Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-05 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-05 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $196.78
Margin Used: $49.05 (24.9%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-05 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-05 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-03 10:00 → 2025-12-05 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,086.00
Period Change: -1.43%
Range: $90,506.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 04:00: O=$91,925.00 H=$92,134.00 L=$91,547.00 C=$91,723.00 (-0.2%)
12-05 05:00: O=$91,737.00 H=$91,945.00 L=$91,607.00 C=$91,665.00 (-0.1%)
12-05 06:00: O=$91,668.00 H=$91,977.00 L=$91,638.00 C=$91,958.00 (+0.3%)
12-05 07:00: O=$91,981.00 H=$92,143.00 L=$91,870.00 C=$91,916.00 (-0.1%)
12-05 08:00: O=$91,902.00 H=$92,058.00 L=$91,764.00 C=$91,905.00 (+0.0%)
12-05 09:00: O=$91,946.00 H=$91,946.00 L=$90,763.00 C=$90,904.00 (-1.1%)
12-05 10:00: O=$90,930.00 H=$91,246.00 L=$90,876.00 C=$91,084.00 (+0.2%)
12-05 11:00: O=$91,111.00 H=$91,313.00 L=$90,905.00 C=$91,086.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.7
RSI(14): 38.0
EMA(20): $91,794.68
EMA(50): $92,330.56
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $600.70
ETH:
Current Price: $3,133.60
Period Change: +2.39%
Range: $3,033.40 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 05:00: O=$3,168.80 H=$3,174.50 L=$3,157.00 C=$3,157.90 (-0.3%)
12-05 06:00: O=$3,166.20 H=$3,175.50 L=$3,163.30 C=$3,174.30 (+0.3%)
12-05 07:00: O=$3,171.70 H=$3,186.90 L=$3,171.30 C=$3,177.50 (+0.2%)
12-05 08:00: O=$3,175.90 H=$3,175.90 L=$3,148.80 C=$3,161.10 (-0.5%)
12-05 09:00: O=$3,157.30 H=$3,157.30 L=$3,111.20 C=$3,125.90 (-1.0%)
12-05 10:00: O=$3,122.80 H=$3,151.80 L=$3,122.30 C=$3,139.30 (+0.5%)
12-05 11:00: O=$3,138.00 H=$3,146.80 L=$3,116.90 C=$3,134.40 (-0.1%)
12-05 12:00: O=$3,133.60 H=$3,133.60 L=$3,133.60 C=$3,133.60 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.7
RSI(14): 45.8
EMA(20): $3,153.99
EMA(50): $3,155.86
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $28.57
SOL:
Current Price: $137.15
Period Change: -3.49%
Range: $136.20 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 04:00: O=$138.95 H=$139.15 L=$138.28 C=$138.63 (-0.2%)
12-05 05:00: O=$138.58 H=$138.82 L=$137.94 C=$138.22 (-0.3%)
12-05 06:00: O=$138.18 H=$139.05 L=$138.18 C=$139.05 (+0.6%)
12-05 07:00: O=$139.02 H=$140.51 L=$139.02 C=$139.87 (+0.6%)
12-05 08:00: O=$139.50 H=$139.55 L=$138.00 C=$138.42 (-0.8%)
12-05 09:00: O=$138.29 H=$138.29 L=$136.46 C=$136.54 (-1.3%)
12-05 10:00: O=$136.43 H=$138.08 L=$136.20 C=$137.72 (+0.9%)
12-05 11:00: O=$137.76 H=$138.15 L=$136.96 C=$137.15 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.3
RSI(14): 38.4
EMA(20): $139.29
EMA(50): $141.55
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.40
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.47
Period Change: +2.38%
Range: $14.14 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-04 20:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-04 21:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-04 22:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-04 23:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-05 00:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-05 01:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-05 02:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.75 L=$14.75 C=$14.75 (+0.0%)
12-05 03:00: O=$14.47 H=$14.47 L=$14.47 C=$14.47 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 9.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 2.8
RSI(14): 21.8
EMA(20): $14.69
ATR(14): $0.03
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00157 @ $91,934.00 (Current: $91,086.00, P&L: +0.92%)
TP: $89,800.00 (+2.3%)
SL: $93,200.00 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $89,800 targets next support level (~2.2% move, 2:1 R/R). SL at $93,200 above recent resistance and EMA20, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if price reclaims $92,400 with volume or RSI crosses above 50.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMA(20) $3,154 and EMA(50) $3,156, recent rejection from $3,175 resistance, and sharp -1% drop in 9h candle to $3,125 low. RSI(14) at 45.8 in neutral zone but trending down. Current price $3,134 is near session lows with weak bounce. Market structure favors continuation lower. Entry at current level with TP at $3,050 (support zone, -2.7% move) and SL at $3,210 (above EMA resistance, +2.4%). This gives 1.1:1 R/R which is suboptimal, but bearish momentum and correlation with BTC weakness justify the trade.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,050 targets next support level and round number. SL at $3,210 above both EMAs and recent resistance zone. Exit early if price reclaims $3,175 with volume or RSI crosses above 55, indicating failed breakdown.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $196.78
Allocation: 20.0% ($39.36 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,133.60
Size: 0.0377 coins
Notional value: $118.14
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0377 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,050, SL: $3,210
✅ Market order filled @ $3,132.80
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44493483594)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44493484184)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL in strong bearish trend: price at $137.15 well below EMA(20) $139.29 and EMA(50) $141.55. RSI(14) at 38.4 shows oversold in downtrend = continuation opportunity. Recent 9h candle dropped -1.3% to $136.46 low, testing key support. Price action shows lower highs pattern ($140.51 → $138.15). Previous SHORT trades have been profitable (3 wins recently). ATR at $1.40 suggests moderate volatility. Entry here with TP at $134.50 (next support, -1.9%) and SL at $139.80 (above EMA20, +1.9%) gives clean 1:1 R/R with trend on our side.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $134.50 targets breakdown continuation below recent $136.20 low. SL at $139.80 above EMA(20) protects against trend reversal. Exit early if price breaks above $139.50 with strong volume or RSI crosses 50, signaling failed breakdown.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $196.78
Allocation: 25.0% ($49.20 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $137.15
Size: 1.0800 coins
Notional value: $148.12
📝 Executing SHORT 1.08 SOL @ 3x with TP: $134, SL: $140
✅ Market order filled @ $136.84
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44493487513)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44493488111)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position is performing well (+0.92% P&L) and thesis remains intact. Price broke below $92k support and is consolidating around $91k. RSI(14) at 38 shows oversold momentum in a bearish trend (price below both EMAs). The 9h candle showed a sharp -1.1% drop to $90.9k, confirming downward pressure. TP at $89.8k is reasonable (~1.3% away) and SL at $93.2k protects against invalidation. Trust the TP/SL orders - no need to manually close a winning position that hasn't reached targets or invalidation.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: CRITICAL DATA ISSUE: AVAX data is 9 hours stale (last update 03:00 UTC, now 12:00 UTC). Candles show flat $14.75 for 7 hours then sudden drop to $14.47. RSI(7) at extreme 2.8 and RSI(14) at 21.8 suggest oversold, but this could be data artifact. Cannot make informed trading decisions with stale/suspicious data. Asset may be experiencing exchange issues or low liquidity. AVOID trading until fresh, reliable data confirms market is active and pricing is accurate.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=111
2 order(s) executed
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