Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-10 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-09 20:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $552.63
Margin Used: $158.35 (28.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-10 08:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-09 20:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-08 06:00 → 2025-11-10 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $109,057.00
Period Change: +6.82%
Range: $99,279.00 - $109,133.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-10 00:00: O=$107,165.00 H=$108,642.00 L=$105,778.00 C=$107,042.00 (-0.1%)
11-10 01:00: O=$107,363.00 H=$108,828.00 L=$106,143.00 C=$107,445.00 (+0.1%)
11-10 02:00: O=$108,090.00 H=$108,301.00 L=$106,083.00 C=$108,174.00 (+0.1%)
11-10 03:00: O=$107,752.00 H=$108,738.00 L=$106,307.00 C=$107,729.00 (-0.0%)
11-10 04:00: O=$107,406.00 H=$108,608.00 L=$106,800.00 C=$107,841.00 (+0.4%)
11-10 05:00: O=$108,165.00 H=$108,862.00 L=$106,800.00 C=$108,543.00 (+0.3%)
11-10 06:00: O=$108,540.00 H=$108,897.00 L=$106,800.00 C=$108,485.00 (-0.1%)
11-10 07:00: O=$108,712.00 H=$109,133.00 L=$106,818.00 C=$109,057.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 79.5
RSI(14): 73.9
EMA(20): $106,575.38
EMA(50): $104,139.58
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2032.44
ETH:
Current Price: $3,674.10
Period Change: +6.42%
Range: $3,371.00 - $3,746.90
Recent 8h candles:
11-10 00:00: O=$3,592.60 H=$3,702.10 L=$3,579.90 C=$3,660.40 (+1.9%)
11-10 01:00: O=$3,696.40 H=$3,711.20 L=$3,636.70 C=$3,688.20 (-0.2%)
11-10 02:00: O=$3,653.00 H=$3,688.70 L=$3,646.00 C=$3,646.00 (-0.2%)
11-10 03:00: O=$3,687.90 H=$3,695.50 L=$3,640.10 C=$3,648.60 (-1.1%)
11-10 04:00: O=$3,683.00 H=$3,693.30 L=$3,620.00 C=$3,623.20 (-1.6%)
11-10 05:00: O=$3,656.00 H=$3,746.90 L=$3,612.60 C=$3,661.20 (+0.1%)
11-10 06:00: O=$3,661.20 H=$3,676.20 L=$3,616.50 C=$3,666.90 (+0.2%)
11-10 07:00: O=$3,666.30 H=$3,682.70 L=$3,625.80 C=$3,674.10 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 65.9
RSI(14): 65.8
EMA(20): $3,603.23
EMA(50): $3,499.41
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $69.08
SOL:
Current Price: $168.21
Period Change: +3.87%
Range: $155.60 - $169.28
Recent 8h candles:
11-10 00:00: O=$164.98 H=$168.85 L=$163.92 C=$167.93 (+1.8%)
11-10 01:00: O=$168.14 H=$168.45 L=$166.90 C=$167.60 (-0.3%)
11-10 02:00: O=$167.16 H=$168.27 L=$167.07 C=$168.27 (+0.7%)
11-10 03:00: O=$168.31 H=$169.28 L=$167.69 C=$168.66 (+0.2%)
11-10 04:00: O=$168.68 H=$169.18 L=$167.29 C=$168.60 (-0.0%)
11-10 05:00: O=$168.70 H=$169.17 L=$167.68 C=$168.03 (-0.4%)
11-10 06:00: O=$168.08 H=$168.21 L=$167.18 C=$167.55 (-0.3%)
11-10 07:00: O=$167.51 H=$168.85 L=$167.51 C=$168.21 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 66.7
RSI(14): 67.0
EMA(20): $165.64
EMA(50): $161.48
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.71
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.95
Period Change: +1.55%
Range: $16.86 - $18.07
Recent 8h candles:
11-09 22:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-09 23:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-10 00:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-10 01:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-10 02:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-10 03:00: O=$17.74 H=$17.74 L=$17.74 C=$17.74 (+0.0%)
11-10 04:00: O=$17.90 H=$17.94 L=$17.90 C=$17.94 (+0.2%)
11-10 05:00: O=$18.07 H=$18.07 L=$17.95 C=$17.95 (-0.7%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 81.1
RSI(14): 72.7
EMA(20): $17.67
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 51.56 @ $17.89 (Current: $17.95, P&L: +0.32%)
TP: $19.25 (+7.6%)
SL: $17.15 (-4.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $19.25 targets the next resistance level (+7.8% from entry, 1.96x R:R). SL at $17.15 is below recent consolidation support and EMA(20) at $17.43 (-4.0% from entry). This protects against a failed breakout. Will monitor if BTC/ETH weakness drags AVAX down, but its relative strength suggests it can move independently. Close manually if RSI(14) exceeds 80 without price follow-through.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 08:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $17.29, Exit: $17.12 P&L: -0.99% ($-5.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 20:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,473.59, Exit: $3,399.95 P&L: -2.12% ($-9.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-08 12:00 → 11-08 14:30 (2.5h)
Entry: $159.85, Exit: $157.40 P&L: -1.53% ($-3.72) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 14:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $17.81, Exit: $17.39 P&L: -2.36% ($-17.84) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $164.43, Exit: $159.88 P&L: -2.77% ($-14.24) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is extremely overbought with RSI(7) at 79.5 and RSI(14) at 73.9, having rallied 6.82% to $109k. Price is extended 2.3% above EMA(20) and showing signs of exhaustion with choppy recent candles despite the uptrend. While the trend is bullish, entering at these levels presents poor risk/reward. Waiting for a pullback to $106k-$107k area (near EMA20) would offer better entry with support.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar overbought conditions with RSI(14) at 65.8, though less extreme than BTC. The recent 8h candles show consolidation around $3,660-$3,680 after testing $3,746 high. Price is 2% above EMA(20) at $3,603. The momentum is positive but entry here lacks margin of safety. Better to wait for a retest of $3,600-$3,620 support zone which aligns with EMA(20) for a higher probability setup.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL is consolidating near $168 after reaching $169.28 high, with RSI(14) at 67.0 showing moderate overbought conditions. Recent candles show tight range-bound action with no clear directional bias. Price is 1.6% above EMA(20) at $165.64. The previous long position hit TP at $164.33, and current price is only marginally higher. Waiting for either a breakout above $169.50 with volume or a pullback to $165-$166 support for better risk/reward entry.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding a profitable AVAX long at $17.89 (entry), now at $17.95 (+0.32%). Position has clear TP at $19.25 (+7.6%) and SL at $17.15 (-4.2%) with 1.96x R:R ratio. RSI(14) at 72.7 shows overbought but not extreme. Data is 3h stale which is concerning, but the position structure is sound. The TP/SL orders will execute automatically 24/7. My trading rules emphasize trusting these orders rather than churning for small gains. The thesis (breakout continuation) remains valid, so letting the position run to TP or SL is the correct approach.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=14
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