Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-10 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-09 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.69
Margin Used: $29.70 (15.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-10 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-09 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-07 22:00 → 2025-12-10 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,277.00
Period Change: +2.63%
Range: $88,737.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 16:00: O=$92,427.00 H=$94,309.00 L=$91,473.00 C=$94,065.00 (+1.8%)
12-09 17:00: O=$94,175.00 H=$94,442.00 L=$93,371.00 C=$93,686.00 (-0.5%)
12-09 18:00: O=$93,802.00 H=$94,018.00 L=$93,559.00 C=$93,734.00 (-0.1%)
12-09 19:00: O=$93,768.00 H=$95,226.00 L=$91,392.00 C=$93,513.00 (-0.3%)
12-09 20:00: O=$93,483.00 H=$93,544.00 L=$92,238.00 C=$92,708.00 (-0.8%)
12-09 21:00: O=$92,708.00 H=$92,904.00 L=$91,938.00 C=$92,240.00 (-0.5%)
12-09 22:00: O=$92,320.00 H=$92,595.00 L=$92,041.00 C=$92,438.00 (+0.1%)
12-09 23:00: O=$92,438.00 H=$92,508.00 L=$92,100.00 C=$92,277.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.5
RSI(14): 59.3
EMA(20): $91,778.62
EMA(50): $90,886.24
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1178.42
ETH:
Current Price: $3,319.20
Period Change: +7.56%
Range: $3,021.50 - $3,400.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 17:00: O=$3,367.40 H=$3,400.90 L=$3,362.40 C=$3,379.20 (+0.4%)
12-09 18:00: O=$3,381.60 H=$3,391.50 L=$3,366.80 C=$3,377.60 (-0.1%)
12-09 19:00: O=$3,378.30 H=$3,381.30 L=$3,353.60 C=$3,363.70 (-0.4%)
12-09 20:00: O=$3,358.40 H=$3,363.10 L=$3,311.10 C=$3,330.00 (-0.8%)
12-09 21:00: O=$3,333.40 H=$3,338.70 L=$3,290.50 C=$3,305.80 (-0.8%)
12-09 22:00: O=$3,309.30 H=$3,354.80 L=$3,303.40 C=$3,339.00 (+0.9%)
12-09 23:00: O=$3,334.40 H=$3,341.40 L=$3,323.30 C=$3,327.40 (-0.2%)
12-10 00:00: O=$3,320.10 H=$3,320.60 L=$3,319.20 C=$3,319.20 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.4
RSI(14): 65.7
EMA(20): $3,257.07
EMA(50): $3,167.58
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $37.59
SOL:
Current Price: $137.98
Period Change: +3.72%
Range: $129.80 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 16:00: O=$138.41 H=$144.64 L=$138.41 C=$143.88 (+4.0%)
12-09 17:00: O=$143.97 H=$145.05 L=$142.72 C=$143.14 (-0.6%)
12-09 18:00: O=$143.22 H=$143.35 L=$141.81 C=$142.69 (-0.4%)
12-09 19:00: O=$142.66 H=$142.79 L=$141.46 C=$142.16 (-0.4%)
12-09 20:00: O=$142.17 H=$142.30 L=$139.66 C=$139.89 (-1.6%)
12-09 21:00: O=$140.19 H=$140.44 L=$136.80 C=$137.79 (-1.7%)
12-09 22:00: O=$137.53 H=$139.30 L=$137.49 C=$138.82 (+0.9%)
12-09 23:00: O=$138.72 H=$138.82 L=$137.73 C=$137.98 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.6
RSI(14): 55.0
EMA(20): $137.38
EMA(50): $135.47
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.11
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.59
Period Change: +8.60%
Range: $13.34 - $14.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 15:00: O=$13.89 H=$14.14 L=$13.89 C=$14.13 (+1.7%)
12-09 16:00: O=$14.17 H=$14.41 L=$14.17 C=$14.41 (+1.7%)
12-09 17:00: O=$14.65 H=$14.70 L=$14.57 C=$14.57 (-0.6%)
12-09 18:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.65 L=$14.59 C=$14.65 (+0.4%)
12-09 19:00: O=$14.63 H=$14.63 L=$14.63 C=$14.63 (+0.0%)
12-09 20:00: O=$14.60 H=$14.60 L=$14.60 C=$14.60 (+0.0%)
12-09 21:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.50 C=$14.59 (-0.1%)
12-09 22:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.57 C=$14.59 (-0.1%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 87.8
RSI(14): 85.4
EMA(20): $14.17
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 4.07 @ $14.59 (Current: $14.59, P&L: +0.02%)
TP: $13.90 (+4.8%)
SL: $14.85 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation after rejection at $95,226. Price pulled back from highs but holding above EMA20 ($91,779) and EMA50 ($90,886), maintaining bullish structure. RSI(14) at 59.3 is neutral - not oversold enough for long entry, not overbought enough for short. Recent 8h shows choppy action with $92,100-$94,300 range. No clear setup meets 2+ indicator requirements. ATR at $1,178 suggests normal volatility. Wait for clearer directional break above $94,500 (long) or below $91,500 (short).
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH strongest performer (+7.56% period) but showing signs of exhaustion. RSI(14) at 65.7 approaching overbought territory. Price above both EMAs (bullish trend intact) but recent 8h shows loss of momentum - peaked at $3,400.90 and grinding lower to $3,319. Last 4 candles all red/flat. In uptrend, overbought RSI suggests continuation potential, but lack of volume follow-through concerning. Need pullback to EMA20 ($3,257) for better long entry with 2:1 R/R, or clear breakout above $3,400 with volume. Current risk/reward unfavorable at local highs.
Confidence: 50%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing weakness after rejection at $145.05. Price dropped -4.5% from high to $137.98, now hovering just above EMA20 ($137.38). RSI(7) at 48.6 and RSI(14) at 55.0 both neutral - no oversold bounce signal yet. Recent candles show consistent selling pressure (5 of last 7 red). However, price still above both EMAs maintaining bullish structure. Too early to short (no confirmation below EMA20), too risky to long (no reversal signal). Recent trading history shows multiple whipsaws in SOL. Wait for either: 1) Clear break below $136.80 (recent low) for short, or 2) Bounce from EMA20 with RSI divergence for long.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: HOLDING existing SHORT position. RSI(7) at 87.8 and RSI(14) at 85.4 remain extremely overbought, validating the mean-reversion thesis. Price stalled at $14.59 (unchanged last 2h), showing exhaustion after +8.6% period rally. Data is 2h stale but position still valid - extreme RSI levels typically take time to unwind. TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support) remains reasonable target for 4.8% gain. SL at $14.85 provides 1.8% buffer above entry. Trust the TP/SL orders to execute automatically. Position only represents 15% margin usage, well within risk limits. No manual intervention needed unless price breaks above $14.85 (invalidating thesis) or RSI normalizes above $14.20 (consolidation rather than reversal).
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=129
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