Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-06 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-05 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $205.28
Margin Used: $154.57 (75.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-06 00:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-05 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-03 22:00 → 2025-12-06 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,076.00
Period Change: -4.42%
Range: $87,835.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 16:00: O=$90,323.00 H=$90,366.00 L=$87,835.00 C=$88,596.00 (-1.9%)
12-05 17:00: O=$88,642.00 H=$89,181.00 L=$88,437.00 C=$89,127.00 (+0.5%)
12-05 18:00: O=$89,081.00 H=$89,592.00 L=$88,715.00 C=$88,806.00 (-0.3%)
12-05 19:00: O=$88,769.00 H=$89,562.00 L=$88,602.00 C=$89,452.00 (+0.8%)
12-05 20:00: O=$89,458.00 H=$89,531.00 L=$88,937.00 C=$89,038.00 (-0.5%)
12-05 21:00: O=$89,148.00 H=$89,269.00 L=$88,757.00 C=$88,901.00 (-0.3%)
12-05 22:00: O=$88,879.00 H=$89,138.00 L=$88,582.00 C=$89,010.00 (+0.1%)
12-05 23:00: O=$89,033.00 H=$89,126.00 L=$88,686.00 C=$89,076.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.0
RSI(14): 33.6
EMA(20): $90,057.80
EMA(50): $91,611.78
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $755.39
ETH:
Current Price: $3,027.00
Period Change: -4.42%
Range: $2,991.00 - $3,237.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 16:00: O=$3,108.60 H=$3,108.60 L=$3,002.40 C=$3,041.70 (-2.2%)
12-05 17:00: O=$3,033.10 H=$3,040.50 L=$3,013.90 C=$3,034.70 (+0.1%)
12-05 18:00: O=$3,033.50 H=$3,062.60 L=$3,010.70 C=$3,010.70 (-0.8%)
12-05 19:00: O=$3,006.60 H=$3,050.70 L=$2,991.00 C=$3,041.50 (+1.2%)
12-05 20:00: O=$3,040.40 H=$3,051.00 L=$3,019.20 C=$3,026.80 (-0.4%)
12-05 21:00: O=$3,024.60 H=$3,040.10 L=$3,018.30 C=$3,021.00 (-0.1%)
12-05 22:00: O=$3,020.00 H=$3,035.50 L=$3,015.60 C=$3,029.20 (+0.3%)
12-05 23:00: O=$3,028.80 H=$3,029.40 L=$3,012.30 C=$3,027.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 30.8
RSI(14): 32.7
EMA(20): $3,080.35
EMA(50): $3,145.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $35.24
SOL:
Current Price: $133.33
Period Change: -8.57%
Range: $130.98 - $146.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 16:00: O=$135.03 H=$135.20 L=$131.29 C=$132.26 (-2.1%)
12-05 17:00: O=$132.13 H=$132.73 L=$131.21 C=$132.22 (+0.1%)
12-05 18:00: O=$132.13 H=$133.03 L=$131.33 C=$131.43 (-0.5%)
12-05 19:00: O=$130.98 H=$132.74 L=$130.98 C=$132.60 (+1.2%)
12-05 20:00: O=$132.50 H=$132.76 L=$132.11 C=$132.51 (+0.0%)
12-05 21:00: O=$132.59 H=$133.02 L=$132.12 C=$132.41 (-0.1%)
12-05 22:00: O=$132.42 H=$132.91 L=$132.16 C=$132.76 (+0.3%)
12-05 23:00: O=$132.78 H=$133.44 L=$132.32 C=$133.33 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.2
RSI(14): 35.7
EMA(20): $135.06
EMA(50): $139.56
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.43
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.14
Period Change: -8.70%
Range: $13.14 - $14.89
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 16:00: O=$13.64 H=$13.64 L=$13.64 C=$13.64 (+0.0%)
12-05 17:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.34 C=$13.34 (+0.0%)
12-05 18:00: O=$13.39 H=$13.39 L=$13.24 C=$13.24 (-1.1%)
12-05 19:00: O=$13.21 H=$13.38 L=$13.21 C=$13.38 (+1.3%)
12-05 20:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
12-05 21:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
12-05 22:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.27 L=$13.26 C=$13.27 (+0.1%)
12-05 23:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.14 C=$13.14 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 14.1
RSI(14): 25.7
EMA(20): $13.75
EMA(50): $14.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00206 @ $89,081.00 (Current: $89,076.00, P&L: +0.01%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+2.9%)
SL: $90,350.00 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0504 @ $3,033.50 (Current: $3,027.00, P&L: +0.21%)
TP: $2,920.00 (+3.7%)
SL: $3,095.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.
AVAX (SHORT): 6.12 @ $13.39 (Current: $13.14, P&L: +1.89%)
TP: $12.85 (+4.0%)
SL: $13.75 (-2.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.85 (3.7% move, ~2:1 R:R). SL at $13.75 tight given extreme oversold conditions and potential bounce. Lower conviction due to RSI extremes - will take quick profit. Exit immediately if reversal candle forms or BTC bounces hard.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-01 06:00 → 12-02 13:35 (31.6h)
Entry: $126.08, Exit: $130.65 P&L: -3.63% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT position profitable (+1.89%, entry $13.39). RSI(7) at 14.1 is EXTREMELY oversold - danger zone for violent bounce. RSI(14) 25.7 also deeply oversold. Current $13.14 at period low, high probability of technical bounce. Already captured 1.89% profit with TP at $12.85 only 2.2% away, but risk/reward deteriorating. Recent candles show deceleration in selling. With margin at 75.3%, prudent to lock profit and reduce exposure before potential snapback. Can re-enter on bounce if trend resumes.
Confidence: 80%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: No current position. Strong SHORT setup: -8.57% period decline, bearish EMA structure (price $133.33 vs EMA20 $135.06 vs EMA50 $139.56). RSI 35.7 oversold BUT in confirmed downtrend = continuation opportunity. Recent candles show failed bounce at $133.44 resistance, now consolidating $132-$133. Three recent SHORT trades all profitable (1.68%, 1.83%, 3.40%). Pattern: weak bounces followed by continuation. Entry here with tight risk given proximity to recent lows.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 (3.6% move, ~2.5:1 R:R) targeting next support level. SL at $135.50 above EMA20 and 1.5x ATR protection. Exit early if BTC reverses strongly above $90k or if SOL RSI forms bullish divergence at support. Lower allocation due to already extreme oversold conditions and risk of snap-back bounce.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 90.3% (current: 75.3%, new: 15.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position working well (+0.01%, entry $89,081). Price at $89,076 consolidating below entry after hitting $87,835 low. TP at $86,500 still 2.9% away. Bearish structure intact: price below both EMAs, RSI 33.6 oversold but in downtrend = continuation signal. Recent candles show tight range $88,600-$89,100, suggesting accumulation before next leg down. Trust the TP/SL - no reason to exit manually when thesis remains valid and we're positioned correctly.
Confidence: 75%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position performing (+0.21%, entry $3,033.50). Current $3,027 testing support at $3,010-$3,020 zone. Bearish trend confirmed: price below 20/50 EMAs, RSI 32.7 oversold in downtrend. Recent candles show weak bounces failing at $3,050 resistance. TP at $2,920 targeting 3.7% move with clean path. Market structure favors continuation - no divergences or reversal signals. Let position run to TP.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=113
2 order(s) executed
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