Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-12 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-12 06:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $188.00
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-12 12:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-12 06:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-10 10:00 → 2025-12-12 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,359.00
50h Change: -0.15%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $94,000.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $91,857.00→$89,076.00 (-3.0%)
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$92,359.00 (-0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 04:00: O=$92,361.00 H=$92,390.00 L=$92,312.00 C=$92,338.00 (-0.0%)
12-12 05:00: O=$92,415.00 H=$92,478.00 L=$92,062.00 C=$92,383.00 (-0.0%)
12-12 06:00: O=$92,404.00 H=$92,697.00 L=$92,369.00 C=$92,478.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 07:00: O=$92,471.00 H=$92,534.00 L=$92,236.00 C=$92,384.00 (-0.1%)
12-12 08:00: O=$92,403.00 H=$92,436.00 L=$92,129.00 C=$92,195.00 (-0.2%)
12-12 09:00: O=$92,323.00 H=$92,499.00 L=$92,088.00 C=$92,499.00 (+0.2%)
12-12 10:00: O=$92,494.00 H=$92,610.00 L=$92,380.00 C=$92,522.00 (+0.0%)
12-12 11:00: O=$92,534.00 H=$92,666.00 L=$92,018.00 C=$92,359.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.7
RSI(14): 57.1
EMA(20): $91,920.52
EMA(50): $91,219.98
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $688.44
ETH:
Current Price: $3,246.50
50h Change: -3.17%
50h Range: $3,156.20 - $3,511.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $3,138.10→$3,027.00 (-3.5%)
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,246.50 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 04:00: O=$3,258.30 H=$3,259.40 L=$3,256.20 C=$3,256.20 (-0.1%)
12-12 05:00: O=$3,257.10 H=$3,261.20 L=$3,242.40 C=$3,254.00 (-0.1%)
12-12 06:00: O=$3,258.50 H=$3,272.00 L=$3,256.80 C=$3,263.30 (+0.1%)
12-12 07:00: O=$3,263.30 H=$3,267.10 L=$3,255.80 C=$3,256.90 (-0.2%)
12-12 08:00: O=$3,254.00 H=$3,256.40 L=$3,240.70 C=$3,250.20 (-0.1%)
12-12 09:00: O=$3,252.30 H=$3,259.80 L=$3,247.30 C=$3,259.80 (+0.2%)
12-12 10:00: O=$3,258.50 H=$3,260.80 L=$3,251.00 C=$3,253.00 (-0.2%)
12-12 11:00: O=$3,251.70 H=$3,254.90 L=$3,234.20 C=$3,246.50 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.8
RSI(14): 49.4
EMA(20): $3,246.19
EMA(50): $3,261.49
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $26.58
SOL:
Current Price: $138.71
50h Change: -0.29%
50h Range: $129.10 - $142.40
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $139.04→$133.33 (-4.1%)
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$138.71 (+1.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 04:00: O=$137.15 H=$137.18 L=$137.04 C=$137.04 (-0.1%)
12-12 05:00: O=$137.13 H=$138.94 L=$136.65 C=$138.94 (+1.3%)
12-12 06:00: O=$138.95 H=$139.99 L=$138.72 C=$138.96 (+0.0%)
12-12 07:00: O=$138.94 H=$139.39 L=$138.82 C=$139.09 (+0.1%)
12-12 08:00: O=$139.14 H=$139.15 L=$137.59 C=$137.91 (-0.9%)
12-12 09:00: O=$137.86 H=$138.36 L=$137.22 C=$138.18 (+0.2%)
12-12 10:00: O=$138.18 H=$138.54 L=$137.97 C=$138.41 (+0.2%)
12-12 11:00: O=$138.37 H=$138.96 L=$137.96 C=$138.71 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.9
RSI(14): 66.5
EMA(20): $136.82
EMA(50): $135.03
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.35
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.55
50h Change: -7.40%
50h Range: $12.90 - $14.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $14.47→$13.14 (-9.2%)
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.55 (+1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 04:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.54 C=$13.54 (+0.0%)
12-12 05:00: O=$13.60 H=$13.67 L=$13.60 C=$13.67 (+0.5%)
12-12 06:00: O=$13.70 H=$13.77 L=$13.70 C=$13.77 (+0.5%)
12-12 07:00: O=$13.77 H=$13.77 L=$13.69 C=$13.69 (-0.6%)
12-12 08:00: O=$13.65 H=$13.65 L=$13.51 C=$13.54 (-0.8%)
12-12 09:00: O=$13.55 H=$13.62 L=$13.51 C=$13.62 (+0.5%)
12-12 10:00: O=$13.66 H=$13.66 L=$13.58 C=$13.58 (-0.6%)
