Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-03 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-02 18:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $189.29
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-03 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-02 18:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-30 22:00 → 2025-12-03 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,853.00
Period Change: +0.09%
Range: $83,450.00 - $91,914.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 17:00: O=$90,559.00 H=$91,640.00 L=$90,526.00 C=$91,174.00 (+0.7%)
12-02 18:00: O=$91,188.00 H=$91,880.00 L=$91,080.00 C=$91,484.00 (+0.3%)
12-02 19:00: O=$91,501.00 H=$91,914.00 L=$91,428.00 C=$91,550.00 (+0.1%)
12-02 20:00: O=$91,555.00 H=$91,555.00 L=$90,376.00 C=$90,643.00 (-1.0%)
12-02 21:00: O=$90,678.00 H=$91,170.00 L=$90,612.00 C=$91,162.00 (+0.5%)
12-02 22:00: O=$91,187.00 H=$91,520.00 L=$91,121.00 C=$91,513.00 (+0.4%)
12-02 23:00: O=$91,450.00 H=$91,518.00 L=$90,806.00 C=$90,875.00 (-0.6%)
12-03 00:00: O=$90,853.00 H=$90,853.00 L=$90,853.00 C=$90,853.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.3
RSI(14): 63.2
EMA(20): $89,470.55
EMA(50): $87,295.73
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $764.89
ETH:
Current Price: $2,996.20
Period Change: -0.92%
Range: $2,721.20 - $3,035.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 16:00: O=$3,008.30 H=$3,023.70 L=$2,988.70 C=$2,994.70 (-0.5%)
12-02 17:00: O=$2,997.50 H=$3,031.20 L=$2,995.50 C=$3,016.30 (+0.6%)
12-02 18:00: O=$3,014.90 H=$3,032.40 L=$3,010.00 C=$3,013.00 (-0.1%)
12-02 19:00: O=$3,013.20 H=$3,028.00 L=$3,013.20 C=$3,015.10 (+0.1%)
12-02 20:00: O=$3,015.00 H=$3,015.00 L=$2,974.30 C=$2,980.80 (-1.1%)
12-02 21:00: O=$2,979.60 H=$2,997.30 L=$2,978.40 C=$2,995.30 (+0.5%)
12-02 22:00: O=$2,997.00 H=$3,017.60 L=$2,996.70 C=$3,015.00 (+0.6%)
12-02 23:00: O=$3,017.50 H=$3,017.50 L=$2,992.80 C=$2,996.20 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 65.5
RSI(14): 64.1
EMA(20): $2,929.01
EMA(50): $2,852.49
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $30.23
SOL:
Current Price: $138.71
Period Change: +1.11%
Range: $123.28 - $140.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 16:00: O=$138.03 H=$139.67 L=$137.54 C=$139.45 (+1.0%)
12-02 17:00: O=$139.55 H=$140.89 L=$139.35 C=$139.54 (-0.0%)
12-02 18:00: O=$139.62 H=$140.26 L=$139.47 C=$139.95 (+0.2%)
12-02 19:00: O=$140.00 H=$140.73 L=$139.83 C=$140.30 (+0.2%)
12-02 20:00: O=$140.36 H=$140.49 L=$138.38 C=$138.87 (-1.1%)
12-02 21:00: O=$138.67 H=$139.40 L=$138.50 C=$139.22 (+0.4%)
12-02 22:00: O=$139.25 H=$140.12 L=$139.04 C=$140.09 (+0.6%)
12-02 23:00: O=$139.88 H=$139.98 L=$138.60 C=$138.71 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 65.8
RSI(14): 62.7
EMA(20): $134.79
EMA(50): $129.53
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.60
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.06
Period Change: -12.10%
Range: $12.62 - $14.86
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 07:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 08:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 09:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 10:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 11:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 12:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 13:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 14:00: O=$13.06 H=$13.06 L=$13.06 C=$13.06 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 10.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 79.9
RSI(14): 42.2
EMA(20): $13.06
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-25 12:00 → 11-25 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $136.66, Exit: $133.40 P&L: -2.39% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-25 00:00 → 11-25 23:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $13.89, Exit: $14.32 P&L: -3.05% ($-5.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL presents the best setup: 1) Strong bullish trend - price well above EMA20 ($134.79) and EMA50 ($129.53), 2) Recent consolidation at highs ($138-$141) after +1.11% period gain, 3) RSI 62-66 shows healthy momentum without overbought extremes, 4) Price holding above $138 support after testing it twice in last 8h, 5) ATR $1.60 allows tight stop placement. Entry at $138.71 with stop at $136.50 (below recent low and EMA20) gives 2.21 points risk. Target $143.50 (recent high area) gives 4.79 points reward = 2.17:1 R/R. This is trend-following with clear structure.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $143.50 targets recent highs and psychological resistance. SL at $136.50 is 1.5x ATR below entry and protects below EMA20 support zone. Will monitor 4h closes - if price breaks below $137.50 with heavy volume before TP, consider early exit as it would invalidate the consolidation pattern.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $189.29
Allocation: 28.0% ($53.00 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $138.71
Size: 1.1500 coins
Notional value: $159.52
📝 Executing LONG 1.15 SOL @ 3x with TP: $144, SL: $136
✅ Market order filled @ $138.84
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44356129175)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44356130253)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a bullish trend (price above EMA20/50) but showing choppy price action in recent 8h with a failed push to $91,914 followed by rejection back to $90,853. RSI at 62-63 is neutral. While the trend is up, we lack clear entry confirmation - no breakout, no oversold bounce, just consolidation. With our recent string of stop-outs (9 of last 10 trades), we need high-probability setups. Wait for either a breakout above $92k with volume or a pullback to $89k support for better risk/reward.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH shows bullish structure (above EMA20/50) but recent price action is concerning - rejected from $3,017 and closing at $2,996, down -0.92% for the period. RSI 64-65 shows no oversold setup. The asset is consolidating in a tight range ($2,990-$3,020) without clear directional bias. After our recent ETH stop-outs, we need stronger confirmation. Looking for either: 1) Break above $3,035 with volume, or 2) Pullback to $2,920 (EMA20) for support test. Current positioning offers poor risk/reward.
Confidence: 45%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: CRITICAL DATA ISSUE: AVAX data is 10 hours stale (last update 14:00, now 00:00). Recent candles show zero movement (all same O/H/L/C), indicating exchange data feed problems or delisting concerns. The -12.10% period drop with current price at $13.06 suggests significant move occurred that isn't reflected in recent candles. RSI(7) at 79.9 vs RSI(14) at 42.2 shows indicator divergence from stale data. Cannot trade with unreliable data - risk of entering at wrong price or missing critical price action. AVOID until data feed normalizes.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=101
1 order(s) executed
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