Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-08 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-07 18:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.47
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-08 00:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-07 18:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-05 22:00 → 2025-12-08 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,140.00
Period Change: +1.42%
Range: $87,519.00 - $91,606.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 16:00: O=$89,368.00 H=$89,470.00 L=$89,052.00 C=$89,470.00 (+0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$89,500.00 H=$91,101.00 L=$89,452.00 C=$90,762.00 (+1.4%)
12-07 18:00: O=$90,781.00 H=$91,574.00 L=$90,781.00 C=$91,130.00 (+0.4%)
12-07 19:00: O=$91,205.00 H=$91,606.00 L=$90,182.00 C=$91,169.00 (-0.0%)
12-07 20:00: O=$91,202.00 H=$91,286.00 L=$90,974.00 C=$91,197.00 (-0.0%)
12-07 21:00: O=$91,172.00 H=$91,208.00 L=$89,632.00 C=$89,908.00 (-1.4%)
12-07 22:00: O=$89,908.00 H=$89,908.00 L=$88,856.00 C=$89,370.00 (-0.6%)
12-07 23:00: O=$89,362.00 H=$90,140.00 L=$89,256.00 C=$90,140.00 (+0.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.1
RSI(14): 54.5
EMA(20): $89,780.60
EMA(50): $89,429.28
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $782.46
ETH:
Current Price: $3,065.50
Period Change: +1.51%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,159.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 16:00: O=$3,025.70 H=$3,032.60 L=$3,003.20 C=$3,029.50 (+0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$3,039.80 H=$3,131.10 L=$3,033.20 C=$3,118.60 (+2.6%)
12-07 18:00: O=$3,121.10 H=$3,153.90 L=$3,120.40 C=$3,136.00 (+0.5%)
12-07 19:00: O=$3,135.50 H=$3,145.90 L=$3,126.90 C=$3,141.80 (+0.2%)
12-07 20:00: O=$3,142.60 H=$3,159.70 L=$3,137.30 C=$3,146.80 (+0.1%)
12-07 21:00: O=$3,144.20 H=$3,144.20 L=$3,073.60 C=$3,083.30 (-1.9%)
12-07 22:00: O=$3,086.00 H=$3,086.00 L=$3,021.50 C=$3,037.70 (-1.6%)
12-07 23:00: O=$3,036.50 H=$3,069.40 L=$3,030.00 C=$3,065.50 (+1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.1
RSI(14): 50.5
EMA(20): $3,066.28
EMA(50): $3,048.68
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $37.72
SOL:
Current Price: $132.13
Period Change: -0.22%
Range: $127.08 - $136.36
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 17:00: O=$131.69 H=$135.50 L=$131.31 C=$134.76 (+2.3%)
12-07 18:00: O=$134.75 H=$136.20 L=$134.75 C=$136.01 (+0.9%)
12-07 19:00: O=$136.01 H=$136.14 L=$135.04 C=$135.67 (-0.2%)
12-07 20:00: O=$135.94 H=$136.36 L=$135.73 C=$136.36 (+0.3%)
12-07 21:00: O=$136.07 H=$136.07 L=$132.51 C=$132.88 (-2.3%)
12-07 22:00: O=$133.03 H=$133.03 L=$129.80 C=$131.13 (-1.4%)
12-07 23:00: O=$131.15 H=$132.42 L=$130.62 C=$132.35 (+0.9%)
12-08 00:00: O=$132.07 H=$132.13 L=$132.07 C=$132.13 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.9
RSI(14): 48.1
EMA(20): $132.90
EMA(50): $132.84
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.63
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.40
Period Change: +1.08%
Range: $13.10 - $13.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-07 16:00: O=$13.37 H=$13.37 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (-0.1%)
12-07 17:00: O=$13.48 H=$13.55 L=$13.47 C=$13.55 (+0.5%)
12-07 18:00: O=$13.70 H=$13.77 L=$13.70 C=$13.72 (+0.2%)
12-07 19:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.72 L=$13.72 C=$13.72 (+0.0%)
12-07 20:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.72 L=$13.72 C=$13.72 (+0.0%)
12-07 21:00: O=$13.48 H=$13.48 L=$13.48 C=$13.48 (+0.0%)
12-07 22:00: O=$13.44 H=$13.44 L=$13.34 C=$13.34 (-0.7%)
12-07 23:00: O=$13.39 H=$13.40 L=$13.39 C=$13.40 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.2
RSI(14): 46.8
EMA(20): $13.44
EMA(50): $13.37
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-04 06:00 → 12-04 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $143.35, Exit: $138.48 P&L: +3.40% ($+3.90) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 10:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $139.03, Exit: $136.49 P&L: +1.83% ($+4.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing clear weakness: rejected hard from $136.36 high, dropped -3.7% in 2 hours to $129.80, now at $132.13. Price below EMA(20) at $132.90 with bearish momentum. RSI at 44.9/48.1 shows selling pressure without being oversold. Recent long got stopped out for -2.63% loss, confirming bearish bias. Multiple successful shorts in recent history (7 profitable shorts). Current bounce to $132 looks like resistance retest - EMA(20) acting as ceiling. Entry at rejection zone with tight stop above recent high.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 targets recent support zone (-2.7% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL at $134.50 above EMA(20) and recent consolidation resistance (1.8% risk, 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price reclaims EMA(20) with volume or if BTC/ETH show strong bullish breakout.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.47
Allocation: 25.0% ($49.37 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $132.13
Size: 1.1200 coins
Notional value: $147.99
📝 Executing SHORT 1.12 SOL @ 3x with TP: $128, SL: $134
✅ Market order filled @ $131.92
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44630572148)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44630574967)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing subtle but clear weakness: rejected from $13.77 high, now at $13.40 below EMA(20) at $13.44. RSI at 45.2/46.8 indicates mild selling pressure. The recent candles show consistent lower highs after the $13.77 peak. Price struggling to reclaim EMA(20) resistance. Recent AVAX short was profitable (+1.45%). Small ATR of $0.08 allows for tight risk management. Current setup shows price failing to hold above key moving average with room to drop toward $13.10 support level seen in period low.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $13.05 targets period low support (-2.6% move, 2.6:1 R/R). SL at $13.65 above recent high and EMA(20) (1.9% risk, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if AVAX reclaims and holds above $13.50 with momentum or if broader market shows strong bullish reversal across BTC/ETH.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.47
Allocation: 20.0% ($39.49 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.40
Size: 8.8400 coins
Notional value: $118.50
📝 Executing SHORT 8.84 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.45
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44630581084)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44630581769)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing mixed signals after volatile 8h period. Price rallied to $91,606 then sharply rejected, dropping to $88,856 before recovering to $90,140. Currently above both EMAs (bullish structure) with RSI neutral at 53-54. However, the sharp rejection and whipsaw action suggests indecision. Recent long BTC short got stopped out, and the current price action lacks clear directional conviction. ATR at $782 indicates high volatility - better to wait for clearer setup than force a trade in choppy conditions.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH mirrors BTC's choppy behavior - rallied to $3,159 then rejected sharply, dropping to $3,021 before bouncing to $3,065. Price essentially flat at EMA(20) of $3,066 with neutral RSI at 48-50. The bullish EMA structure is intact but momentum is unclear. Recent ETH short was stopped out for -1.86% loss. Current price action shows equal buying/selling pressure with no clear edge. ATR at $37.72 suggests volatility remains elevated. Need confirmation of direction before entry.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=121
2 order(s) executed
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