Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-03 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-03 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $194.11
Margin Used: $58.08 (29.9%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-03 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-03 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-01 04:00 → 2025-12-03 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $93,175.00
Period Change: +8.37%
Range: $83,450.00 - $93,212.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 22:00: O=$91,187.00 H=$91,520.00 L=$91,121.00 C=$91,513.00 (+0.4%)
12-02 23:00: O=$91,450.00 H=$91,518.00 L=$90,806.00 C=$90,875.00 (-0.6%)
12-03 00:00: O=$90,853.00 H=$91,424.00 L=$90,737.00 C=$91,231.00 (+0.4%)
12-03 01:00: O=$91,231.00 H=$91,953.00 L=$91,190.00 C=$91,874.00 (+0.7%)
12-03 02:00: O=$91,942.00 H=$92,400.00 L=$91,762.00 C=$92,400.00 (+0.5%)
12-03 03:00: O=$92,400.00 H=$92,491.00 L=$92,283.00 C=$92,321.00 (-0.1%)
12-03 04:00: O=$92,356.00 H=$92,781.00 L=$92,313.00 C=$92,738.00 (+0.4%)
12-03 05:00: O=$92,738.00 H=$93,212.00 L=$92,383.00 C=$93,175.00 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.0
RSI(14): 77.2
EMA(20): $90,689.05
EMA(50): $87,691.44
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $731.97
ETH:
Current Price: $3,059.00
Period Change: +8.30%
Range: $2,721.20 - $3,069.10
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 22:00: O=$2,997.00 H=$3,017.60 L=$2,996.70 C=$3,015.00 (+0.6%)
12-02 23:00: O=$3,017.50 H=$3,017.50 L=$2,992.80 C=$2,996.20 (-0.7%)
12-03 00:00: O=$2,995.90 H=$3,008.60 L=$2,987.60 C=$3,002.70 (+0.2%)
12-03 01:00: O=$3,003.80 H=$3,017.90 L=$2,999.30 C=$3,017.00 (+0.4%)
12-03 02:00: O=$3,015.10 H=$3,043.40 L=$3,014.80 C=$3,028.70 (+0.5%)
12-03 03:00: O=$3,028.80 H=$3,036.90 L=$3,021.40 C=$3,031.20 (+0.1%)
12-03 04:00: O=$3,033.50 H=$3,057.40 L=$3,030.10 C=$3,054.10 (+0.7%)
12-03 05:00: O=$3,056.70 H=$3,069.10 L=$3,047.70 C=$3,059.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 80.8
RSI(14): 77.7
EMA(20): $2,976.52
EMA(50): $2,868.78
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $26.76
SOL:
Current Price: $143.08
Period Change: +12.75%
Range: $123.28 - $143.37
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 22:00: O=$139.25 H=$140.12 L=$139.04 C=$140.09 (+0.6%)
12-02 23:00: O=$139.88 H=$139.98 L=$138.60 C=$138.71 (-0.8%)
12-03 00:00: O=$138.80 H=$138.93 L=$137.85 C=$138.29 (-0.4%)
12-03 01:00: O=$138.30 H=$139.30 L=$137.95 C=$139.00 (+0.5%)
12-03 02:00: O=$139.06 H=$140.40 L=$139.06 C=$140.06 (+0.7%)
12-03 03:00: O=$140.14 H=$140.66 L=$139.93 C=$140.43 (+0.2%)
12-03 04:00: O=$140.52 H=$142.44 L=$140.28 C=$142.22 (+1.2%)
12-03 05:00: O=$142.50 H=$143.37 L=$142.33 C=$143.08 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 82.5
RSI(14): 78.5
EMA(20): $137.47
EMA(50): $130.75
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.47
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.06
Period Change: -12.10%
Range: $12.62 - $14.86
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 07:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 08:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 09:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 10:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 11:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 12:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 13:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
12-02 14:00: O=$13.06 H=$13.06 L=$13.06 C=$13.06 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 16.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 79.9
RSI(14): 42.2
EMA(20): $13.06
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.15 @ $138.84 (Current: $143.08, P&L: +3.05%)
TP: $143.50 (+3.4%)
SL: $136.50 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $143.50 targets recent highs and psychological resistance. SL at $136.50 is 1.5x ATR below entry and protects below EMA20 support zone. Will monitor 4h closes - if price breaks below $137.50 with heavy volume before TP, consider early exit as it would invalidate the consolidation pattern.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-25 12:00 → 11-25 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $136.66, Exit: $133.40 P&L: -2.39% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-25 00:00 → 11-25 23:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $13.89, Exit: $14.32 P&L: -3.05% ($-5.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a strong uptrend (+8.37% period, EMA20>EMA50) but RSI(7)=81.0 and RSI(14)=77.2 indicate extreme overbought conditions. Price just hit new period high at $93,212. While trend is bullish, entering here violates the requirement for multiple confirmations - we have overbought RSI but no pullback/consolidation. Risk of immediate reversal is high. Better to wait for a healthy pullback to EMA20 ($90,689) or consolidation before entering. Current margin usage at 29.9% allows room for new positions when better setups emerge.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH mirrors BTC with strong uptrend (+8.30%, price above both EMAs) but similarly overbought with RSI(7)=80.8 and RSI(14)=77.7. Just touched period high at $3,069.10. Same issue as BTC - only one confirmation (trend) while overbought indicator suggests caution. The recent close history shows multiple SL hits from chasing moves. Discipline requires waiting for pullback to EMA20 ($2,976) or clear consolidation pattern. With SOL position already open, avoiding overexposure to similar market conditions is prudent.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL LONG position currently +3.05% and approaching TP at $143.50 (only $0.42 away). Critical instruction: 'Trust your TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7 automatically. Manual close should ONLY be used when thesis is invalidated, NOT just because position is profitable.' The thesis remains valid: strong uptrend (+12.75% period), price above EMAs, recent momentum acceleration in last 2 candles. TP is well-placed at recent highs. Let the position run to TP naturally - it could hit within hours. No signs of thesis invalidation (no bearish divergence, no breakdown below support).
Confidence: 80%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 16 hours stale (last update 12-02 14:00, current time 12-03 06:00) with warning 'asset may be inactive'. All recent candles show identical OHLC prices ($12.89-$13.06) indicating no trading activity or data feed issues. Cannot make informed trading decisions without current market data. The -12.10% period decline and RSI(14)=42.2 suggest bearish structure, but stale data prevents accurate entry timing. Additionally, recent history shows AVAX SHORT was stopped out on 11-25. Wait for data feed to resume before considering positions.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=102
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