Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-12 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-11 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $190.41
Margin Used: $48.75 (25.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-12 00:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-11 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-09 22:00 → 2025-12-12 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,413.00
Period Change: +0.10%
Range: $87,334.00 - $94,000.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 16:00: O=$89,619.00 H=$91,860.00 L=$87,334.00 C=$89,728.00 (+0.1%)
12-11 17:00: O=$89,729.00 H=$90,218.00 L=$89,658.00 C=$89,900.00 (+0.2%)
12-11 18:00: O=$89,914.00 H=$91,129.00 L=$89,864.00 C=$90,656.00 (+0.8%)
12-11 19:00: O=$90,701.00 H=$91,500.00 L=$90,560.00 C=$90,835.00 (+0.1%)
12-11 20:00: O=$90,780.00 H=$91,772.00 L=$90,780.00 C=$91,708.00 (+1.0%)
12-11 21:00: O=$91,802.00 H=$93,499.00 L=$91,683.00 C=$92,876.00 (+1.2%)
12-11 22:00: O=$92,866.00 H=$93,164.00 L=$92,060.00 C=$92,397.00 (-0.5%)
12-11 23:00: O=$92,462.00 H=$92,756.00 L=$92,312.00 C=$92,413.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 75.3
RSI(14): 65.7
EMA(20): $90,934.39
EMA(50): $91,199.80
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $981.85
ETH:
Current Price: $3,246.70
Period Change: -1.89%
Range: $3,156.20 - $3,511.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 16:00: O=$3,189.70 H=$3,197.90 L=$3,168.00 C=$3,178.40 (-0.4%)
12-11 17:00: O=$3,182.60 H=$3,210.70 L=$3,179.80 C=$3,189.80 (+0.2%)
12-11 18:00: O=$3,186.40 H=$3,241.10 L=$3,186.40 C=$3,207.70 (+0.7%)
12-11 19:00: O=$3,211.30 H=$3,232.00 L=$3,201.00 C=$3,203.20 (-0.3%)
12-11 20:00: O=$3,210.70 H=$3,232.00 L=$3,206.00 C=$3,229.10 (+0.6%)
12-11 21:00: O=$3,229.10 H=$3,279.70 L=$3,224.20 C=$3,258.90 (+0.9%)
12-11 22:00: O=$3,259.70 H=$3,272.00 L=$3,239.20 C=$3,250.60 (-0.3%)
12-11 23:00: O=$3,248.90 H=$3,255.50 L=$3,236.80 C=$3,246.70 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.8
RSI(14): 51.1
EMA(20): $3,229.53
EMA(50): $3,280.07
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $33.53
SOL:
Current Price: $136.20
Period Change: -0.97%
Range: $129.10 - $142.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 16:00: O=$131.14 H=$131.92 L=$130.18 C=$131.24 (+0.1%)
12-11 17:00: O=$131.27 H=$132.48 L=$130.77 C=$132.22 (+0.7%)
12-11 18:00: O=$132.23 H=$135.45 L=$132.01 C=$134.31 (+1.6%)
12-11 19:00: O=$134.41 H=$135.21 L=$133.55 C=$133.87 (-0.4%)
12-11 20:00: O=$133.84 H=$136.88 L=$133.84 C=$136.04 (+1.6%)
12-11 21:00: O=$136.02 H=$137.61 L=$136.02 C=$136.83 (+0.6%)
12-11 22:00: O=$137.16 H=$137.42 L=$135.89 C=$136.24 (-0.7%)
12-11 23:00: O=$136.29 H=$136.62 L=$135.69 C=$136.20 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 74.0
RSI(14): 60.7
EMA(20): $133.84
EMA(50): $135.21
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.62
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.54
Period Change: -7.32%
Range: $12.90 - $14.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 14:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.10 C=$13.10 (-1.5%)
12-11 15:00: O=$13.10 H=$13.20 L=$12.96 C=$13.01 (-0.7%)
12-11 16:00: O=$12.97 H=$13.11 L=$12.90 C=$13.11 (+1.1%)
12-11 17:00: O=$13.04 H=$13.12 L=$13.04 C=$13.07 (+0.3%)
12-11 18:00: O=$13.17 H=$13.24 L=$13.16 C=$13.24 (+0.5%)
12-11 19:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.27 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (+0.0%)
12-11 20:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.29 L=$13.23 C=$13.29 (+0.4%)
12-11 21:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.6
RSI(14): 50.7
EMA(20): $13.42
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (SHORT): 0.046 @ $3,220.80 (Current: $3,246.70, P&L: -0.80%)
TP: $3,120.00 (+3.1%)
SL: $3,290.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,120 (3.2% move, 2.4x ATR) targets December lows. SL at $3,290 (2.1% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance. Exit if price reclaims both EMAs with bullish divergence. R:R ratio 1.5:1 - acceptable given strong momentum.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 05:55 (11.9h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.40 P&L: +2.61% ($+3.23) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing clear weakness: -7.32% period decline, price at $13.54 near support at $12.90. WARNING: Data is 3h stale (last update 21:00), but last two shorts were profitable TPs. Price briefly above EMA(20) at $13.42 but EMA data incomplete (no EMA50). RSI(14) at 50.7 neutral, RSI(7) at 68.6 suggests short-term bounce exhaustion. Given successful AVAX shorts on 12-09 (+4.66%) and 12-11 (+3.23%), and current price at resistance, shorting continuation of downtrend. Conservative sizing due to stale data risk.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.90 targets recent low and key support level (4.7% move, 5.8x ATR). SL at $13.80 (1.9% above entry, 2.4x ATR) protects against breakout above recent consolidation. Exit manually if fresh data shows volume surge or if data remains stale for 6+ hours indicating delisting risk. R:R ratio 2.5:1.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $190.41
Allocation: 15.0% ($28.56 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.54
Size: 6.3300 coins
Notional value: $85.71
📝 Executing SHORT 6.33 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.41
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44872905320)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44872906766)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC rallied strongly from $89.7k to $93.5k but now showing signs of exhaustion. RSI(7) at 75.3 is overbought, and price rejected at $93.5k. However, price is above EMA(20) at $90.9k showing short-term bullish momentum. EMA trend still bearish (EMA20 < EMA50). Recent stop-out on short at 12-11 19:35 suggests volatility. With 25.6% margin already used and mixed signals, holding to see if consolidation forms or clear breakdown occurs below $90.9k support.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Maintaining SHORT position from $3,220.80. Currently -0.80% P&L but thesis remains valid. ETH is in bearish structure (price below both EMAs, EMA20 < EMA50). Recent bounce from $3,156 to $3,279 was rejected, now consolidating around $3,247. RSI(14) at 51.1 is neutral. Price is attempting to hold above EMA(20) at $3,229 but hasn't reclaimed EMA(50) at $3,280. TP at $3,120 and SL at $3,290 are well-positioned. Trust the automated orders - no need to manually close a small unrealized loss when bearish structure intact.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing strength with +1.6% rally from $131 to $137 but now consolidating. RSI(7) at 74.0 is overbought, suggesting potential pullback. Price above EMA(20) at $133.84 but below EMA(50) at $135.21 - caught in bearish structure. Recent stop-out on short at 12-11 18:50 shows volatility and failed breakdown attempt. With 3 consecutive short stop-outs on SOL, market is punishing counter-trend trades. Need clearer setup - either breakout above $138 for long or breakdown below $133 for short. Current position too risky given recent losses.
Confidence: 40%
💾 Database saved: run_id=137
1 order(s) executed
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