Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-11 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-11 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.72
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-11 06:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-11 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-09 04:00 → 2025-12-11 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,820.00
Period Change: -0.30%
Range: $88,085.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 23:00: O=$92,041.00 H=$92,088.00 L=$91,472.00 C=$91,522.00 (-0.6%)
12-11 00:00: O=$91,490.00 H=$91,811.00 L=$90,744.00 C=$91,073.00 (-0.5%)
12-11 01:00: O=$91,083.00 H=$91,119.00 L=$90,355.00 C=$90,423.00 (-0.7%)
12-11 02:00: O=$90,322.00 H=$90,369.00 L=$89,572.00 C=$89,681.00 (-0.7%)
12-11 03:00: O=$89,730.00 H=$89,730.00 L=$89,035.00 C=$89,514.00 (-0.2%)
12-11 04:00: O=$89,452.00 H=$89,775.00 L=$89,361.00 C=$89,690.00 (+0.3%)
12-11 05:00: O=$89,691.00 H=$90,356.00 L=$88,085.00 C=$89,933.00 (+0.3%)
12-11 06:00: O=$89,821.00 H=$89,821.00 L=$89,820.00 C=$89,820.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.7
RSI(14): 32.0
EMA(20): $90,915.15
EMA(50): $91,432.68
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $886.09
ETH:
Current Price: $3,223.00
Period Change: +2.91%
Range: $3,097.90 - $3,511.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 22:00: O=$3,349.00 H=$3,360.60 L=$3,329.40 C=$3,360.30 (+0.3%)
12-10 23:00: O=$3,355.70 H=$3,361.60 L=$3,333.30 C=$3,333.90 (-0.6%)
12-11 00:00: O=$3,334.10 H=$3,334.10 L=$3,266.10 C=$3,282.60 (-1.5%)
12-11 01:00: O=$3,281.90 H=$3,285.50 L=$3,251.00 C=$3,261.20 (-0.6%)
12-11 02:00: O=$3,259.40 H=$3,260.00 L=$3,215.00 C=$3,218.60 (-1.3%)
12-11 03:00: O=$3,215.20 H=$3,215.90 L=$3,174.20 C=$3,198.90 (-0.5%)
12-11 04:00: O=$3,191.90 H=$3,228.70 L=$3,187.00 C=$3,222.60 (+1.0%)
12-11 05:00: O=$3,218.10 H=$3,223.70 L=$3,201.20 C=$3,223.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 27.4
RSI(14): 34.6
EMA(20): $3,289.73
EMA(50): $3,279.05
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $43.03
SOL:
Current Price: $131.20
Period Change: -2.32%
Range: $129.10 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 22:00: O=$137.14 H=$137.80 L=$135.39 C=$137.80 (+0.5%)
12-10 23:00: O=$137.59 H=$137.64 L=$136.18 C=$136.28 (-1.0%)
12-11 00:00: O=$136.27 H=$136.47 L=$133.41 C=$133.87 (-1.8%)
12-11 01:00: O=$133.70 H=$134.10 L=$132.68 C=$132.92 (-0.6%)
12-11 02:00: O=$132.83 H=$132.94 L=$130.59 C=$130.79 (-1.5%)
12-11 03:00: O=$130.77 H=$130.77 L=$129.15 C=$129.39 (-1.1%)
12-11 04:00: O=$129.20 H=$131.20 L=$129.10 C=$131.08 (+1.5%)
12-11 05:00: O=$130.91 H=$131.20 L=$130.46 C=$131.20 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.3
RSI(14): 32.5
EMA(20): $134.71
EMA(50): $136.46
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.95
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.40
Period Change: -2.27%
Range: $13.28 - $14.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 21:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.30 C=$14.32 (-0.7%)
12-10 22:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.10 C=$14.17 (-0.3%)
12-10 23:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.18 C=$14.18 (-0.2%)
12-11 00:00: O=$14.08 H=$14.08 L=$13.79 C=$13.79 (-2.1%)
12-11 01:00: O=$13.76 H=$13.76 L=$13.61 C=$13.63 (-0.9%)
12-11 02:00: O=$13.58 H=$13.58 L=$13.43 C=$13.46 (-0.9%)
12-11 03:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
12-11 04:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.40 L=$13.28 C=$13.40 (+0.9%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 18.7
RSI(14): 23.9
EMA(20): $14.00
ATR(14): $0.13
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.96 P&L: +2.20% ($+2.72) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:05 (6.1h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [UNKNOWN]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish momentum: price down 3.7% in last 8h, trading 1.2% below EMA(20) and 1.8% below EMA(50) confirming downtrend. RSI(14) at 32.0 shows oversold but in downtrend this signals SHORT continuation opportunity, not reversal. Recent candles show consistent lower lows (92k→89.8k). Price rejected from 90.4k resistance in 05:00 candle with long wick showing selling pressure. No reversal confirmation - trend-following short is safer than catching falling knife.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (2.6% move, ~3x ATR) targets next support level. SL at $91,150 (1.5% above entry, 1.5x ATR) above recent resistance and EMA(20). Exit early if price reclaims $90,915 (EMA20) with strong volume or RSI divergence forms. R:R ratio 2.0:1.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.72
