both EMAs (20: $121.68, 50: $123.91), 7-day decline from $136 to $122. Recent bounce from $117.73 to $122.68 (+4.2%) is classic bear market relief rally - RSI(7) at 61 shows short-term overbought in downtrend context. Price rejected at $123.13 resistance (5h candle high). Strong short setup: enter on weakness, targeting retest of $117-118 lows. Multiple failed SL hits in history show volatility, but trend is clearly down. Entry at current levels with wide stop above $125 resistance cluster.

Exit Plan:

TP at $117.50 (4.2% move, near recent low of $117.73 with buffer for final capitulation). SL at $125.50 (2.3% above entry, ~1.5x ATR = $2.80) above resistance cluster at $123-125. Exit early if price breaks and holds above EMA(50) at $123.91 with strong volume reversal pattern or if BTC rallies strongly above $88k. R:R = 1.8:1 with trend momentum favoring shorts.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $117.50

Stop Loss: $125.50

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strongest bearish momentum: -7.11% over 50h, -12.6% from Dec 12 high. Price at $119.74 well below both EMAs (20: $122.34, 50: $124.93). RSI(7) at 38.2 and RSI(14) at 40.0 = oversold in downtrend suggests SHORT continuation, not bounce. Recent candles show failed rally attempt from $117.10 low, now stalling. Previous SHORT hit TP for +3.81% just hours ago, validating the bearish thesis. Entry here catches rejection from $120 resistance. Strong trend-following setup with 2 confirmations: EMA bearish alignment + RSI oversold in downtrend.

Exit Plan:

TP at $114.50 (4.4% move, below Dec 18 low of $117.10 with buffer for continuation). SL at $122.80 (2.6% above entry, ~1.5x ATR = $2.91) above EMA(20) to survive volatility. Exit early if price breaks above $122.34 EMA(20) AND RSI(14) crosses 50 with strong volume, suggesting trend reversal. R:R = 1.7:1 with strong downtrend momentum. Total margin after entry: 49.2% + 20% = 69.2% (safe).

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $114.50

Stop Loss: $122.80

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX in steep downtrend: -6.04% over 50h, price $11.62 below EMA(20) at $11.89 and EMA(50) at $12.03 (bearish structure). RSI(7) at 34.8 and RSI(14) at 38.9 show weakness. Recent 17:00 candle dumped -3.8% with wick to $11.45 (50h low). 7-day decline from $14.08 to $11.62 (-17.5%) shows strong selling pressure. Multiple failed bounces. Current price near recent lows presents low-risk short entry with tight stop.

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.00 (5.3% move, psychological support below $11.45 low). SL at $12.05 (3.7% above entry, ~2.5x ATR = $0.40) above recent consolidation. Exit early if price breaks above $11.89 (EMA20) with strong volume reversal pattern. R:R = 1.44:1 with strong downtrend momentum and oversold RSI suggesting continuation before bounce.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $11.00

Stop Loss: $12.05

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strongest bearish signals: price $122.91 well below both EMA(20) at $124.77 and EMA(50) at $125.99 (bearish trend). RSI(7) at 37.4 and RSI(14) at 41.1 indicate weakness without being oversold. Recent 17:00 candle crashed -3.1% with wick down to $120.89 (current 50h low). 7-day trend shows consistent decline from $136.27 to $122.91 (-9.8%). Failed to hold $125 support level. This is a trend continuation short with momentum.

Exit Plan:

TP at $118.00 (4.0% move, below recent low of $120.89 targeting psychological support). SL at $126.70 (3.1% above entry, ~2x ATR = $3.74) above recent 13:00 high. Exit early if price reclaims and holds above EMA(20) at $124.77 with bullish volume. R:R = 1.29:1 with strong trend alignment.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $118.00

Stop Loss: $126.70

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH in clear downtrend with EMA(20) at $2,819 below EMA(50) at $2,862 (bearish structure). Massive -7.7% drop on Dec 17 followed by weak bounce. Current price $2,824 just above EMA(20) presents ideal short entry on resistance retest. Recent 17:00 candle showed rejection with wick to $2,934 before closing at $2,824, dumping to low of $2,711. RSI(14) at 49.4 is neutral, not overbought. This is a trend-following short with clear resistance overhead. ATR at $109.55 suggests setting wider stops.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,650 (6.2% move, near Dec 17 low of $2,711 with buffer). SL at $2,990 (5.9% above entry, 1.5x ATR = $164) to survive volatility. Exit early if price breaks and holds above EMA(50) at $2,862 with strong volume, invalidating bearish thesis. R:R = 1.05:1 but trend-following in confirmed downtrend.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $2650.00

Stop Loss: $2990.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Closing ETH short despite -1.34% P&L. Position thesis invalidated by violent reversal: price spiked from $2,705 to $2,915 (7.8% move) in 3h window, breaking above entry at $2,789 and testing $2,910. This suggests capitulation low may be in at $2,705. Currently at $2,826 near EMA(20) at $2,825 - key inflection point. RSI normalized to 49-50 range. The extreme volatility (ATR $91) and sharp V-bottom pattern indicate potential trend change. Better to cut small loss now than risk further whipsaw or SL hit at $2,990. Can re-enter short on confirmed resistance rejection or look for long setup if support holds.

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX in clear downtrend: -4% today, down from $14 to $11.84 over 7 days. Price below both EMAs (20: $12.03, 50: $12.18). RSI(14) at 40.5 shows weakness without oversold bounce risk. Recent consolidation at $11.76-$11.84 after breakdown from $12.20. Low volatility (ATR $0.10) suggests coiling for next move. Multiple resistance levels above ($12.00, $12.20, $12.35). Correlates with broader alt weakness. High probability of testing $11.50 then $11.00 psychological support.

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.20 (5.4% move to next support level, good R:R given tight stop). SL at $12.10 (2.2% risk, above $12.00 psychological resistance + consolidation zone + 2.6x ATR). Close early if price reclaims $12.00 with volume spike, indicating failed breakdown. Downtrend structure intact, favor continuation.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $11.20

Stop Loss: $12.10

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing extreme weakness: -7.7% today, -7.13% over 50h. RSI(7) at 17.8 is deeply oversold BUT in strong downtrend this signals continuation not reversal. Price broke below $2,800 support decisively. Last candle's -3.3% drop to $2,711 low shows accelerating selling. Recent short closed at TP for +2.23% confirms bearish momentum. Price below both EMAs (20: $2,859, 50: $2,911). Current $2,725 is a bounce into resistance - ideal short entry. Target $2,650 support, then $2,550.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,550 (next major support ~6.5% move, strong R:R). SL at $2,795 (~2.5% above entry, above $2,800 broken support turned resistance + 1.6x ATR buffer). Close early if RSI(14) crosses above 35 with price reclaiming $2,800, indicating failed breakdown. Downtrend continuation highly probable given momentum.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $2550.00

Stop Loss: $2795.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL in clear breakdown mode: -10.8% from Dec 10 peak, -4.7% today alone. Recent price action shows failed rally attempt - spiked to $133.68 at 15:00 then collapsed -7.9% to $123.08 current. Price now below both EMAs ($127.45/$127.38) despite 'bullish' EMA label. RSI(7) 30.3, RSI(14) 35.1 oversold in downtrend = short continuation setup. Recent 3 consecutive stop-outs on SOL indicate volatility, but current setup clearer with fresh breakdown below $124 support. ATR $2.07 suggests SL at $126 (1.4x ATR). Target $119 for 3.3% gain (2.4:1 R:R).

Exit Plan:

TP at $119 (next support level, ~3.3% move). SL at $126 (above recent consolidation + 1.4x ATR). Close early if price reclaims $127.50 with volume, indicating failed breakdown. Breakdown from consolidation typically continues to next support.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $119.00

Stop Loss: $126.00

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing strongest bearish setup. Clear downtrend: -12.6% over 7 days, -5.2% in 50h. Price at $2,840 well below both EMA(20) $2,914 and EMA(50) $2,929 with bearish EMA crossover confirmed. RSI(7) at 28 and RSI(14) at 31.8 deeply oversold, BUT in strong downtrends oversold = continuation opportunity. Recent rejection from $3,016 high at 15:00 candle with -2.6% reversal confirms resistance. ATR $41 suggests stops at ~$2,900 (1.5x ATR = $62 above entry). Target $2,750 support level for 3.2% gain, giving 2.4:1 R:R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,750 (prior support zone, 3.2% move). SL at $2,905 (above recent rejection + 1.5x ATR buffer). Exit early if RSI(14) breaks above 45 with price reclaiming EMA(20), signaling trend reversal. Strong downtrend favors continuation.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $2750.00

Stop Loss: $2905.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear bearish structure: price at $127.47 below both EMA20 ($127.78) and EMA50 ($128.93). Recent candles show rejection at $130 level with lower highs forming. RSI(14) at 46.8 is neutral-weak, not oversold, leaving room for further downside. 7-day trend shows consistent decline from $138 to current levels. Recent 8h action shows failed bounce attempt (peaked at $130.41 hour 15, rejected back to $127.47). Previous SOL short on 12/16 was stopped out at $129.35, but that was during a temporary bounce - current setup shows renewed weakness. Targeting $124.50 support level (2.3% move), with SL above $130 resistance.

Exit Plan:

TP at $124.50 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.2:1 R/R). SL at $130.00 above recent rejection high and ~1.5x ATR above entry ($1.71 ATR). Exit early if SOL reclaims $130 with strong volume or if BTC breaks above $88,000 triggering broader market rally. Conservative 18% allocation given recent SOL stop-out and existing margin usage.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $124.50

Stop Loss: $130.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX weakest performer (-8.22% over 50h) with RSI(14) at 30.7 showing oversold but still in strong downtrend. Price at $12.21 near recent low of $12.10, below both EMAs. Recent AVAX SHORT from $12.30 hit TP at $12.11 (+1.55%), showing this asset respects technical levels. Current price offers re-entry opportunity as any bounce will likely fail at EMA20 ($12.46). Entry at $12.21, TP at $11.90 (2.5% move), SL at $12.50 (2.4% risk) gives ~1:1 R/R but high probability given trend strength. Conservative 12% allocation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $11.90 targets 2.5% below current price, extending the downtrend. SL at $12.50 above EMA20 at $12.46 and 3x ATR above entry for safety. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $12.60 with volume spike or if broader market shows coordinated reversal with BTC breaking above $87,000 resistance.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $11.90

Stop Loss: $12.50

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing relative strength (RSI 40.3 vs BTC/ETH ~28) but still in clear downtrend with price below both EMAs. Currently at $126.54 after bouncing from $123.87 low. This bounce into resistance (EMA20 at $127.50) presents a good SHORT entry opportunity. Market structure is bearish across all assets, and SOL's relative strength will likely fade. Entry near $126.50 with TP at $123.50 (2.4% move) and SL at $129.00 (1.9% risk) gives 1.25:1 R/R. With current margin at 52.7%, can allocate 15% more safely.

Exit Plan:

TP at $123.50 targets recent lows with 2.4% downside move. SL at $129.00 above EMA20 resistance and 1.7x ATR above entry. Exit early if SOL breaks above $129.50 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal above $87,500 that could lift entire market.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $123.50

Stop Loss: $129.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing extreme weakness with -7.93% over 50h, worst performer. RSI(7) at 10.3 and RSI(14) at 19.1 indicate severe oversold conditions, but price is in strong downtrend below both EMAs. Made new low at $12.33 in hour 17. Recent history shows our AVAX shorts were profitable when following the trend (12-14 TP hit +2.78%). The consecutive selling pressure in hours 14-17 (-2.4%, -1.9%, -0.0%, -0.5%) suggests more downside to $12.00-$12.20 zone despite oversold readings.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.10 (1.9% move, ~2.5:1 R/R). SL at $12.55 above hour 16-17 consolidation and 2.4x ATR above entry (wider stop due to volatility). Exit early if we see a strong reversal candle closing above $12.50 with volume, or if broader market (BTC/ETH) shows sharp reversal that could lift alts.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $12.10

Stop Loss: $12.55

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing similar extreme weakness with RSI(7) at 11.3 and RSI(14) at 21.0. Clear bearish trend with price below both EMAs. Just broke below $3,000 psychological support and made new low at $2,929.80 in hour 17 (-1.8%). The selloff is accelerating with consecutive red candles. While oversold, the momentum is clearly bearish and we should follow the trend. Target $2,850-$2,900 zone before any bounce attempt.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,875 (1.9% move, ~2.5:1 R/R). SL at $2,990 above hour 16 consolidation and 1.5x ATR above entry. Exit early if price reclaims $3,000 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal that could lift the entire market.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $2875.00

Stop Loss: $2990.00

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Severe capitulation with RSI(7) at 7.4 and RSI(14) at 16.1, both extremely oversold. However, price is in a clear downtrend (EMA20<EMA50), just crashed -2.2% in hour 15 and continued dropping -0.7% in hours 16-17. Price broke below $86k support and is making new lows at $85,908. While oversold conditions suggest a bounce is possible, the trend is strongly bearish and we should trade WITH the trend. The sharp selloff suggests more downside to $84k-$85k before any meaningful bounce. Entry on weakness with tight stops above recent consolidation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $84,500 (1.6% move, ~2:1 R/R). SL at $87,200 above hour 15-16 consolidation zone and 1.7x ATR above entry. Exit early if RSI(7) drops below 5 (extreme capitulation) or if we see a strong reversal candle with volume spike above $87k resistance.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $84500.00

Stop Loss: $87200.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing bullish reversal setup: +2.2% today after bottoming at $129.58, now at $132.39. Price reclaimed EMA20 ($131.86) with RSI(7) at 60.6 (neutral-bullish momentum). Recent 8h candles show consistent buying pressure with higher lows. ATR at $0.94 is manageable. Entry at current levels with TP at $134.50 (recent resistance, +1.6%) and SL at $130.50 (below yesterday's low, -1.4%). R:R = 1.1:1 but quick scalp opportunity given current momentum. Low conviction due to bearish EMA trend and tight range.

