Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-07 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-06 18:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $204.66
Margin Used: $142.47 (69.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-07 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-06 18:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-04 22:00 → 2025-12-07 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,976.00
Period Change: -3.23%
Range: $87,835.00 - $92,456.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 16:00: O=$89,458.00 H=$89,835.00 L=$89,458.00 C=$89,523.00 (+0.1%)
12-06 17:00: O=$89,544.00 H=$89,632.00 L=$89,400.00 C=$89,506.00 (-0.0%)
12-06 18:00: O=$89,519.00 H=$89,630.00 L=$89,178.00 C=$89,439.00 (-0.1%)
12-06 19:00: O=$89,477.00 H=$89,568.00 L=$89,118.00 C=$89,202.00 (-0.3%)
12-06 20:00: O=$89,194.00 H=$89,341.00 L=$89,145.00 C=$89,340.00 (+0.2%)
12-06 21:00: O=$89,330.00 H=$89,384.00 L=$89,171.00 C=$89,200.00 (-0.1%)
12-06 22:00: O=$89,200.00 H=$89,278.00 L=$88,919.00 C=$89,019.00 (-0.2%)
12-06 23:00: O=$89,051.00 H=$89,051.00 L=$88,701.00 C=$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.7
RSI(14): 35.8
EMA(20): $89,387.09
EMA(50): $90,044.32
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $450.99
ETH:
Current Price: $3,040.00
Period Change: -2.78%
Range: $2,991.00 - $3,196.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 17:00: O=$3,053.80 H=$3,062.20 L=$3,050.50 C=$3,059.70 (+0.2%)
12-06 18:00: O=$3,058.20 H=$3,058.20 L=$3,041.60 C=$3,045.40 (-0.4%)
12-06 19:00: O=$3,045.00 H=$3,050.70 L=$3,030.30 C=$3,036.30 (-0.3%)
12-06 20:00: O=$3,037.20 H=$3,046.10 L=$3,035.10 C=$3,044.30 (+0.2%)
12-06 21:00: O=$3,041.90 H=$3,048.10 L=$3,041.90 C=$3,046.20 (+0.1%)
12-06 22:00: O=$3,047.40 H=$3,056.00 L=$3,043.80 C=$3,046.90 (-0.0%)
12-06 23:00: O=$3,047.50 H=$3,047.50 L=$3,032.10 C=$3,043.90 (-0.1%)
12-07 00:00: O=$3,040.00 H=$3,040.00 L=$3,040.00 C=$3,040.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.4
RSI(14): 43.2
EMA(20): $3,046.94
EMA(50): $3,076.00
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $17.45
SOL:
Current Price: $132.22
Period Change: -4.89%
Range: $130.98 - $140.51
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 17:00: O=$133.05 H=$133.36 L=$132.68 C=$132.99 (-0.0%)
12-06 18:00: O=$132.98 H=$133.26 L=$132.67 C=$132.90 (-0.1%)
12-06 19:00: O=$132.79 H=$133.01 L=$131.88 C=$132.18 (-0.5%)
12-06 20:00: O=$132.14 H=$132.68 L=$132.14 C=$132.52 (+0.3%)
12-06 21:00: O=$132.44 H=$132.80 L=$132.28 C=$132.46 (+0.0%)
12-06 22:00: O=$132.49 H=$132.65 L=$131.98 C=$132.19 (-0.2%)
12-06 23:00: O=$132.22 H=$132.41 L=$131.43 C=$132.25 (+0.0%)
12-07 00:00: O=$132.22 H=$132.22 L=$132.22 C=$132.22 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.9
RSI(14): 38.1
EMA(20): $132.89
EMA(50): $134.61
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.81
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.38
Period Change: -9.28%
Range: $13.14 - $14.75
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-06 16:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.41 L=$13.39 C=$13.39 (-0.0%)
12-06 17:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.33 C=$13.34 (-0.3%)
12-06 18:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.34 C=$13.34 (+0.0%)
12-06 19:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (-0.0%)
12-06 20:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.35 L=$13.29 C=$13.34 (+0.4%)
12-06 21:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.37 C=$13.37 (-0.1%)
12-06 22:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
12-06 23:00: O=$13.37 H=$13.38 L=$13.31 C=$13.38 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.2
RSI(14): 46.0
EMA(20): $13.38
EMA(50): $13.70
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.92 @ $133.02 (Current: $132.22, P&L: +0.60%)
TP: $129.50 (+2.6%)
SL: $135.00 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $129.50 targets -2.7% move to test recent lows near $131 support zone with 2:1 R:R. SL at $135.00 above EMA20 and recent resistance at $134.20, approximately 1.6x ATR protection. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply above $90k or SOL reclaims EMA20 with volume.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00206 @ $89,081.00 (Current: $88,976.00, P&L: +0.12%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+2.9%)
SL: $90,350.00 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (2.9% move, ~3:1 R:R). SL at $90,350 above recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR from entry. Exit early if price reclaims $90k with strong volume or RSI divergence forms at support.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0504 @ $3,033.50 (Current: $3,040.00, P&L: -0.21%)
TP: $2,920.00 (+3.7%)
SL: $3,095.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,920 (3.8% move, ~2:1 R:R targeting next support). SL at $3,095 above recent consolidation and 1.6x ATR protection. Close if BTC reverses sharply or volume dries up at support.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-01 18:00 → 12-02 14:20 (20.3h)
Entry: $2,742.80, Exit: $2,851.19 P&L: -3.95% ($-6.02) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 00:00 → 12-03 06:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $138.84, Exit: $143.41 P&L: +3.29% ($+5.26) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-03 12:00 → 12-03 14:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $141.84, Exit: $139.50 P&L: -1.65% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position from $89,081 is working well (+0.12% P&L). Price at $88,976 continues downtrend with RSI(14) at 35.8 showing oversold conditions but no reversal signals yet. Price below both EMA20 ($89,387) and EMA50 ($90,044) confirms bearish structure. Recent 8h candles show consistent lower highs with last candle dropping to $88,701 low. TP at $86,500 remains valid target. Trust the position and let TP/SL work - no reason to exit early.
Confidence: 75%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT from $3,033.50 is slightly underwater (-0.21% P&L) but thesis remains intact. Price at $3,040 below EMA20 ($3,046.94) and EMA50 ($3,076) maintaining bearish trend. RSI(14) at 43.2 shows neutral momentum, not oversold enough for reversal. Recent consolidation between $3,030-$3,060 suggests indecision but no bullish breakout. With margin at 69.6%, need to be patient and let position work toward $2,920 TP. Small drawdown is normal - SL at $3,095 provides adequate protection.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT from $133.02 performing well (+0.60% P&L). Current price $132.22 below EMA20 ($132.89) and EMA50 ($134.61) confirming downtrend. RSI(14) at 38.1 shows bearish momentum without oversold reversal signals. Recent candles show tight consolidation $131.88-$133.26 with slight downward bias. TP at $129.50 targets -2.7% move to test support zone with solid 2:1 R:R. Position sizing is appropriate and trend remains bearish. Let the trade work.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: No position currently. AVAX shows -9.28% period decline, worst performer. However, current price $13.38 exactly at EMA20 ($13.38), below EMA50 ($13.70) indicating bearish trend. RSI(7) at 58.2 and RSI(14) at 46.0 show neutral momentum - not oversold for shorts, not overbought for longs. Recent 8h candles extremely tight range $13.29-$13.40 showing low volatility consolidation. With margin already at 69.6% across 3 positions, adding 4th position would exceed safe limits. Market structure unclear - wait for breakout above $13.50 or breakdown below $13.20 for clearer signal.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=117
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