Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-06 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-06 00:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $203.70
Margin Used: $110.91 (54.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-06 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-06 00:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-04 04:00 → 2025-12-06 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,376.00
Period Change: -4.14%
Range: $87,835.00 - $94,386.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 22:00: O=$88,879.00 H=$89,138.00 L=$88,582.00 C=$89,010.00 (+0.1%)
12-05 23:00: O=$89,033.00 H=$89,126.00 L=$88,686.00 C=$89,076.00 (+0.0%)
12-06 00:00: O=$89,070.00 H=$89,298.00 L=$88,888.00 C=$89,260.00 (+0.2%)
12-06 01:00: O=$89,244.00 H=$89,345.00 L=$88,991.00 C=$89,129.00 (-0.1%)
12-06 02:00: O=$89,127.00 H=$89,219.00 L=$89,017.00 C=$89,219.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 03:00: O=$89,221.00 H=$89,600.00 L=$89,221.00 C=$89,448.00 (+0.3%)
12-06 04:00: O=$89,477.00 H=$89,540.00 L=$89,359.00 C=$89,469.00 (-0.0%)
12-06 05:00: O=$89,532.00 H=$89,549.00 L=$89,254.00 C=$89,376.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.2
RSI(14): 38.8
EMA(20): $89,730.54
EMA(50): $91,155.90
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $594.44
ETH:
Current Price: $3,041.60
Period Change: -5.35%
Range: $2,991.00 - $3,228.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 22:00: O=$3,020.00 H=$3,035.50 L=$3,015.60 C=$3,029.20 (+0.3%)
12-05 23:00: O=$3,028.80 H=$3,029.40 L=$3,012.30 C=$3,027.00 (-0.1%)
12-06 00:00: O=$3,024.50 H=$3,031.70 L=$3,015.20 C=$3,029.20 (+0.2%)
12-06 01:00: O=$3,030.30 H=$3,034.80 L=$3,022.20 C=$3,029.50 (-0.0%)
12-06 02:00: O=$3,028.50 H=$3,032.90 L=$3,021.60 C=$3,032.90 (+0.1%)
12-06 03:00: O=$3,031.10 H=$3,047.60 L=$3,031.10 C=$3,041.60 (+0.3%)
12-06 04:00: O=$3,041.40 H=$3,045.00 L=$3,034.80 C=$3,038.90 (-0.1%)
12-06 05:00: O=$3,039.80 H=$3,043.20 L=$3,037.50 C=$3,041.60 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.5
RSI(14): 37.5
EMA(20): $3,060.73
EMA(50): $3,125.31
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $26.70
SOL:
Current Price: $133.14
Period Change: -8.05%
Range: $130.98 - $144.83
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 22:00: O=$132.42 H=$132.91 L=$132.16 C=$132.76 (+0.3%)
12-05 23:00: O=$132.78 H=$133.44 L=$132.32 C=$133.33 (+0.4%)
12-06 00:00: O=$133.31 H=$133.71 L=$132.87 C=$133.53 (+0.2%)
12-06 01:00: O=$133.42 H=$133.88 L=$133.29 C=$133.63 (+0.2%)
12-06 02:00: O=$133.55 H=$133.55 L=$132.94 C=$133.44 (-0.1%)
12-06 03:00: O=$133.46 H=$134.20 L=$133.36 C=$133.81 (+0.3%)
12-06 04:00: O=$133.72 H=$133.76 L=$133.08 C=$133.26 (-0.3%)
12-06 05:00: O=$133.25 H=$133.45 L=$132.97 C=$133.14 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.1
RSI(14): 34.3
EMA(20): $134.35
EMA(50): $138.20
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.15
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.32
Period Change: -9.71%
Range: $13.14 - $14.75
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-05 20:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
12-05 21:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
12-05 22:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.27 L=$13.26 C=$13.27 (+0.1%)
12-05 23:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.14 C=$13.14 (-0.7%)
12-06 00:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.22 L=$13.14 C=$13.22 (+0.2%)
12-06 01:00: O=$13.31 H=$13.31 L=$13.31 C=$13.31 (+0.0%)
12-06 02:00: O=$13.31 H=$13.31 L=$13.26 C=$13.27 (-0.3%)
12-06 03:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.32 L=$13.30 C=$13.32 (+0.2%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.8
RSI(14): 28.2
EMA(20): $13.60
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00206 @ $89,081.00 (Current: $89,376.00, P&L: -0.33%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+2.9%)
SL: $90,350.00 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0504 @ $3,033.50 (Current: $3,041.60, P&L: -0.27%)
TP: $2,920.00 (+3.7%)
SL: $3,095.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish setup: -8.05% period decline, price at $133.14 well below EMA20 ($134.35) and EMA50 ($138.20). RSI(14) at 34.3 shows weakness but not yet oversold panic. Recent 8h candles show failed bounce attempts with consistent lower highs. Three consecutive SHORT TPs hit recently (12/4-12/5) demonstrate this trend is reliable. Current consolidation around $133 after rejection from $134.20 resistance offers good SHORT entry. ATR at $1.15 allows tight stop. With 54.4% margin used, can add 15% more for high-conviction trend continuation.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $129.50 targets -2.7% move to test recent lows near $131 support zone with 2:1 R:R. SL at $135.00 above EMA20 and recent resistance at $134.20, approximately 1.6x ATR protection. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply above $90k or SOL reclaims EMA20 with volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $203.70
Allocation: 15.0% ($30.56 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $133.14
Size: 0.9200 coins
Notional value: $122.49
📝 Executing SHORT 0.92 SOL @ 4x with TP: $130, SL: $135
✅ Market order filled @ $133.02
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44538749831)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44538750415)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Current SHORT position is working well with price consolidating below EMAs in bearish structure. Price at $89,376 vs entry $89,081 shows only -0.33% drawdown. Recent 8h candles show choppy consolidation around $89k with no clear breakout. TP at $86,500 and SL at $90,350 remain valid. Price hasn't reclaimed $90k resistance or shown reversal signals. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to close early just because position exists. Bearish EMA alignment (price < EMA20 < EMA50) and RSI(14) at 38.8 support continuation lower.
Confidence: 75%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Current SHORT position showing minimal drawdown (-0.27%) with price at $3,041.60 vs entry $3,033.50. Bearish structure intact: price < EMA20 ($3,060.73) < EMA50 ($3,125.31). RSI(14) at 37.5 shows weakness without being oversold enough for reversal. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation with small bullish wicks but no breakout above $3,045. TP at $2,920 targets next support level with solid 3.7% reward. SL at $3,095 protects against failed breakdown. No thesis invalidation - let the position work toward TP.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Data is 3 hours stale (last update 03:00, now 06:00) making it unreliable for new position entry. Price at $13.32 shows -9.71% period decline with RSI(14) at 28.2 (deeply oversold), but without current data cannot confirm if bounce has started. Recent AVAX SHORT closed manually at 00:00 with +1.45% profit. While bearish structure remains (price < EMA20), the stale data and extremely oversold RSI create too much uncertainty. Wait for fresh data before re-entering.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=114
1 order(s) executed
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