Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-07 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-07 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $201.60
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-07 18:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-07 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-05 16:00 → 2025-12-07 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,762.00
Period Change: +0.49%
Range: $87,519.00 - $91,101.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 10:00: O=$88,903.00 H=$89,180.00 L=$88,865.00 C=$89,081.00 (+0.2%)
12-07 11:00: O=$89,048.00 H=$89,113.00 L=$88,904.00 C=$88,934.00 (-0.1%)
12-07 12:00: O=$88,964.00 H=$89,370.00 L=$88,868.00 C=$89,216.00 (+0.3%)
12-07 13:00: O=$89,284.00 H=$89,318.00 L=$88,049.00 C=$88,788.00 (-0.6%)
12-07 14:00: O=$88,808.00 H=$88,832.00 L=$87,519.00 C=$88,047.00 (-0.9%)
12-07 15:00: O=$87,967.00 H=$89,318.00 L=$87,938.00 C=$89,318.00 (+1.5%)
12-07 16:00: O=$89,368.00 H=$89,470.00 L=$89,052.00 C=$89,470.00 (+0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$89,500.00 H=$91,101.00 L=$89,452.00 C=$90,762.00 (+1.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 73.1
RSI(14): 67.5
EMA(20): $89,277.90
EMA(50): $89,249.40
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $673.20
ETH:
Current Price: $3,118.60
Period Change: +0.32%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,131.10
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 10:00: O=$3,034.10 H=$3,048.10 L=$3,031.20 C=$3,043.20 (+0.3%)
12-07 11:00: O=$3,041.70 H=$3,045.30 L=$3,039.90 C=$3,040.90 (-0.0%)
12-07 12:00: O=$3,039.30 H=$3,055.00 L=$3,038.80 C=$3,053.50 (+0.5%)
12-07 13:00: O=$3,052.50 H=$3,057.30 L=$3,034.20 C=$3,037.00 (-0.5%)
12-07 14:00: O=$3,035.20 H=$3,060.30 L=$2,906.90 C=$2,947.40 (-2.9%)
12-07 15:00: O=$2,945.80 H=$3,037.80 L=$2,944.70 C=$3,023.00 (+2.6%)
12-07 16:00: O=$3,025.70 H=$3,032.60 L=$3,003.20 C=$3,029.50 (+0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$3,039.80 H=$3,131.10 L=$3,033.20 C=$3,118.60 (+2.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.7
RSI(14): 62.8
EMA(20): $3,042.19
EMA(50): $3,039.98
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $35.53
SOL:
Current Price: $134.77
Period Change: -0.19%
Range: $127.08 - $135.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 11:00: O=$132.31 H=$132.55 L=$132.18 C=$132.35 (+0.0%)
12-07 12:00: O=$132.46 H=$133.00 L=$132.39 C=$132.93 (+0.4%)
12-07 13:00: O=$132.88 H=$133.00 L=$131.60 C=$131.71 (-0.9%)
12-07 14:00: O=$131.71 H=$132.50 L=$127.08 C=$128.15 (-2.7%)
12-07 15:00: O=$128.15 H=$132.09 L=$128.12 C=$132.09 (+3.1%)
12-07 16:00: O=$131.66 H=$131.68 L=$130.49 C=$131.64 (-0.0%)
12-07 17:00: O=$131.69 H=$135.50 L=$131.31 C=$134.76 (+2.3%)
12-07 18:00: O=$134.75 H=$134.77 L=$134.75 C=$134.77 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 64.1
RSI(14): 59.1
EMA(20): $132.55
EMA(50): $132.74
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.46
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.55
Period Change: -0.64%
Range: $13.10 - $13.64
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 10:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.35 L=$13.34 C=$13.35 (+0.1%)
12-07 11:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-07 12:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-07 13:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.35 L=$13.31 C=$13.32 (-0.1%)
12-07 14:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.10 C=$13.10 (-1.4%)
12-07 15:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.27 L=$13.11 C=$13.27 (+1.3%)
12-07 16:00: O=$13.37 H=$13.37 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (-0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$13.48 H=$13.55 L=$13.47 C=$13.55 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.4
RSI(14): 54.2
EMA(20): $13.37
EMA(50): $13.35
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 12-03 18:00 → 12-04 19:35 (25.6h)
Entry: $92,690.40, Exit: $90,733.19 P&L: -2.11% ($-3.62) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing strong reversal pattern: flash crash to 127.08 at 14:00 (-2.7%), followed by two strong bullish candles (+3.1%, +2.3%) recovering to 134.77. Price now above EMA(20) at 132.55, attempting to reclaim bullish structure. RSI(7) 64.1, RSI(14) 59.1 - healthy levels, not overbought. Recent short history successful (3 TPs hit). EMA trend technically bearish but price action suggests trend change. Entry at 134.77 after confirmation of 132+ support holding. This is a momentum continuation play on the V-recovery.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at 140.50 (+4.3%, previous resistance zone). SL at 131.50 (-2.4%, below recent consolidation and 1.5x ATR). R:R = 1.8:1. Exit early if price fails to hold above 133 or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Targeting gap fill to pre-dump levels.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $201.60
Allocation: 25.0% ($50.40 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $134.77
Size: 1.1200 coins
Notional value: $150.94
📝 Executing LONG 1.12 SOL @ 3x with TP: $140, SL: $132
✅ Market order filled @ $134.94
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44615493899)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44615495707)
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX showing similar V-recovery pattern: dropped to 13.10 at 14:00 (-1.4%), recovered cleanly to 13.55. Price above both EMAs (13.37/13.35) with bullish crossover structure. RSI(7) 67.4, RSI(14) 54.2 - strong but not overbought. Low volatility asset (ATR $0.07, only 0.5% of price). Recent short closed manually at profit. Clean technical setup with tight range suggesting accumulation before move. Small account size ($201) makes AVAX's lower volatility attractive for position sizing.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at 14.10 (+4.1%, round number resistance). SL at 13.25 (-2.2%, below flash crash low and 1.5x ATR). R:R = 1.85:1. Exit if breaks below 13.35 EMA support or if broader market reverses. Conservative sizing due to lower conviction vs SOL.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $201.60
Allocation: 22.0% ($44.35 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.55
Size: 9.8200 coins
Notional value: $133.06
⚠️ Skipping AVAX: asset at open interest cap
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing strong bullish momentum with +2.9% spike in last hour (89,500→91,101). RSI(7) at 73.1 is overbought, RSI(14) at 67.5. Price above both EMAs (bullish structure) but just got rejected from recent shorts at SL. Entry here would be chasing - need consolidation or pullback to 89k support. Recent position history shows whipsaw (short stopped at 90,310, now at 90,762). Wait for clearer setup.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH mirroring BTC with strong +2.6% bounce in last hour (3,039→3,131). RSI(7) 68.7, RSI(14) 62.8 - approaching overbought. Price above EMAs confirming bullish trend reversal. However, just stopped out of short at 3,090 and now price at 3,118 - this is classic whipsaw territory. The 14:00 flash crash to 2,906 (-2.9%) followed by V-recovery suggests high volatility. ATR at $35.53. Need to see if this breakout holds above 3,100 resistance before entering.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=120
2 order(s) executed
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