Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-12 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-12 00:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $188.31
Margin Used: $74.94 (39.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-12 06:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-12 00:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-10 04:00 → 2025-12-12 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,383.00
Period Change: +0.39%
Range: $87,334.00 - $94,000.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 22:00: O=$92,866.00 H=$93,164.00 L=$92,060.00 C=$92,397.00 (-0.5%)
12-11 23:00: O=$92,462.00 H=$92,756.00 L=$92,312.00 C=$92,413.00 (-0.1%)
12-12 00:00: O=$92,489.00 H=$92,611.00 L=$91,394.00 C=$91,394.00 (-1.2%)
12-12 01:00: O=$91,570.00 H=$92,216.00 L=$91,570.00 C=$92,065.00 (+0.5%)
12-12 02:00: O=$92,111.00 H=$92,677.00 L=$91,936.00 C=$92,541.00 (+0.5%)
12-12 03:00: O=$92,499.00 H=$92,690.00 L=$92,125.00 C=$92,151.00 (-0.4%)
12-12 04:00: O=$92,361.00 H=$92,390.00 L=$92,312.00 C=$92,338.00 (-0.0%)
12-12 05:00: O=$92,415.00 H=$92,478.00 L=$92,062.00 C=$92,383.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.5
RSI(14): 60.5
EMA(20): $91,499.00
EMA(50): $91,203.58
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $860.79
ETH:
Current Price: $3,254.00
Period Change: -1.73%
Range: $3,156.20 - $3,511.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 22:00: O=$3,259.70 H=$3,272.00 L=$3,239.20 C=$3,250.60 (-0.3%)
12-11 23:00: O=$3,248.90 H=$3,255.50 L=$3,236.80 C=$3,246.70 (-0.1%)
12-12 00:00: O=$3,245.00 H=$3,251.40 L=$3,202.20 C=$3,202.20 (-1.3%)
12-12 01:00: O=$3,200.00 H=$3,252.50 L=$3,200.00 C=$3,242.40 (+1.3%)
12-12 02:00: O=$3,238.60 H=$3,270.90 L=$3,235.50 C=$3,266.80 (+0.9%)
12-12 03:00: O=$3,264.90 H=$3,269.40 L=$3,245.80 C=$3,250.00 (-0.5%)
12-12 04:00: O=$3,258.30 H=$3,259.40 L=$3,256.20 C=$3,256.20 (-0.1%)
12-12 05:00: O=$3,257.10 H=$3,261.20 L=$3,242.40 C=$3,254.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.4
RSI(14): 53.0
EMA(20): $3,237.63
EMA(50): $3,271.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $32.18
SOL:
Current Price: $138.94
Period Change: +0.52%
Range: $129.10 - $142.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 22:00: O=$137.16 H=$137.42 L=$135.89 C=$136.24 (-0.7%)
12-11 23:00: O=$136.29 H=$136.62 L=$135.69 C=$136.20 (-0.1%)
12-12 00:00: O=$136.47 H=$137.37 L=$135.69 C=$135.69 (-0.6%)
12-12 01:00: O=$135.93 H=$137.21 L=$135.93 C=$136.67 (+0.5%)
12-12 02:00: O=$136.60 H=$137.87 L=$136.60 C=$137.15 (+0.4%)
12-12 03:00: O=$137.27 H=$137.42 L=$136.60 C=$136.83 (-0.3%)
12-12 04:00: O=$137.15 H=$137.18 L=$137.04 C=$137.04 (-0.1%)
12-12 05:00: O=$137.13 H=$138.94 L=$136.65 C=$138.94 (+1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.7
RSI(14): 71.0
EMA(20): $135.36
EMA(50): $135.09
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.51
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.67
Period Change: -6.48%
Range: $12.90 - $14.77
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-11 22:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-11 23:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 00:00: O=$13.41 H=$13.50 L=$13.41 C=$13.50 (+0.7%)
12-12 01:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 02:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 03:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 04:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 05:00: O=$13.60 H=$13.67 L=$13.60 C=$13.67 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 77.9
RSI(14): 58.3
EMA(20): $13.50
EMA(50): $13.79
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (SHORT): 0.046 @ $3,220.80 (Current: $3,254.00, P&L: -1.03%)
TP: $3,120.00 (+3.1%)
SL: $3,290.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,120 (3.2% move, 2.4x ATR) targets December lows. SL at $3,290 (2.1% above entry, 1.6x ATR) above EMA(20) and recent resistance. Exit if price reclaims both EMAs with bullish divergence. R:R ratio 1.5:1 - acceptable given strong momentum.
AVAX (SHORT): 6.33 @ $13.41 (Current: $13.67, P&L: -1.92%)
TP: $12.90 (+3.8%)
SL: $13.80 (-2.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.90 targets recent low and key support level (4.7% move, 5.8x ATR). SL at $13.80 (1.9% above entry, 2.4x ATR) protects against breakout above recent consolidation. Exit manually if fresh data shows volume surge or if data remains stale for 6+ hours indicating delisting risk. R:R ratio 2.5:1.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-08 00:00 → 12-08 04:35 (4.6h)
Entry: $13.45, Exit: $13.66 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-08 15:20 (9.3h)
Entry: $91,156.00, Exit: $89,693.00 P&L: -1.60% ($-3.70) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 05:55 (11.9h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.40 P&L: +2.61% ($+3.23) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Thesis invalidated. ETH showing resilience - bounced strongly from $3,200 support and now testing entry level. EMA trend is bearish but price action suggests bottom formation. RSI(14) at 53 is neutral, not oversold. Most importantly, recent candles show buying pressure with higher lows being defended. The -1.03% P&L is manageable. Close now to preserve capital rather than risk SL hit. Market structure shifting from bearish to consolidation.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: CRITICAL DATA QUALITY ISSUE: Last 8 candles show 6 identical prices at $13.54 (flat lines), then sudden jump to $13.67. This suggests stale/frozen data or extremely low liquidity. Position currently -1.92% and approaching -2.9% SL. Given data unreliability, cannot trust TP/SL execution. The suspicious flat candles indicate potential delisting risk or exchange issues. Close manually NOW to avoid execution problems. Data quality trumps thesis - this is exactly the scenario for manual close.
Confidence: 90%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bullish structure (price above both EMAs, EMA20>EMA50) with RSI at 62.5 indicating healthy momentum. However, recent consolidation around $92k after testing $94k resistance. No clear entry setup - price not at support, no divergence, no breakout. Recent failed short (SL hit at -1.49%) confirms uptrend strength. Wait for pullback to $90-91k support or clear breakout above $94k.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing extreme overbought conditions: RSI(7) at 81.7, RSI(14) at 71.0. Last candle spiked +1.3% to $138.94, creating potential exhaustion. However, strong bullish trend (price above EMAs, EMA20>EMA50). Recent history shows 3 failed shorts with SL hits. This is NOT the time to fight momentum - overbought can stay overbought in strong trends. Need clear reversal signal (bearish divergence, failed breakout) before shorting. Currently too risky either direction.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=138
2 order(s) executed
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