Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-05 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-05 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $204.01
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-05 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-05 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-03 16:00 → 2025-12-05 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,127.00
Period Change: -3.28%
Range: $87,835.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 10:00: O=$90,930.00 H=$91,246.00 L=$90,876.00 C=$91,084.00 (+0.2%)
12-05 11:00: O=$91,111.00 H=$91,313.00 L=$90,905.00 C=$91,086.00 (-0.0%)
12-05 12:00: O=$91,073.00 H=$91,178.00 L=$90,872.00 C=$90,991.00 (-0.1%)
12-05 13:00: O=$90,939.00 H=$91,044.00 L=$90,000.00 C=$90,270.00 (-0.7%)
12-05 14:00: O=$90,173.00 H=$90,440.00 L=$89,183.00 C=$89,965.00 (-0.2%)
12-05 15:00: O=$90,012.00 H=$91,134.00 L=$90,008.00 C=$90,231.00 (+0.2%)
12-05 16:00: O=$90,323.00 H=$90,366.00 L=$87,835.00 C=$88,596.00 (-1.9%)
12-05 17:00: O=$88,642.00 H=$89,181.00 L=$88,437.00 C=$89,127.00 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 27.5
RSI(14): 33.3
EMA(20): $90,873.40
EMA(50): $92,028.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $820.29
ETH:
Current Price: $3,034.70
Period Change: -1.75%
Range: $3,002.40 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 10:00: O=$3,122.80 H=$3,151.80 L=$3,122.30 C=$3,139.30 (+0.5%)
12-05 11:00: O=$3,138.00 H=$3,146.80 L=$3,116.90 C=$3,134.40 (-0.1%)
12-05 12:00: O=$3,133.60 H=$3,138.30 L=$3,123.30 C=$3,133.00 (-0.0%)
12-05 13:00: O=$3,129.60 H=$3,140.10 L=$3,092.60 C=$3,108.20 (-0.7%)
12-05 14:00: O=$3,101.80 H=$3,115.20 L=$3,088.70 C=$3,106.30 (+0.1%)
12-05 15:00: O=$3,106.00 H=$3,166.90 L=$3,103.00 C=$3,105.60 (-0.0%)
12-05 16:00: O=$3,108.60 H=$3,108.60 L=$3,002.40 C=$3,041.70 (-2.2%)
12-05 17:00: O=$3,033.10 H=$3,040.50 L=$3,013.90 C=$3,034.70 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 13.6
RSI(14): 31.2
EMA(20): $3,123.44
EMA(50): $3,157.92
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $37.35
SOL:
Current Price: $132.22
Period Change: -6.37%
Range: $131.21 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 10:00: O=$136.43 H=$138.08 L=$136.20 C=$137.72 (+0.9%)
12-05 11:00: O=$137.76 H=$138.15 L=$136.96 C=$137.15 (-0.4%)
12-05 12:00: O=$136.96 H=$137.24 L=$136.69 C=$136.80 (-0.1%)
12-05 13:00: O=$136.76 H=$137.14 L=$135.95 C=$136.13 (-0.5%)
12-05 14:00: O=$136.10 H=$136.46 L=$134.65 C=$134.94 (-0.9%)
12-05 15:00: O=$134.95 H=$137.26 L=$134.79 C=$135.12 (+0.1%)
12-05 16:00: O=$135.03 H=$135.20 L=$131.29 C=$132.26 (-2.1%)
12-05 17:00: O=$132.13 H=$132.73 L=$131.21 C=$132.22 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 16.3
RSI(14): 26.9
EMA(20): $137.05
EMA(50): $140.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.61
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.34
Period Change: -5.64%
Range: $13.34 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 10:00: O=$14.47 H=$14.47 L=$14.47 C=$14.47 (+0.0%)
12-05 11:00: O=$14.47 H=$14.47 L=$14.47 C=$14.47 (+0.0%)
12-05 12:00: O=$13.71 H=$13.72 L=$13.71 C=$13.71 (-0.0%)
12-05 13:00: O=$13.74 H=$13.74 L=$13.63 C=$13.65 (-0.6%)
12-05 14:00: O=$13.68 H=$13.68 L=$13.58 C=$13.58 (-0.7%)
12-05 15:00: O=$13.67 H=$13.75 L=$13.64 C=$13.64 (-0.2%)
12-05 16:00: O=$13.64 H=$13.64 L=$13.64 C=$13.64 (+0.0%)
12-05 17:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.34 C=$13.34 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 5.2
RSI(14): 14.2
EMA(20): $14.12
EMA(50): $14.51
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish continuation with price breaking below $88k support in last 2 hours. RSI(7) at 27.5 shows oversold in downtrend = SHORT opportunity. Price below both EMA20 ($90,873) and EMA50 ($92,028) confirms bearish structure. Recent candle shows -1.9% drop with violent selloff from $90,323 to $87,835 low. Downtrend momentum intact, expect retest of $87k-$88k range.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $204.01
Allocation: 30.0% ($61.20 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $89,127.00
Size: 0.0021 coins
Notional value: $183.60
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00206 BTC @ 3x with TP: $86,500, SL: $90,350
✅ Market order filled @ $89,081.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44515432071)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44515432875)
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Extremely oversold RSI(7) at 13.6 but in strong bearish trend = continuation opportunity, not reversal. Massive -2.2% candle broke $3,100 support to $3,002 low. Price well below EMA20 ($3,123) and EMA50 ($3,157). ETH showing relative weakness vs BTC. Recent TP hit at $3,050 validates bearish momentum. Target lower support zones.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $204.01
Allocation: 25.0% ($51.00 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,034.70
Size: 0.0504 coins
Notional value: $152.95
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0504 ETH @ 3x with TP: $2,920, SL: $3,095
✅ Market order filled @ $3,033.50
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44515436891)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44515437787)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Most oversold of all assets (RSI(7) 16.3, RSI(14) 26.9) but bearish trend remains dominant. Three consecutive TP hits on shorts validate downtrend strength. Price collapsed from $135 to $131.21 low, now at $132.22. Below both EMAs confirms bearish structure. High conviction short continuation despite oversold readings.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 32.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 (2.8% move, ~2.5:1 R:R at psychological support). SL at $134.70 above recent low and 1.5x ATR. Three successful shorts show strong momentum - ride the trend. Exit if bullish divergence forms or volume surge on bounce.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 87.0% (current: 55.0%, new: 32.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Severely oversold (RSI(7) 5.2, RSI(14) 14.2) but extreme readings in downtrend = washout continuation risk. Price at $13.34 (period low), dropped -5.64%. Below EMA20 ($14.12) and EMA50 ($14.51). However, extreme oversold + static candles last 3 hours suggest capitulation phase. Conservative short with tight stops given potential bounce risk.
Confidence: 58%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.85 (3.7% move, ~2:1 R:R). SL at $13.75 tight given extreme oversold conditions and potential bounce. Lower conviction due to RSI extremes - will take quick profit. Exit immediately if reversal candle forms or BTC bounces hard.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $204.01
Allocation: 20.0% ($40.80 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $13.34
Size: 6.1200 coins
Notional value: $81.63
📝 Executing SHORT 6.12 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.39
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44515442927)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44515443690)
💾 Database saved: run_id=112
4 order(s) executed
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