Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-10 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-10 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $199.04
Margin Used: $80.92 (40.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-10 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-10 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-08 16:00 → 2025-12-10 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,126.00
Period Change: +2.74%
Range: $88,737.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 10:00: O=$92,497.00 H=$92,717.00 L=$91,801.00 C=$91,917.00 (-0.6%)
12-10 11:00: O=$91,915.00 H=$92,047.00 L=$91,383.00 C=$91,691.00 (-0.2%)
12-10 12:00: O=$91,709.00 H=$91,797.00 L=$90,989.00 C=$91,582.00 (-0.1%)
12-10 13:00: O=$91,630.00 H=$91,785.00 L=$91,529.00 C=$91,667.00 (+0.0%)
12-10 14:00: O=$91,620.00 H=$91,643.00 L=$91,197.00 C=$91,309.00 (-0.3%)
12-10 15:00: O=$91,303.00 H=$91,653.00 L=$91,121.00 C=$91,568.00 (+0.3%)
12-10 16:00: O=$91,600.00 H=$92,060.00 L=$90,960.00 C=$91,815.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 17:00: O=$91,846.00 H=$92,198.00 L=$91,816.00 C=$92,126.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.8
RSI(14): 57.2
EMA(20): $91,862.98
EMA(50): $91,255.52
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $787.52
ETH:
Current Price: $3,376.20
Period Change: +8.84%
Range: $3,087.20 - $3,400.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 10:00: O=$3,352.80 H=$3,381.40 L=$3,320.00 C=$3,321.20 (-0.9%)
12-10 11:00: O=$3,316.80 H=$3,326.00 L=$3,302.90 C=$3,313.60 (-0.1%)
12-10 12:00: O=$3,320.80 H=$3,330.70 L=$3,316.80 C=$3,328.30 (+0.2%)
12-10 13:00: O=$3,328.20 H=$3,345.70 L=$3,325.80 C=$3,342.10 (+0.4%)
12-10 14:00: O=$3,339.40 H=$3,339.50 L=$3,311.90 C=$3,328.20 (-0.3%)
12-10 15:00: O=$3,325.60 H=$3,367.00 L=$3,319.50 C=$3,337.30 (+0.4%)
12-10 16:00: O=$3,331.90 H=$3,376.00 L=$3,327.20 C=$3,358.50 (+0.8%)
12-10 17:00: O=$3,355.40 H=$3,390.10 L=$3,352.00 C=$3,376.20 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 71.6
RSI(14): 67.9
EMA(20): $3,323.54
EMA(50): $3,236.80
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $31.51
SOL:
Current Price: $136.60
Period Change: +0.80%
Range: $131.60 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 10:00: O=$139.12 H=$139.80 L=$136.89 C=$137.05 (-1.5%)
12-10 11:00: O=$137.30 H=$137.43 L=$136.36 C=$137.27 (-0.0%)
12-10 12:00: O=$137.13 H=$138.00 L=$136.93 C=$138.00 (+0.6%)
12-10 13:00: O=$137.86 H=$138.13 L=$137.56 C=$137.72 (-0.1%)
12-10 14:00: O=$137.75 H=$137.75 L=$136.61 C=$137.28 (-0.3%)
12-10 15:00: O=$137.09 H=$137.70 L=$135.81 C=$136.20 (-0.6%)
12-10 16:00: O=$136.23 H=$137.49 L=$135.87 C=$136.10 (-0.1%)
12-10 17:00: O=$136.06 H=$137.02 L=$136.02 C=$136.60 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.7
RSI(14): 45.7
EMA(20): $137.50
EMA(50): $136.31
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.44
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.34
Period Change: +5.66%
Range: $13.54 - $14.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 10:00: O=$14.63 H=$14.64 L=$14.41 C=$14.41 (-1.5%)
12-10 11:00: O=$14.34 H=$14.34 L=$14.18 C=$14.24 (-0.7%)
12-10 12:00: O=$14.24 H=$14.24 L=$14.16 C=$14.16 (-0.6%)
12-10 13:00: O=$14.16 H=$14.16 L=$14.16 C=$14.16 (+0.0%)
12-10 14:00: O=$14.16 H=$14.16 L=$14.16 C=$14.16 (+0.0%)
12-10 15:00: O=$14.22 H=$14.23 L=$14.22 C=$14.23 (+0.1%)
12-10 16:00: O=$14.28 H=$14.28 L=$14.28 C=$14.28 (+0.0%)
12-10 17:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.34 L=$14.30 C=$14.34 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.5
RSI(14): 49.9
EMA(20): $14.34
EMA(50): $14.11
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.09 @ $137.13 (Current: $136.60, P&L: +0.39%)
TP: $134.50 (+1.9%)
SL: $139.50 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $134.50 (near EMA50 support at $136.39, 2% gain from entry). SL at $139.50 (above recent rejection high and EMA20 resistance, 1.6% risk = ~1.5x ATR). Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $138.50 with strong volume, indicating failed breakdown. This trade capitalizes on the break below EMA20 support with momentum confirmation.
AVAX (SHORT): 4.07 @ $14.59 (Current: $14.34, P&L: +1.74%)
TP: $13.90 (+4.8%)
SL: $14.85 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-06 06:00 → 12-07 14:35 (32.6h)
Entry: $133.02, Exit: $129.47 P&L: +2.67% ($+3.27) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating in a tight range ($91k-$92k) after recent volatility. Price is above both EMA20 ($91,863) and EMA50 ($91,256) confirming bullish structure, but RSI at 58.8 shows neutral momentum. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action with no clear directional bias. With 40.7% margin already deployed and no strong entry signal (need 2+ confirmations), waiting for clearer setup is prudent. A break above $92,500 or below $91,000 would provide better entry context.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing strong bullish momentum with +8.84% period gain and price well above EMAs (current $3,376 vs EMA20 $3,324 vs EMA50 $3,237). However, RSI(7) at 71.6 and RSI(14) at 67.9 indicate overbought conditions. Recent candles show consecutive green closes with strong buying pressure, but this is a continuation signal in an uptrend, not a reversal setup. With margin at 40.7%, taking a counter-trend short here would be fighting momentum. A long would be chasing. Better to wait for either a pullback to EMA20 support ($3,320-$3,330) for long entry or clear exhaustion signals for short.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $137.13, currently +0.39% P&L. Price action shows weakness with current price $136.60 below entry and below EMA20 ($137.50), validating the short thesis. Recent 8h candles show inability to reclaim $138 resistance. RSI(7) at 38.7 and RSI(14) at 45.7 indicate bearish momentum without being oversold. TP at $134.50 and SL at $139.50 are well-placed. Trust the automated TP/SL orders - they will execute 24/7. No reason to manually close a working trade that hasn't invalidated thesis. Position is trending toward target.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $14.59, currently +1.74% P&L and performing well. Price dropped from $14.59 to $14.34, moving toward TP at $13.90. Recent candles show very low volatility with tight ranges, suggesting consolidation before next move. RSI normalized to 50.5/49.9 from previous overbought levels, confirming mean-reversion thesis. Price is now AT EMA20 ($14.34), which is our key level. However, the trade thesis remains valid - we're capitalizing on the pullback from overbought extremes. TP/SL orders are active and appropriate. No manual intervention needed - let the trade work.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=132
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