Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-11 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-11 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $198.33
Margin Used: $143.04 (72.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-11 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-11 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-09 10:00 → 2025-12-11 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,903.00
Period Change: -0.02%
Range: $88,085.00 - $95,226.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 04:00: O=$89,452.00 H=$89,775.00 L=$89,361.00 C=$89,690.00 (+0.3%)
12-11 05:00: O=$89,691.00 H=$90,356.00 L=$88,085.00 C=$89,933.00 (+0.3%)
12-11 06:00: O=$89,821.00 H=$89,998.00 L=$89,563.00 C=$89,843.00 (+0.0%)
12-11 07:00: O=$89,824.00 H=$89,824.00 L=$89,604.00 C=$89,751.00 (-0.1%)
12-11 08:00: O=$89,751.00 H=$89,987.00 L=$89,682.00 C=$89,872.00 (+0.1%)
12-11 09:00: O=$89,918.00 H=$90,002.00 L=$89,833.00 C=$89,843.00 (-0.1%)
12-11 10:00: O=$89,927.00 H=$90,002.00 L=$89,823.00 C=$89,978.00 (+0.1%)
12-11 11:00: O=$90,002.00 H=$90,084.00 L=$89,843.00 C=$89,903.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.1
RSI(14): 37.5
EMA(20): $90,523.30
EMA(50): $91,488.36
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $712.76
ETH:
Current Price: $3,200.40
Period Change: +2.91%
Range: $3,097.90 - $3,511.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 04:00: O=$3,191.90 H=$3,228.70 L=$3,187.00 C=$3,222.60 (+1.0%)
12-11 05:00: O=$3,218.10 H=$3,223.70 L=$3,201.20 C=$3,223.00 (+0.2%)
12-11 06:00: O=$3,220.40 H=$3,222.20 L=$3,202.40 C=$3,211.10 (-0.3%)
12-11 07:00: O=$3,214.10 H=$3,214.10 L=$3,207.50 C=$3,209.80 (-0.1%)
12-11 08:00: O=$3,204.10 H=$3,205.50 L=$3,187.50 C=$3,201.30 (-0.1%)
12-11 09:00: O=$3,202.60 H=$3,217.80 L=$3,201.30 C=$3,207.70 (+0.2%)
12-11 10:00: O=$3,208.10 H=$3,208.40 L=$3,196.30 C=$3,204.90 (-0.1%)
12-11 11:00: O=$3,204.10 H=$3,209.10 L=$3,200.40 C=$3,200.40 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 25.4
RSI(14): 34.5
EMA(20): $3,252.34
EMA(50): $3,289.32
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $33.32
SOL:
Current Price: $130.92
Period Change: -1.13%
Range: $129.10 - $145.05
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 04:00: O=$129.20 H=$131.20 L=$129.10 C=$131.08 (+1.5%)
12-11 05:00: O=$130.91 H=$131.20 L=$130.46 C=$131.20 (+0.2%)
12-11 06:00: O=$131.09 H=$131.18 L=$130.35 C=$130.90 (-0.1%)
12-11 07:00: O=$130.96 H=$131.29 L=$130.63 C=$130.92 (-0.0%)
12-11 08:00: O=$130.83 H=$130.93 L=$130.23 C=$130.85 (+0.0%)
12-11 09:00: O=$130.94 H=$131.29 L=$130.86 C=$130.87 (-0.1%)
12-11 10:00: O=$130.94 H=$131.01 L=$130.49 C=$130.72 (-0.2%)
12-11 11:00: O=$130.74 H=$131.07 L=$130.73 C=$130.92 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 32.9
RSI(14): 35.7
EMA(20): $133.01
EMA(50): $136.22
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.49
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.40
Period Change: -2.57%
Range: $13.28 - $14.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-10 23:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.18 C=$14.18 (-0.2%)
12-11 00:00: O=$14.08 H=$14.08 L=$13.79 C=$13.79 (-2.1%)
12-11 01:00: O=$13.76 H=$13.76 L=$13.61 C=$13.63 (-0.9%)
12-11 02:00: O=$13.58 H=$13.58 L=$13.43 C=$13.46 (-0.9%)
12-11 03:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
12-11 04:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.40 L=$13.28 C=$13.40 (+0.9%)
12-11 05:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
12-11 06:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 6.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 18.6
RSI(14): 23.8
EMA(20): $13.89
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00264 @ $89,845.00 (Current: $89,903.00, P&L: -0.06%)
TP: $87,500.00 (+2.6%)
SL: $91,150.00 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (2.6% move, ~3x ATR) targets next support level. SL at $91,150 (1.5% above entry, 1.5x ATR) above recent resistance and EMA(20). Exit early if price reclaims $90,915 (EMA20) with strong volume or RSI divergence forms. R:R ratio 2.0:1.
