Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-09 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-09 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $189.16
Margin Used: $106.28 (56.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-09 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-09 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-07 10:00 → 2025-12-09 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,021.00
Period Change: +1.26%
Range: $87,519.00 - $92,299.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 04:00: O=$90,088.00 H=$90,203.00 L=$90,078.00 C=$90,175.00 (+0.1%)
12-09 05:00: O=$90,175.00 H=$90,175.00 L=$89,449.00 C=$89,530.00 (-0.7%)
12-09 06:00: O=$89,572.00 H=$89,894.00 L=$89,439.00 C=$89,800.00 (+0.3%)
12-09 07:00: O=$89,853.00 H=$90,151.00 L=$89,678.00 C=$90,130.00 (+0.3%)
12-09 08:00: O=$90,199.00 H=$90,596.00 L=$89,100.00 C=$90,213.00 (+0.0%)
12-09 09:00: O=$90,252.00 H=$90,344.00 L=$89,011.00 C=$89,849.00 (-0.4%)
12-09 10:00: O=$89,922.00 H=$90,249.00 L=$88,737.00 C=$89,892.00 (-0.0%)
12-09 11:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,062.00 L=$89,848.00 C=$90,021.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.9
RSI(14): 47.8
EMA(20): $90,087.91
EMA(50): $90,274.78
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $795.11
ETH:
Current Price: $3,122.70
Period Change: +2.92%
Range: $2,906.90 - $3,284.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 04:00: O=$3,131.80 H=$3,135.50 L=$3,128.50 C=$3,128.50 (-0.1%)
12-09 05:00: O=$3,126.00 H=$3,126.00 L=$3,107.20 C=$3,108.40 (-0.6%)
12-09 06:00: O=$3,111.70 H=$3,121.60 L=$3,102.90 C=$3,119.20 (+0.2%)
12-09 07:00: O=$3,120.40 H=$3,132.60 L=$3,117.50 C=$3,128.50 (+0.3%)
12-09 08:00: O=$3,126.60 H=$3,132.20 L=$3,120.10 C=$3,125.80 (-0.0%)
12-09 09:00: O=$3,121.10 H=$3,125.50 L=$3,109.10 C=$3,111.20 (-0.3%)
12-09 10:00: O=$3,109.90 H=$3,117.80 L=$3,097.90 C=$3,112.60 (+0.1%)
12-09 11:00: O=$3,110.10 H=$3,125.50 L=$3,105.90 C=$3,122.70 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.4
RSI(14): 50.8
EMA(20): $3,120.58
EMA(50): $3,108.82
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $27.01
SOL:
Current Price: $133.05
Period Change: +0.90%
Range: $127.08 - $139.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 05:00: O=$133.47 H=$133.47 L=$131.60 C=$131.83 (-1.2%)
12-09 06:00: O=$132.05 H=$132.87 L=$132.05 C=$132.58 (+0.4%)
12-09 07:00: O=$132.78 H=$133.31 L=$132.58 C=$133.26 (+0.4%)
12-09 08:00: O=$133.13 H=$133.48 L=$132.80 C=$133.32 (+0.1%)
12-09 09:00: O=$133.23 H=$133.23 L=$132.45 C=$132.45 (-0.6%)
12-09 10:00: O=$132.41 H=$132.96 L=$132.13 C=$132.57 (+0.1%)
12-09 11:00: O=$132.81 H=$133.06 L=$132.61 C=$133.03 (+0.2%)
12-09 12:00: O=$133.05 H=$133.05 L=$133.05 C=$133.05 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.4
RSI(14): 46.1
EMA(20): $133.50
EMA(50): $134.10
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.12
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.75
Period Change: +3.10%
Range: $13.10 - $13.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 01:00: O=$13.58 H=$13.60 L=$13.58 C=$13.60 (+0.1%)
12-09 02:00: O=$13.59 H=$13.62 L=$13.59 C=$13.59 (+0.0%)
12-09 03:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.71 L=$13.54 C=$13.71 (+1.0%)
12-09 04:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.74 L=$13.72 C=$13.74 (+0.2%)
12-09 05:00: O=$13.74 H=$13.74 L=$13.74 C=$13.74 (+0.0%)
12-09 06:00: O=$13.74 H=$13.74 L=$13.74 C=$13.74 (+0.0%)
12-09 07:00: O=$13.74 H=$13.74 L=$13.74 C=$13.74 (+0.0%)
12-09 08:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 4.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 65.7
RSI(14): 58.8
EMA(20): $13.68
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.08 @ $132.23 (Current: $133.05, P&L: -0.62%)
TP: $128.50 (+2.8%)
SL: $134.20 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 targets -2.5% move to recent support zone, achieving 2.3:1 R:R. SL at $134.20 is 1.7x ATR above entry and just above EMA cluster, protecting against failed breakdown. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal above $91k or if SOL reclaims both EMAs with volume.
ETH (LONG): 0.0785 @ $3,136.44 (Current: $3,122.70, P&L: -0.44%)
TP: $3,240.00 (+3.3%)
SL: $3,080.00 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,240 targets +3.3% gain (near recent high of $3,159 + extension), achieving 2:1 R:R. SL at $3,080 is 1.6x ATR below entry and just below EMA(20), protecting against false breakout. Exit early if BTC reverses sharply or if ETH/BTC ratio weakens.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $136.84, Exit: $134.54 P&L: +1.68% ($+2.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 12:00 → 12-05 16:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $3,132.80, Exit: $3,050.28 P&L: +2.63% ($+3.11) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-06 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.39, Exit: $13.20 P&L: +1.45% ($+1.19) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: CLOSING SHORT position - thesis invalidated. SOL showing resilience with price stabilizing at $133.05 (up +0.90% on period) despite bearish EMA positioning. Current P&L is -0.62% but more importantly: RSI has recovered to 47.4/46.1 from oversold, price action last 8h shows higher lows ($132.13→$132.61→$133.05), and SOL refusing to break down further. With BTC consolidating rather than breaking down and recent history of quick SL hits on SOL positions (3 failed shorts in last 4 days), cutting loss before it reaches full -1.5% SL. Market structure not confirming bearish thesis.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for SOL (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is trapped in tight consolidation around $90k with neutral RSI (49.9/47.8) and price oscillating around both EMAs. EMA trend is bearish (price below 50 EMA) but structure is indecisive. Recent 8h shows choppy price action with $88.7k-$90.6k range - no clear directional bias. With 56.2% margin already deployed and recent string of SL hits, avoiding low-conviction chop trades. Need clear break above $91k or below $89k for directional conviction.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing LONG position. ETH showing slight bullish structure (above 50 EMA, price at $3,122 vs EMA50 $3,108) with neutral RSI (51.4/50.8). Current P&L is -0.44% but position is well within acceptable range. Recent 8h shows gradual recovery from $3,097 low to $3,122, respecting the $3,100-$3,110 support zone. TP at $3,240 and SL at $3,080 remain valid - trust the automatic orders. No reason to manually close; thesis intact with bullish EMA alignment.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 4 hours stale (last update 08:00, now 12:00) making it unreliable for trading decisions. Price frozen at $13.75 with RSI elevated at 65.7/58.8 suggests potential overbought condition, but cannot confirm without current data. Asset may be experiencing liquidity issues or exchange problems. With margin already at 56.2% and data integrity concerns, avoiding position until fresh data confirms market is active and liquid.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=127
1 order(s) executed
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