Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-05 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-04 18:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $191.87
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-05 00:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-04 18:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-02 22:00 → 2025-12-05 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,857.00
Period Change: +0.73%
Range: $90,506.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 17:00: O=$92,205.00 H=$92,343.00 L=$91,600.00 C=$92,116.00 (-0.1%)
12-04 18:00: O=$92,134.00 H=$92,313.00 L=$91,662.00 C=$91,862.00 (-0.3%)
12-04 19:00: O=$91,907.00 H=$91,980.00 L=$90,506.00 C=$91,707.00 (-0.2%)
12-04 20:00: O=$91,707.00 H=$92,238.00 L=$91,465.00 C=$92,238.00 (+0.6%)
12-04 21:00: O=$92,238.00 H=$92,442.00 L=$91,841.00 C=$91,841.00 (-0.4%)
12-04 22:00: O=$91,944.00 H=$92,189.00 L=$91,883.00 C=$92,157.00 (+0.2%)
12-04 23:00: O=$91,982.00 H=$92,151.00 L=$91,770.00 C=$91,809.00 (-0.2%)
12-05 00:00: O=$91,857.00 H=$91,857.00 L=$91,857.00 C=$91,857.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.2
RSI(14): 42.6
EMA(20): $92,228.16
EMA(50): $92,423.17
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $717.85
ETH:
Current Price: $3,134.70
Period Change: +4.59%
Range: $2,987.60 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 17:00: O=$3,170.60 H=$3,176.90 L=$3,142.00 C=$3,165.20 (-0.2%)
12-04 18:00: O=$3,162.70 H=$3,164.60 L=$3,137.50 C=$3,142.60 (-0.6%)
12-04 19:00: O=$3,144.30 H=$3,144.30 L=$3,070.20 C=$3,124.10 (-0.6%)
12-04 20:00: O=$3,123.80 H=$3,148.20 L=$3,108.60 C=$3,146.40 (+0.7%)
12-04 21:00: O=$3,142.20 H=$3,153.60 L=$3,122.70 C=$3,127.80 (-0.5%)
12-04 22:00: O=$3,126.90 H=$3,152.40 L=$3,126.60 C=$3,148.70 (+0.7%)
12-04 23:00: O=$3,147.00 H=$3,148.70 L=$3,134.20 C=$3,137.20 (-0.3%)
12-05 00:00: O=$3,138.10 H=$3,138.10 L=$3,134.70 C=$3,134.70 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.4
RSI(14): 44.5
EMA(20): $3,154.90
EMA(50): $3,127.33
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $31.58
SOL:
Current Price: $139.14
Period Change: -0.08%
Range: $137.85 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 16:00: O=$143.28 H=$143.85 L=$142.23 C=$142.72 (-0.4%)
12-04 17:00: O=$142.68 H=$142.80 L=$141.33 C=$142.03 (-0.5%)
12-04 18:00: O=$141.97 H=$142.19 L=$140.46 C=$140.64 (-0.9%)
12-04 19:00: O=$140.91 H=$140.91 L=$137.96 C=$139.82 (-0.8%)
12-04 20:00: O=$139.76 H=$140.46 L=$139.35 C=$140.46 (+0.5%)
12-04 21:00: O=$140.36 H=$140.43 L=$138.69 C=$138.88 (-1.1%)
12-04 22:00: O=$139.02 H=$139.78 L=$139.00 C=$139.65 (+0.5%)
12-04 23:00: O=$139.37 H=$139.52 L=$138.85 C=$139.14 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.6
RSI(14): 35.5
EMA(20): $141.51
EMA(50): $142.10
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.47
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.75
Period Change: +12.96%
Range: $13.06 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-03 17:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 18:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 19:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 20:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 21:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 22:00: O=$14.39 H=$14.39 L=$14.39 C=$14.39 (+0.0%)
12-03 23:00: O=$14.89 H=$14.89 L=$14.89 C=$14.89 (+0.0%)
12-04 00:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 24.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.4
RSI(14): 87.2
EMA(20): $14.11
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: BTC showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMA20 ($92,228) and EMA50 ($92,423), with bearish EMA trend confirmed. RSI(14) at 42.6 indicates weakness without being oversold. Recent price action shows rejection from $92,400 resistance and a sharp wick down to $90,506, suggesting selling pressure. Price currently at $91,857 is attempting to stabilize but remains in downtrend. Market structure favors continuation lower toward $90k support zone.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $89,800 targets next support level (~2.2% move, 2:1 R/R). SL at $93,200 above recent resistance and EMA20, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if price reclaims $92,400 with volume or RSI crosses above 50.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $191.87
Allocation: 25.0% ($47.97 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $91,857.00
Size: 0.0016 coins
Notional value: $144.22
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00157 BTC @ 3x with TP: $89,800, SL: $93,200
✅ Market order filled @ $91,934.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44469711260)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44469712512)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL in confirmed downtrend: price at $139.14 well below EMA20 ($141.51) and EMA50 ($142.10) with bearish EMA alignment. RSI(7) at 31.6 and RSI(14) at 35.5 showing oversold conditions, BUT in a downtrend this signals short continuation opportunity, not reversal. Recent sharp rejection from $143+ levels and wick to $137.85 shows strong selling pressure. Price consolidating in tight range $138-140, likely distribution before next leg down. Previous SHORT position closed at TP successfully, validating bearish thesis.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $136.50 targets recent low support (~1.9% move, 2.3:1 R/R). SL at $141.80 above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, 1.8x ATR protection. Exit if RSI crosses 45+ with bullish divergence or price reclaims $142 with strong volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $191.87
Allocation: 30.0% ($57.56 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $139.14
Size: 1.6500 coins
Notional value: $229.58
📝 Executing SHORT 1.65 SOL @ 4x with TP: $136, SL: $142
✅ Market order filled @ $139.03
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44469716997)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44469717746)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH presents conflicting signals: bullish EMA trend (price above EMA20/50) but showing recent weakness with RSI(14) at 44.5 and price pulling back from $3,170 highs. Currently at $3,134.70, just below EMA20 ($3,154.90), testing key support. The bullish structure is intact but momentum is fading. Need clearer directional confirmation - either a bounce above $3,155 with volume for long, or break below $3,100 for short. Current setup lacks the 2+ confirming signals required for entry.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 24 hours stale and shows suspicious flat candles (all identical prices), indicating potential data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. RSI(14) at 87.2 is extremely overbought, suggesting recent parabolic move (+12.96% period change). While technically bearish reversal setup, cannot reliably trade on stale data. The lack of real-time price discovery makes risk assessment impossible. Wait for fresh data feed before considering mean-reversion short.
Confidence: 30%
💾 Database saved: run_id=109
2 order(s) executed
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