Exit Plan:

TP at $134.50 (50h high resistance, psychological level). SL at $130.50 (below Dec 14 low of $129.58 plus buffer, ~2x ATR). Exit early if BTC reverses below $89k or if SOL fails to break $133 with volume in next 6h. Conservative 15% allocation with 2x leverage given recent choppy price action and multiple SL hits in history.

Confidence: 45%

Take Profit: $134.50

Stop Loss: $130.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing relative strength: +2.42% over 50h vs BTC -0.66%. Bullish EMA structure (price $3,109 > EMA20 $3,088 > EMA50 $3,079). Recent bounce from $3,027 low with higher lows forming. RSI(14) at 54.7 neutral with room to run. Price testing $3,110 resistance - breakout above $3,142 (recent high) would confirm continuation. In bearish macro, ETH outperformance suggests rotation into alts. Entry at current level with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,220 (+3.6%, just below Dec 12 resistance at $3,245, R:R ~2:1). SL at $3,055 (-1.7%, below recent consolidation low and EMA50, ~1.7x ATR). Exit early if BTC breaks below $88k or if ETH fails to hold $3,085 support on volume. 25% allocation with 3x leverage = 75% notional, moderate conviction given mixed macro.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $3220.00

Stop Loss: $3055.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish setup: RSI(7) at 18.6 (extreme oversold in downtrend = continuation), RSI(14) at 28.3, bearish EMA structure (price < EMA20 < EMA50). Price broke down to new 50h low at $129.73 in last hour. Down -2.1% today, -2.27% over 50h. Recent history shows 2 successful SHORT TPs. Market structure clearly bearish. Entry at current weakness with tight stop above resistance.

Exit Plan:

TP at $126.50 (3% gain, psychological support level and -$3 from entry). SL at $132.00 (above EMA20 at $131.93 and recent consolidation, ~2.5x ATR). R:R = 2.6:1. Conservative 15% allocation with 3x leverage given current 53.2% margin usage. Exit early if SOL reclaims $131.50 with volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal above $90.5k.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $126.50

Stop Loss: $132.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing extreme weakness: RSI(7) at 9.8 (most oversold of all assets), RSI(14) at 24.2, bearish EMA structure, and price testing 50h low at $13.00. Just hit TP on previous short at $13.00 (11.8h ago), but breakdown is continuing with last hour -0.8% drop. This is NOT catching a falling knife - it's a trend continuation short after brief consolidation. AVAX has been in clear downtrend since Dec 10 peak at $14.62. Current $13.04 breaking below psychological $13.00 support suggests acceleration to $12.50-$12.70 zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $12.60

Stop Loss: $13.35

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX short underwater (-1.33%) and losing thesis. Price recovered from $12.86 to $13.21 (+2.0% today), reclaiming EMA20 at $13.15. The 8h candles show stabilization with tight range $13.19-$13.30, suggesting consolidation rather than continuation lower. RSI(7) at 57.0 is neutral. With margin at 50% and this position moving against us, better to cut the small loss and preserve capital. Recent history shows AVAX shorts getting stopped out frequently - respect the price action.

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing clear bearish momentum: RSI(7) at extreme oversold 15.0, price broke below $90k support and EMAs are bearish (price < EMA20 < EMA50). Recent 2h candles show accelerating selling with $89.4k current vs $90.2k at last run. Last hour dropped -0.5% with low of $88,864. This is a continuation short in established downtrend, not catching a falling knife - we're adding to weakness after a failed bounce attempt. Volume-driven breakdown suggests further downside to $87.5k-$88k zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $87500.00

Stop Loss: $90800.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

BTC short is underwater (-0.58%) and showing bullish reversal signs. Price recovered from $88,334 to $89,839 (+1.6% today), reclaiming EMA20 at $89,621. RSI(7) at 58.8 suggests momentum shifting neutral-to-bullish. The 50h range shows consolidation rather than breakdown continuation. With 8h candles showing stability around $89,800-$90,000, the bearish thesis is weakening. Closing to free margin (currently at 50%) and reassess - don't fight emerging strength.

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing weakness: bearish EMA structure (price at $13.37, EMA20 at $13.32, EMA50 at $13.36), failed to reclaim $13.50 resistance despite 3 attempts. RSI(14) at 54.7 shows fading momentum after bounce. Recent 8h candles show stalling at resistance with extremely low volatility. Broader market bearish context (BTC/ETH below key EMAs). Entry at current levels with TP at prior support $13.00 and SL above $13.55 offers 2.8:1 R:R. Note: Margin usage at 49% allows for one more conservative position.

Exit Plan:

TP at $13.00 (Dec 12 low and psychological support, 2.8% gain). SL at $13.55 (above recent consolidation highs and EMA50, 1.3% risk = 3.6x ATR). R:R = 2.8:1. Exit early if BTC breaks above $91.5k with volume or if AVAX reclaims $13.45 with strong buying pressure. Conservative 18% allocation given existing 49% margin usage.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $13.00

Stop Loss: $13.55

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMAs (20: $133.29, 50: $134.66), RSI deeply oversold at 31/43 in downtrend context (continuation signal, not reversal). Recent price action: failed to hold $133 support, now testing $132. ATR at $0.95 suggests controlled volatility. Entry at current $132.26 with TP at $130.00 (Dec 6-7 support zone, -1.7%) and SL at $134.50 (+1.7%) gives 1:1 R:R but high probability given trend. Recent manual close at $133.37 was premature - this is better entry at support breakdown.

Exit Plan:

TP at $130 (prior support zone from Dec 6-7, psychological level). SL at $134.50 (above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC rallies strongly above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $133.50 with volume confirmation.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $130.00

Stop Loss: $134.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing strongest bearish momentum: -7.74% over 50h, clear downtrend with price below both EMAs ($13.28/$13.42). Recent price action extremely flat (last 8 candles barely moving) suggesting accumulation of selling pressure. RSI(14) at 37.2 oversold but in downtrend context this signals SHORT continuation opportunity. Previous shorts on AVAX have been profitable (2 TPs hit recently). Low volatility (ATR $0.08) allows tighter stops. Entry at $13.11 with TP at $12.70 (-3.1%) targeting psychological support and SL at $13.45 (+2.6%) above EMA resistance gives 1.2:1 R:R. Conservative sizing due to existing margin usage.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.70 targets psychological support and -3.1% move from entry. SL at $13.45 sits above EMA(20) at $13.28 plus 2x ATR buffer, protecting against trend reversal. Exit manually if BTC/ETH show strong reversal with volume confirmation or if AVAX reclaims $13.40 with conviction. Position sized conservatively at 15% margin (45% notional with 3x) to keep total margin under 70% given existing ETH/SOL shorts.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.70

Stop Loss: $13.45

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX short -0.78% but DATA IS 3 HOURS STALE (last update 03:00, now 06:00). Trading on stale data is unacceptable risk - price could have moved significantly. Additionally, AVAX showing relative strength: RSI(7) at 53 (neutral-to-bullish divergence vs other assets), price consolidated tightly at $13.20 near EMA(20) $13.23 suggesting potential base formation while BTC/ETH remain weak. With margin at 70.2% and better short opportunities in ETH (working well), close this marginal position to free capital and avoid trading blind on outdated data.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL dropped -3.5% at 15:00 in sync with broader market sell-off. Price at $132.14 now below EMA(20)=$135.77, breaking bullish structure. RSI(7)=19.7 deeply oversold but in context of trend breakdown this is SHORT continuation signal. Failed to hold $133 support. Recent shorts hitting TP shows momentum. High correlation with ETH weakness.

Exit Plan:

TP at $127 (next support level, -3.9% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $135 above EMA(20) and 1.8x ATR. Exit if reclaims $135 with conviction or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Watching for continued weakness in risk assets.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $127.00

Stop Loss: $135.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Closing SHORT from $132.14 currently at -0.89% P&L. Position thesis invalidated: SOL showing relative strength vs BTC/ETH with RSI(7) at 49.7 and price consolidating tightly around EMA(20) $133.48. Recent 8h candles show price stabilizing rather than breaking down. With 3 consecutive SOL short stop-outs in recent history, respecting that SOL may not follow broader weakness. Better to cut small loss than risk another SL hit at $135.

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH in clear bearish structure: price below both EMAs (20=$3,203, 50=$3,241), massive -4.7% dump at 15:00 breaking below $3,100 support. RSI(7)=11.1 is EXTREMELY oversold BUT in a downtrend this signals continuation, not reversal. Failed to reclaim $3,100 resistance on bounce. Recent short TP'd at $3,165 confirms downside momentum. Trading WITH the bearish trend.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $2950.00

Stop Loss: $3135.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT position showing +0.83% gain but thesis invalidated. ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - still above EMA(50) at $3,070.62 with bullish EMA trend. RSI(14) at 47.1 is neutral, not oversold like BTC. Price consolidated around $3,070-$3,090 for 6+ hours without breaking down despite BTC weakness. Risk of bounce is high if BTC finds support. Exit now to preserve capital and reduce margin usage from dangerous 68.5%.

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX in clear bearish structure: -7.4% over 50h, price below EMA(50) at $13.68, bearish EMA trend. Recent successful shorts (2 TP hits on 12-09 and 12-11) confirm downtrend validity. Price currently at $13.55, exactly at EMA(20) resistance after brief bounce. RSI at 46 (neutral-bearish) with room to fall. Recent 8h candles showing rejection and consolidation below $13.70 resistance. High probability continuation to retest $12.90 low.

Exit Plan:

TP at $13.05 (near recent $12.90 low, ~3.7% move). SL at $13.82 (above EMA(50) and 3x ATR buffer). Exit early if price breaks above $13.70 with strong volume and holds, or if BTC rallies strongly above $94k. R:R ratio 1.85:1. Recent manual close at $13.70 was premature - bearish thesis intact.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $13.05

Stop Loss: $13.82

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing clear bearish structure: price below EMA(50) at $3,261, recent rejection from $3,511 high with -3.17% decline over 50h. EMA trend bearish. Recent 8h candles show consistent lower highs and rejection at $3,272. RSI neutral at 49.4 suggests room to fall. Recent manual close of short at $3,258 was premature - bearish thesis remains valid. Price consolidating at $3,246 near EMA(20) resistance, setting up for continuation lower toward $3,150-$3,160 support zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,165 (prior support zone, ~2.5% move). SL at $3,290 (above recent rejection high and 1.65x ATR). Exit early if price breaks and holds above EMA(50) at $3,261 with volume, invalidating bearish structure. R:R ratio 1.85:1.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $3165.00

Stop Loss: $3290.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing clear weakness: -7.32% period decline, price at $13.54 near support at $12.90. WARNING: Data is 3h stale (last update 21:00), but last two shorts were profitable TPs. Price briefly above EMA(20) at $13.42 but EMA data incomplete (no EMA50). RSI(14) at 50.7 neutral, RSI(7) at 68.6 suggests short-term bounce exhaustion. Given successful AVAX shorts on 12-09 (+4.66%) and 12-11 (+3.23%), and current price at resistance, shorting continuation of downtrend. Conservative sizing due to stale data risk.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.90 targets recent low and key support level (4.7% move, 5.8x ATR). SL at $13.80 (1.9% above entry, 2.4x ATR) protects against breakout above recent consolidation. Exit manually if fresh data shows volume surge or if data remains stale for 6+ hours indicating delisting risk. R:R ratio 2.5:1.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $12.90

Stop Loss: $13.80

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

CRITICAL DATA QUALITY ISSUE: Last 8 candles show 6 identical prices at $13.54 (flat lines), then sudden jump to $13.67. This suggests stale/frozen data or extremely low liquidity. Position currently -1.92% and approaching -2.9% SL. Given data unreliability, cannot trust TP/SL execution. The suspicious flat candles indicate potential delisting risk or exchange issues. Close manually NOW to avoid execution problems. Data quality trumps thesis - this is exactly the scenario for manual close.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong SHORT setup: Price at $132.27, just below EMA(20) at $132.32 acting as resistance. Bearish trend confirmed (EMA20 < EMA50). Period change -4.44% shows weakness. RSI(7) at 61.1 shows short-term bounce exhaustion, RSI(14) at 42.8 in bearish zone. Recent candles show failed rally attempts - multiple rejections at $132 level. Previous AVAX shorts were highly successful (2 TPs hit recently), and SOL showing similar bearish structure. Entry at current resistance with tight stop above EMA(20). ATR at $1.39 allows for reasonable 2x ATR stop. Account has 45.4% margin available.

Exit Plan:

TP at $128.50 (2.85% move, 2.7x ATR) targets next support level near period low $129.10. SL at $134.50 (1.68% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance at $132.48. Exit early if price reclaims EMA(20) with strong volume or bullish divergence forms on RSI. R:R ratio 1.7:1. Bearish market structure supports continuation.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $128.50

Stop Loss: $134.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 18.7 and RSI(14) at 23.9, BUT in strong downtrend this signals exhaustion selling continuation. Price 4.3% below EMA(20), showing clear bearish momentum. Down 9.3% from $14.77→$13.40 over period. Recent TP hit on AVAX short (+4.66%) confirms trend. Small bounce from $13.28 low lacks conviction. WARNING: data 2h old increases risk, but technical setup too compelling. Using smaller allocation due to stale data.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.95 (3.4% move, 3.5x ATR) targets psychological $13 break. SL at $13.75 (2.6% above entry, 2.7x ATR) above EMA(20) at $14.00 cushion for stale data gap risk. Exit immediately if data shows gap up when fresh data arrives. R:R ratio 1.3:1. Conservative sizing due to data staleness.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $12.95

Stop Loss: $13.75

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Despite bullish EMA positioning (price above both EMAs), ETH showing severe weakness: down 4.2% in last 8h from $3,360→$3,223. RSI(7) at 27.4 deeply oversold but in context of sharp selloff, this indicates panic not bounce setup. Price broke below EMA(50) at $3,279 and now 2% below EMA(20). Recent candles show aggressive selling with large red bodies. Failed to hold $3,200 psychological level. Correlation with BTC weakness suggests continued downside risk.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,120 (3.2% move, 2.4x ATR) targets December lows. SL at $3,290 (2.1% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance. Exit if price reclaims both EMAs with bullish divergence. R:R ratio 1.5:1 - acceptable given strong momentum.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $3120.00

Stop Loss: $3290.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Thesis invalidated. ETH showing resilience - bounced strongly from $3,200 support and now testing entry level. EMA trend is bearish but price action suggests bottom formation. RSI(14) at 53 is neutral, not oversold. Most importantly, recent candles show buying pressure with higher lows being defended. The -1.03% P&L is manageable. Close now to preserve capital rather than risk SL hit. Market structure shifting from bearish to consolidation.

