Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-04 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-04 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $191.69
Margin Used: $96.82 (50.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-04 18:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-04 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-02 16:00 → 2025-12-04 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,116.00
Period Change: +1.81%
Range: $89,416.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 10:00: O=$93,270.00 H=$93,306.00 L=$92,859.00 C=$92,937.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 11:00: O=$92,967.00 H=$93,013.00 L=$92,193.00 C=$92,574.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 12:00: O=$92,604.00 H=$92,820.00 L=$92,258.00 C=$92,601.00 (-0.0%)
12-04 13:00: O=$92,653.00 H=$92,688.00 L=$92,040.00 C=$92,219.00 (-0.5%)
12-04 14:00: O=$92,193.00 H=$92,423.00 L=$91,437.00 C=$91,613.00 (-0.6%)
12-04 15:00: O=$91,616.00 H=$92,866.00 L=$91,568.00 C=$92,667.00 (+1.1%)
12-04 16:00: O=$92,715.00 H=$92,857.00 L=$92,009.00 C=$92,165.00 (-0.6%)
12-04 17:00: O=$92,205.00 H=$92,343.00 L=$91,600.00 C=$92,116.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.2
RSI(14): 48.0
EMA(20): $92,518.54
EMA(50): $92,345.84
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $833.16
ETH:
Current Price: $3,165.20
Period Change: +5.22%
Range: $2,974.30 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 10:00: O=$3,203.30 H=$3,204.30 L=$3,188.60 C=$3,192.20 (-0.3%)
12-04 11:00: O=$3,189.30 H=$3,196.80 L=$3,183.10 C=$3,188.90 (-0.0%)
12-04 12:00: O=$3,187.70 H=$3,195.80 L=$3,179.00 C=$3,179.70 (-0.3%)
12-04 13:00: O=$3,181.10 H=$3,195.10 L=$3,164.50 C=$3,175.90 (-0.2%)
12-04 14:00: O=$3,173.80 H=$3,192.10 L=$3,145.00 C=$3,151.10 (-0.7%)
12-04 15:00: O=$3,151.60 H=$3,228.50 L=$3,151.60 C=$3,212.60 (+1.9%)
12-04 16:00: O=$3,212.20 H=$3,227.40 L=$3,166.80 C=$3,174.30 (-1.2%)
12-04 17:00: O=$3,170.60 H=$3,176.90 L=$3,142.00 C=$3,165.20 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.9
RSI(14): 52.3
EMA(20): $3,172.89
EMA(50): $3,110.80
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $33.78
SOL:
Current Price: $142.03
Period Change: +2.90%
Range: $137.54 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 10:00: O=$144.04 H=$144.26 L=$143.42 C=$143.51 (-0.4%)
12-04 11:00: O=$143.43 H=$143.59 L=$142.89 C=$143.17 (-0.2%)
12-04 12:00: O=$143.17 H=$143.51 L=$142.54 C=$143.02 (-0.1%)
12-04 13:00: O=$143.06 H=$143.20 L=$141.96 C=$142.36 (-0.5%)
12-04 14:00: O=$142.32 H=$143.43 L=$141.62 C=$142.02 (-0.2%)
12-04 15:00: O=$142.02 H=$144.34 L=$142.02 C=$143.44 (+1.0%)
12-04 16:00: O=$143.28 H=$143.85 L=$142.23 C=$142.72 (-0.4%)
12-04 17:00: O=$142.68 H=$142.80 L=$141.33 C=$142.03 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.0
RSI(14): 45.6
EMA(20): $142.99
EMA(50): $142.08
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.47
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.75
Period Change: +12.96%
Range: $13.06 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 17:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 18:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 19:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 20:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 21:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 22:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 23:00: O=$14.89 H=$14.89 L=$14.89 C=$14.89 (+0.0%)
12-04 00:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 18.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.4
RSI(14): 87.2
EMA(20): $14.13
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.8 @ $143.35 (Current: $142.03, P&L: +0.92%)
TP: $138.50 (+3.4%)
SL: $146.50 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $138.50 (below EMA20 and psychological $140 level, ~3.3% move = 2:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $146.50 (above recent high of $146.85 plus buffer, ~2.3% risk = 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims $145+ with volume or if BTC breaks above $94k dragging alts higher. Total margin usage will be 50.2% (within 80% limit).
BTC (LONG): 0.00185 @ $92,690.40 (Current: $92,116.00, P&L: -0.62%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+4.1%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 (psychological resistance, ~4.2% gain = 2.4:1 R/R with 3x leverage). SL at $90,800 (below recent swing low and 2x ATR buffer). Exit early if price fails to hold $92,000 support or RSI divergence forms at resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC long position is slightly underwater (-0.62%) but thesis remains intact. Price holding above EMA20 ($92,518) and EMA50 ($92,345) with bullish trend structure. RSI(14) at 48 shows neutral momentum with room to move up. Recent price action shows consolidation after rejection from $94k, but no invalidation signals. Trust the TP/SL orders - TP at $96,500 targets psychological resistance with 2.4:1 R/R. Current drawdown is within normal volatility (< 1 ATR). Closing now would realize unnecessary loss and miss the move to target.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing relative strength with +5.22% period gain, outperforming BTC. Price consolidated around $3,165-$3,190 range with bullish EMA structure (20>50). RSI(14) at 52.3 is neutral. However, recent 8h shows choppy action with a sharp rejection from $3,228 back to $3,165 (-1.4% last 2 candles). No clear setup: not oversold enough for long entry, and shorting against the bullish trend structure would be counter-trend without confirmation. Margin usage at 50.5% limits new positions. Wait for clearer directional move or pullback to EMA20 support for long entry.
Confidence: 50%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short position performing well (+0.92% P&L) and thesis remains valid. Price trading below entry ($143.35) at $142.03, showing weakness despite broader market stability. RSI(7) at 39 and RSI(14) at 45.6 indicate bearish momentum continuing. Price rejected from $144.34 and making lower highs. EMA20 at $142.99 acting as resistance. Recent 8h shows consistent selling pressure with lower highs ($144.26→$143.85→$142.80). TP at $138.50 targets key support with 3.4% gain potential. Trust the TP/SL - no need to manually close a profitable position that's following the plan.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: CRITICAL DATA ISSUE: AVAX data is 18 hours stale with flat candles showing identical OHLC values. This indicates exchange data feed problem or delisted asset. RSI(14) at 87.2 is extremely overbought but meaningless with stale data. Cannot make informed trading decision without current market data. Period shows +12.96% move but last 8 candles are frozen. RISK: Opening position on stale data could result in immediate loss if real price has moved significantly. Wait for data feed to restore before considering any action.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=108
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