12-12 11:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.57 L=$13.55 C=$13.55 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.2
RSI(14): 46.0
EMA(20): $13.55
EMA(50): $13.68
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-08 18:00 → 12-09 05:55 (11.9h)
Entry: $135.95, Exit: $132.40 P&L: +2.61% ($+3.23) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-09 06:00 → 12-09 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $132.23, Exit: $132.96 P&L: -0.55% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH showing clear bearish structure: price below EMA(50) at $3,261, recent rejection from $3,511 high with -3.17% decline over 50h. EMA trend bearish. Recent 8h candles show consistent lower highs and rejection at $3,272. RSI neutral at 49.4 suggests room to fall. Recent manual close of short at $3,258 was premature - bearish thesis remains valid. Price consolidating at $3,246 near EMA(20) resistance, setting up for continuation lower toward $3,150-$3,160 support zone.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,165 (prior support zone, ~2.5% move). SL at $3,290 (above recent rejection high and 1.65x ATR). Exit early if price breaks and holds above EMA(50) at $3,261 with volume, invalidating bearish structure. R:R ratio 1.85:1.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $188.00
Allocation: 28.0% ($52.64 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,246.50
Size: 0.0486 coins
Notional value: $157.78
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0486 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,165, SL: $3,290
✅ Market order filled @ $3,247.90
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44893956303)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44893957021)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX in clear bearish structure: -7.4% over 50h, price below EMA(50) at $13.68, bearish EMA trend. Recent successful shorts (2 TP hits on 12-09 and 12-11) confirm downtrend validity. Price currently at $13.55, exactly at EMA(20) resistance after brief bounce. RSI at 46 (neutral-bearish) with room to fall. Recent 8h candles showing rejection and consolidation below $13.70 resistance. High probability continuation to retest $12.90 low.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $13.05 (near recent $12.90 low, ~3.7% move). SL at $13.82 (above EMA(50) and 3x ATR buffer). Exit early if price breaks above $13.70 with strong volume and holds, or if BTC rallies strongly above $94k. R:R ratio 1.85:1. Recent manual close at $13.70 was premature - bearish thesis intact.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $188.00
Allocation: 25.0% ($47.00 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.55
Size: 10.4100 coins
Notional value: $141.07
📝 Executing SHORT 10.41 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.54
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44893959891)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44893960759)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a tight consolidation range around $92k after recent bounce from $87k. Price is above both EMAs (bullish structure) with RSI neutral at 57. However, recent 8h candles show choppy price action with no clear directional momentum. Given recent stop-loss hit on BTC short (12-11), waiting for clearer setup. Need breakout above $94k resistance or breakdown below $91k support for conviction.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL in bullish trend (price above both EMAs) but RSI overheated at 68.9/66.5 after +1.6% day and recent rally from $132 to $139. Multiple failed shorts (3 recent stop-outs) indicate strong buying pressure. However, at current levels near $139, approaching recent resistance at $142. Too risky to chase longs with overbought RSI, and shorting against this momentum has proven costly. Waiting for either pullback to $135-136 support for long entry or clear rejection at $142 for short.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=139
2 order(s) executed
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