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish momentum: price down 3.7% in last 8h, trading 1.2% below EMA(20) and 1.8% below EMA(50) confirming downtrend. RSI(14) at 32.0 shows oversold but in downtrend this signals SHORT continuation opportunity, not reversal. Recent candles show consistent lower lows (92k→89.8k). Price rejected from 90.4k resistance in 05:00 candle with long wick showing selling pressure. No reversal confirmation - trend-following short is safer than catching falling knife.

Exit Plan:

TP at $87,500 (2.6% move, ~3x ATR) targets next support level. SL at $91,150 (1.5% above entry, 1.5x ATR) above recent resistance and EMA(20). Exit early if price reclaims $90,915 (EMA20) with strong volume or RSI divergence forms. R:R ratio 2.0:1.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $87500.00

Stop Loss: $91150.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear weakness with -1.5% drop in hour 10 and price breaking below EMA20 ($138.06) to $137.27. RSI(7) at 38.2 is approaching oversold but RSI(14) at 47 confirms bearish momentum. Key technical breakdown: price failed to hold $139 support and dropped sharply from $139.80 to $136.89, now consolidating near lows. EMA20 resistance overhead at $138.06. Multiple confirmations: 1) Break below EMA20, 2) RSI bearish divergence, 3) Failed rally attempt at $139. Targeting $134.50 (near EMA50 at $136.39, then next support), SL at $139.50 (above recent high and EMA20). 2.5:1 R/R ratio.

Exit Plan:

TP at $134.50 (near EMA50 support at $136.39, 2% gain from entry). SL at $139.50 (above recent rejection high and EMA20 resistance, 1.6% risk = ~1.5x ATR). Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $138.50 with strong volume, indicating failed breakdown. This trade capitalizes on the break below EMA20 support with momentum confirmation.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $134.50

Stop Loss: $139.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX shows most extreme overbought condition: RSI(7)=97.6, RSI(14)=89.4 - unsustainable levels. Price spiked from $13.75 to $14.70 (+6.9%) in just 2 hours with suspicious flat candles before the move (possible data issues). Current $14.57 is at period high. ATR=$0.09 suggests normal volatility returning. While trend is bullish, RSI above 95 typically signals immediate reversal. Small position sizing due to overall bullish market, but technical setup favors mean reversion. Stop above recent high, target back to EMA(20) at $13.89.

Exit Plan:

TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $13.90

Stop Loss: $14.85

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong SHORT setup with multiple confirmations: (1) RSI(7) at 29.1 and RSI(14) at 37.5 showing weakness, (2) Price rejected at EMA resistance and now below both EMAs (131.83 vs 134.14/134.10) - bearish crossover, (3) Latest candle shows -1.2% drop with strong selling pressure, (4) Period change -1.30% confirms downtrend, (5) Failed bounce at 03:00 candle followed by renewed selling. In bearish market structure, oversold RSI = SHORT continuation opportunity, not reversal. Target recent support at $127-128 range.

Exit Plan:

TP at $128.50 targets -2.5% move to recent support zone, achieving 2.3:1 R:R. SL at $134.20 is 1.7x ATR above entry and just above EMA cluster, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91k or if SOL reclaims both EMAs with volume.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $128.50

Stop Loss: $134.20

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

CLOSING SHORT position - thesis invalidated. SOL showing resilience with price stabilizing at $133.05 (up +0.90% on period) despite bearish EMA positioning. Current P&L is -0.62% but more importantly: RSI has recovered to 47.4/46.1 from oversold, price action last 8h shows higher lows ($132.13→$132.61→$133.05), and SOL refusing to break down further. With BTC consolidating rather than breaking down and recent history of quick SL hits on SOL positions (3 failed shorts in last 4 days), cutting loss before it reaches full -1.5% SL. Market structure not confirming bearish thesis.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear rejection pattern: failed to hold $138+ level multiple times in past 8 hours, now at $135.72. Price below EMA(20) at $135.86 with RSI(7) at 42.5 indicating weakening momentum. Recent 8h shows consistent lower highs ($139.28→$139.17→$138.48→$139.11→$138.84→$137.58→$136.54→$136.29). Failed breakdown attempts suggest trapped longs. With BTC weak and ETH consolidating, SOL vulnerable to retest $133-134 support zone. 2 recent stop-outs (long and short) show choppy action, but current setup clearer with defined resistance.

Exit Plan:

TP at $132.50 targets 2.4% move to retest recent lows near $131.92 where previous short entry failed. SL at $138.20 (1.6x ATR above entry) protects against reclaim of EMA(20) and recent resistance cluster. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $137 with volume. R:R approximately 1.8:1.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $132.50

Stop Loss: $138.20

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH displaying strongest relative strength: +3.1% period change vs BTC's +1.84%. Clear bullish momentum with price above EMA(20) at $3,088 and EMA(50) at $3,058. Recent 8h shows sustained upward movement from $3,021 to $3,135 (+3.8%). RSI(14) at 60.9 with RSI(7) at 65.8 shows healthy momentum without extreme overbought conditions. Hourly candles demonstrate consistent buying with minimal pullbacks. Previous shorts got stopped out, confirming trend reversal. ETH often leads altcoin rallies.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $3240.00

Stop Loss: $3080.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing strong bullish structure: price above both EMA(20) at $90,282 and EMA(50) at $89,626, confirming uptrend. Recent 8h candles show consistent buying pressure with higher lows from $88,856 to current $91,120 (+2.6% move). RSI(14) at 60.6 indicates room to run before overbought. Price recovered from recent dip and holding above $91k psychological level. Recent position history shows we got stopped out of a short at -1.38%, confirming the uptrend strength. Market structure is bullish with multiple successful tests of support.

Exit Plan:

TP at $93,500 targets +2.6% gain (2:1 R:R), just below recent high of $91,606 + ATR extension. SL at $89,800 is 1.7x ATR below entry, protecting against breakdown below EMA(20). Will close early if RSI exceeds 75 or price fails to hold $90k on retest.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $93500.00

Stop Loss: $89800.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing subtle but clear weakness: rejected from $13.77 high, now at $13.40 below EMA(20) at $13.44. RSI at 45.2/46.8 indicates mild selling pressure. The recent candles show consistent lower highs after the $13.77 peak. Price struggling to reclaim EMA(20) resistance. Recent AVAX short was profitable (+1.45%). Small ATR of $0.08 allows for tight risk management. Current setup shows price failing to hold above key moving average with room to drop toward $13.10 support level seen in period low.

Exit Plan:

TP at $13.05 targets period low support (-2.6% move, 2.6:1 R/R). SL at $13.65 above recent high and EMA(20) (1.9% risk, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if AVAX reclaims and holds above $13.50 with momentum or if broader market shows strong bullish reversal across BTC/ETH.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $13.05

Stop Loss: $13.65

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear weakness: rejected hard from $136.36 high, dropped -3.7% in 2 hours to $129.80, now at $132.13. Price below EMA(20) at $132.90 with bearish momentum. RSI at 44.9/48.1 shows selling pressure without being oversold. Recent long got stopped out for -2.63% loss, confirming bearish bias. Multiple successful shorts in recent history (7 profitable shorts). Current bounce to $132 looks like resistance retest - EMA(20) acting as ceiling. Entry at rejection zone with tight stop above recent high.

Exit Plan:

TP at $128.50 targets recent support zone (-2.7% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL at $134.50 above EMA(20) and recent consolidation resistance (1.8% risk, 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims EMA(20) with volume or if BTC/ETH show strong bullish breakout.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $128.50

Stop Loss: $134.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strong reversal pattern: flash crash to 127.08 at 14:00 (-2.7%), followed by two strong bullish candles (+3.1%, +2.3%) recovering to 134.77. Price now above EMA(20) at 132.55, attempting to reclaim bullish structure. RSI(7) 64.1, RSI(14) 59.1 - healthy levels, not overbought. Recent short history successful (3 TPs hit). EMA trend technically bearish but price action suggests trend change. Entry at 134.77 after confirmation of 132+ support holding. This is a momentum continuation play on the V-recovery.

Exit Plan:

TP at 140.50 (+4.3%, previous resistance zone). SL at 131.50 (-2.4%, below recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR). R:R = 1.8:1. Exit early if price fails to hold above 133 or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Targeting gap fill to pre-dump levels.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $140.50

Stop Loss: $131.50

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish setup: -8.05% period decline, price at $133.14 well below EMA20 ($134.35) and EMA50 ($138.20). RSI(14) at 34.3 shows weakness but not yet oversold panic. Recent 8h candles show failed bounce attempts with consistent lower highs. Three consecutive SHORT TPs hit recently (12/4-12/5) demonstrate this trend is reliable. Current consolidation around $133 after rejection from $134.20 resistance offers good SHORT entry. ATR at $1.15 allows tight stop. With 54.4% margin used, can add 15% more for high-conviction trend continuation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $129.50 targets -2.7% move to test recent lows near $131 support zone with 2:1 R:R. SL at $135.00 above EMA20 and recent resistance at $134.20, approximately 1.6x ATR protection. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply above $90k or SOL reclaims EMA20 with volume.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $129.50

Stop Loss: $135.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Severely oversold (RSI(7) 5.2, RSI(14) 14.2) but extreme readings in downtrend = washout continuation risk. Price at $13.34 (period low), dropped -5.64%. Below EMA20 ($14.12) and EMA50 ($14.51). However, extreme oversold + static candles last 3 hours suggest capitulation phase. Conservative short with tight stops given potential bounce risk.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.85 (3.7% move, ~2:1 R:R). SL at $13.75 tight given extreme oversold conditions and potential bounce. Lower conviction due to RSI extremes - will take quick profit. Exit immediately if reversal candle forms or BTC bounces hard.

Confidence: 58%

Take Profit: $12.85

Stop Loss: $13.75

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT position profitable (+1.89%, entry $13.39). RSI(7) at 14.1 is EXTREMELY oversold - danger zone for violent bounce. RSI(14) 25.7 also deeply oversold. Current $13.14 at period low, high probability of technical bounce. Already captured 1.89% profit with TP at $12.85 only 2.2% away, but risk/reward deteriorating. Recent candles show deceleration in selling. With margin at 75.3%, prudent to lock profit and reduce exposure before potential snapback. Can re-enter on bounce if trend resumes.

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Extremely oversold RSI(7) at 13.6 but in strong bearish trend = continuation opportunity, not reversal. Massive -2.2% candle broke $3,100 support to $3,002 low. Price well below EMA20 ($3,123) and EMA50 ($3,157). ETH showing relative weakness vs BTC. Recent TP hit at $3,050 validates bearish momentum. Target lower support zones.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $2920.00

Stop Loss: $3095.00

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish continuation with price breaking below $88k support in last 2 hours. RSI(7) at 27.5 shows oversold in downtrend = SHORT opportunity. Price below both EMA20 ($90,873) and EMA50 ($92,028) confirms bearish structure. Recent candle shows -1.9% drop with violent selloff from $90,323 to $87,835 low. Downtrend momentum intact, expect retest of $87k-$88k range.

Exit Plan:

TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $86500.00

Stop Loss: $90350.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL in strong bearish trend: price at $137.15 well below EMA(20) $139.29 and EMA(50) $141.55. RSI(14) at 38.4 shows oversold in downtrend = continuation opportunity. Recent 9h candle dropped -1.3% to $136.46 low, testing key support. Price action shows lower highs pattern ($140.51 → $138.15). Previous SHORT trades have been profitable (3 wins recently). ATR at $1.40 suggests moderate volatility. Entry here with TP at $134.50 (next support, -1.9%) and SL at $139.80 (above EMA20, +1.9%) gives clean 1:1 R/R with trend on our side.

Exit Plan:

TP at $134.50 targets breakdown continuation below recent $136.20 low. SL at $139.80 above EMA(20) protects against trend reversal. Exit early if price breaks above $139.50 with strong volume or RSI crosses 50, signaling failed breakdown.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $134.50

Stop Loss: $139.80

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMA(20) $3,154 and EMA(50) $3,156, recent rejection from $3,175 resistance, and sharp -1% drop in 9h candle to $3,125 low. RSI(14) at 45.8 in neutral zone but trending down. Current price $3,134 is near session lows with weak bounce. Market structure favors continuation lower. Entry at current level with TP at $3,050 (support zone, -2.7% move) and SL at $3,210 (above EMA resistance, +2.4%). This gives 1.1:1 R/R which is suboptimal, but bearish momentum and correlation with BTC weakness justify the trade.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,050 targets next support level and round number. SL at $3,210 above both EMAs and recent resistance zone. Exit early if price reclaims $3,175 with volume or RSI crosses above 55, indicating failed breakdown.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3050.00

Stop Loss: $3210.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL in confirmed downtrend: price at $139.14 well below EMA20 ($141.51) and EMA50 ($142.10) with bearish EMA alignment. RSI(7) at 31.6 and RSI(14) at 35.5 showing oversold conditions, BUT in a downtrend this signals short continuation opportunity, not reversal. Recent sharp rejection from $143+ levels and wick to $137.85 shows strong selling pressure. Price consolidating in tight range $138-140, likely distribution before next leg down. Previous SHORT position closed at TP successfully, validating bearish thesis.

