Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-06 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-06 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $202.19
Margin Used: $140.00 (69.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-06 18:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-06 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-04 16:00 → 2025-12-06 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,506.00
Period Change: -3.46%
Range: $87,835.00 - $92,857.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 10:00: O=$89,395.00 H=$89,536.00 L=$89,159.00 C=$89,326.00 (-0.1%)
12-06 11:00: O=$89,320.00 H=$89,492.00 L=$89,311.00 C=$89,401.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 12:00: O=$89,397.00 H=$89,438.00 L=$89,307.00 C=$89,428.00 (+0.0%)
12-06 13:00: O=$89,336.00 H=$89,570.00 L=$89,336.00 C=$89,461.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 14:00: O=$89,471.00 H=$89,960.00 L=$89,282.00 C=$89,792.00 (+0.4%)
12-06 15:00: O=$89,728.00 H=$89,756.00 L=$88,190.00 C=$89,438.00 (-0.3%)
12-06 16:00: O=$89,458.00 H=$89,835.00 L=$89,458.00 C=$89,523.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 17:00: O=$89,544.00 H=$89,632.00 L=$89,400.00 C=$89,506.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.2
RSI(14): 46.3
EMA(20): $89,537.77
EMA(50): $90,379.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $530.01
ETH:
Current Price: $3,059.70
Period Change: -4.75%
Range: $2,991.00 - $3,227.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 10:00: O=$3,032.00 H=$3,049.20 L=$3,027.50 C=$3,035.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 11:00: O=$3,032.90 H=$3,044.70 L=$3,031.20 C=$3,044.70 (+0.4%)
12-06 12:00: O=$3,041.80 H=$3,044.00 L=$3,034.00 C=$3,035.40 (-0.2%)
12-06 13:00: O=$3,035.20 H=$3,044.70 L=$3,033.60 C=$3,041.20 (+0.2%)
12-06 14:00: O=$3,039.20 H=$3,066.70 L=$3,038.60 C=$3,058.60 (+0.6%)
12-06 15:00: O=$3,058.60 H=$3,059.00 L=$3,032.50 C=$3,043.10 (-0.5%)
12-06 16:00: O=$3,044.00 H=$3,068.00 L=$3,044.00 C=$3,056.60 (+0.4%)
12-06 17:00: O=$3,053.80 H=$3,062.20 L=$3,050.50 C=$3,059.70 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 61.6
RSI(14): 50.2
EMA(20): $3,049.30
EMA(50): $3,089.82
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $21.81
SOL:
Current Price: $132.99
Period Change: -7.18%
Range: $130.98 - $143.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 10:00: O=$132.59 H=$133.00 L=$132.53 C=$132.86 (+0.2%)
12-06 11:00: O=$132.77 H=$133.37 L=$132.76 C=$133.27 (+0.4%)
12-06 12:00: O=$133.15 H=$133.15 L=$132.68 C=$132.70 (-0.3%)
12-06 13:00: O=$132.70 H=$133.35 L=$132.63 C=$133.05 (+0.3%)
12-06 14:00: O=$132.93 H=$133.95 L=$132.88 C=$133.78 (+0.6%)
12-06 15:00: O=$133.77 H=$133.86 L=$132.29 C=$132.99 (-0.6%)
12-06 16:00: O=$132.99 H=$133.61 L=$132.78 C=$133.11 (+0.1%)
12-06 17:00: O=$133.05 H=$133.36 L=$132.68 C=$132.99 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.5
RSI(14): 41.4
EMA(20): $133.39
EMA(50): $135.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.96
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.34
Period Change: -9.60%
Range: $13.14 - $14.75
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 10:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
12-06 11:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
12-06 12:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
12-06 13:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (+0.0%)
12-06 14:00: O=$13.25 H=$13.25 L=$13.25 C=$13.25 (+0.0%)
12-06 15:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.33 L=$13.22 C=$13.33 (+0.2%)
12-06 16:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.41 L=$13.39 C=$13.39 (-0.0%)
12-06 17:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.33 C=$13.34 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.7
RSI(14): 39.9
EMA(20): $13.38
EMA(50): $13.87
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.92 @ $133.02 (Current: $132.99, P&L: +0.02%)
TP: $129.50 (+2.6%)
SL: $135.00 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $129.50 targets -2.7% move to test recent lows near $131 support zone with 2:1 R:R. SL at $135.00 above EMA20 and recent resistance at $134.20, approximately 1.6x ATR protection. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply above $90k or SOL reclaims EMA20 with volume.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00206 @ $89,081.00 (Current: $89,506.00, P&L: -0.48%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+2.9%)
SL: $90,350.00 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0504 @ $3,033.50 (Current: $3,059.70, P&L: -0.86%)
TP: $2,920.00 (+3.7%)
SL: $3,095.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish setup: -9.6% period decline, price below both EMAs (EMA20: $13.38, EMA50: $13.87). RSI at 51.7/39.9 shows weakness without being oversold, leaving room for continuation. Recent price action shows consolidation at $13.30-$13.40 after sharp decline from $14.75. Failed to reclaim $13.40 resistance. Market structure aligns with BTC/ETH/SOL bearishness. ATR at $0.06 suggests volatility for moves. Entry at current $13.34 with TP at $13.00 (-2.5%, testing psychological support) and SL at $13.60 (+1.9%, above recent consolidation and EMA20). 2:1 R:R with 1.5x ATR stop protection.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $13.00 targets -2.5% move to psychological support and period low area near $13.14. SL at $13.60 above recent consolidation high and EMA20, providing ~4.3x ATR protection (conservative given data quality concerns with flat candles). Exit early if BTC reverses sharply above $90k or AVAX reclaims $13.50 with volume confirmation. 2:1 R:R setup.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 89.2% (current: 69.2%, new: 20.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position currently -0.48% underwater but thesis remains intact. Price consolidating in tight $89.4k-$89.6k range with bearish EMA structure (price below EMA20 at $89,537, EMA20 below EMA50). RSI neutral at 52.2/46.3. Recent failed bounce at $89,960 (15:00 candle) rejected back down confirms resistance. TP at $86,500 still viable targeting lower support. SL at $90,350 provides 1.5x ATR protection. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to close manually as bearish structure persists.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position -0.86% underwater but showing recent strength with price climbing from $3,032 to $3,059 over last 8 hours. However, still in bearish EMA structure (price above EMA20 at $3,049 but below EMA50 at $3,089). RSI at 61.6/50.2 shows short-term overbought but not extreme. This bounce could be consolidation before next leg down. TP at $2,920 targets -3.7% move to key support. SL at $3,095 protects against breakout above EMA50. Slightly concerning but not invalidated - hold and trust stops.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position barely in profit at +0.02% but thesis intact. Price action showing tight consolidation $132.7-$133.4 range, respecting resistance at EMA20 ($133.39). Bearish EMA structure confirmed (EMA20 < EMA50). RSI at 47.5/41.4 shows weakness without being oversold. Recent rejection from $133.95 (14:00 candle) pushed back to $132.99 confirms selling pressure. TP at $129.50 targets -2.6% move to test period lows. SL at $135.00 above resistance provides 1.6x ATR protection. Trust the setup.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=116
1 order(s) executed
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