Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-09 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-08 20:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $513.21
Margin Used: $342.81 (66.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-09 08:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-08 20:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-07 06:00 → 2025-11-09 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $103,160.00
Period Change: +0.87%
Range: $97,676.00 - $105,070.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 00:00: O=$103,074.00 H=$103,473.00 L=$102,005.00 C=$102,739.00 (-0.3%)
11-09 01:00: O=$102,431.00 H=$104,367.00 L=$101,993.00 C=$103,475.00 (+1.0%)
11-09 02:00: O=$103,005.00 H=$103,359.00 L=$101,936.00 C=$103,060.00 (+0.1%)
11-09 03:00: O=$102,480.00 H=$103,080.00 L=$101,845.00 C=$102,649.00 (+0.2%)
11-09 04:00: O=$102,341.00 H=$103,497.00 L=$102,043.00 C=$102,135.00 (-0.2%)
11-09 05:00: O=$102,095.00 H=$103,158.00 L=$102,086.00 C=$102,764.00 (+0.7%)
11-09 06:00: O=$103,010.00 H=$104,386.00 L=$102,193.00 C=$103,090.00 (+0.1%)
11-09 07:00: O=$103,140.00 H=$103,479.00 L=$102,270.00 C=$103,160.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.8
RSI(14): 54.7
EMA(20): $102,792.70
EMA(50): $102,292.76
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1460.46
ETH:
Current Price: $3,437.20
Period Change: +1.73%
Range: $3,188.10 - $3,533.70
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 00:00: O=$3,423.00 H=$3,444.20 L=$3,383.00 C=$3,411.40 (-0.3%)
11-09 01:00: O=$3,410.70 H=$3,431.50 L=$3,393.60 C=$3,412.20 (+0.0%)
11-09 02:00: O=$3,428.10 H=$3,428.10 L=$3,388.90 C=$3,394.20 (-1.0%)
11-09 03:00: O=$3,396.60 H=$3,403.30 L=$3,373.00 C=$3,403.30 (+0.2%)
11-09 04:00: O=$3,401.10 H=$3,424.10 L=$3,387.30 C=$3,387.90 (-0.4%)
11-09 05:00: O=$3,389.30 H=$3,440.80 L=$3,386.20 C=$3,418.50 (+0.9%)
11-09 06:00: O=$3,436.30 H=$3,445.50 L=$3,422.30 C=$3,436.10 (-0.0%)
11-09 07:00: O=$3,440.50 H=$3,460.00 L=$3,419.60 C=$3,437.20 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.5
RSI(14): 54.7
EMA(20): $3,419.67
EMA(50): $3,412.40
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $45.38
SOL:
Current Price: $159.86
Period Change: +0.83%
Range: $138.99 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 00:00: O=$158.37 H=$158.39 L=$156.95 C=$157.15 (-0.8%)
11-09 01:00: O=$157.14 H=$158.64 L=$157.14 C=$158.45 (+0.8%)
11-09 02:00: O=$158.17 H=$158.56 L=$156.17 C=$156.17 (-1.3%)
11-09 03:00: O=$156.44 H=$156.88 L=$155.60 C=$156.34 (-0.1%)
11-09 04:00: O=$156.36 H=$158.18 L=$156.36 C=$157.61 (+0.8%)
11-09 05:00: O=$157.77 H=$158.60 L=$157.77 C=$158.60 (+0.5%)
11-09 06:00: O=$158.68 H=$159.61 L=$158.44 C=$159.06 (+0.2%)
11-09 07:00: O=$158.98 H=$160.68 L=$158.51 C=$159.86 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 65.1
RSI(14): 56.9
EMA(20): $158.47
EMA(50): $159.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.69
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.09
Period Change: +2.32%
Range: $16.21 - $18.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 00:00: O=$17.29 H=$17.29 L=$17.29 C=$17.29 (+0.0%)
11-09 01:00: O=$17.20 H=$17.20 L=$17.20 C=$17.20 (+0.0%)
11-09 02:00: O=$17.05 H=$17.05 L=$17.02 C=$17.02 (-0.2%)
11-09 03:00: O=$16.86 H=$16.86 L=$16.86 C=$16.86 (+0.0%)
11-09 04:00: O=$16.89 H=$16.98 L=$16.89 C=$16.98 (+0.6%)
11-09 05:00: O=$16.98 H=$16.98 L=$16.98 C=$16.98 (+0.0%)
11-09 06:00: O=$16.97 H=$17.07 L=$16.97 C=$16.97 (-0.0%)
11-09 07:00: O=$17.02 H=$17.09 L=$17.02 C=$17.09 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.5
RSI(14): 45.0
EMA(20): $17.20
EMA(50): $17.35
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 2.36 @ $157.84 (Current: $159.86, P&L: +1.28%)
TP: $164.50 (+4.2%)
SL: $154.50 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $164.50 targeting prior resistance zone (+4.3% move). SL at $154.50 below recent consolidation lows and EMA(50) support (-2.0% move). 2.15:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price fails to break above $160 within 8 hours or if BTC shows reversal below $102k.