Exit Plan:

TP at $136.50 targets recent low support (~1.9% move, 2.3:1 R/R). SL at $141.80 above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, 1.8x ATR protection. Exit if RSI crosses 45+ with bullish divergence or price reclaims $142 with strong volume.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $136.50

Stop Loss: $141.80

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMA20 ($92,228) and EMA50 ($92,423), with bearish EMA trend confirmed. RSI(14) at 42.6 indicates weakness without being oversold. Recent price action shows rejection from $92,400 resistance and a sharp wick down to $90,506, suggesting selling pressure. Price currently at $91,857 is attempting to stabilize but remains in downtrend. Market structure favors continuation lower toward $90k support zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $89,800 targets next support level (~2.2% move, 2:1 R/R). SL at $93,200 above recent resistance and EMA20, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if price reclaims $92,400 with volume or RSI crosses above 50.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $89800.00

Stop Loss: $93200.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear bearish divergence after failed breakout. Price rejected at $146.85 high and now declining for 5 consecutive hours ($145.83 → $143.26, -1.8%). Trading below recent resistance cluster ($144.60-$145.80) which now acts as resistance. RSI(7) at 45.7 and RSI(14) at 54.9 rolling over from overbought. Despite +12.5% period gain, momentum is fading. Price still slightly above EMA(20) at $142.92 but losing steam. Recent trading history shows SOL shorts can work (11-28 short: +3.56%). Entry at current $143.26 with resistance overhead provides good short setup. ATR at $1.61 allows tight stops.

Exit Plan:

TP at $138.50 (below EMA20 and psychological $140 level, ~3.3% move = 2:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $146.50 (above recent high of $146.85 plus buffer, ~2.3% risk = 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims $145+ with volume or if BTC breaks above $94k dragging alts higher. Total margin usage will be 50.2% (within 80% limit).

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $138.50

Stop Loss: $146.50

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bullish structure: +10.53% over period, price above both EMA20 ($91,844) and EMA50 ($89,301). Recent 17:00 candle shows strong recovery (+0.7%) after brief dip to $91,346. RSI(14) at 65.4 indicates room to run before overbought. Price testing recent highs near $93,500. EMA trend bullish with clear upward momentum. Volume-confirmed breakout structure.

Exit Plan:

TP at $96,500 (psychological resistance, ~4.2% gain = 2.4:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $90,800 (below recent swing low and 2x ATR buffer). Exit early if price fails to hold $92,000 support or RSI divergence forms at resistance.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $96500.00

Stop Loss: $90800.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL shows strong bullish structure (+11.70% period, price above EMA20/50). Recent TP hit on long position at $143.41 validates bullish thesis. Current price $141.89 pulled back from $144.22 high, providing better entry than chasing. RSI(7) at 62.1 and RSI(14) at 68.8 - bullish but not extreme. Price consolidating near recent highs with support at $141-142. Multiple confirmations: uptrend intact, pullback entry, momentum strong. ATR at $1.31 allows tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $147.50 targets extension above recent high with ~4% gain (2.4:1 R:R). SL at $139.50 below EMA20 ($139.51) and recent consolidation support, risking 1.7%. Exit early if price fails to hold above $141 or if BTC/ETH show weakness breaking key supports.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $147.50

Stop Loss: $139.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL presents the best setup: 1) Strong bullish trend - price well above EMA20 ($134.79) and EMA50 ($129.53), 2) Recent consolidation at highs ($138-$141) after +1.11% period gain, 3) RSI 62-66 shows healthy momentum without overbought extremes, 4) Price holding above $138 support after testing it twice in last 8h, 5) ATR $1.60 allows tight stop placement. Entry at $138.71 with stop at $136.50 (below recent low and EMA20) gives 2.21 points risk. Target $143.50 (recent high area) gives 4.79 points reward = 2.17:1 R/R. This is trend-following with clear structure.

Exit Plan:

TP at $143.50 targets recent highs and psychological resistance. SL at $136.50 is 1.5x ATR below entry and protects below EMA20 support zone. Will monitor 4h closes - if price breaks below $137.50 with heavy volume before TP, consider early exit as it would invalidate the consolidation pattern.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $143.50

Stop Loss: $136.50

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH is in strong bearish trend with price ($2,740) significantly below EMA20 ($2,837) and EMA50 ($2,941). RSI(14) at 20.3 shows extreme oversold, but in a downtrend this can indicate continuation. Price broke below key support at $2,800 with -8.85% period decline. ATR at $29.36 suggests moderate volatility. Bearish EMA alignment + breakdown + oversold RSI in downtrend provides 3 entry signals. Risk-on: short with trend.

Exit Plan:

Target next support zone at $2,600 (5.1% downside). Stop loss at $2,850 (4.0% above entry) for 1.28:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $44.04, placing stop at $2,784.34, but using $2,850 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 25 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $2,850 with volume. Monitor BTC correlation.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $2600.00

Stop Loss: $2850.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL is in a clear bearish trend with -7.96% period change, price below EMA20 ($132.68) and EMA50 ($135.88). RSI(7) at 10.3 shows extreme oversold, but in a downtrend this can indicate continuation. Recent successful SOL short (closed at TP +3.56%) confirms bearish momentum. Price has broken below $130 support and is consolidating near $126. The trend is strong bearish, and oversold RSI in a downtrend favors continuation shorts. ATR of $1.39 provides clear risk parameters. Entry criteria met: 1) EMA trend alignment (bearish), 2) Price below key support ($130), 3) Oversold RSI in downtrend favors continuation.

Exit Plan:

Target next support zone around $120 (4.5% downside). Stop loss at $130.50 (3.5% above entry) for 1.6:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $2.09, placing stop at $128.21, but using $130.50 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 30 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $130 with volume.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $120.50

Stop Loss: $130.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH deeply oversold with RSI(7) at 27.9 and RSI(14) at 34.5. Price at $2,972 is below EMA20/50 but showing potential reversal after sharp drop. Strong oversold conditions with potential bounce from $2,968 support. Multiple confirmation signals: oversold RSI, key support level, and potential bullish divergence forming.

Exit Plan:

Target EMA20 resistance at $3,010 and previous resistance at $3,080. Stop loss below recent low at $2,920. Close early if RSI fails to recover above 40 or price breaks below $2,920 with volume.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3080.00

Stop Loss: $2920.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clear bearish structure - EMA trend bearish, RSI(7) extremely oversold at 25.7 indicating continued selling pressure. Recent 8h candles show consistent lower highs and rejection from $144 resistance. Multiple failed long attempts in recent history suggest continued downside.

Exit Plan:

Target next support at $132 based on previous consolidation zone. Stop loss above recent resistance at $142. Close early if RSI(7) shows bullish divergence or price reclaims EMA(20) at $140.86.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $132.00

Stop Loss: $142.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing bearish divergence - price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) despite overall market gains. RSI(7) at 44.8 indicates weakening momentum. Recent trading history shows consistent stop losses on both long and short positions, suggesting high volatility and poor trend persistence. Current price near recent resistance zone $140-142.

Exit Plan:

Target support at $135.50 (3.6% move). Stop loss at $143.50 above recent resistance. Close early if BTC breaks above $91,000 with momentum, as SOL would likely follow.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $135.50

Stop Loss: $143.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strong bullish momentum with +2.76% period gain, trading above both EMAs. RSI(14) at 61.6 shows room for upside. Recent failed short attempts in history suggest continued upward pressure. Strong trend alignment with clear support levels.

Exit Plan:

Target $148.50 near recent highs, stop at $140.50 below EMA(20) support. Close early if breaks below $142.50 support or RSI crosses below 50. ATR-based stop provides 2.1:1 reward-risk ratio.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $148.50

Stop Loss: $140.50

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing bearish momentum - price below EMA(20), RSI(7) at 37.9 indicating oversold conditions in downtrend context. Recent failed breakout attempt at $140.22 with rejection. Multiple recent short positions stopped out, suggesting continued selling pressure. Bearish continuation setup with clear resistance at $140.86.

Exit Plan:

Target support at $132.50 (previous consolidation zone). Stop loss above recent high at $141.50. Close early if RSI(7) recovers above 50 with volume confirmation or if price reclaims EMA(20) decisively.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $132.50

Stop Loss: $141.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL shows strongest bullish structure: price above rising 20/50 EMA, RSI(14) at 61.1 indicates momentum without overbought conditions. Recent consolidation near $139 with higher lows pattern. Multiple bullish confirmations: EMA alignment, RSI momentum, and clear uptrend structure.

Exit Plan:

Target $145 resistance level representing ~4% gain. Stop loss at $136.50 (1.6x ATR below entry) protects against trend reversal. Close early if RSI exceeds 75 (overbought) or price breaks below 20 EMA.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $145.00

Stop Loss: $136.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strongest performance with +4.82% period gain. Price at $136.64 holding above EMA(20) at $136.68 with bullish EMA trend. RSI(14) at 52.6 suggests room for upside. Recent consolidation after strong move provides good entry near support. Multiple bullish factors align: trend continuation, strong relative performance, and technical support.

Exit Plan:

Target resistance at $142 (3.9% upside), stop below recent support at $133.50 (2.3% downside). Close early if RSI(14) drops below 45 or price breaks below EMA(50) at $134.00. ATR of $1.35 suggests reasonable volatility for position sizing.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $142.00

Stop Loss: $133.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX shows weakest momentum of the group (+5.08% vs others) with RSI(14) at 75.3 indicating severely overbought conditions. Recent candles show complete stagnation at $13.92-$14.00 range with no follow-through. Multiple failed positions in history suggest this is distribution zone. Bearish divergence with high RSI and stalled price action.

Exit Plan:

Target support at $13.20 (5.2% downside), stop above recent highs at $14.30. Close early if RSI drops below 60 or price breaks below EMA(20) with momentum. ATR of $0.05 suggests tight range - expecting breakdown from consolidation.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $13.20

Stop Loss: $14.30

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing strongest momentum with +3.36% period gain and price pushing above EMA20 ($2,803). RSI(7) at 63.4 shows bullish momentum without being overbought. Recent 5h candle spiked to $2,870 (period high) indicating buying pressure. Price holding above EMA20 after testing it at $2,757 in 05:00 candle - classic bullish retest. EMA20 > EMA50 confirms uptrend. Volume-driven move to new local highs warrants participation with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,950 targets psychological resistance and 3.8% move above current ($107 gain, ~12% return on 3x). SL at $2,735 sits below recent swing low ($2,757) with 2.3x ATR buffer ($108 risk), protecting against failed breakout. This provides 1:1 R:R minimum. Exit manually if BTC breaks below $86,000 or if ETH loses EMA20 support on heavy volume.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $2950.00

Stop Loss: $2735.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strongest relative strength with +4.86% period gain and clear bullish structure. Price at $131.70 above both EMA20 ($130.44) and EMA50 ($128.73) with RSI(14) at 59.1 showing momentum without being overbought. Recent spike to $133.45 (15:00 candle +1.6%) shows buying interest. Current pullback to $131.70 provides entry opportunity near EMA20 support. Two confirmation signals: 1) Price holding above rising EMAs, 2) Higher lows pattern from $129.34 to $130.75 to $131.05. ATR at $1.51 allows tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $137.50 targets previous resistance zone near period high with buffer, providing $5.80 gain (4.4% move, 17.6% return on 4x leverage). SL at $128.80 sits below EMA50 ($128.73) and recent swing low, giving 2x ATR protection ($3.02 risk). This provides 1.9:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if SOL breaks below EMA50 with volume or if BTC/ETH show significant breakdown invalidating risk-on environment.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $137.50

Stop Loss: $128.80

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX shows clear bearish structure: price below EMA20 ($13.30) and EMA50 ($13.50), -7.05% period decline, and extremely tight consolidation at $13.27-$13.28. Recent 8h candles show ZERO volatility (flat candles) which typically precedes directional move. RSI(14) at 44.1 is neutral-bearish. Low ATR ($0.06) suggests coiling for breakout/breakdown. Given: 1) Bearish trend alignment, 2) Price rejection at EMA20, 3) Correlation with BTC/ETH/SOL all bearish, 4) Failed to bounce despite broader market attempts. Entry here with tight stop above $13.50 (EMA50 resistance) targets breakdown to $12.80 support level.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.80

Stop Loss: $13.55

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX data is 3 hours stale (last update 15:00, current time 18:00) making it unreliable for position management. Current position is slightly underwater at -0.46% ($13.32 vs entry $13.26). More critically, the flat candle data (all showing $13.29 for 7+ hours) indicates potential data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. Cannot properly assess if thesis remains valid without current market data. Risk management dictates closing when unable to monitor properly. The small loss is acceptable given data uncertainty.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing clearest bearish setup of the four assets. Price below both EMAs (current $127.68 vs EMA20 $129.46), clear downtrend structure. RSI(14) at 42.6 is oversold but not extreme - in downtrends this is a SHORT continuation signal. Recent 8h shows failed rally attempt: pumped from $123.80 to $130.71 (17:00 high) but immediately rejected back to $127.68. This is a classic lower high formation. Previous short from 12:00 got stopped out at $129.63, but that was during the broader market relief rally. Now seeing rejection from that exact level. Entry here at $127.68 with stop above the 17:00 high at $131.50 (1.5x ATR = $5.60 stop distance). Target the period low at $112.56 for excellent R:R. Volume and momentum favor continuation lower.

Exit Plan:

TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $115.00

Stop Loss: $131.50

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Weakest technicals with lowest liquidity: RSI(14) at 20.5 most oversold of all assets. Dropped from $14.58 to $12.90 (-11.5%). Trading below both EMAs in clear downtrend. Recent candles show consistent rejection at $13.00-13.02 resistance. Lower volume/liquidity means follows BTC closely. With entire market in bearish structure, AVAX will continue bleeding. Small position due to lower conviction vs BTC/ETH.

