Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-09 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-09 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.73
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-09 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-09 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-07 16:00 → 2025-12-09 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $93,686.00
Period Change: +4.83%
Range: $88,737.00 - $94,442.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 10:00: O=$89,922.00 H=$90,249.00 L=$88,737.00 C=$89,892.00 (-0.0%)
12-09 11:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,062.00 L=$89,848.00 C=$90,021.00 (+0.0%)
12-09 12:00: O=$90,103.00 H=$90,340.00 L=$90,027.00 C=$90,193.00 (+0.1%)
12-09 13:00: O=$90,271.00 H=$90,517.00 L=$89,875.00 C=$90,029.00 (-0.3%)
12-09 14:00: O=$90,081.00 H=$92,466.00 L=$88,884.00 C=$90,315.00 (+0.3%)
12-09 15:00: O=$90,096.00 H=$92,478.00 L=$90,043.00 C=$92,395.00 (+2.6%)
12-09 16:00: O=$92,427.00 H=$94,309.00 L=$91,473.00 C=$94,065.00 (+1.8%)
12-09 17:00: O=$94,175.00 H=$94,442.00 L=$93,371.00 C=$93,686.00 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.5
RSI(14): 75.1
EMA(20): $90,976.94
EMA(50): $90,620.76
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1181.18
ETH:
Current Price: $3,381.60
Period Change: +11.76%
Range: $3,003.20 - $3,400.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 11:00: O=$3,110.10 H=$3,125.50 L=$3,105.90 C=$3,122.70 (+0.4%)
12-09 12:00: O=$3,120.50 H=$3,146.20 L=$3,120.50 C=$3,141.70 (+0.7%)
12-09 13:00: O=$3,143.80 H=$3,143.80 L=$3,115.70 C=$3,120.30 (-0.7%)
12-09 14:00: O=$3,120.60 H=$3,132.10 L=$3,106.00 C=$3,120.90 (+0.0%)
12-09 15:00: O=$3,120.10 H=$3,258.50 L=$3,120.00 C=$3,254.80 (+4.3%)
12-09 16:00: O=$3,251.20 H=$3,385.00 L=$3,251.20 C=$3,369.00 (+3.6%)
12-09 17:00: O=$3,367.40 H=$3,400.90 L=$3,362.40 C=$3,379.20 (+0.4%)
12-09 18:00: O=$3,381.60 H=$3,381.60 L=$3,381.60 C=$3,381.60 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 90.1
RSI(14): 83.1
EMA(20): $3,197.90
EMA(50): $3,143.37
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $38.82
SOL:
Current Price: $143.22
Period Change: +8.78%
Range: $129.80 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 11:00: O=$132.81 H=$133.06 L=$132.61 C=$133.03 (+0.2%)
12-09 12:00: O=$133.05 H=$133.66 L=$132.84 C=$133.22 (+0.1%)
12-09 13:00: O=$133.23 H=$133.40 L=$132.17 C=$132.51 (-0.5%)
12-09 14:00: O=$132.46 H=$135.30 L=$131.71 C=$132.44 (-0.0%)
12-09 15:00: O=$132.51 H=$140.83 L=$132.42 C=$138.36 (+4.4%)
12-09 16:00: O=$138.41 H=$144.64 L=$138.41 C=$143.88 (+4.0%)
12-09 17:00: O=$143.97 H=$145.05 L=$142.72 C=$143.14 (-0.6%)
12-09 18:00: O=$143.22 H=$143.22 L=$143.22 C=$143.22 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 83.1
RSI(14): 76.3
EMA(20): $136.28
EMA(50): $135.15
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.03
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.57
Period Change: +8.95%
Range: $13.34 - $14.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 10:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
12-09 11:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
12-09 12:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
12-09 13:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
12-09 14:00: O=$13.75 H=$13.75 L=$13.75 C=$13.75 (+0.0%)
12-09 15:00: O=$13.89 H=$14.14 L=$13.89 C=$14.13 (+1.7%)
12-09 16:00: O=$14.17 H=$14.41 L=$14.17 C=$14.41 (+1.7%)
12-09 17:00: O=$14.65 H=$14.70 L=$14.57 C=$14.57 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 97.6
RSI(14): 89.4
EMA(20): $13.89
EMA(50): $13.69
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX shows most extreme overbought condition: RSI(7)=97.6, RSI(14)=89.4 - unsustainable levels. Price spiked from $13.75 to $14.70 (+6.9%) in just 2 hours with suspicious flat candles before the move (possible data issues). Current $14.57 is at period high. ATR=$0.09 suggests normal volatility returning. While trend is bullish, RSI above 95 typically signals immediate reversal. Small position sizing due to overall bullish market, but technical setup favors mean reversion. Stop above recent high, target back to EMA(20) at $13.89.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.73
Allocation: 15.0% ($29.66 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $14.57
Size: 4.0700 coins
Notional value: $59.28
📝 Executing SHORT 4.07 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $14, SL: $15
✅ Market order filled @ $14.59
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44733693030)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44733693659)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC shows strong bullish momentum with +4.83% period gain and price well above EMAs. However, RSI(7)=81.5 and RSI(14)=75.1 indicate severely overbought conditions. The recent explosive move from $90k to $94k in just 3 hours suggests exhaustion. Price already near period high of $94,442. Risk of pullback is high - waiting for consolidation or dip to better entry levels. Not shorting against this strong trend without reversal confirmation.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing exceptional strength with +11.76% period gain and massive 8% rally in last 3 hours. RSI(7)=90.1 and RSI(14)=83.1 are extremely overbought - highest readings across all assets. Price at $3,381 near period high of $3,400. While trend is bullish (price above EMAs), these extreme overbought levels historically lead to pullbacks. Recent long position just hit TP profitably. Prudent to wait for healthier entry rather than chase parabolic move.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL gained +8.78% with explosive 8% move in 2 hours (15:00-16:00). RSI(7)=83.1, RSI(14)=76.3 show overbought conditions. Price at $143.22 near period high of $145.05. Strong bullish trend confirmed (price above EMAs), but entry here offers poor risk/reward after such rapid appreciation. Recent trading history shows 3 stopped-out shorts and whipsaw action - market is choppy despite uptrend. Better to wait for pullback to $138-140 support zone or consolidation pattern.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=128
1 order(s) executed
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