Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-08 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-08 12:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $187.51
Margin Used: $60.24 (32.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-08 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-08 12:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-06 16:00 → 2025-12-08 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,955.00
Period Change: +0.56%
Range: $87,519.00 - $92,299.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 10:00: O=$91,761.00 H=$92,299.00 L=$89,678.00 C=$91,851.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 11:00: O=$91,878.00 H=$92,010.00 L=$91,599.00 C=$91,742.00 (-0.1%)
12-08 12:00: O=$91,680.00 H=$91,716.00 L=$91,373.00 C=$91,419.00 (-0.3%)
12-08 13:00: O=$91,507.00 H=$91,529.00 L=$91,110.00 C=$91,144.00 (-0.4%)
12-08 14:00: O=$91,156.00 H=$91,316.00 L=$89,481.00 C=$90,635.00 (-0.6%)
12-08 15:00: O=$90,625.00 H=$90,633.00 L=$89,034.00 C=$89,540.00 (-1.2%)
12-08 16:00: O=$89,669.00 H=$90,132.00 L=$88,881.00 C=$89,562.00 (-0.1%)
12-08 17:00: O=$89,684.00 H=$90,489.00 L=$89,377.00 C=$89,955.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 34.5
RSI(14): 43.3
EMA(20): $90,608.77
EMA(50): $90,004.30
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $919.15
ETH:
Current Price: $3,123.20
Period Change: +2.60%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,284.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 11:00: O=$3,163.20 H=$3,168.60 L=$3,142.60 C=$3,144.60 (-0.6%)
12-08 12:00: O=$3,146.10 H=$3,146.10 L=$3,130.50 C=$3,134.80 (-0.4%)
12-08 13:00: O=$3,133.80 H=$3,161.30 L=$3,133.80 C=$3,150.00 (+0.5%)
12-08 14:00: O=$3,149.20 H=$3,182.60 L=$3,132.70 C=$3,139.60 (-0.3%)
12-08 15:00: O=$3,135.30 H=$3,142.00 L=$3,094.90 C=$3,106.50 (-0.9%)
12-08 16:00: O=$3,102.10 H=$3,134.90 L=$3,098.10 C=$3,110.50 (+0.3%)
12-08 17:00: O=$3,109.10 H=$3,129.90 L=$3,103.10 C=$3,123.20 (+0.5%)
12-08 18:00: O=$3,123.20 H=$3,123.20 L=$3,123.20 C=$3,123.20 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.7
RSI(14): 52.7
EMA(20): $3,120.89
EMA(50): $3,083.78
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $38.44
SOL:
Current Price: $135.72
Period Change: +2.05%
Range: $127.08 - $139.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 10:00: O=$138.28 H=$139.28 L=$138.20 C=$138.78 (+0.4%)
12-08 11:00: O=$138.83 H=$139.17 L=$138.22 C=$138.53 (-0.2%)
12-08 12:00: O=$138.48 H=$138.48 L=$137.40 C=$137.81 (-0.5%)
12-08 13:00: O=$137.89 H=$139.11 L=$137.88 C=$138.10 (+0.2%)
12-08 14:00: O=$138.07 H=$138.84 L=$136.92 C=$137.31 (-0.6%)
12-08 15:00: O=$137.34 H=$137.58 L=$135.31 C=$135.64 (-1.2%)
12-08 16:00: O=$135.51 H=$136.54 L=$134.90 C=$135.57 (+0.0%)
12-08 17:00: O=$135.54 H=$136.29 L=$134.95 C=$135.72 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.5
RSI(14): 51.2
EMA(20): $135.86
EMA(50): $133.91
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.51
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.59
Period Change: +1.43%
Range: $13.10 - $13.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 10:00: O=$13.80 H=$13.82 L=$13.80 C=$13.80 (+0.0%)
12-08 11:00: O=$13.81 H=$13.82 L=$13.74 C=$13.74 (-0.5%)
12-08 12:00: O=$13.68 H=$13.68 L=$13.68 C=$13.68 (+0.0%)
12-08 13:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.75 L=$13.72 C=$13.75 (+0.2%)
12-08 14:00: O=$13.80 H=$13.80 L=$13.80 C=$13.80 (+0.0%)
12-08 15:00: O=$13.67 H=$13.67 L=$13.51 C=$13.59 (-0.6%)
12-08 16:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.69 L=$13.54 C=$13.67 (+0.7%)
12-08 17:00: O=$13.59 H=$13.59 L=$13.59 C=$13.59 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.1
RSI(14): 47.9
EMA(20): $13.64
EMA(50): $13.50
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (LONG): 0.0785 @ $3,136.44 (Current: $3,123.20, P&L: -0.42%)
TP: $3,240.00 (+3.3%)
SL: $3,080.00 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing clear rejection pattern: failed to hold $138+ level multiple times in past 8 hours, now at $135.72. Price below EMA(20) at $135.86 with RSI(7) at 42.5 indicating weakening momentum. Recent 8h shows consistent lower highs ($139.28→$139.17→$138.48→$139.11→$138.84→$137.58→$136.54→$136.29). Failed breakdown attempts suggest trapped longs. With BTC weak and ETH consolidating, SOL vulnerable to retest $133-134 support zone. 2 recent stop-outs (long and short) show choppy action, but current setup clearer with defined resistance.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $132.50 targets 2.4% move to retest recent lows near $131.92 where previous short entry failed. SL at $138.20 (1.6x ATR above entry) protects against reclaim of EMA(20) and recent resistance cluster. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $137 with volume. R:R approximately 1.8:1.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $187.51
Allocation: 22.0% ($41.25 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $135.72
Size: 0.9100 coins
Notional value: $123.51
📝 Executing SHORT 0.91 SOL @ 3x with TP: $132, SL: $138
✅ Market order filled @ $135.95
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44676652701)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44676654766)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing weakness with price below EMA(20) at $90,608 despite bullish EMA structure. RSI(7) at 34.5 indicates oversold but recent sharp rejection from $92,299 and failure to hold $91k suggests distribution. Just stopped out of a long 3 hours ago at entry $91,156. Price now at $89,955 - down $1,200 from that entry. Taking another long here would be revenge trading the same failed setup. Need to see clear support hold and reclaim of $91k before re-entering. Recent volatility (ATR $919) requires patience.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH long position opened 6 hours ago at $3,136.44, currently at $3,123.20 (-0.42% P&L). Position is barely negative and price is holding near EMA(20) at $3,120.89. RSI(14) at 52.7 shows neutral momentum. TP at $3,240 and SL at $3,080 are well-placed with 2:1 R:R. Recent price action shows consolidation around $3,100-$3,150 range. No reason to close - thesis intact, let TP/SL work. Trust the automated orders rather than churning for minimal loss.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing extremely tight consolidation around $13.59-$13.68 range with minimal volatility (ATR only $0.09). Price oscillating around EMA(20) at $13.64 with RSI(14) at 47.9 - completely neutral. Recent 8h candles show no directional conviction with multiple flat/unchanged closes. This tight range after getting stopped out of short 14 hours ago suggests market indecision. No edge here - waiting for breakout above $13.80 or breakdown below $13.50 with volume confirmation before taking position.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=124
1 order(s) executed
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