Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-04 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-04 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $190.83
Margin Used: $57.72 (30.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-04 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-04 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-02 04:00 → 2025-12-04 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,568.00
Period Change: +7.71%
Range: $85,759.00 - $93,723.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 22:00: O=$93,192.00 H=$93,439.00 L=$92,457.00 C=$93,378.00 (+0.2%)
12-03 23:00: O=$93,284.00 H=$93,536.00 L=$92,916.00 C=$92,921.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 00:00: O=$92,972.00 H=$92,972.00 L=$92,352.00 C=$92,757.00 (-0.2%)
12-04 01:00: O=$92,714.00 H=$93,436.00 L=$92,714.00 C=$92,874.00 (+0.2%)
12-04 02:00: O=$92,862.00 H=$93,723.00 L=$92,852.00 C=$93,594.00 (+0.8%)
12-04 03:00: O=$93,550.00 H=$93,675.00 L=$93,076.00 C=$93,171.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 04:00: O=$93,237.00 H=$93,237.00 L=$92,848.00 C=$92,978.00 (-0.3%)
12-04 05:00: O=$92,986.00 H=$92,986.00 L=$92,380.00 C=$92,568.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.6
RSI(14): 52.7
EMA(20): $92,590.94
EMA(50): $91,075.30
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $679.15
ETH:
Current Price: $3,188.20
Period Change: +13.63%
Range: $2,783.00 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 22:00: O=$3,166.90 H=$3,195.40 L=$3,146.80 C=$3,190.00 (+0.7%)
12-03 23:00: O=$3,189.60 H=$3,209.90 L=$3,182.80 C=$3,195.00 (+0.2%)
12-04 00:00: O=$3,195.10 H=$3,206.10 L=$3,177.40 C=$3,204.40 (+0.3%)
12-04 01:00: O=$3,198.00 H=$3,237.60 L=$3,198.00 C=$3,205.70 (+0.2%)
12-04 02:00: O=$3,205.40 H=$3,229.40 L=$3,200.90 C=$3,226.10 (+0.6%)
12-04 03:00: O=$3,222.20 H=$3,228.70 L=$3,207.50 C=$3,212.40 (-0.3%)
12-04 04:00: O=$3,213.50 H=$3,220.40 L=$3,191.30 C=$3,195.00 (-0.6%)
12-04 05:00: O=$3,195.70 H=$3,195.70 L=$3,179.00 C=$3,188.20 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.5
RSI(14): 69.5
EMA(20): $3,146.13
EMA(50): $3,026.97
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $30.74
SOL:
Current Price: $143.26
Period Change: +12.50%
Range: $126.00 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 22:00: O=$145.83 H=$145.83 L=$143.25 C=$144.43 (-1.0%)
12-03 23:00: O=$144.78 H=$145.74 L=$144.60 C=$144.60 (-0.1%)
12-04 00:00: O=$144.84 H=$145.41 L=$143.75 C=$145.22 (+0.3%)
12-04 01:00: O=$145.17 H=$146.85 L=$144.24 C=$144.24 (-0.6%)
12-04 02:00: O=$144.29 H=$145.93 L=$144.12 C=$145.80 (+1.0%)
12-04 03:00: O=$145.59 H=$145.72 L=$144.62 C=$144.88 (-0.5%)
12-04 04:00: O=$144.80 H=$144.83 L=$143.86 C=$144.27 (-0.4%)
12-04 05:00: O=$144.37 H=$144.37 L=$143.18 C=$143.26 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.7
RSI(14): 54.9
EMA(20): $142.92
EMA(50): $138.71
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.61
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.75
Period Change: +14.42%
Range: $12.89 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 17:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 18:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 19:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 20:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 21:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 22:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 23:00: O=$14.89 H=$14.89 L=$14.89 C=$14.89 (+0.0%)
12-04 00:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 6.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.4
RSI(14): 87.3
EMA(20): $14.17
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00185 @ $92,690.40 (Current: $92,568.00, P&L: -0.13%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+4.1%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 (psychological resistance, ~4.2% gain = 2.4:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $90,800 (below recent swing low and 2x ATR buffer). Exit early if price fails to hold $92,000 support or RSI divergence forms at resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing clear bearish divergence after failed breakout. Price rejected at $146.85 high and now declining for 5 consecutive hours ($145.83 → $143.26, -1.8%). Trading below recent resistance cluster ($144.60-$145.80) which now acts as resistance. RSI(7) at 45.7 and RSI(14) at 54.9 rolling over from overbought. Despite +12.5% period gain, momentum is fading. Price still slightly above EMA(20) at $142.92 but losing steam. Recent trading history shows SOL shorts can work (11-28 short: +3.56%). Entry at current $143.26 with resistance overhead provides good short setup. ATR at $1.61 allows tight stops.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $138.50 (below EMA20 and psychological $140 level, ~3.3% move = 2:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $146.50 (above recent high of $146.85 plus buffer, ~2.3% risk = 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims $145+ with volume or if BTC breaks above $94k dragging alts higher. Total margin usage will be 50.2% (within 80% limit).
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $190.83
Allocation: 20.0% ($38.17 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $143.26
Size: 0.8000 coins
Notional value: $114.61
📝 Executing SHORT 0.8 SOL @ 3x with TP: $138, SL: $146
✅ Market order filled @ $143.35
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44427500586)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44427501236)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC long position is performing as expected. Price currently at $92,568, just below entry at $92,690 (-0.13%). Recent 8h shows consolidation around EMA(20) at $92,591 with bullish structure intact (price above EMA20 > EMA50). RSI(14) at 52.7 is neutral, RSI(7) at 43.6 shows short-term pullback but no breakdown. Last 5 hours showing mild weakness but holding above $92,380 support. TP at $96,500 and SL at $90,800 are well-placed with proper 2.4:1 R/R. Trust the TP/SL orders - no thesis invalidation yet. Minor consolidation is normal after +7.71% period move.
Confidence: 70%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing strong bullish momentum with +13.63% period gain and price at $3,188 well above both EMAs (EMA20: $3,146, EMA50: $3,027). However, RSI(14) at 69.5 approaching overbought and RSI(7) at 59.5 suggests near-term exhaustion. Recent 8h shows loss of momentum: last 3 candles declining (-0.3%, -0.6%, -0.2%) after testing $3,237 high. No existing position and entering here would be chasing - need pullback to EMA(20) around $3,150 for better risk/reward entry. With 30.2% margin already used on BTC, maintaining dry powder is prudent.
Confidence: 60%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is severely compromised - 6+ hours stale with flat candles showing identical OHLC values ($14.39 or $14.89) indicating data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. RSI(14) at 87.3 is extremely overbought but unreliable given data quality. While +14.42% period gain looks attractive, cannot make informed decisions without real-time price action. The flat candles suggest either exchange API issues or the asset is not actively trading. Risk of entering blind is too high - need fresh data to assess true market conditions.
Confidence: 80%
💾 Database saved: run_id=106
1 order(s) executed
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