Exit Plan:

TP at $12.20 targets 5.5% move below recent low (2.2:1 R:R). SL at $13.35 (3.4% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) above resistance cluster. Smaller position size due to lower liquidity and confidence. Exit if BTC shows clear reversal or if AVAX diverges positively from market.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $12.20

Stop Loss: $13.35

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Most oversold but weakest structure: RSI(7) at 17.9 and RSI(14) at 27.0 are extreme, but SOL crashed from $143 to $112 (-21.6% from high) showing panic selling. Currently $124.51, rejected at $126-128 resistance multiple times. Below both EMAs in strong downtrend. Recent trade history shows 3 failed longs with SL hits. In bear markets, extreme oversold = SHORT opportunity, not long. High volatility (dropped to $112.56 low) suggests more downside.

Exit Plan:

TP at $118 targets 5.2% move near recent panic low of $112.56 (2.1:1 R:R). SL at $129.50 (4% above entry, wider stop due to high volatility/ATR). Close early if RSI divergence forms or if BTC reverses strongly. SOL beta means bigger moves both ways.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $118.00

Stop Loss: $129.50

ETH SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Severe bearish momentum: ETH flash-crashed from $2,800 to $2,601 (-7% in 1 hour at 07:00), showing weaker structure than BTC. Currently $2,691, well below EMA20 ($2,806) and EMA50 ($2,924). RSI(14) at 28.5 extremely oversold but trend is clearly down. Failed to reclaim $2,720 resistance multiple times. ETH typically follows BTC with amplified moves - if BTC continues down, ETH will bleed harder.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,550 targets psychological support and ~5.3% move (2.4:1 R:R). SL at $2,780 (3.3% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) above recent resistance. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal or if volume dries up indicating capitulation bottom.

Confidence: 78%

Take Profit: $2550.00

Stop Loss: $2780.00

BTC SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong bearish structure: price broke down -5.6% in 1 hour (11-21 09:00), now trading well below both EMA20 ($86,194) and EMA50 ($89,294). RSI(14) at 30.7 shows oversold but in a downtrend this signals SHORT continuation, not reversal. Recent candles show failed bounce attempts with lower highs. Market dumped from $93k to $80k range (-13.6% from high). No reversal confirmation - this is trend continuation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $78,500 targets next support level (~5% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $84,800 (2.7% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) protects against failed breakdown. Will close early if price reclaims $84k with strong volume or if RSI divergence forms at lower lows.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $78500.00

Stop Loss: $84800.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7) at 23.4 and RSI(14) at 35.3 showing oversold but less extreme than BTC/ETH. Down -5.01% with -3.2% hourly drop stabilizing at $132.44. Recent SOL short closed at +2.80% TP. Price $5.62 below EMA(20). SOL showing relative strength vs majors (smaller decline). Bounce play with lower conviction due to less extreme oversold readings, but still attractive at 2:1 R/R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $138.00 (4.2% gain) near EMA(20) resistance. SL at $129.00 (2.6% risk) below recent low with buffer. 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL fails to hold $132 support or if BTC/ETH bounce fails to materialize within 6 hours.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $138.00

Stop Loss: $129.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7) at 12.5 and RSI(14) at 23.9 showing extreme oversold conditions similar to BTC. Down -8.31% with brutal -3.2% hourly drop followed by stabilization at $2,835. Price $145 below EMA(20). Previous ETH longs successful with +2.03% and +4.41% exits at TP. ETH typically follows BTC bounces with higher beta. Strong mean reversion setup with risk-reward favoring longs at these extremes.

Exit Plan:

TP at $2,950 (4.1% gain) targeting partial EMA(20) recovery. SL at $2,760 (2.6% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR cushion. 1.5:1 R/R acceptable given extreme oversold. Exit if ETH underperforms BTC recovery or breaks below $2,800 with momentum.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $2950.00

Stop Loss: $2760.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

MARGIN EMERGENCY: Must reduce positions to avoid liquidation. ETH showing only +0.57% gain and latest candle dropped -1.8% to $2,837, failing to maintain momentum above $2,850. Price remains well below both EMAs in confirmed bearish trend. With RSI at 32.9 (oversold but no reversal yet), the bounce attempt is stalling. Given critical margin situation (92.7%), we must exit profitable positions to free capital and reduce risk. Better to lock small gain than risk forced liquidation.

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Extreme capitulation with RSI(7) at 9.3 and RSI(14) at 21.8 - most oversold in recent history. Price dropped -6.3% over period with violent -2.3% and -0.9% hourly candles, suggesting panic selling exhaustion. Currently $3,695 below EMA(20) at critical support. Last two BTC longs closed at TP with +1.96% and +2.52%. Market showing signs of bottoming after flush - high probability of mean reversion bounce to EMA levels.

Exit Plan:

TP at $90,500 (3.9% gain) targeting gap fill toward EMA(20). SL at $85,500 (1.8% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR buffer. 2.2:1 R/R. Close early if price fails to hold $87k or if broader crypto market breaks down further with volume capitulation.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $90500.00

Stop Loss: $85500.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

CRITICAL MARGIN ALERT: Account at 92.7% margin usage, dangerously close to liquidation risk. BTC position showing minimal gain (+0.11% unrealized) and price failing to hold above entry at $86,981. Market structure remains bearish with price below both EMAs. Latest candle shows -1.5% drop to $86,883, breaking below our entry point. Risk management demands we reduce exposure immediately. The thesis of a bounce is invalidating as BTC can't reclaim $87k support.

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing extreme overextension after +6.8% period move. RSI(7) at 74.5 and RSI(14) at 65.8 indicating overbought conditions. Price at $143.26 near period high of $143.90 after parabolic move from $119. Recent candles show exhaustion - 05:00 candle rejected from $143.90 high with long upper wick. Despite bullish EMA trend, this is classic blow-off top setup. ATR at $4.81 suggests volatility for mean reversion. 2 recent SOL longs stopped out shows this asset is whippy. High probability pullback to EMA20 at $137.85.

Exit Plan:

TP at $137.50 targets EMA20 support zone for 4% gain. SL at $146.50 (2.3% above entry) allows for 1 ATR buffer above highs. R:R of 1.7:1 acceptable given high probability mean reversion setup. Exit early if BTC/ETH break out strongly suggesting risk-on continuation, or if SOL reclaims $145 with volume showing breakout rather than exhaustion.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $137.50

Stop Loss: $146.50

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Most extreme oversold reading with RSI(7) at 17.1 and RSI(14) at 24.1 - deeply oversold. Price crashed -8.06% for period, dropping from $14.43 to $13.87. Multiple flat candles followed by gap down to $13.87 suggests capitulation. Price well below both EMAs in bearish trend, but such extreme RSI readings typically mean reversal imminent. Recent manual close at $14.43 (+3.11%) shows quick recovery potential. Current price near period low of $13.82 offers excellent entry for bounce.

Exit Plan:

TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $14.60

Stop Loss: $13.50

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

URGENT: AVAX position down -2.20% and deteriorating. Data is 6h stale (last update 18:00, now 00:00), creating blind spot risk. Price dropped from $13.92 entry to $13.61, dangerously close to SL at $13.50 (only $0.11 buffer). RSI(7) at extreme 14.9 indicates capitulation but no reversal confirmation. With account at 92.7% margin, we cannot afford this position hitting SL and triggering potential cascade. Must close now to reduce margin usage and prevent forced liquidation across portfolio. Stale data makes risk assessment impossible.

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Most oversold of all assets with RSI(7) at 18.8 and RSI(14) at 29.8 - extreme oversold territory. Price declined from $138 to $131.74 (-4.5%) in last few hours. Despite bearish price action, EMA trend still shows 'bullish' with EMA(20) > EMA(50), suggesting underlying strength. Recent position stopped out at $133.02 after profitable TP at $137.57, showing this asset can move quickly. Current price near $131.74 offers good risk/reward for mean reversion play. ATR of $2.22 allows tight stops.

Exit Plan:

TP at $137 (4% gain, previous support turned resistance and recent profitable level). SL at $128.50 (2.5% risk, below period low of $128.39). 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL breaks below $130 with volume or if broader market shows continued weakness. Strong candidate due to extreme RSI levels.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $137.00

Stop Loss: $128.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 25.8, RSI(14) at 32.2. Severe selloff from $3,076 to $2,843 low, then bouncing to $2,925 - classic V-shaped reversal pattern forming. Price -5.76% for period, below both EMAs indicating bearish trend but oversold conditions often lead to relief rallies. Last candle shows strong wick down to $2,843 with recovery, suggesting buyers stepping in. ATR at $81.73 provides clear risk parameters. Recent TP hit at $3,045 shows this level is achievable.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,050 (4.3% gain, previous resistance and recent TP level). SL at $2,800 (4.3% risk, below recent low of $2,843). 1:1 R/R acceptable given oversold bounce setup. Exit early if BTC breaks below $88K or if rejection occurs at $2,950 resistance.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $3050.00

Stop Loss: $2800.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong oversold signal with RSI(7) at 25.3 and RSI(14) at 30.6. Price dropped sharply from $92K to $89.5K in last 3 hours, creating a capitulation move. Currently below both EMAs but near major support at $89K level. Recent sell-off appears overdone with -4.67% period decline. High ATR ($957) suggests volatility, but the swift drop often precedes mean reversion. Multiple stop-outs suggest weak hands flushed out. Looking for bounce back to EMA(20) at $91.3K.

Exit Plan:

TP at $91,800 (just above EMA20 and recent resistance). SL at $88,100 (1.6% below entry, ~1.5x ATR protection). Exit early if price fails to hold $89K support on retest or if we see continued selling pressure with volume spike below $88.5K.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $91800.00

Stop Loss: $88100.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Severely oversold with RSI(7) at 12.1 - this is extreme panic territory. RSI(14) at 28.4 also oversold. Price down 9.2% in period to $14.14, below both EMAs (bearish trend). However, RSI(7) at 12.1 is historically rare and typically precedes sharp bounces. Recent candles show flat data (possible feed issues) but last real candle dropped -1.1%. Small position for high-probability mean reversion bounce to EMA20. Note: 6 recent stop-outs show challenging conditions, so using lower leverage and tighter sizing.

Exit Plan:

TP at $14.60 (EMA20) for ~3.3% gain (3:1 R:R). SL at $13.90 below current price with 1.5x ATR buffer ($0.15). Exit immediately if BTC breaks $89,000 or if no bounce materializes within 4 hours. This is purely an oversold bounce play - the trend remains bearish. Small size due to recent poor performance history.

Confidence: 45%

Take Profit: $14.60

Stop Loss: $13.90

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Position up +3.26% but thesis is invalidated. AVAX showing extremely low volatility with multiple flat candles (0.0% moves at 05:00, 06:00, 07:00, 09:00, 11:00) - this indicates no real buying interest despite the bounce. Price stalled at $14.46, struggling to reach TP at $14.60 (only $0.14 away but no momentum). EMA trend remains bearish. Recent history shows 3 consecutive SL hits on AVAX longs. The 'oversold bounce' has played out - take the +3.26% profit now rather than risk reversal. This manual close is justified because the low-volume, flat price action suggests the bounce is exhausted.

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Extreme oversold with RSI(7) at 26.1, RSI(14) at 37.6. Last candle dropped -2.1% to $2,974.90, showing panic selling. Price down 6.38% in period, below both EMAs (bearish trend). However, oversold conditions at support levels often produce relief bounces. ETH typically follows BTC, so if BTC bounces, ETH should follow with potentially stronger move due to deeper oversold condition. Conservative position for mean reversion to EMA20.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,060 near EMA20 for ~2.9% gain (2.1:1 R:R). SL at $2,875 below recent low with 1.5x ATR buffer ($98). Exit if BTC breaks below $89,000 or if price can't reclaim $3,000 psychological level within 6 hours. Counter-trend bounce play requiring quick reaction.

Confidence: 50%

Take Profit: $3060.00

Stop Loss: $2875.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 21.1 and RSI(14) at 33.0. Price has dropped 5.2% to $90,489, creating a potential bounce setup. Recent 8h shows capitulation with last 3 candles down -0.7%, -0.8%, -0.9%. Price is below both EMA20 ($92,252) and EMA50 ($92,741) but oversold conditions often precede short-term bounces. ATR at $1,014 suggests volatility. Entry at current level with tight risk management for a counter-trend scalp to EMA20.

Exit Plan:

TP at $92,250 near EMA20 resistance for ~2% gain (1.9:1 R:R). SL at $89,000 below recent range low and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price fails to hold $90,000 support or if we see another capitulation candle. This is a counter-trend bounce play, not a trend reversal.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $92250.00

Stop Loss: $89000.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing relative strength vs BTC/ETH: only -4.38% decline vs -5-7% for others. Price above EMA20 ($135.17) and attempting to hold above it - bullish positioning. RSI(7) at 63.8 shows momentum, RSI(14) at 51.1 neutral. Recent price action shows consistent higher lows from $128.35 bottom, now consolidating $136-138 range. Two recent liquidations show risk, but current setup with price above key EMA and tight range suggests potential breakout. Entry at support with tight stop below recent swing low.

Exit Plan:

TP at $143.50 near recent resistance (~5% gain, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $133.20 below recent swing lows and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price breaks below EMA20 decisively or if BTC breaks down below $89,000. Monitor for breakout above $138.50 for continuation.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $143.50

Stop Loss: $133.20

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing most constructive setup among all assets. Price at $14.47 has formed a clear base around $14.30-$14.47 over last 4 hours after the selloff. RSI(7)=35.0 and RSI(14)=37.0 both oversold but not extreme. Price is only 3.3% below EMA20 ($14.96) vs ETH/SOL which are further from their EMAs. Recent candles show flat consolidation rather than continued selling. ATR=$0.21 allows for tight stop placement. With total margin at 18.6%, we have room for a conservative position. Entry here offers good R/R to test bounce back to EMA20 at $15.00-$15.30 range.