Allocation: 30.0% ($59.32 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $89,820.00
Size: 0.0026 coins
Notional value: $237.12
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00264 BTC @ 4x with TP: $87,500, SL: $91,150
✅ Market order filled @ $89,845.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44828087135)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44828087819)
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Despite bullish EMA positioning (price above both EMAs), ETH showing severe weakness: down 4.2% in last 8h from $3,360→$3,223. RSI(7) at 27.4 deeply oversold but in context of sharp selloff, this indicates panic not bounce setup. Price broke below EMA(50) at $3,279 and now 2% below EMA(20). Recent candles show aggressive selling with large red bodies. Failed to hold $3,200 psychological level. Correlation with BTC weakness suggests continued downside risk.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,120 (3.2% move, 2.4x ATR) targets December lows. SL at $3,290 (2.1% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance. Exit if price reclaims both EMAs with bullish divergence. R:R ratio 1.5:1 - acceptable given strong momentum.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.72
Allocation: 25.0% ($49.43 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,223.00
Size: 0.0460 coins
Notional value: $148.26
📝 Executing SHORT 0.046 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,120, SL: $3,290
✅ Market order filled @ $3,220.80
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44828089697)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44828090064)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Clear bearish structure: price 2.6% below EMA(20) and 3.9% below EMA(50), both EMAs in bearish alignment. Down 4.5% from $137.8→$131.2 in last 8h. RSI(14) at 32.5 oversold in downtrend = continuation signal. Recent bounce from $129.10 low appears corrective (only +1.5% recovery) not reversal. Price failed to reclaim $134 resistance multiple times. ATR at $1.95 suggests normal volatility. Recent trading history shows multiple failed longs/shorts but last AVAX short worked well, suggesting trend-following approach is working.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $127.50 (2.8% move, 1.9x ATR) below recent low for new support test. SL at $134.20 (2.3% above entry, 1.5x ATR) above EMA(20) and consolidation resistance. Exit if RSI forms bullish divergence or price breaks above $135. R:R ratio 1.2:1.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 83.0% (current: 55.0%, new: 28.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 18.7 and RSI(14) at 23.9, BUT in strong downtrend this signals exhaustion selling continuation. Price 4.3% below EMA(20), showing clear bearish momentum. Down 9.3% from $14.77→$13.40 over period. Recent TP hit on AVAX short (+4.66%) confirms trend. Small bounce from $13.28 low lacks conviction. WARNING: data 2h old increases risk, but technical setup too compelling. Using smaller allocation due to stale data.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 17.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.95 (3.4% move, 3.5x ATR) targets psychological $13 break. SL at $13.75 (2.6% above entry, 2.7x ATR) above EMA(20) at $14.00 cushion for stale data gap risk. Exit immediately if data shows gap up when fresh data arrives. R:R ratio 1.3:1. Conservative sizing due to data staleness.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.72
Allocation: 17.0% ($33.61 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $13.40
Size: 5.0100 coins
Notional value: $67.16
📝 Executing SHORT 5.01 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.40
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44828092035)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44828092530)
💾 Database saved: run_id=134
4 order(s) executed
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