Output
============================================================
Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-10 12:00:00 UTC
============================================================
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-10 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $199.11
Margin Used: $31.12 (15.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-10 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-10 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-08 10:00 → 2025-12-10 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,691.00
Period Change: -0.08%
Range: $88,737.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 04:00: O=$92,021.00 H=$92,287.00 L=$91,773.00 C=$92,164.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 05:00: O=$92,111.00 H=$92,311.00 L=$91,024.00 C=$92,184.00 (+0.1%)
12-10 06:00: O=$92,159.00 H=$92,266.00 L=$91,546.00 C=$92,246.00 (+0.1%)
12-10 07:00: O=$92,087.00 H=$92,246.00 L=$90,688.00 C=$92,209.00 (+0.1%)
12-10 08:00: O=$92,291.00 H=$92,474.00 L=$92,203.00 C=$92,317.00 (+0.0%)
12-10 09:00: O=$92,295.00 H=$92,497.00 L=$92,059.00 C=$92,497.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 10:00: O=$92,497.00 H=$92,717.00 L=$91,801.00 C=$91,917.00 (-0.6%)
12-10 11:00: O=$91,915.00 H=$92,047.00 L=$91,383.00 C=$91,691.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 35.1
RSI(14): 46.7
EMA(20): $92,005.85
EMA(50): $91,180.80
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $909.92
ETH:
Current Price: $3,313.60
Period Change: +4.78%
Range: $3,040.20 - $3,400.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 04:00: O=$3,311.30 H=$3,331.80 L=$3,311.30 C=$3,328.90 (+0.5%)
12-10 05:00: O=$3,327.10 H=$3,339.70 L=$3,320.60 C=$3,329.80 (+0.1%)
12-10 06:00: O=$3,328.50 H=$3,333.10 L=$3,323.70 C=$3,332.70 (+0.1%)
12-10 07:00: O=$3,330.10 H=$3,334.70 L=$3,319.10 C=$3,334.70 (+0.1%)
12-10 08:00: O=$3,329.10 H=$3,337.10 L=$3,328.60 C=$3,331.00 (+0.1%)
12-10 09:00: O=$3,327.00 H=$3,353.70 L=$3,319.80 C=$3,353.70 (+0.8%)
12-10 10:00: O=$3,352.80 H=$3,381.40 L=$3,320.00 C=$3,321.20 (-0.9%)
12-10 11:00: O=$3,316.80 H=$3,326.00 L=$3,302.90 C=$3,313.60 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.0
RSI(14): 54.8
EMA(20): $3,303.89
EMA(50): $3,212.18
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $30.82
SOL:
Current Price: $137.27
Period Change: -0.73%
Range: $131.60 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 04:00: O=$138.22 H=$139.95 L=$138.12 C=$139.00 (+0.6%)
12-10 05:00: O=$139.06 H=$139.51 L=$138.72 C=$139.19 (+0.1%)
12-10 06:00: O=$139.18 H=$139.40 L=$138.81 C=$139.21 (+0.0%)
12-10 07:00: O=$139.17 H=$139.22 L=$138.45 C=$139.12 (-0.0%)
12-10 08:00: O=$139.22 H=$139.31 L=$138.47 C=$138.58 (-0.5%)
12-10 09:00: O=$138.51 H=$139.10 L=$138.20 C=$138.96 (+0.3%)
12-10 10:00: O=$139.12 H=$139.80 L=$136.89 C=$137.05 (-1.5%)
12-10 11:00: O=$137.30 H=$137.43 L=$136.36 C=$137.27 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.2
RSI(14): 47.0
EMA(20): $138.06
EMA(50): $136.39
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.55
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.24
Period Change: +3.18%
Range: $13.51 - $14.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 04:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.59 C=$14.59 (-0.1%)
12-10 05:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.60 L=$14.57 C=$14.59 (-0.0%)
12-10 06:00: O=$14.61 H=$14.61 L=$14.59 C=$14.61 (-0.0%)
12-10 07:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.61 L=$14.58 C=$14.61 (+0.2%)
12-10 08:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (+0.0%)
12-10 09:00: O=$14.57 H=$14.61 L=$14.57 C=$14.61 (+0.3%)
12-10 10:00: O=$14.63 H=$14.64 L=$14.41 C=$14.41 (-1.5%)
12-10 11:00: O=$14.34 H=$14.34 L=$14.18 C=$14.24 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 19.5
RSI(14): 39.8
EMA(20): $14.43
EMA(50): $14.05
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 4.07 @ $14.59 (Current: $14.24, P&L: +2.44%)
TP: $13.90 (+4.8%)
SL: $14.85 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing clear weakness with -1.5% drop in hour 10 and price breaking below EMA20 ($138.06) to $137.27. RSI(7) at 38.2 is approaching oversold but RSI(14) at 47 confirms bearish momentum. Key technical breakdown: price failed to hold $139 support and dropped sharply from $139.80 to $136.89, now consolidating near lows. EMA20 resistance overhead at $138.06. Multiple confirmations: 1) Break below EMA20, 2) RSI bearish divergence, 3) Failed rally attempt at $139. Targeting $134.50 (near EMA50 at $136.39, then next support), SL at $139.50 (above recent high and EMA20). 2.5:1 R/R ratio.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $134.50 (near EMA50 support at $136.39, 2% gain from entry). SL at $139.50 (above recent rejection high and EMA20 resistance, 1.6% risk = ~1.5x ATR). Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $138.50 with strong volume, indicating failed breakdown. This trade capitalizes on the break below EMA20 support with momentum confirmation.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $199.11
Allocation: 25.0% ($49.78 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $137.27
Size: 1.0900 coins
Notional value: $149.62
📝 Executing SHORT 1.09 SOL @ 3x with TP: $134, SL: $140
✅ Market order filled @ $137.13
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44772383489)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44772384341)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing mixed signals. Price at $91,691 is below EMA20 ($92,006) but above EMA50 ($91,181), maintaining bullish structure. RSI(7) at 35.1 shows oversold conditions, but RSI(14) at 46.7 is neutral. Recent price action shows rejection from $92,500 level with a -0.6% drop in last 2 hours. While oversold RSI suggests potential bounce, the rejection at resistance and current consolidation below EMA20 doesn't provide the 2+ confirmations required for entry. With 15.6% margin already deployed on AVAX short, waiting for clearer setup is prudent.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH has strong bullish structure with +4.78% period gain and price above both EMA20 ($3,304) and EMA50 ($3,212). However, recent 2-hour action shows a sharp rejection from $3,381 high with -1% drop, followed by continued weakness to $3,314. RSI(7) at 46 and RSI(14) at 54.8 are neutral - not overbought enough to short, not oversold enough to long. The whipsaw from $3,354 to $3,321 in hour 10 suggests indecision. ETH is consolidating after a strong move, and entering here lacks clear directional conviction. Better to wait for either a clean breakout above $3,380 or a pullback to EMA20 support around $3,300.
Confidence: 45%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing AVAX short is performing well (+2.44% P&L) and approaching TP target at $13.90 (current $14.24). Price has dropped sharply from $14.61 to $14.24 with RSI(7) at extremely oversold 19.5, confirming strong downward momentum. However, RSI(14) at 39.8 suggests potential bounce zone approaching. The trade thesis remains valid - mean reversion from overbought levels. TP at $13.90 is well-positioned near EMA20 support. Critical: Trust the TP/SL orders that execute 24/7. Manual close would lock in +2.44% but sacrifice the remaining 2.3% move to full TP target. No reason to exit early - thesis intact, no invalidation signals. Let the trade run to TP.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=131
1 order(s) executed
============================================================