Exit Plan:

Target $15.30 (near EMA20) for 5.7% gain vs 2.6% risk = 2.2:1 R/R. Stop at $14.10 is 1.75x ATR ($0.37) below entry, protecting against breakdown below recent consolidation base. Conservative 2x leverage given recent market chop. Will manually close if BTC breaks below $91k or if we see failed bounce at $14.80 resistance. Position sized at 20% margin to keep total portfolio risk manageable with existing SOL position.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $15.30

Stop Loss: $14.10

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7)=29.4 shows oversold conditions. Price at $14.77 is $0.61 below EMA(20) at $15.38. Last hour dropped -3.5% to match the low at $14.77. AVAX has shown best risk management in recent trades (2 TPs hit, 1 small loss). Less extreme than SOL but still compelling oversold setup. Correlates with broader alt market which should bounce with BTC.

Exit Plan:

Target $15.50 (near EMA20) for 4.9% gain vs 2.2% risk = 2.2:1 R/R. Stop at $14.45 is 1.5x ATR ($0.21) below entry. Conservative 2x leverage for controlled risk. Exit if AVAX breaks below $14.60 or if broader market shows continued weakness. Best R/R ratio of all positions.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $15.50

Stop Loss: $14.45

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Most oversold of all assets with RSI(7)=24.6 and RSI(14)=32.9. Down -6.39% in period with last hour showing -2.8% drop to $131.28. Price is $6.43 below EMA(20) at $138.11 - significant deviation. CRITICAL: Recent liquidation at $119.24 suggests we're past the worst of the cascade. SOL has highest beta and should bounce hardest if market recovers. However, the liquidation history demands conservative sizing.

Exit Plan:

Target $138 (EMA20) for 4.8% gain vs 3.6% risk = 1.3:1 R/R. Conservative 2x leverage due to recent liquidation trauma. Stop at $127 is 1.5x ATR ($3.11) below entry. Will exit immediately if we break below $130 or if BTC fails to hold support. This is the riskiest trade but highest potential reward.

Confidence: 58%

Take Profit: $138.00

Stop Loss: $127.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7)=27.6 shows extreme oversold, matching BTC's capitulation signal. Price at $3,063 is $84 below EMA(20) at $3,148. Last hour dropped -2.3% to $3,054 low. ETH typically follows BTC with higher beta, so if BTC bounces, ETH should amplify. Recent history shows 3 stopped-out longs, but those were during downtrend continuation - now we have genuine oversold readings. ATR=$47.52 allows for reasonable stop placement.

Exit Plan:

Target $3,180 (above EMA20) for 3.8% gain vs 2.4% risk = 1.6:1 R/R. Stop at $2,990 is 1.5x ATR below entry. Will close if BTC fails to hold $92,000 or if ETH can't reclaim $3,100 within 12 hours. Watching for correlation breakdown with BTC.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $3180.00

Stop Loss: $2990.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong oversold conditions with RSI(7)=27.0 and RSI(14)=33.9. Price has dropped -3.46% to $92,763, creating a capitulation-style move. Last hour showed a sharp -1.6% drop to $92,661 low, suggesting selling exhaustion. Price is now ~$1,700 below EMA(20) at $94,485, indicating mean reversion potential. Recent liquidation on SOL suggests overleveraged longs have been flushed. This is a counter-trend bounce play with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

Target $95,500 (near EMA20 resistance) for 2.9% gain vs 1.5% risk = 1.9:1 R/R. Stop at $91,400 is 1.5x ATR ($891) below entry. Exit early if RSI fails to reclaim 40 or if we see another cascade below $92,000. This is a short-term mean reversion trade, not a trend reversal bet.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $95500.00

Stop Loss: $91400.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing strong recovery after wick to $128.35. Price consolidated around $140 level with recent candles showing support. RSI(14) at 54.4 is neutral. Price slightly above EMAs ($140.41 vs $139.59/$139.62). Period change +0.82% shows resilience. Recent closed positions show SOL respects technical levels well (2 successful TPs). Entry at current level with TP targeting $144 resistance and SL below consolidation support provides good R:R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $144 targets recent resistance zone and period high area, providing 2.6% gain. SL at $137 is below consolidation support and 1.2x ATR below entry, protecting against 2.4% downside (1.1:1 R:R). Close early if BTC breaks below $94,500 or if price fails to hold $139 support level within 6 hours.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $144.00

Stop Loss: $137.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7) at 73.9 is overbought and RSI(14) at 60.2 approaching overbought. Price at $15.60 tested resistance near $15.66 (period high $15.82). EMA trend remains bearish with price below EMA(50) at $15.43. Recent rally appears exhausted with diminishing candle sizes. Low volatility (ATR $0.15) suggests coiling for move. 3 recent AVAX trades: 2 wins, 1 loss - good read on this asset. Risk-off if BTC weakens.

Exit Plan:

TP at $15.15 targets recent support and EMA(20) at $15.31, providing 2.9% gain. SL at $15.85 is above period high at $15.82 and 1.6x ATR above entry, risking 1.6%. This gives 1.8:1 R:R. Close early if price breaks above $15.70 with volume or if broader market shows strength.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $15.15

Stop Loss: $15.85

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

SHORT position is -0.48% and thesis is invalidated. AVAX showing persistent strength with RSI(7) at 73.4 (overbought), RSI(14) at 62.1, and bullish EMA trend. Price broke above entry at $15.59 and holding $15.67. Recent candles show consistent buying pressure. Period change +1.95% indicates strong momentum. Market environment is risk-on (ETH +1.85%, AVAX +1.95%). Cut losses before SL hit at $15.85.

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong recovery momentum: +5.7% from $3,005 low to current $3,187. Price broke above EMA(20) at $3,148 and holding. RSI(7) at 69.4 shows strength (not overbought yet on RSI(14) at 59). Recent candles show consistent buying with higher lows. ETH outperforming BTC (+0.38% vs -1.31%). Volume confirmation on the bounce. 2 prior longs stopped out, but market structure has improved significantly.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,280 targets recent resistance zone and provides 2.9% gain. SL at $3,125 is just below recent consolidation support and 1.7x ATR below entry, protecting 1.95% downside. This gives 1.5:1 R:R. Close early if price fails to hold $3,170 or if BTC breaks below $94k.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $3280.00

Stop Loss: $3125.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX most oversold of all assets with RSI(7) at 14.0 and RSI(14) at 24.4 - extreme capitulation levels. Down 6.33% and just closed a profitable short at $15.11. Price at $14.64 appears to be bottoming after consecutive red candles. Mean reversion setup with highest probability given extreme RSI readings.

Exit Plan:

TP at $15.40 targets EMA(20) at $15.37, providing 5.2% gain (2.2:1 R:R). SL at $14.30 is 2.3% below entry, 1.5x ATR protection. Given extreme oversold conditions, this has highest probability of mean reversion. Exit early if RSI fails to climb above 30 within 12 hours or if broader crypto market continues selling.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $15.40

Stop Loss: $14.30

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing extreme oversold RSI(7) at 26.3 and RSI(14) at 32.7. Just closed a profitable short at $135.17, and price has stabilized around $135.68. Down 4.87% over period but recent hourly action shows potential bottoming. High conviction given oversold metrics and prior short success confirming the move completion.

Exit Plan:

TP at $141 targets EMA(20) at $139.40, providing 3.9% gain (1.7:1 R:R). SL at $132.50 is 2.3% below entry, just over 1.5x ATR. This completes the round-trip from our successful short. Exit early if price can't break $137.50 within 8 hours or if BTC/ETH fail to bounce.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $141.00

Stop Loss: $132.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 23.4 and RSI(14) at 29.9, showing capitulation-like selling. Price down 4.12% and has found support around $3,070 after testing $3,032. Recent candle shows small recovery (+0.2%). Below both EMAs but oversold conditions suggest bounce potential. Correlates with BTC setup.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,180 targets EMA(20) at $3,162 with buffer, providing 3.6% gain (1.8:1 R:R). SL at $3,010 is 2% below entry, 1.5x ATR for protection against further breakdown. Exit early if BTC reverses or if volume doesn't confirm the bounce within 6 hours.

Confidence: 58%

Take Profit: $3180.00

Stop Loss: $3010.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing strong oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 26.5 and RSI(14) at 31.9. Price has dropped 3.87% and is now below both EMAs, but the selling appears exhausted. Recent hourly candles show price stabilizing around $94k after testing $93,785 low. ATR at $687 suggests normal volatility. This is a counter-trend bounce play with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $96,500 targets the EMA(20) resistance and provides 2.3% gain (2.3:1 R:R). SL at $92,800 is 1.6% below entry, approximately 2x ATR for safety. Will close early if price fails to reclaim $95k within 12 hours or if broader market weakness intensifies.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $96500.00

Stop Loss: $92800.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX mirroring broader altcoin weakness with -1.8% drop in last hour from $15.73 to $15.45. Price now below EMA20 ($15.60) breaking short-term bullish structure. RSI(14) at 42.0 showing neutral-to-weak momentum. Recent price action shows failure to hold $15.60 support. With BTC leading market lower and altcoins following, AVAX likely to test lower support at $15.20-$15.30 range. ATR at $0.13 suggests moderate volatility. Conservative short with tight stops given the asset's recent whipsaw behavior (last short stopped out at -1.29%).

Exit Plan:

TP at $15.10 (2.3% gain, near period low support at $14.90). SL at $15.75 (1.9% risk above recent high and EMA20). 1.2:1 R/R ratio with moderate confidence. Exit early if: 1) BTC shows strong reversal above $96.5k, 2) AVAX reclaims $15.65 with volume suggesting false breakdown, 3) broader altcoin market shows strength. Using 18% allocation to keep total margin under 40% (currently 19.6% + 20% SOL + 18% AVAX = 57.6% total, leaving room for ETH position).

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $15.10

Stop Loss: $15.75

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing coordinated weakness with broader market. Price dropped -2.2% in last hour from $142.64 to $139.53, now trading below EMA20 ($140.91). Despite bullish EMA trend, immediate structure is bearish with RSI(7) at 36.8 (oversold) but RSI(14) at 45.8 (neutral). Key technical: SOL failed to hold $140 psychological support. Given the recent liquidation history and current market weakness, a conservative short with tight stops makes sense. Entry at $139.53, targeting retest of $135 support (period low was $124.67), with SL above $142.50 resistance.

Exit Plan:

TP at $135.00 (3.2% gain, near key support level). SL at $142.50 (2.1% risk above recent resistance and EMA20). 1.5:1 R/R ratio acceptable given high confidence in near-term weakness. Exit early if: 1) BTC reclaims $96.5k suggesting market reversal, 2) SOL reclaims $141 with strong volume, 3) RSI(14) crosses above 55 indicating momentum shift. Conservative 20% allocation due to recent SOL liquidation history.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $135.00

Stop Loss: $142.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing relative strength vs BTC. Only -0.91% over period vs BTC's -4%. Bullish EMA structure (20>50) with price at $3,207 above both EMAs. RSI(14) at 59.8 approaching overbought but not extended. Recent bounce from $3,147 to $3,207 (+1.9%) with increasing momentum last 4 candles. Breaking above $3,210 resistance could target $3,260-$3,280. Entry at current levels with tight stop below recent support.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,275 (2.1% gain, near period high resistance). SL at $3,145 (1.95% risk below recent support and EMA20). 2:1 R/R ratio. Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks below $95k dragging alts down, 2) fails to break $3,220 after 6 hours suggesting resistance, 3) RSI divergence forms at highs. Move SL to breakeven if reaches $3,240.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3275.00

Stop Loss: $3145.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - up 2% since last run while BTC flat. Price reclaimed EMA20 ($3,182) and testing it as support. RSI(7) at 65.5 shows momentum, RSI(14) at 53.8 is neutral. Recent candles show consistent buying with higher lows ($3,165→$3,184→$3,205). Still below EMA50 ($3,189) but narrowing gap suggests potential golden cross. ETH/BTC pair strengthening. Entry at current levels with tight stop below EMA20. 2.5:1 R/R to resistance zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,290 (near period high $3,300 and psychological resistance). SL at $3,150 (below EMA20 and 1.5x ATR). Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks below $95k with momentum, 2) fails to hold EMA20 on next pullback, 3) RSI(7) diverges bearish above 70. Move SL to breakeven at $3,250.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3290.00

Stop Loss: $3150.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing compressed consolidation near $15.60 after -11.13% decline, but still in bearish structure (below EMA20 $15.54, EMA50 $16.00). Key observations: 1) Recent 5 hours show extremely tight range with multiple flat candles - compression often precedes breakout, 2) RSI(7) 58 slightly elevated vs trend, suggesting potential exhaustion, 3) Previous short hit TP quickly (+4.39%), indicating responsive price action, 4) Price at resistance (EMA20 overhead), 5) Low ATR $0.15 means tight stops possible. Short here with stop above $15.80 (EMA20 + buffer), target $15.00 (period low area) for 3.8% gain vs 1.3% risk = 2.9:1 R:R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $15.00 (near period low $14.90, psychological support). SL at $15.80 (above EMA20 + 1.7x ATR). Exit early if: 1) breaks above $15.70 with momentum suggesting EMA20 reclaim, 2) broader market shows strong reversal, or 3) consolidation extends beyond 12 hours without breakdown. Move to breakeven if drops to $15.30.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $15.00

Stop Loss: $15.80

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL presents the best short setup: 1) Clear bearish trend (below EMA20 $141.57, EMA50 $145.11), 2) Recent 8h shows failed rally - spiked to $142.86 then rejected back, creating lower high pattern, 3) RSI(7) 54.5 shows temporary strength that's likely exhaustion in downtrend, 4) Price at $142.17 is near resistance cluster (EMA20 + prior rejection zone), 5) Recent liquidation event at $119 suggests high volatility and weak hands flushed, but trend remains down. Entry at resistance with tight stop above $144 (recent high + buffer). Target $135 (prior support) for 5% gain vs 1.3% risk = 3.8:1 R:R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $135 (prior support level, ~5% move). SL at $144 (above recent high of $143.13 + 1.5x ATR buffer). Will close early if: 1) price breaks above EMA20 with strong volume, 2) BTC shows strong reversal that could lift all alts, or 3) RSI divergence forms suggesting momentum shift. Trailing stop to breakeven if price drops below $140.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $135.00

Stop Loss: $144.00

SOL SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing critical weakness: -6.82% period decline, devastating liquidation on 11-14 (-16.39%), and flash crash to $125. Currently at $143.27, barely above EMA20 $143.04 but well below EMA50 $148.40. RSI(14) 48.5 and RSI(7) 55.6 show temporary bounce exhaustion. The violent $125 wick indicates fragile market structure and stop-hunting. Price is at resistance confluence (EMA20 + prior support turned resistance). ATR $4.13 suggests volatility remains elevated. High probability of retest of $138-140 support zone. This is a mean reversion short setup with clear risk parameters.

