Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-09 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-09 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $548.23
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-09 20:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-09 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-07 18:00 → 2025-11-09 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $106,231.00
Period Change: +3.89%
Range: $99,279.00 - $106,642.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 12:00: O=$103,477.00 H=$103,810.00 L=$102,452.00 C=$103,529.00 (+0.1%)
11-09 13:00: O=$103,529.00 H=$104,452.00 L=$102,588.00 C=$103,760.00 (+0.2%)
11-09 14:00: O=$103,617.00 H=$106,260.00 L=$103,277.00 C=$103,860.00 (+0.2%)
11-09 15:00: O=$103,830.00 H=$106,444.00 L=$103,706.00 C=$105,550.00 (+1.7%)
11-09 16:00: O=$105,577.00 H=$106,395.00 L=$103,676.00 C=$104,146.00 (-1.4%)
11-09 17:00: O=$104,270.00 H=$105,337.00 L=$103,826.00 C=$104,440.00 (+0.2%)
11-09 18:00: O=$104,580.00 H=$105,615.00 L=$103,969.00 C=$104,900.00 (+0.3%)
11-09 19:00: O=$105,040.00 H=$106,642.00 L=$104,769.00 C=$106,231.00 (+1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 74.4
RSI(14): 69.3
EMA(20): $103,859.24
EMA(50): $103,042.64
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1698.29
ETH:
Current Price: $3,621.90
Period Change: +6.50%
Range: $3,371.00 - $3,689.70
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 12:00: O=$3,460.70 H=$3,492.90 L=$3,440.10 C=$3,476.80 (+0.5%)
11-09 13:00: O=$3,458.40 H=$3,498.30 L=$3,458.40 C=$3,496.50 (+1.1%)
11-09 14:00: O=$3,497.70 H=$3,689.70 L=$3,473.60 C=$3,534.90 (+1.1%)
11-09 15:00: O=$3,527.30 H=$3,628.10 L=$3,524.30 C=$3,565.30 (+1.1%)
11-09 16:00: O=$3,530.80 H=$3,558.40 L=$3,513.40 C=$3,527.40 (-0.1%)
11-09 17:00: O=$3,568.80 H=$3,657.20 L=$3,516.90 C=$3,552.40 (-0.5%)
11-09 18:00: O=$3,531.80 H=$3,584.10 L=$3,524.60 C=$3,584.10 (+1.5%)
11-09 19:00: O=$3,568.40 H=$3,622.50 L=$3,550.40 C=$3,621.90 (+1.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 80.4
RSI(14): 73.0
EMA(20): $3,498.16
EMA(50): $3,458.58
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $65.23
SOL:
Current Price: $166.54
Period Change: +2.89%
Range: $155.60 - $166.90
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 12:00: O=$159.19 H=$160.20 L=$159.13 C=$159.66 (+0.3%)
11-09 13:00: O=$159.67 H=$161.03 L=$159.67 C=$160.66 (+0.6%)
11-09 14:00: O=$160.34 H=$163.58 L=$160.09 C=$160.56 (+0.1%)
11-09 15:00: O=$160.92 H=$164.67 L=$160.62 C=$163.20 (+1.4%)
11-09 16:00: O=$162.79 H=$163.51 L=$162.26 C=$163.42 (+0.4%)
11-09 17:00: O=$163.28 H=$163.36 L=$161.85 C=$161.94 (-0.8%)
11-09 18:00: O=$162.13 H=$164.25 L=$161.85 C=$164.25 (+1.3%)
11-09 19:00: O=$164.53 H=$166.90 L=$164.15 C=$166.54 (+1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 80.7
RSI(14): 73.7
EMA(20): $161.14
EMA(50): $160.47
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.78
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.86
Period Change: +0.39%
Range: $16.86 - $18.19
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 12:00: O=$17.32 H=$17.34 L=$17.32 C=$17.34 (+0.1%)
11-09 13:00: O=$17.35 H=$17.46 L=$17.35 C=$17.45 (+0.5%)
11-09 14:00: O=$17.50 H=$17.60 L=$17.50 C=$17.60 (+0.6%)
11-09 15:00: O=$17.62 H=$17.82 L=$17.62 C=$17.71 (+0.5%)
11-09 16:00: O=$17.61 H=$17.67 L=$17.61 C=$17.67 (+0.4%)
11-09 17:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.54 C=$17.55 (-1.0%)
11-09 18:00: O=$17.56 H=$17.69 L=$17.47 C=$17.69 (+0.7%)
11-09 19:00: O=$17.71 H=$17.86 L=$17.68 C=$17.86 (+0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 77.1
RSI(14): 67.7
EMA(20): $17.43
EMA(50): $17.50
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.13
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 08:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $17.29, Exit: $17.12 P&L: -0.99% ($-5.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 20:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,473.59, Exit: $3,399.95 P&L: -2.12% ($-9.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-08 12:00 → 11-08 14:30 (2.5h)
Entry: $159.85, Exit: $157.40 P&L: -1.53% ($-3.72) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 14:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $17.81, Exit: $17.39 P&L: -2.36% ($-17.84) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $164.43, Exit: $159.88 P&L: -2.77% ($-14.24) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX is the only asset showing relative strength without being overbought. RSI(7)=77.1 and RSI(14)=67.7 are elevated but not extreme like others. Price at $17.86 is consolidating near recent highs after a measured move from $16.86 to $18.19. Unlike BTC/ETH/SOL which spiked hard, AVAX is grinding higher steadily. EMA(20)=$17.43 provides support. While EMA trend shows 'bearish', price is clearly above both EMAs and making higher lows. This is a coiling pattern that could break out as BTC/ETH consolidate. Entry now before potential breakout above $18.20.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: TP at $19.25 targets the next resistance level (+7.8% from entry, 1.96x R:R). SL at $17.15 is below recent consolidation support and EMA(20) at $17.43 (-4.0% from entry). This protects against a failed breakout. Will monitor if BTC/ETH weakness drags AVAX down, but its relative strength suggests it can move independently. Close manually if RSI(14) exceeds 80 without price follow-through.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $548.23
Allocation: 28.0% ($153.50 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $17.86
Size: 51.5600 coins
Notional value: $921.02
📝 Executing LONG 51.56 AVAX @ 6x with TP: $19, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $17.89
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC just hit TP at $104,467 (51.5h hold, +4.19%). Currently at $106,231 with RSI(7)=74.4 and RSI(14)=69.3, showing overbought conditions. Price is 2.3% above EMA(20) after a strong rally from $99k to $106k. While trend is bullish, the rapid move and elevated RSI suggest a pullback or consolidation is likely before next leg up. Wait for better entry on a dip to $102k-$103k support zone.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH just hit TP at $3,618 (6.5h hold, +4.76%) and is now at $3,621.90. RSI(7)=80.4 and RSI(14)=73.0 are extremely overbought - highest of all assets. The spike to $3,689 (high) followed by current price shows exhaustion. ETH gained 6.5% in the period vs BTC's 3.89%, suggesting it led the rally and may correct harder. Price is 3.5% above EMA(20). Wait for RSI to cool below 60 and price to test $3,450-$3,500 support before re-entry.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL just hit TP at $164.33 (19.7h hold, +4.11%) and is now at $166.54. RSI(7)=80.7 is the highest across all assets, indicating extreme overbought conditions. While the trend is bullish (price above both EMAs), the rapid move from $159 to $167 in 8 hours without consolidation is unsustainable. Previous attempts above $164 led to quick reversals. Wait for a healthy pullback to $161-$162 (EMA(20) zone) with RSI below 65 for a better risk/reward entry.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=13
1 order(s) executed
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