Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-08 12:00:01 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-08 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $194.39
Margin Used: $121.33 (62.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-08 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-08 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-06 10:00 → 2025-12-08 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,695.00
Period Change: +2.57%
Range: $87,519.00 - $92,299.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 05:00: O=$91,015.00 H=$91,232.00 L=$90,358.00 C=$91,120.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 06:00: O=$91,135.00 H=$91,575.00 L=$90,734.00 C=$91,217.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 07:00: O=$91,231.00 H=$91,587.00 L=$91,158.00 C=$91,330.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 08:00: O=$91,438.00 H=$91,753.00 L=$91,349.00 C=$91,669.00 (+0.3%)
12-08 09:00: O=$91,716.00 H=$92,099.00 L=$91,661.00 C=$91,714.00 (-0.0%)
12-08 10:00: O=$91,761.00 H=$92,299.00 L=$89,678.00 C=$91,851.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 11:00: O=$91,878.00 H=$92,010.00 L=$91,599.00 C=$91,742.00 (-0.1%)
12-08 12:00: O=$91,680.00 H=$91,695.00 L=$91,680.00 C=$91,695.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.1
RSI(14): 64.8
EMA(20): $90,963.80
EMA(50): $89,966.66
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $752.01
ETH:
Current Price: $3,146.10
Period Change: +3.76%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,284.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 05:00: O=$3,129.80 H=$3,143.80 L=$3,127.50 C=$3,135.60 (+0.2%)
12-08 06:00: O=$3,136.30 H=$3,143.80 L=$3,128.70 C=$3,140.40 (+0.1%)
12-08 07:00: O=$3,133.00 H=$3,141.80 L=$3,129.20 C=$3,137.40 (+0.1%)
12-08 08:00: O=$3,135.60 H=$3,147.90 L=$3,129.40 C=$3,146.50 (+0.3%)
12-08 09:00: O=$3,145.00 H=$3,183.10 L=$3,144.00 C=$3,162.20 (+0.5%)
12-08 10:00: O=$3,162.50 H=$3,284.50 L=$3,040.20 C=$3,163.90 (+0.0%)
12-08 11:00: O=$3,163.20 H=$3,168.60 L=$3,142.60 C=$3,144.60 (-0.6%)
12-08 12:00: O=$3,146.10 H=$3,146.10 L=$3,146.10 C=$3,146.10 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.6
RSI(14): 60.4
EMA(20): $3,119.09
EMA(50): $3,074.95
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $42.31
SOL:
Current Price: $138.53
Period Change: +4.48%
Range: $127.08 - $139.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 04:00: O=$134.43 H=$135.18 L=$134.08 C=$135.07 (+0.5%)
12-08 05:00: O=$134.90 H=$135.40 L=$134.63 C=$135.23 (+0.2%)
12-08 06:00: O=$135.22 H=$136.04 L=$134.76 C=$135.76 (+0.4%)
12-08 07:00: O=$135.77 H=$136.14 L=$134.95 C=$135.88 (+0.1%)
12-08 08:00: O=$135.88 H=$136.88 L=$135.73 C=$136.66 (+0.6%)
12-08 09:00: O=$136.75 H=$138.86 L=$136.75 C=$138.30 (+1.1%)
12-08 10:00: O=$138.28 H=$139.28 L=$138.20 C=$138.78 (+0.4%)
12-08 11:00: O=$138.83 H=$139.17 L=$138.22 C=$138.53 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.2
RSI(14): 66.9
EMA(20): $135.31
EMA(50): $133.48
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.46
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.74
Period Change: +3.27%
Range: $13.10 - $13.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 04:00: O=$13.66 H=$13.66 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (-0.2%)
12-08 05:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.63 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (+0.0%)
12-08 06:00: O=$13.69 H=$13.69 L=$13.69 C=$13.69 (+0.0%)
12-08 07:00: O=$13.69 H=$13.69 L=$13.69 C=$13.69 (+0.0%)
12-08 08:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.73 L=$13.72 C=$13.73 (+0.1%)
12-08 09:00: O=$13.76 H=$13.76 L=$13.76 C=$13.76 (+0.0%)
12-08 10:00: O=$13.80 H=$13.82 L=$13.80 C=$13.80 (+0.0%)
12-08 11:00: O=$13.81 H=$13.82 L=$13.74 C=$13.74 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.5
RSI(14): 61.5
EMA(20): $13.60
EMA(50): $13.45
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00253 @ $91,156.00 (Current: $91,695.00, P&L: +0.59%)
TP: $93,500.00 (+2.6%)
SL: $89,800.00 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $93,500 targets +2.6% gain (2:1 R:R), just below recent high of $91,606 + ATR extension. SL at $89,800 is 1.7x ATR below entry, protecting against breakdown below EMA(20). Will close early if RSI exceeds 75 or price fails to hold $90k on retest.
ETH (LONG): 0.0785 @ $3,136.44 (Current: $3,146.10, P&L: +0.31%)
TP: $3,240.00 (+3.3%)
SL: $3,080.00 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC SHORT: 12-05 00:00 → 12-05 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $91,934.00, Exit: $89,847.00 P&L: +2.27% ($+3.28) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC long position is performing well (+0.59%) and price is respecting the bullish structure. Currently at $91,695, trading above both EMA(20) at $90,963 and EMA(50) at $89,966. RSI(14) at 64.8 shows healthy momentum without overextension. Price is steadily grinding toward our TP at $93,500. Recent candles show consolidation after the 10:00 spike to $92,299, which is normal price action. No thesis invalidation - the uptrend remains intact. Trust the TP/SL orders to execute automatically rather than churning for small gains.
Confidence: 75%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH long is also performing well (+0.31%) with bullish structure intact. Price at $3,146 is above EMA(20) at $3,119 and EMA(50) at $3,074. RSI(14) at 60.4 shows room for upside continuation. The 10:00 spike to $3,284 was likely a liquidation wick (note the immediate rejection), but price recovered and held above $3,140 support. ETH is following BTC's bullish lead with strong correlation. Our TP at $3,240 remains achievable. No reason to exit early - let the position work toward target.
Confidence: 72%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL is showing strong momentum (+4.48% period change) and currently at $138.53, well above both EMAs (20: $135.31, 50: $133.48). However, RSI(7) at 76.2 indicates short-term overbought conditions. Recent price action shows a strong impulse from $134 to $139.28 high, now consolidating slightly. Given our recent losing trades on SOL (3 consecutive SL hits), and with 62.4% margin already deployed, it's prudent to wait for either a pullback to EMA(20) around $135 for a better entry, or a breakout above $139.28 with confirmation. No position currently, so holding cash is the right move.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX shows bullish structure with price at $13.74 above both EMAs (20: $13.60, 50: $13.45) and +3.27% period change. RSI(14) at 61.5 shows healthy momentum. However, the recent 8h candles show extremely low volatility with minimal price movement (most candles showing 0.0% change), suggesting very thin liquidity or data issues. The ATR of $0.07 is only 0.5% of price, making risk management difficult. With 62.4% margin already deployed and recent AVAX short SL hit, it's better to wait for clearer price action and better entry opportunity. Current market conditions don't justify adding a third position.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=123
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