Exit Plan:

TP at $138.50 (prior support, ~3.3% move, 2.7:1 R:R). SL at $147 above EMA50 and recent highs (~2.6% risk, 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price breaks above $145 with strong volume, indicating failed breakdown. Monitor BTC correlation - if BTC rallies above $99k, consider early exit.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $138.50

Stop Loss: $147.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMAs (EMA20: $16.18, EMA50: $16.82), -8.11% period change. Recent data shows suspicious flat candles (likely data issues) but the 04:00 drop to $15.62 and current struggle at $15.93 confirms weakness. RSI(14) at 37.1 is neutral-bearish. The recent bounce to $15.93 provides good entry for short with resistance at $16.00-$16.20 zone. Multiple failed longs in our history show downtrend strength. ATR at $0.15 allows tight stops. With 57.9% margin used, keeping this conservative at 15% allocation with 3x leverage.

Exit Plan:

Target $15.20 (4.6% gain, near recent low support). Stop at $16.35 above EMA20 resistance (2.6% loss), giving 1.75:1 R/R. Exit early if BTC reclaims $100k strongly or if AVAX breaks above $16.50 with volume, invalidating bearish thesis. Conservative sizing due to already high margin usage.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $15.20

Stop Loss: $16.35

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX RSI(7) at 12.1 - extremely oversold. Down 8.7% with consistent hourly selling pressure to $16.01. Price 5.3% below EMA20. Previous long at $16.77 hit TP at $17.60 (+4.97%), showing this range can bounce. Current price near cycle lows presents good entry for mean reversion.

Exit Plan:

Target $17.00 (6.2% gain, near EMA20). Stop at $15.50 below recent low (3.2% loss), giving 1.9:1 R/R. Conservative sizing given multiple SL hits. Exit if breaks below $15.80 on retest or if broader market continues cascade.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $17.00

Stop Loss: $15.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL most oversold with RSI(7) at 13.6, down 10.6% in period. Extreme wick to $136.95 in last hour shows panic selling and quick recovery to $143. Price 6.3% below EMA20. High beta asset should bounce harder than BTC/ETH in relief rally. Recent SL hits at $150-152 created support zone.

Exit Plan:

Target $152 (6.3% gain, near prior support-turned-resistance). Stop at $138.50 below panic wick low (3.1% loss), giving 2:1 R/R. Exit if fails to reclaim $147 on next test or if BTC breaks below $98k.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $152.00

Stop Loss: $138.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 12.2 and RSI(14) at 23.2 - most oversold of all assets. Down 8% in period with price at $3,207 vs EMA20 at $3,411 (-6% deviation). Multiple failed longs suggest strong selling pressure exhausted. Testing $3,200 psychological support. High probability of relief bounce given extreme conditions.

Exit Plan:

Target $3,380 (5.4% gain, below EMA20 resistance). Stop at $3,130 below recent low (2.4% loss), giving 2.25:1 R/R. Exit if RSI reaches 50+ without breaking $3,300 or if BTC fails to hold $98k support.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $3380.00

Stop Loss: $3130.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing extreme oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 24.2 and RSI(14) at 30.4. Price dropped from $107.7k to $98.8k (-8.3%) creating a significant deviation below EMAs. Recent hourly candle shows recovery from $98.8k low to $99.7k (+0.7%), suggesting capitulation bottom. Strong psychological support at $100k level. Risk/reward favorable for mean reversion bounce.

Exit Plan:

Target $104.5k (near EMA20 at $102.9k, providing 4.8% gain). Stop at $97.5k below recent low (2.2% loss), giving 2.2:1 R/R. Exit early if RSI fails to hold above 30 or if price rejects hard at $102k resistance.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $104500.00

Stop Loss: $97500.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - bullish EMA trend (price above both EMAs), RSI neutral at 53.2. Recent bounce from $3,493 support, now consolidating above $3,500. Strong TP hits in recent history show this asset is tradeable. Price rejected $3,672 high but holding structure. Entry at current levels offers good R:R to retest highs.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,680 targets recent high with 4.7% gain. SL at $3,430 below recent support provides 2.4% risk (1.95:1 R/R). Conservative 4x leverage given recent volatility. Exit early if BTC breaks below $102k or if fails to hold $3,500 on next pullback.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $3680.00

Stop Loss: $3430.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX extremely oversold (RSI 27.4/34.4) at -6.68% decline. Testing strong support at $16.65-16.81 range. Last 3 candles showing stabilization and small bounce. Multiple stop-outs suggest exhaustion. Tightest range compression of all assets indicates potential reversal setup. Low ATR suggests volatility contraction before expansion.

Exit Plan:

TP at $17.60 targets previous resistance with 4.7% gain (2.3:1 R/R). SL at $16.45 below support zone. Conservative sizing due to recent poor performance. Exit if fails to hold $16.65 or broader market deteriorates.

Confidence: 52%

Take Profit: $17.60

Stop Loss: $16.45

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL most oversold of all assets (RSI 31.7/37.7) after -8.66% decline. Testing critical support at $151-152 range (recent low $151.69). Multiple failed longs suggest capitulation phase. Price stabilizing last 3 candles around $153-154. High beta asset offers best risk/reward on reversal but requires tight stops due to recent volatility.

Exit Plan:

TP at $162 targets EMA20 with 5.3% gain (2.4:1 R/R). Conservative 3x leverage due to recent whipsaws. SL at $150.5 below key support. Will exit if breaks below $151 or if BTC/ETH show weakness.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $162.00

Stop Loss: $150.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH deeply oversold (RSI 35.6/43.1) and holding above $3,388 support tested in last candle. -3.83% pullback creates entry opportunity. Price compressed near support with declining volatility. Previous long closed profitably at $3,561, showing this range has bounce potential. Below EMAs but stabilizing.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,580 targets EMA20 resistance with 4.4% gain (2.7:1 R/R). SL at $3,340 below recent low at $3,388 with buffer. Exit early if BTC breaks down below $100k as ETH typically follows.

Confidence: 58%

Take Profit: $3580.00

Stop Loss: $3340.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing oversold conditions (RSI 37.9/43.6) after -4.35% pullback from $109k highs. Price testing key support at $101-102k level (recent lows at $101,330). Last 2 candles showing stabilization after sharp drop. Below both EMAs but RSI divergence suggests selling exhaustion. Recent position stopped at $101,345 validates this as strong support zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $108.5k targets previous resistance zone with 5.1% gain (2.5:1 R/R after fees). SL at $100.2k below recent low protects against breakdown. Will monitor for reclaim of EMA20 at $104.7k as confirmation of reversal.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $108500.00

Stop Loss: $100200.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Best relative strength among alts - only -4.50% period decline vs SOL -7.44%, ETH -5.81%. RSI(14) at 40.6 shows oversold but not extreme. Price action shows tight consolidation at $17.03-$17.31 with minimal volatility (ATR $0.12). Recent candles show controlled descent without panic. Taking small 12% allocation due to existing 56.6% margin usage and two open positions. Conservative play on relative strength.

Exit Plan:

TP at $18.00 targets +5.0% move back toward EMA(20) at $17.30 with momentum (2.5:1 R:R). SL at $16.70 (-2.6%) below period low of $16.95 protects capital. Lower leverage (3x) due to portfolio already having 56.6% margin committed. Relative strength vs other alts suggests better risk/reward here.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $18.00

Stop Loss: $16.70

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Strong oversold setup with RSI(14) at 35.3 and RSI(7) at 38.8 - lowest readings in the dataset. Price stabilized at $154-$156 range after -7.44% period decline, showing support formation. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation with small wicks indicating reduced selling pressure. Currently 56.6% margin used, so taking conservative 15% allocation. Entry at $155.57 with tight SL below consolidation support.

Exit Plan:

TP at $164.50 targets mean reversion toward EMA(20) at $158.02 with extension (+5.7% move, 3:1 R:R). SL at $152.50 (-2.0%) just below recent low of $154.13 protects against breakdown. Oversold RSI suggests bounce probability is high. Will let TP/SL manage automatically.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $164.50

Stop Loss: $152.50

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX oversold with RSI(7) at 24.4 and RSI(14) at 36.9. Price at $17.32 near period lows after steady decline. Below both EMAs but showing support at $17.31. Lower volatility (ATR $0.14) allows tighter risk management. Correlates with broader alt weakness but oversold bounce likely.

Exit Plan:

TP at $18.20 targets 5.1% move back toward EMA(20) with 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $16.95 (2.1% below entry) below recent support. Lower allocation due to recent manual close and lower confidence, but oversold technicals warrant position.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $18.20

Stop Loss: $16.95

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing most extreme oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 11.6 - exceptionally oversold. RSI(14) at 29.4 also deeply oversold. Price at $158.08 at period lows after -2.5% decline. Despite recent SL hits, current technical setup suggests strong mean reversion opportunity. Support established at $158 level.

Exit Plan:

TP at $168 targets 6.3% bounce toward EMA(20) with 2.8:1 R:R. SL at $154.50 (2.3% below entry) below psychological $155 support. Extreme RSI(7) of 11.6 rarely seen - indicates capitulation and high probability bounce. Highest conviction trade.

Confidence: 75%

Take Profit: $168.00

Stop Loss: $154.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 21.0 - deeply oversold territory. RSI(14) at 35.9 also oversold. Price at $3,468 near period lows after -1.79% decline. Recent SL hits show market has been choppy, but current oversold readings suggest bounce potential. Below both EMAs but support holding around $3,467-$3,480 area.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,680 targets 6.1% move back toward EMA(20) with strong 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $3,380 (2.5% below entry) below recent support. Extreme RSI oversold readings justify higher conviction despite recent losses.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $3680.00

Stop Loss: $3380.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

RSI(7) at 82.8 is extremely overbought - highest of all assets. Position up +3.18% but this spike often precedes pullbacks. Price at $3,598 vs TP at $3,680 - only $82 away. With 85.6% margin used and extreme RSI, taking profit now reduces risk of reversal. This is a technical signal invalidating the thesis, not just profit-taking.

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 36.4 and RSI(14) at 42.5. Price has pulled back 5% from recent highs to $103,786, testing support around $103,300. Below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), but this creates a mean reversion opportunity. Recent candles show volatility with wicks suggesting buying interest at lower levels. ATR of $2,071 indicates normal volatility for position sizing.

Exit Plan:

TP at $110,500 targets 6.5% move to recent highs with 3:1 R:R. SL at $101,500 (2.2% below entry) protects against breakdown below recent support zone. Will hold through volatility as TP/SL manage risk automatically.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $110500.00

Stop Loss: $101500.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 32.7 and RSI(14) at 42.9 after pullback from $173.84 to $164.57. Price pulled back to test EMA(50) support at $165.82, holding above it. Recent consolidation at $164-$166 forming potential base. EMA trend remains bullish with EMA(20) at $167.21 > EMA(50). Strong bounce setup with 2.5% upside to retest $169 resistance and 5%+ to $173 highs. Recent SL hit at $165.44 cleared weak hands. Entry here offers good R:R with tight stop below $162 support.

Exit Plan:

TP at $173.50 targets recent high at $173.84 (+5.4% gain, 2.0x R:R). SL at $161.80 sits below psychological $162 support and recent consolidation lows (-1.7% risk). This protects against continuation of downtrend. Close manually if BTC breaks below $105k decisively or if SOL fails to reclaim $167 EMA(20) within 12 hours, indicating failed bounce attempt.

Confidence: 70%

Take Profit: $173.50

Stop Loss: $161.80

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing resilience after SL hit earlier. Price recovered from $3,549 low and now trading at $3,603, right at EMA(20) of $3,605. Bullish structure intact with EMA(20) > EMA(50). RSI(14) at 49.2 shows room to run without being overbought. Recent hourly candles forming higher lows ($3,550 → $3,565 → $3,571 → $3,600). Period change +5.16% outperforming BTC's +4.20%, suggesting relative strength. Entry here offers good risk/reward with support at $3,550 and resistance at $3,680-$3,750.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,780 targets period high of $3,746.90 plus buffer, representing +4.9% gain from entry (2.13x R:R). SL at $3,520 sits below recent consolidation support at $3,549 and provides -2.3% risk buffer. This protects against failed recovery. Close manually if BTC breaks below $105k support or if ETH fails to reclaim $3,620 with conviction on next retest.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3780.00

Stop Loss: $3520.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing explosive move with +1.5% spike to $170.02 at 09:00, now consolidating at $168.91. RSI(7) at 62 and RSI(14) at 61.6 indicate strong momentum. Price firmly above EMA(20) at $166.66 and EMA(50) at $162.04 in clear uptrend. Recent TP hit at $164.33 confirms bullish momentum continuation. Breaking above previous resistance around $168-169 zone. Targeting $175+ as next resistance with tight risk management given the strong move.

