Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-10 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-10 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.77
Margin Used: $29.78 (15.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-10 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-10 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-08 04:00 → 2025-12-10 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,184.00
Period Change: +1.46%
Range: $88,737.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 22:00: O=$92,320.00 H=$92,595.00 L=$92,041.00 C=$92,438.00 (+0.1%)
12-09 23:00: O=$92,438.00 H=$92,508.00 L=$92,100.00 C=$92,277.00 (-0.2%)
12-10 00:00: O=$92,317.00 H=$92,497.00 L=$91,763.00 C=$91,886.00 (-0.5%)
12-10 01:00: O=$91,823.00 H=$92,059.00 L=$91,663.00 C=$92,000.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 02:00: O=$92,000.00 H=$92,300.00 L=$91,725.00 C=$91,999.00 (-0.0%)
12-10 03:00: O=$92,208.00 H=$92,208.00 L=$92,010.00 C=$92,083.00 (-0.1%)
12-10 04:00: O=$92,021.00 H=$92,287.00 L=$91,773.00 C=$92,164.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 05:00: O=$92,111.00 H=$92,311.00 L=$91,024.00 C=$92,184.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.8
RSI(14): 56.2
EMA(20): $91,920.04
EMA(50): $91,085.06
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $985.25
ETH:
Current Price: $3,329.80
Period Change: +6.86%
Range: $3,040.20 - $3,400.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 22:00: O=$3,309.30 H=$3,354.80 L=$3,303.40 C=$3,339.00 (+0.9%)
12-09 23:00: O=$3,334.40 H=$3,341.40 L=$3,323.30 C=$3,327.40 (-0.2%)
12-10 00:00: O=$3,320.10 H=$3,330.10 L=$3,312.80 C=$3,312.80 (-0.2%)
12-10 01:00: O=$3,311.60 H=$3,318.40 L=$3,294.00 C=$3,309.00 (-0.1%)
12-10 02:00: O=$3,307.60 H=$3,317.60 L=$3,297.80 C=$3,316.10 (+0.3%)
12-10 03:00: O=$3,318.00 H=$3,320.10 L=$3,311.20 C=$3,314.90 (-0.1%)
12-10 04:00: O=$3,311.30 H=$3,331.80 L=$3,311.30 C=$3,328.90 (+0.5%)
12-10 05:00: O=$3,327.10 H=$3,339.70 L=$3,320.60 C=$3,329.80 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.7
RSI(14): 65.2
EMA(20): $3,282.26
EMA(50): $3,189.53
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $32.16
SOL:
Current Price: $139.19
Period Change: +3.54%
Range: $131.60 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 22:00: O=$137.53 H=$139.30 L=$137.49 C=$138.82 (+0.9%)
12-09 23:00: O=$138.72 H=$138.82 L=$137.73 C=$137.98 (-0.5%)
12-10 00:00: O=$137.86 H=$138.15 L=$137.26 C=$137.66 (-0.1%)
12-10 01:00: O=$137.41 H=$138.51 L=$137.34 C=$137.95 (+0.4%)
12-10 02:00: O=$137.72 H=$138.08 L=$137.28 C=$137.64 (-0.1%)
12-10 03:00: O=$137.80 H=$138.39 L=$137.69 C=$138.23 (+0.3%)
12-10 04:00: O=$138.22 H=$139.95 L=$138.12 C=$139.00 (+0.6%)
12-10 05:00: O=$139.06 H=$139.51 L=$138.72 C=$139.19 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.6
RSI(14): 57.6
EMA(20): $137.88
EMA(50): $136.12
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.72
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.59
Period Change: +6.79%
Range: $13.51 - $14.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-09 22:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.57 C=$14.59 (-0.1%)
12-09 23:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.59 L=$14.59 C=$14.59 (+0.0%)
12-10 00:00: O=$14.62 H=$14.64 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (-0.2%)
12-10 01:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.61 L=$14.59 C=$14.61 (+0.1%)
12-10 02:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.63 L=$14.57 C=$14.61 (+0.1%)
12-10 03:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.62 L=$14.59 C=$14.59 (-0.2%)
12-10 04:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.59 C=$14.59 (-0.1%)
12-10 05:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.60 L=$14.57 C=$14.59 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.5
RSI(14): 80.5
EMA(20): $14.39
EMA(50): $13.95
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 4.07 @ $14.59 (Current: $14.59, P&L: +0.05%)
TP: $13.90 (+4.8%)
SL: $14.85 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing neutral consolidation around $92k with RSI at 52.8 (neutral territory). Price above both EMAs (bullish structure) but recent 8h candles show tight range $91k-$92.5k with no clear directional bias. Last hour saw a $1k wick down to $91k before recovery, suggesting indecision. No clear entry setup - need breakout above $92.5k for long or breakdown below $91.5k for short. Waiting for clearer price action.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH strongest performer (+6.86% period) with bullish structure (price above both EMAs, RSI 65.2 showing strength without extreme). However, RSI(7) at 63.7 approaching overbought and price consolidating at $3,330 resistance level. Recent 8h shows tight range $3,310-$3,340. Already had successful long TP hit at $3,234. No clear entry - would need pullback to $3,280-$3,300 (EMA20 support) for long continuation or rejection at $3,350+ for short. Current position too extended for new entry.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing gradual recovery with bullish structure (above both EMAs, RSI 57.6 neutral-bullish). Recent 8h shows steady climb from $137.26 to $139.19 with increasing momentum (last 2 candles +0.6%, +0.1%). However, price just above EMA20 at $137.88 and approaching recent highs. Given recent whipsaw history (3 stopped out positions in last 2 days), need stronger confirmation. Would consider long on pullback to $137-138 with volume support, or wait for clear breakout above $140 with sustained momentum.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Maintaining existing SHORT position. AVAX showing EXTREME overbought conditions (RSI(14) 80.5, RSI(7) 76.5) - highest across all assets. Price consolidating tightly at $14.59 for past 8 hours (range $14.57-$14.64) after strong rally. This tight consolidation at extremes typically precedes mean reversion. Current position entered at $14.59 with TP $13.90 (4.8% gain, EMA20 support) and SL $14.85 (1.8% risk, above period high). R/R ratio 2.67:1. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to close manually as thesis (overbought mean reversion) remains intact. Tight consolidation suggests distribution, not continuation.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=130
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