Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-04 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-04 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $191.39
Margin Used: $96.52 (50.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-04 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-04 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-02 10:00 → 2025-12-04 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,574.00
Period Change: +7.03%
Range: $86,440.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 04:00: O=$93,237.00 H=$93,237.00 L=$92,848.00 C=$92,978.00 (-0.3%)
12-04 05:00: O=$92,986.00 H=$92,986.00 L=$92,380.00 C=$92,568.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 06:00: O=$92,555.00 H=$92,913.00 L=$92,474.00 C=$92,709.00 (+0.2%)
12-04 07:00: O=$92,626.00 H=$92,944.00 L=$92,135.00 C=$92,944.00 (+0.3%)
12-04 08:00: O=$93,000.00 H=$94,386.00 L=$91,000.00 C=$92,904.00 (-0.1%)
12-04 09:00: O=$92,970.00 H=$93,352.00 L=$92,793.00 C=$93,206.00 (+0.3%)
12-04 10:00: O=$93,270.00 H=$93,306.00 L=$92,859.00 C=$92,937.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 11:00: O=$92,967.00 H=$93,013.00 L=$92,193.00 C=$92,574.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.7
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $92,724.43
EMA(50): $91,841.00
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $825.13
ETH:
Current Price: $3,188.90
Period Change: +13.97%
Range: $2,797.90 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 04:00: O=$3,213.50 H=$3,220.40 L=$3,191.30 C=$3,195.00 (-0.6%)
12-04 05:00: O=$3,195.70 H=$3,195.70 L=$3,179.00 C=$3,188.20 (-0.2%)
12-04 06:00: O=$3,186.90 H=$3,218.80 L=$3,186.10 C=$3,207.50 (+0.6%)
12-04 07:00: O=$3,208.40 H=$3,208.40 L=$3,186.20 C=$3,194.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 08:00: O=$3,192.20 H=$3,199.30 L=$3,179.30 C=$3,186.00 (-0.2%)
12-04 09:00: O=$3,185.90 H=$3,210.90 L=$3,185.90 C=$3,204.20 (+0.6%)
12-04 10:00: O=$3,203.30 H=$3,204.30 L=$3,188.60 C=$3,192.20 (-0.3%)
12-04 11:00: O=$3,189.30 H=$3,196.80 L=$3,183.10 C=$3,188.90 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.9
RSI(14): 62.5
EMA(20): $3,168.55
EMA(50): $3,073.96
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $27.69
SOL:
Current Price: $143.17
Period Change: +12.94%
Range: $126.74 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 04:00: O=$144.80 H=$144.83 L=$143.86 C=$144.27 (-0.4%)
12-04 05:00: O=$144.37 H=$144.37 L=$143.18 C=$143.26 (-0.8%)
12-04 06:00: O=$143.35 H=$144.40 L=$143.25 C=$144.05 (+0.5%)
12-04 07:00: O=$144.02 H=$144.02 L=$142.80 C=$143.56 (-0.3%)
12-04 08:00: O=$143.50 H=$143.98 L=$142.85 C=$142.93 (-0.4%)
12-04 09:00: O=$143.10 H=$144.28 L=$143.04 C=$144.04 (+0.7%)
12-04 10:00: O=$144.04 H=$144.26 L=$143.42 C=$143.51 (-0.4%)
12-04 11:00: O=$143.43 H=$143.59 L=$142.89 C=$143.17 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.2
RSI(14): 52.5
EMA(20): $143.22
EMA(50): $140.70
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.43
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.75
Period Change: +14.42%
Range: $12.89 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 17:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 18:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 19:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 20:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 21:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 22:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 23:00: O=$14.89 H=$14.89 L=$14.89 C=$14.89 (+0.0%)
12-04 00:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 12.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.4
RSI(14): 87.5
EMA(20): $14.17
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.8 @ $143.35 (Current: $143.17, P&L: +0.13%)
TP: $138.50 (+3.4%)
SL: $146.50 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $138.50 (below EMA20 and psychological $140 level, ~3.3% move = 2:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $146.50 (above recent high of $146.85 plus buffer, ~2.3% risk = 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims $145+ with volume or if BTC breaks above $94k dragging alts higher. Total margin usage will be 50.2% (within 80% limit).
BTC (LONG): 0.00185 @ $92,690.40 (Current: $92,574.00, P&L: -0.13%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+4.1%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 (psychological resistance, ~4.2% gain = 2.4:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $90,800 (below recent swing low and 2x ATR buffer). Exit early if price fails to hold $92,000 support or RSI divergence forms at resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating near EMA20 ($92,724) after a strong +7% period rally. Current price $92,574 shows healthy pullback with RSI(14) at 49.1 (neutral). The 08:00 candle showed a spike to $94,386 followed by rejection, indicating resistance. EMA trend remains bullish (20>50), but immediate price action is choppy with declining momentum. Existing long position at $92,690 is nearly breakeven (-0.13%). Trust the TP/SL orders - TP at $96,500 targets psychological resistance with 2.4:1 R/R, SL at $90,800 protects capital. No reason to exit early as thesis remains valid: consolidation before next leg up. Churning out now would waste fees.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing strong bullish structure with +13.97% period gain, trading above both EMA20 ($3,168) and EMA50 ($3,073). However, recent 8h candles show consolidation in tight $3,180-$3,210 range with declining volatility. RSI(14) at 62.5 is elevated but not overbought. Price is coiling near highs after strong rally - this is typically continuation pattern. No position currently open. With 50.4% margin already deployed (BTC long + SOL short), adding ETH exposure would push us toward 80% limit. Better to wait for either: (1) breakout above $3,237 period high with volume confirmation, or (2) pullback to EMA20 support for better entry. Current setup lacks clear edge for immediate entry.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short position opened at $143.35 is working as planned (+0.13% P&L). Price action shows weakness: recent 8h candles forming lower highs ($144.80→$144.05→$143.51→$143.17) with RSI(7) at 45.2 indicating short-term bearish momentum. Current price $143.17 is hovering right at EMA20 ($143.22) - critical support level. If this breaks, path to TP at $138.50 opens up. ATR is $1.43, and our SL at $146.50 provides adequate 1.5x ATR buffer above period high. The thesis (rejection from $146.85 high, targeting psychological $140 level) remains intact. Trust the TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7. Manual close would be premature and waste the setup. Only exit early if BTC surges above $94k+ dragging alts, but BTC is currently consolidating.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 12 hours stale (last update 12-04 00:00, current time 12:00) making it unreliable for trading decisions. The flat candles (identical OHLC values) from 17:00-22:00 suggest data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. While RSI(14) at 87.5 shows extreme overbought conditions and price is above EMA20 ($14.17), the +14.42% period gain, I cannot trust this data for position management. Additionally, with 50.4% margin already deployed across BTC/SOL positions, taking on a 4th position would strain risk management. The overbought RSI would normally suggest shorting opportunity, but stale data makes this too risky. Wait for fresh, reliable data on next run.
Confidence: 30%
💾 Database saved: run_id=107
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