Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-09 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-08 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $190.11
Margin Used: $104.07 (54.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-09 00:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-08 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-06 22:00 → 2025-12-09 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,199.00
Period Change: +1.12%
Range: $87,519.00 - $92,299.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 16:00: O=$89,669.00 H=$90,132.00 L=$88,881.00 C=$89,562.00 (-0.1%)
12-08 17:00: O=$89,684.00 H=$90,489.00 L=$89,377.00 C=$89,955.00 (+0.3%)
12-08 18:00: O=$90,076.00 H=$90,222.00 L=$89,423.00 C=$89,429.00 (-0.7%)
12-08 19:00: O=$89,700.00 H=$90,036.00 L=$89,605.00 C=$89,816.00 (+0.1%)
12-08 20:00: O=$89,837.00 H=$90,288.00 L=$89,837.00 C=$90,288.00 (+0.5%)
12-08 21:00: O=$90,288.00 H=$90,984.00 L=$89,649.00 C=$90,885.00 (+0.7%)
12-08 22:00: O=$90,861.00 H=$90,916.00 L=$90,322.00 C=$90,425.00 (-0.5%)
12-08 23:00: O=$90,425.00 H=$90,451.00 L=$90,083.00 C=$90,199.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.1
RSI(14): 47.7
EMA(20): $90,429.90
EMA(50): $90,100.94
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $838.00
ETH:
Current Price: $3,130.10
Period Change: +2.71%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,284.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 16:00: O=$3,102.10 H=$3,134.90 L=$3,098.10 C=$3,110.50 (+0.3%)
12-08 17:00: O=$3,109.10 H=$3,129.90 L=$3,103.10 C=$3,123.20 (+0.5%)
12-08 18:00: O=$3,123.20 H=$3,136.50 L=$3,087.20 C=$3,094.60 (-0.9%)
12-08 19:00: O=$3,094.50 H=$3,132.20 L=$3,093.80 C=$3,124.70 (+1.0%)
12-08 20:00: O=$3,124.80 H=$3,153.40 L=$3,123.40 C=$3,139.50 (+0.5%)
12-08 21:00: O=$3,140.80 H=$3,155.10 L=$3,132.50 C=$3,153.40 (+0.4%)
12-08 22:00: O=$3,150.70 H=$3,150.70 L=$3,126.20 C=$3,135.10 (-0.5%)
12-08 23:00: O=$3,135.00 H=$3,139.00 L=$3,122.00 C=$3,130.10 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.0
RSI(14): 52.3
EMA(20): $3,125.44
EMA(50): $3,091.95
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $37.08
SOL:
Current Price: $133.31
Period Change: +0.62%
Range: $127.08 - $139.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 16:00: O=$135.51 H=$136.54 L=$134.90 C=$135.57 (+0.0%)
12-08 17:00: O=$135.54 H=$136.29 L=$134.95 C=$135.72 (+0.1%)
12-08 18:00: O=$135.95 H=$136.30 L=$133.10 C=$133.31 (-1.9%)
12-08 19:00: O=$133.74 H=$134.63 L=$133.64 C=$133.79 (+0.0%)
12-08 20:00: O=$133.70 H=$134.92 L=$133.49 C=$134.07 (+0.3%)
12-08 21:00: O=$134.10 H=$134.58 L=$133.31 C=$134.50 (+0.3%)
12-08 22:00: O=$134.44 H=$134.44 L=$133.43 C=$133.68 (-0.6%)
12-08 23:00: O=$133.71 H=$133.84 L=$132.55 C=$133.31 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 32.1
RSI(14): 42.4
EMA(20): $134.92
EMA(50): $134.04
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.52
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.64
Period Change: +1.75%
Range: $13.10 - $13.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 16:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.69 L=$13.54 C=$13.67 (+0.7%)
12-08 17:00: O=$13.59 H=$13.59 L=$13.59 C=$13.59 (+0.0%)
12-08 18:00: O=$13.59 H=$13.59 L=$13.59 C=$13.59 (+0.0%)
12-08 19:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.60 L=$13.54 C=$13.60 (+0.5%)
12-08 20:00: O=$13.60 H=$13.60 L=$13.60 C=$13.60 (+0.0%)
12-08 21:00: O=$13.69 H=$13.74 L=$13.69 C=$13.74 (+0.3%)
12-08 22:00: O=$13.65 H=$13.66 L=$13.65 C=$13.66 (+0.1%)
12-08 23:00: O=$13.68 H=$13.68 L=$13.61 C=$13.64 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.8
RSI(14): 50.5
EMA(20): $13.64
EMA(50): $13.54
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.91 @ $135.95 (Current: $133.31, P&L: +1.94%)
TP: $132.50 (+2.5%)
SL: $138.20 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $132.50 targets 2.4% move to retest recent lows near $131.92 where previous short entry failed. SL at $138.20 (1.6x ATR above entry) protects against reclaim of EMA(20) and recent resistance cluster. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $137 with volume. R:R approximately 1.8:1.
ETH (LONG): 0.0785 @ $3,136.44 (Current: $3,130.10, P&L: -0.20%)
TP: $3,240.00 (+3.3%)
SL: $3,080.00 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating in a tight range around $90k with neutral RSI (46-48) and price hovering just below EMA(20) at $90,430. Recent 8h candles show indecision with small-bodied candles and no clear directional momentum. After the recent long SL hit at $89,693, waiting for clearer price action is prudent. Need to see either a decisive break above $91k with volume or a breakdown below $89.5k before entering. Current setup lacks the 2+ confirming signals required for entry.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing long position. ETH is slightly underwater (-0.20%) but thesis remains intact. Price holding above EMA(20) at $3,125 and EMA(50) at $3,092 maintains bullish structure. Recent consolidation between $3,120-$3,155 is healthy after the +2.71% period gain. RSI neutral at 50-52. TP at $3,240 and SL at $3,080 are well-positioned. Trust the automatic TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close when structure is still bullish and position is within normal variance. Current margin usage at 54.7% leaves room but no compelling setup to add exposure.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing short position. SOL showing weakness with +1.94% unrealized gain and approaching TP at $132.50. Price action confirms bearish thesis: trading below EMA(20) at $134.92, RSI(7) oversold at 32.1 indicating downward momentum, and recent 8h candles showing consistent lower highs from $136.54 down to $133.84. The -1.9% drop at 18:00 and subsequent failure to reclaim $134 validates the short. TP is only $1.19 away - let it execute automatically. Manual close would sacrifice final 1.2% of the planned 2.5% move and incur unnecessary fees. Trust the system.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing extremely low volatility with multiple candles at exact same price ($13.59-$13.60), indicating potential exchange data issues or very thin orderbook. Current price $13.64 sits precisely at EMA(20), with neutral RSI (47.8/50.5) and minimal ATR ($0.08). No clear directional bias. After recent short SL hit, the consolidation at EMA levels suggests equilibrium. With margin already at 54.7% and two active positions, adding AVAX exposure without strong conviction would be poor risk management. Wait for breakout above $13.80 or breakdown below $13.50 with volume confirmation.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=125
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