Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-11 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-10 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $196.97
Margin Used: $31.73 (16.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-11 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-10 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-08 22:00 → 2025-12-11 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,522.00
Period Change: +0.73%
Range: $88,737.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 16:00: O=$91,600.00 H=$92,060.00 L=$90,960.00 C=$91,815.00 (+0.2%)
12-10 17:00: O=$91,846.00 H=$92,198.00 L=$91,816.00 C=$92,126.00 (+0.3%)
12-10 18:00: O=$91,999.00 H=$92,653.00 L=$91,616.00 C=$92,017.00 (+0.0%)
12-10 19:00: O=$92,153.00 H=$92,731.00 L=$91,100.00 C=$92,468.00 (+0.3%)
12-10 20:00: O=$92,580.00 H=$94,000.00 L=$92,090.00 C=$92,156.00 (-0.5%)
12-10 21:00: O=$92,086.00 H=$92,334.00 L=$91,487.00 C=$91,869.00 (-0.2%)
12-10 22:00: O=$91,992.00 H=$92,160.00 L=$91,660.00 C=$92,116.00 (+0.1%)
12-10 23:00: O=$92,041.00 H=$92,088.00 L=$91,472.00 C=$91,522.00 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.9
RSI(14): 44.3
EMA(20): $91,901.70
EMA(50): $91,499.78
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $876.43
ETH:
Current Price: $3,333.90
Period Change: +5.81%
Range: $3,095.30 - $3,511.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 16:00: O=$3,331.90 H=$3,376.00 L=$3,327.20 C=$3,358.50 (+0.8%)
12-10 17:00: O=$3,355.40 H=$3,390.10 L=$3,352.00 C=$3,376.20 (+0.6%)
12-10 18:00: O=$3,372.40 H=$3,511.00 L=$3,366.20 C=$3,388.80 (+0.5%)
12-10 19:00: O=$3,396.80 H=$3,457.90 L=$3,369.30 C=$3,395.30 (-0.0%)
12-10 20:00: O=$3,395.10 H=$3,453.10 L=$3,354.50 C=$3,359.50 (-1.0%)
12-10 21:00: O=$3,359.60 H=$3,375.90 L=$3,339.00 C=$3,352.40 (-0.2%)
12-10 22:00: O=$3,349.00 H=$3,360.60 L=$3,329.40 C=$3,360.30 (+0.3%)
12-10 23:00: O=$3,355.70 H=$3,361.60 L=$3,333.30 C=$3,333.90 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.9
RSI(14): 51.1
EMA(20): $3,339.58
EMA(50): $3,265.69
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $43.77
SOL:
Current Price: $136.28
Period Change: +1.37%
Range: $131.60 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 16:00: O=$136.23 H=$137.49 L=$135.87 C=$136.10 (-0.1%)
12-10 17:00: O=$136.06 H=$137.02 L=$136.02 C=$136.60 (+0.4%)
12-10 18:00: O=$136.78 H=$139.40 L=$136.73 C=$137.64 (+0.6%)
12-10 19:00: O=$138.70 H=$142.12 L=$136.24 C=$138.90 (+0.1%)
12-10 20:00: O=$138.21 H=$142.40 L=$137.76 C=$138.41 (+0.1%)
12-10 21:00: O=$138.09 H=$138.84 L=$137.00 C=$137.15 (-0.7%)
12-10 22:00: O=$137.14 H=$137.80 L=$135.39 C=$137.80 (+0.5%)
12-10 23:00: O=$137.59 H=$137.64 L=$136.18 C=$136.28 (-1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.5
RSI(14): 43.9
EMA(20): $137.49
EMA(50): $136.69
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.01
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.18
Period Change: +3.91%
Range: $13.54 - $14.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 16:00: O=$14.28 H=$14.28 L=$14.28 C=$14.28 (+0.0%)
12-10 17:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.34 L=$14.30 C=$14.34 (+0.3%)
12-10 18:00: O=$14.34 H=$14.34 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (+0.0%)
12-10 19:00: O=$14.47 H=$14.48 L=$14.47 C=$14.48 (+0.1%)
12-10 20:00: O=$14.55 H=$14.77 L=$14.50 C=$14.50 (-0.4%)
12-10 21:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.30 C=$14.32 (-0.7%)
12-10 22:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.10 C=$14.17 (-0.3%)
12-10 23:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.18 C=$14.18 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 34.2
RSI(14): 41.1
EMA(20): $14.33
EMA(50): $14.20
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 4.07 @ $14.59 (Current: $14.18, P&L: +2.84%)
TP: $13.90 (+4.8%)
SL: $14.85 (-1.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.90 (EMA20 support, ~4.6% gain) for 2:1 R/R. SL at $14.85 (+1.9% above entry, ~2x ATR buffer above period high). Exit manually if RSI drops below 70 but price holds above $14.20, indicating consolidation rather than reversal. This is a mean-reversion play on extreme overbought - not fighting the trend long-term, just capitalizing on overextension.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $89,081.00, Exit: $90,310.00 P&L: -1.38% ($-2.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing mixed signals - price below EMA20 ($91,901) with RSI(14) at 44.3 indicating neutral territory. Recent candles show rejection from $94k and fade back to $91.5k. While EMA trend is technically bullish (20>50), the recent price action shows weakness with lower highs. Not enough conviction for entry - waiting for either clear breakout above $93k or breakdown below $90k support. Recent losing streak suggests need for higher quality setups.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH strongest performer (+5.81% period) and holding above both EMAs (price $3,334 vs EMA20 $3,340). However, just printed a -0.6% reversal candle after testing $3,511 high. RSI(14) at 51.1 is neutral. Price action shows rejection at $3,511 with fade back below EMA20. This looks like profit-taking after strong run. Need to see if $3,330 support holds or if we get continuation above $3,400. No clear entry edge right now - could consolidate or retrace further.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing weakness - price $136.28 now below EMA20 ($137.49) after testing $142+ highs. RSI(7) at 38.5 and RSI(14) at 43.9 showing bearish momentum. Recent candles printing lower highs and lower lows with -1.0% last hourly close. However, just got stopped out of a short position 3 hours ago at $139.54, so re-entering short immediately would be chasing. Need cleaner setup - either wait for bounce to EMA20 resistance for short entry, or break below $135 for continuation short. Too close to recent stop loss psychologically.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently in profitable SHORT position (+2.84% P&L). Price at $14.18 moving toward TP target of $13.90. Position working as planned - AVAX showing continued weakness with RSI(7) at 34.2 (oversold) and price below EMA20 ($14.33). Last 4 candles all red with declining momentum. CRITICAL: Trust the TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7. No reason to close manually when thesis intact and position profitable. TP is well-placed at EMA20 support zone. Let the trade work - churning costs fees and exits before full move plays out. Only would close if thesis invalidated (e.g., sudden reversal above $14.50).
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=133
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