ETH (SHORT): 0.046 @ $3,220.80 (Current: $3,200.40, P&L: +0.63%)
TP: $3,120.00 (+3.1%)
SL: $3,290.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,120 (3.2% move, 2.4x ATR) targets December lows. SL at $3,290 (2.1% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance. Exit if price reclaims both EMAs with bullish divergence. R:R ratio 1.5:1 - acceptable given strong momentum.
AVAX (SHORT): 5.01 @ $13.40 (Current: $13.40, P&L: -0.00%)
TP: $12.95 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.75 (-2.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.95 (3.4% move, 3.5x ATR) targets psychological $13 break. SL at $13.75 (2.6% above entry, 2.7x ATR) above EMA(20) at $14.00 cushion for stale data gap risk. Exit immediately if data shows gap up when fresh data arrives. R:R ratio 1.3:1. Conservative sizing due to data staleness.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-05 18:00 → 12-07 17:35 (47.6h)
Entry: $3,033.50, Exit: $3,090.04 P&L: -1.86% ($-2.85) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-07 18:00 → 12-07 22:20 (4.3h)
Entry: $134.94, Exit: $131.39 P&L: -2.63% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 03:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $131.92, Exit: $134.62 P&L: -2.05% ($-3.02) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 05:55 (11.9h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.40 P&L: +2.61% ($+3.23) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Clear SHORT opportunity. Price $130.92 below both EMAs (20: $133.01, 50: $136.22) in established downtrend. RSI(14) 35.7 oversold in bearish trend = continuation setup. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation $130.70-$131.20 after rejection from $145 high - classic bear flag pattern. Last 4 candles flat/slightly down, coiling for next leg lower. Volume context shows weakness. No open position allows fresh entry. Recent trade history: 3 failed attempts but market structure now clearer.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $126.50 (3.4% move, 2.3x ATR) targets psychological $125 zone and prior support. SL at $133.20 (1.7% above entry, 1.5x ATR) just above EMA(20) at $133.01 and consolidation high. Exit early if price reclaims EMA(20) with volume or RSI forms bullish divergence above 40. R:R ratio 2.0:1. Conservative 20% allocation given recent whipsaw history.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 92.1% (current: 72.1%, new: 20.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position at breakeven (-0.06%). Price consolidating tightly around $89,900 in narrow range after testing $88,085 low. RSI(14) 37.5 shows oversold conditions in downtrend - this is SHORT continuation setup, not reversal. Price still below both EMAs (20: $90,523, 50: $91,488) confirming bearish structure. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation with no clear directional bias. Trust TP at $87,500 (next support, 2.6% move) and SL at $91,150 (above resistance). No reason to exit manually - thesis intact, let automated orders work.
Confidence: 70%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position +0.63% profit, working well. ETH showing weakest momentum of majors with RSI(7) 25.4 deeply oversold. Recent 8h candles grinding lower: $3,222 → $3,200, consistent lower highs. Price below both EMAs (20: $3,252, 50: $3,289) in clear bearish trend. Last 4 candles all red/flat showing persistent selling pressure. TP at $3,120 targets December lows (3.1% move, reasonable). Premature to close manually when trend structure remains bearish and TP not yet approached. Trust the plan.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position at breakeven but DATA IS 6 HOURS STALE - critical issue. Last candle shows flat $13.40 for 3+ hours which is suspicious. RSI(7) 18.6 extremely oversold suggests potential bounce risk when fresh data arrives. However, price remains below EMA(20) $13.89 in bearish structure. Given 72.1% margin used and data staleness creating unknown gap risk, holding is safer than closing prematurely or adding exposure. TP at $12.95 reasonable if trend continues. Will reassess with fresh data next run.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=135
1 order(s) executed
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