BTC (LONG): 0.00656 @ $100,269.00 (Current: $103,160.00, P&L: +2.88%)
TP: $104,500.00 (+4.2%)
SL: $98,000.00 (-2.3%)
Exit Plan: TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.
AVAX (LONG): 29.96 @ $17.29 (Current: $17.09, P&L: -1.15%)
TP: $18.20 (+5.3%)
SL: $16.75 (-3.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $18.20 targeting prior high at $18.50 zone (+5.4% move). SL at $16.75 below EMA(20) and recent consolidation support (-3.0% move). 1.8:1 R:R ratio. Exit early if price breaks below $17.10 (EMA(50)) or if broader market shows weakness with BTC failing $102k support.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
ETH LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 20:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,473.59, Exit: $3,399.95 P&L: -2.12% ($-9.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-08 12:00 → 11-08 14:30 (2.5h)
Entry: $159.85, Exit: $157.40 P&L: -1.53% ($-3.72) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 14:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $17.81, Exit: $17.39 P&L: -2.36% ($-17.84) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $164.43, Exit: $159.88 P&L: -2.77% ($-14.24) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-07 08:00 → 11-07 08:15 (0.2h)
Entry: $16.91, Exit: $16.93 P&L: -0.09% ($-0.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Position down -1.15% and thesis is invalidated. Price at $17.09 failed to hold above entry $17.29 and is now below EMA(20) at $17.20. Bearish EMA trend (20<50) persists. Recent candles show weakness with flat/declining action. RSI at 45.5/45.0 shows no momentum. Price has made lower highs from $17.29→$17.20→$17.05→$17.09. This is not about P&L - the technical setup has broken down.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (+1.73% period vs BTC +0.87%). Price consolidated above $3,400 support and broke above EMA(20) at $3,419. Recent candles show higher lows with good volume. RSI(7) at 59.5 and RSI(14) at 54.7 indicate room to run. Bullish EMA trend with price trading at $3,437 above both EMAs. No current position allows fresh entry. Recent close was premature - market has stabilized.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,580 targets prior high at $3,533 with extension (+4.2% move). SL at $3,360 below consolidation support and EMA(50) at $3,412 (-2.2% move). 1.9:1 R:R. Exit early if BTC breaks below $102k or if price fails to hold $3,400 within 12 hours.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $513.21
Allocation: 18.0% ($92.38 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $3,437.20
Size: 0.1075 coins
Notional value: $369.50
📝 Executing LONG 0.1075 ETH @ 4x with TP: $3,580, SL: $3,360
✅ Market order filled @ $3,454.00
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is up +2.88% and trading above EMA(20) at $102,792. Price consolidated overnight in $102k-$103.5k range with bullish EMA alignment (20>50). RSI at 55.8 shows healthy momentum without overbought conditions. Current price $103,160 is approaching TP at $104,500 but not there yet. Trust the TP/SL orders - thesis remains valid with bullish structure intact.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +1.28% with price at $159.86 breaking above $159 resistance. Recent 8h shows consistent higher lows ($156.17→$157.77→$158.44) with price now above EMA(20) at $158.47. RSI(7) at 65.1 shows strength but approaching overbought - not a reason to exit, just awareness. TP at $164.50 is reasonable target. Thesis remains valid with upward momentum intact.
Confidence: 58%
💾 Database saved: run_id=11
2 order(s) executed
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