Exit Plan:

TP at $176 targets psychological resistance and represents +4.2% gain from entry (2.08x R:R). SL at $165.50 protects against failed breakout, sitting just below the recent consolidation low and EMA(20) at $166.66 (-2.0% risk). Close manually if BTC experiences sharp selloff below $106k or if SOL fails to hold $168 support on retest with weakening volume.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $176.00

Stop Loss: $165.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing strong relative strength with +1.4% bounce in last hour to $3,675, reclaiming position above EMA(20) at $3,617. RSI(7) at 61 and RSI(14) at 60.4 show healthy momentum without being overbought. Price tested $3,746 resistance (11-10 05:00) and is consolidating above $3,620 support. ETH/BTC ratio improving. Recent TP hit at $3,618 validates the bullish thesis. Targeting breakout above $3,746 toward $3,850 zone.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,850 targets next resistance level above recent high of $3,746 (+4.8% from entry, 1.52x R:R). SL at $3,560 sits below recent support at $3,603 and provides -3.1% risk buffer. This level also aligns with breakdown of current consolidation range. Close manually if BTC breaks below $106k support or if RSI(14) diverges negatively while price stalls at $3,746 resistance.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $3850.00

Stop Loss: $3560.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX is the only asset showing relative strength without being overbought. RSI(7)=77.1 and RSI(14)=67.7 are elevated but not extreme like others. Price at $17.86 is consolidating near recent highs after a measured move from $16.86 to $18.19. Unlike BTC/ETH/SOL which spiked hard, AVAX is grinding higher steadily. EMA(20)=$17.43 provides support. While EMA trend shows 'bearish', price is clearly above both EMAs and making higher lows. This is a coiling pattern that could break out as BTC/ETH consolidate. Entry now before potential breakout above $18.20.

Exit Plan:

TP at $19.25 targets the next resistance level (+7.8% from entry, 1.96x R:R). SL at $17.15 is below recent consolidation support and EMA(20) at $17.43 (-4.0% from entry). This protects against a failed breakout. Will monitor if BTC/ETH weakness drags AVAX down, but its relative strength suggests it can move independently. Close manually if RSI(14) exceeds 80 without price follow-through.

Confidence: 72%

Take Profit: $19.25

Stop Loss: $17.15

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX position down -0.96% and showing concerning price action. Last 4 hours of data show flat/stuck candles at $17.51 (likely exchange data issue), but current price $17.72 is below entry $17.89 and below EMA(20) at $17.85. RSI(14) at 45.5 shows neutral momentum. More critically, account is at 73.6% margin usage - this position is underperforming and tying up capital. With BTC/ETH consolidating and better setups potentially emerging, closing this to free margin and reduce risk exposure makes sense.

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (+1.73% period vs BTC +0.87%). Price consolidated above $3,400 support and broke above EMA(20) at $3,419. Recent candles show higher lows with good volume. RSI(7) at 59.5 and RSI(14) at 54.7 indicate room to run. Bullish EMA trend with price trading at $3,437 above both EMAs. No current position allows fresh entry. Recent close was premature - market has stabilized.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,580 targets prior high at $3,533 with extension (+4.2% move). SL at $3,360 below consolidation support and EMA(50) at $3,412 (-2.2% move). 1.9:1 R:R. Exit early if BTC breaks below $102k or if price fails to hold $3,400 within 12 hours.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $3580.00

Stop Loss: $3360.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX strongest performer +8.64% over period, showing clear accumulation. Price consolidating above EMA(20) at $17.46 after strong rally. RSI(14) 44.7 reset from overbought, RSI(7) 36.0 oversold on pullback. Recent 8h showing stabilization with small gains. Bullish EMA structure maintained. Entry on consolidation with momentum intact.

Exit Plan:

TP at $18.20 targeting prior high at $18.50 zone (+5.4% move). SL at $16.75 below EMA(20) and recent consolidation support (-3.0% move). 1.8:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price breaks below $17.10 (EMA(50)) or if broader market shows weakness with BTC failing $102k support.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $18.20

Stop Loss: $16.75

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

Position down -1.15% and thesis is invalidated. Price at $17.09 failed to hold above entry $17.29 and is now below EMA(20) at $17.20. Bearish EMA trend (20<50) persists. Recent candles show weakness with flat/declining action. RSI at 45.5/45.0 shows no momentum. Price has made lower highs from $17.29→$17.20→$17.05→$17.09. This is not about P&L - the technical setup has broken down.

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing bullish divergence - price consolidating above EMA(50) at $158.83 despite low RSI(7) 33.8 and RSI(14) 40.2 indicating oversold conditions. Recent 8h candles forming higher lows from $156.67. EMA structure bullish (20>50). After multiple failed longs, price has reset and found support. Entry at current levels with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $164.50 targeting prior resistance zone (+4.3% move). SL at $154.50 below recent consolidation lows and EMA(50) support (-2.0% move). 2.15:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price fails to break above $160 within 8 hours or if BTC shows reversal below $102k.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $164.50

Stop Loss: $154.50

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

Just stopped out 45min ago at $159.88, now at $159.89. RSI(7) at 33.9 is deeply oversold, RSI(14) at 46.4. Price testing EMA(20) support at $161.09. Recent candles show compression near $160-162 range. Strong support zone at $159-160. Given recent stop-outs, this is a lower conviction re-entry with tight risk management.

Exit Plan:

TP at $166.50 targets mid-range resistance with 4.1% gain. SL at $157.50 below recent support at $158.99, giving 1.5% risk for 2.7:1 R:R. Exit early if RSI(7) fails to reclaim 40+ within 4 hours or if BTC breaks below $101,500.

Confidence: 45%

Take Profit: $166.50

Stop Loss: $157.50

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX strongest performer with +5.71% period gain and bullish EMA trend (only asset with bullish EMAs). Price surged from $16.21 to $18.50 (+14.1%) in 3 hours, now consolidating at $17.83. RSI(7) at 67.0 cooled from overbought, RSI(14) at 66.1 healthy. Price above both EMAs. Recent failed short shows strong buying pressure. TP at $18.50 (recent high) offers 3.8% gain vs 2.5% risk at $17.40 (above EMA20 at $16.89), giving 1.5:1 R:R. Bullish setup but conservative size given recent volatility.

Exit Plan:

TP at $18.50 (recent resistance high from 17:00 candle). SL at $17.40 provides cushion above EMA(20) at $16.89. Exit early if price fails to hold $17.70 or if momentum indicators diverge negatively.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $18.50

Stop Loss: $17.40

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing recovery momentum after earlier volatility. Price climbed from $151 to $164 (+8.6%) in 7 hours and now consolidating. RSI(7) at 77.9 overbought but price above EMA(20) at $157.72. Recent spike to $170 shows strong buying interest. Entry here with TP at $170 (prior high) offers 3.4% gain. SL at $160 (recent consolidation support) gives 2.7% risk for 1.3:1 R:R - not ideal but momentum is strong. Conservative sizing due to recent SL hits.

Exit Plan:

TP at $170 (recent high from 16:00 candle). SL at $160 to protect against reversal. Exit early if SOL fails to break $167 within 8 hours or if broader market shows weakness.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $170.00

Stop Loss: $160.00

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH showing strong momentum with +5.7% move from $3,230 to $3,464 in last 8 hours. Price broke above EMA(20) at $3,355 and holding gains. RSI(7) at 78.6 is overbought but RSI(14) at 65.9 still has room. Recent TP hit at $3,481 shows strong resistance there. Entry at current level with TP at prior high $3,529 offers 1.9% gain vs 1.6% stop at $3,350 support (just above EMA20). Lower conviction due to overbought conditions, but trend is strong.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,529 (recent high resistance). SL at $3,350 just above EMA(20) support. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,400 or if BTC reverses sharply from its overbought level.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $3529.00

Stop Loss: $3350.00

Closing Decision

Reasoning:

ETH is -2.20% underwater and showing concerning weakness. Price broke below EMA(20) at $3,428 and current $3,397 is near the SL at $3,350. RSI(7) at 38.7 and RSI(14) at 43.6 indicate bearish momentum. Recent 8h shows consistent lower highs. Thesis invalidated - ETH underperforming BTC significantly despite correlation. Cut loss before SL hit to preserve capital.

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH mirrors BTC's oversold condition with RSI(7) at 24.9 and RSI(14) at 38.5. Strong wick to $3,239 in last candle with recovery to $3,273 shows buying support. Price is below both EMAs creating mean reversion setup. ETH typically follows BTC's direction, and both are showing similar oversold bounce patterns. Correlation with BTC long position managed through smaller allocation.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,420 (near EMA(50) resistance, +4.5% move, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $3,210 below recent low of $3,239. Exit if ETH underperforms BTC significantly or if volume dries up on the bounce attempt.

Confidence: 60%

Take Profit: $3420.00

Stop Loss: $3210.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing strong oversold signals with RSI(7) at 24.9 and RSI(14) at 37.2. Price dropped to $98,594 (support zone) and bounced back to $100,253. Recent 11:00 candle showed a $3,736 wick down with recovery, indicating strong buying pressure at lower levels. Trading below EMA(20) $101,423 and EMA(50) $102,291 presents a mean reversion opportunity. After 7 consecutive stop losses, being more selective with oversold bounces.

Exit Plan:

TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $104500.00

Stop Loss: $98000.00

AVAX SHORT - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing extreme overbought conditions with RSI(7) at 89.0 and RSI(14) at 72.1 - highest among all assets. Price at $16.84 has pushed 4% above both EMAs in a sharp move. Recent candles show suspicious flat price action (multiple $16.20 candles) followed by sudden spike. This is classic exhaustion setup. Short from current levels targeting reversion to EMA20 at $16.30, with stop above recent high at $16.90.

Exit Plan:

TP at $16.30 targets mean reversion to EMA20 (3.2% move). SL at $16.92 just above $16.88 recent high with buffer (0.5% risk). Short targeting overbought exhaustion with RSI >89. Exit early if RSI sustains above 80 on next candle or if BTC breaks above $103k showing broader market strength. 5x leverage appropriate for mean reversion trade with tight stop.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $16.30

Stop Loss: $16.92

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing oversold RSI(7) at 41.2 after testing $154.80 support. Price consolidated around $157 after volatile moves. EMA trend remains bullish with price near EMA(20) at $158.82. The $135-$170 range provides clear structure. Recent stop loss at $156.02 was likely premature given the quick recovery. Setting wider stop at $153 (below recent low) with target at $165 (near prior resistance) provides 2.4:1 R/R.

Exit Plan:

TP at $165 targets resistance zone before $170 high. SL at $153 protects below recent $154.80 low with buffer. Exit early if RSI fails to break above 50 or if BTC breaks below $99k support. 4x leverage conservative given recent volatility.

Confidence: 55%

Take Profit: $165.00

Stop Loss: $153.00

AVAX LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

AVAX showing similar oversold setup with RSI(7) at 34.6. Price at $16.30 pulled back from $16.88 high, now consolidating. Recent 8h candles show complete stall with zero volatility (all flat candles) - classic coiling pattern before breakout. Trading below EMA(20) at $16.44 but near EMA(50) at $16.37. Low ATR at $0.10 suggests compression. Good entry for bounce back to $16.80-17.00 zone. Diversifies portfolio with another oversold alt.

Exit Plan:

TP at $17.00 targeting prior resistance and psychological level (+4.3% move). SL at $15.90 below recent range low at $15.24 with buffer (-2.5%). This gives 1.75:1 R/R. Conservative 3x leverage with 15% margin allocation to stay under 70% total margin usage. Exit if volume remains dead flat for 12+ hours or if SOL position hits SL (correlated alt weakness).

Confidence: 58%

Take Profit: $17.00

Stop Loss: $15.90

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 31.2 - significantly below 35 threshold. Price at $159.22 consolidating after pullback from $180 highs. Trading just below EMA(20) at $160.42 but above EMA(50) at $159.25 - good support zone. Recent 8h candles show stabilization with small bullish moves. Strong risk/reward setup for mean reversion play back toward $165-168 range. Low ATR suggests volatility compression before next move.

Exit Plan:

TP at $167.50 targeting resistance near prior consolidation (+5.2% move). SL at $156 below EMA(50) and psychological support (-2.0%). This gives 2.6:1 R/R. Using moderate 4x leverage with 18% margin allocation given existing 53% margin usage. Exit early if RSI fails to recover above 40 or BTC breaks below $101k.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $167.50

Stop Loss: $156.00

SOL LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

SOL showing similar recovery pattern to majors. RSI(7) at 69 with price at $162.93, above both EMAs (20: $159.69, 50: $160.26). Recent candles demonstrate steady climb with good momentum. Lower ATR ($3.57) suggests tighter risk management possible. Alt momentum typically follows BTC/ETH with lag - positioned to benefit from continued crypto strength.

Exit Plan:

TP at $170 (clean psychological level, +4.3% move near recent highs). SL at $158.50 below EMA support cluster. 2.3:1 R/R. SOL has been strong relative to market. Automated orders will capture move - manual close only if we see divergence from BTC/ETH or break below $155.

Confidence: 62%

Take Profit: $170.00

Stop Loss: $158.50

ETH LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

ETH recovering strongly from $3k bottom with RSI(7) at 74.4 showing momentum. Price climbing steadily through recent 8h candles, now at $3,466. Above EMA(20) at $3,393, reclaiming key support. Volatility (ATR $60) provides good profit potential. Following BTC's lead but with more upside potential given deeper correction from highs.

Exit Plan:

TP at $3,620 targeting mid-range resistance (+4.4% move). SL at $3,380 below EMA(20) support zone. 1.8:1 R/R ratio. ETH often follows BTC with amplified moves. Trust TP/SL automation - manual exit only if correlation with BTC breaks or volume dries up significantly.

Confidence: 65%

Take Profit: $3620.00

Stop Loss: $3380.00

BTC LONG - Trade Details

Opening Decision

Reasoning:

BTC showing strong recovery momentum after bouncing from $97.7k low. Price now above $103k with RSI(7) at 70.2 indicating short-term strength. Recent 8h candles show consistent upward pressure with higher lows. EMA(20) at $102.6k providing support. Breaking above recent resistance zone. Strong risk/reward setup targeting psychological $108k level.

Exit Plan:

TP at $108k (psychological resistance, +4.1% move). SL at $101.5k just below recent consolidation support and EMA(20). This gives 2:1 R/R. Will trust automated orders - only manual close if we see major breakdown below $100k or macro event invalidates bullish thesis.

Confidence: 68%

Take Profit: $108000.00

Stop Loss: $101500.00