Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-09 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-09 00:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $189.36
Margin Used: $58.88 (31.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-09 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-09 00:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-07 04:00 → 2025-12-09 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,530.00
Period Change: +0.05%
Range: $87,519.00 - $92,299.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 22:00: O=$90,861.00 H=$90,916.00 L=$90,322.00 C=$90,425.00 (-0.5%)
12-08 23:00: O=$90,425.00 H=$90,451.00 L=$90,083.00 C=$90,199.00 (-0.2%)
12-09 00:00: O=$90,368.00 H=$90,523.00 L=$90,084.00 C=$90,115.00 (-0.3%)
12-09 01:00: O=$90,060.00 H=$90,267.00 L=$89,679.00 C=$89,706.00 (-0.4%)
12-09 02:00: O=$89,814.00 H=$90,070.00 L=$89,690.00 C=$89,845.00 (+0.0%)
12-09 03:00: O=$89,873.00 H=$90,135.00 L=$89,550.00 C=$90,088.00 (+0.2%)
12-09 04:00: O=$90,088.00 H=$90,203.00 L=$90,078.00 C=$90,175.00 (+0.1%)
12-09 05:00: O=$90,175.00 H=$90,175.00 L=$89,449.00 C=$89,530.00 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.1
RSI(14): 42.0
EMA(20): $90,182.40
EMA(50): $90,183.50
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $710.60
ETH:
Current Price: $3,111.70
Period Change: +1.75%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,284.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 23:00: O=$3,135.00 H=$3,139.00 L=$3,122.00 C=$3,130.10 (-0.2%)
12-09 00:00: O=$3,125.90 H=$3,144.80 L=$3,122.00 C=$3,123.90 (-0.1%)
12-09 01:00: O=$3,122.00 H=$3,127.80 L=$3,105.00 C=$3,110.50 (-0.4%)
12-09 02:00: O=$3,110.80 H=$3,118.60 L=$3,105.50 C=$3,105.50 (-0.2%)
12-09 03:00: O=$3,105.00 H=$3,133.70 L=$3,095.30 C=$3,133.70 (+0.9%)
12-09 04:00: O=$3,131.80 H=$3,135.50 L=$3,128.50 C=$3,128.50 (-0.1%)
12-09 05:00: O=$3,126.00 H=$3,126.00 L=$3,107.20 C=$3,108.40 (-0.6%)
12-09 06:00: O=$3,111.70 H=$3,111.70 L=$3,111.70 C=$3,111.70 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.7
RSI(14): 48.0
EMA(20): $3,120.90
EMA(50): $3,100.46
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $29.41
SOL:
Current Price: $131.83
Period Change: -1.30%
Range: $127.08 - $139.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 22:00: O=$134.44 H=$134.44 L=$133.43 C=$133.68 (-0.6%)
12-08 23:00: O=$133.71 H=$133.84 L=$132.55 C=$133.31 (-0.3%)
12-09 00:00: O=$133.29 H=$133.50 L=$132.64 C=$133.14 (-0.1%)
12-09 01:00: O=$133.07 H=$133.42 L=$132.69 C=$133.32 (+0.2%)
12-09 02:00: O=$133.17 H=$133.69 L=$132.93 C=$132.93 (-0.2%)
12-09 03:00: O=$132.91 H=$134.50 L=$132.66 C=$134.17 (+0.9%)
12-09 04:00: O=$134.31 H=$134.31 L=$134.06 C=$134.07 (-0.2%)
12-09 05:00: O=$133.47 H=$133.47 L=$131.60 C=$131.83 (-1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.1
RSI(14): 37.5
EMA(20): $134.14
EMA(50): $134.10
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.41
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.74
Period Change: +2.02%
Range: $13.10 - $13.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-08 21:00: O=$13.69 H=$13.74 L=$13.69 C=$13.74 (+0.3%)
12-08 22:00: O=$13.65 H=$13.66 L=$13.65 C=$13.66 (+0.1%)
12-08 23:00: O=$13.68 H=$13.68 L=$13.61 C=$13.64 (-0.3%)
12-09 00:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.70 L=$13.61 C=$13.63 (-0.1%)
12-09 01:00: O=$13.58 H=$13.60 L=$13.58 C=$13.60 (+0.1%)
12-09 02:00: O=$13.59 H=$13.62 L=$13.59 C=$13.59 (+0.0%)
12-09 03:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.71 L=$13.54 C=$13.71 (+1.0%)
12-09 04:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.74 L=$13.72 C=$13.74 (+0.2%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.3
RSI(14): 57.5
EMA(20): $13.65
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (LONG): 0.0785 @ $3,136.44 (Current: $3,111.70, P&L: -0.79%)
TP: $3,240.00 (+3.3%)
SL: $3,080.00 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong SHORT setup with multiple confirmations: (1) RSI(7) at 29.1 and RSI(14) at 37.5 showing weakness, (2) Price rejected at EMA resistance and now below both EMAs (131.83 vs 134.14/134.10) - bearish crossover, (3) Latest candle shows -1.2% drop with strong selling pressure, (4) Period change -1.30% confirms downtrend, (5) Failed bounce at 03:00 candle followed by renewed selling. In bearish market structure, oversold RSI = SHORT continuation opportunity, not reversal. Target recent support at $127-128 range.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 targets -2.5% move to recent support zone, achieving 2.3:1 R:R. SL at $134.20 is 1.7x ATR above entry and just above EMA cluster, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91k or if SOL reclaims both EMAs with volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $189.36
Allocation: 25.0% ($47.34 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $131.83
Size: 1.0800 coins
Notional value: $142.38
📝 Executing SHORT 1.08 SOL @ 3x with TP: $128, SL: $134
✅ Market order filled @ $132.23
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44700103896)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44700104346)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure with price below both EMAs (89,530 vs 90,182/90,183) and declining momentum. RSI(14) at 42 indicates weakness but not yet oversold. Recent 8h candles show consistent selling pressure with latest candle dropping -0.7%. However, recent string of losses (4 consecutive SL hits) suggests poor market read. Need clearer setup before re-entry. Waiting for either: (1) RSI <30 + bullish divergence for long, or (2) failed bounce at EMA resistance for short confirmation.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing LONG position. Current price $3,111.70 vs entry $3,136.44 (-0.79% P&L). Price testing support near EMA(20) at $3,120.90 but still above EMA(50) at $3,100.46, maintaining bullish structure. SL at $3,080 is appropriately placed just below EMA(50) support. Recent candles show consolidation around $3,110-$3,130 range. TP at $3,240 remains valid target. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close. Position thesis intact: ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (+1.75% period vs BTC +0.05%). RSI(14) at 48 is neutral. Let position play out.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Data is 2 hours stale (last update 04:00, current time 06:00), making it unreliable for trading decisions. Price at $13.74 shows bullish structure (above EMA(20) at $13.65) with RSI(14) at 57.5 (neutral-bullish), but cannot trust stale data for entry. Additionally, with 31.1% margin already used and planning SOL short (25% allocation × 3x = 75% notional), need to preserve capital allocation capacity. Wait for fresh data and better setup.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=126
1 order(s) executed
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