Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-12 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-12 12:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $196.71
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-12 18:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-12 12:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-10 16:00 → 2025-12-12 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,000.00
50h Change: +0.44%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $94,000.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $91,857.00→$89,076.00 (-3.0%)
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$92,000.00 (-0.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 11:00: O=$92,534.00 H=$92,666.00 L=$92,018.00 C=$92,359.00 (-0.2%)
12-12 12:00: O=$92,404.00 H=$92,769.00 L=$91,549.00 C=$92,367.00 (-0.0%)
12-12 13:00: O=$92,389.00 H=$92,511.00 L=$92,265.00 C=$92,316.00 (-0.1%)
12-12 14:00: O=$92,295.00 H=$92,572.00 L=$91,913.00 C=$92,475.00 (+0.2%)
12-12 15:00: O=$92,335.00 H=$92,336.00 L=$89,812.00 C=$89,931.00 (-2.6%)
12-12 16:00: O=$89,880.00 H=$90,436.00 L=$89,477.00 C=$89,971.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 17:00: O=$90,014.00 H=$92,500.00 L=$89,926.00 C=$91,500.00 (+1.7%)
12-12 18:00: O=$92,000.00 H=$92,000.00 L=$92,000.00 C=$92,000.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.6
RSI(14): 53.9
EMA(20): $91,686.48
EMA(50): $91,228.01
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $936.92
ETH:
Current Price: $3,073.20
50h Change: -7.76%
50h Range: $3,054.40 - $3,511.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $3,138.10→$3,027.00 (-3.5%)
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,073.20 (-5.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 10:00: O=$3,258.50 H=$3,260.80 L=$3,251.00 C=$3,253.00 (-0.2%)
12-12 11:00: O=$3,251.70 H=$3,254.90 L=$3,234.20 C=$3,246.50 (-0.2%)
12-12 12:00: O=$3,248.10 H=$3,256.00 L=$3,244.00 C=$3,254.20 (+0.2%)
12-12 13:00: O=$3,254.80 H=$3,259.50 L=$3,247.50 C=$3,252.60 (-0.1%)
12-12 14:00: O=$3,252.60 H=$3,256.50 L=$3,228.00 C=$3,243.30 (-0.3%)
12-12 15:00: O=$3,237.00 H=$3,239.30 L=$3,067.70 C=$3,084.40 (-4.7%)
12-12 16:00: O=$3,074.60 H=$3,096.80 L=$3,054.40 C=$3,073.60 (-0.0%)
12-12 17:00: O=$3,073.90 H=$3,167.00 L=$3,068.40 C=$3,073.20 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 11.1
RSI(14): 24.4
EMA(20): $3,203.53
EMA(50): $3,241.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $41.09
SOL:
Current Price: $132.14
50h Change: -3.00%
50h Range: $129.10 - $142.40
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $139.04→$133.33 (-4.1%)
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.14 (-3.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 11:00: O=$138.37 H=$138.96 L=$137.96 C=$138.71 (+0.2%)
12-12 12:00: O=$138.71 H=$139.78 L=$138.37 C=$139.64 (+0.7%)
12-12 13:00: O=$139.48 H=$139.60 L=$138.76 C=$139.02 (-0.3%)
12-12 14:00: O=$138.98 H=$139.57 L=$138.16 C=$138.54 (-0.3%)
12-12 15:00: O=$138.49 H=$138.50 L=$133.12 C=$133.63 (-3.5%)
12-12 16:00: O=$133.26 H=$133.88 L=$131.62 C=$132.16 (-0.8%)
12-12 17:00: O=$132.20 H=$133.46 L=$131.41 C=$132.10 (-0.1%)
12-12 18:00: O=$132.12 H=$132.14 L=$132.12 C=$132.14 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 19.7
RSI(14): 34.3
EMA(20): $135.77
EMA(50): $134.76
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.60
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.08
50h Change: -8.40%
50h Range: $12.90 - $14.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 05: $14.47→$13.14 (-9.2%)
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.08 (-2.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 08:00: O=$13.65 H=$13.65 L=$13.51 C=$13.54 (-0.8%)
12-12 09:00: O=$13.55 H=$13.62 L=$13.51 C=$13.62 (+0.5%)
12-12 10:00: O=$13.66 H=$13.66 L=$13.58 C=$13.58 (-0.6%)
12-12 11:00: O=$13.57 H=$13.57 L=$13.55 C=$13.55 (-0.1%)
12-12 12:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.58 L=$13.53 C=$13.58 (+0.3%)
12-12 13:00: O=$13.61 H=$13.61 L=$13.61 C=$13.61 (+0.0%)
12-12 14:00: O=$13.54 H=$13.54 L=$13.53 C=$13.53 (-0.1%)
12-12 15:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.08 C=$13.08 (-1.6%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 19.5
RSI(14): 31.7
EMA(20): $13.52
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH in clear bearish structure: price below both EMAs (20=$3,203, 50=$3,241), massive -4.7% dump at 15:00 breaking below $3,100 support. RSI(7)=11.1 is EXTREMELY oversold BUT in a downtrend this signals continuation, not reversal. Failed to reclaim $3,100 resistance on bounce. Recent short TP'd at $3,165 confirms downside momentum. Trading WITH the bearish trend.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $196.71
Allocation: 30.0% ($59.01 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $3,073.20
Size: 0.0768 coins
Notional value: $236.02
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0768 ETH @ 4x with TP: $2,950, SL: $3,135
✅ Market order filled @ $3,073.70
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44914085507)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44914086291)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL dropped -3.5% at 15:00 in sync with broader market sell-off. Price at $132.14 now below EMA(20)=$135.77, breaking bullish structure. RSI(7)=19.7 deeply oversold but in context of trend breakdown this is SHORT continuation signal. Failed to hold $133 support. Recent shorts hitting TP shows momentum. High correlation with ETH weakness.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $127 (next support level, -3.9% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $135 above EMA(20) and 1.8x ATR. Exit if reclaims $135 with conviction or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Watching for continued weakness in risk assets.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $196.71
Allocation: 25.0% ($49.18 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $132.14
Size: 1.1200 coins
Notional value: $148.00
📝 Executing SHORT 1.12 SOL @ 3x with TP: $127, SL: $135
✅ Market order filled @ $132.14
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44914089355)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44914089642)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing extreme intraday volatility with a $2,700 flash crash at 15:00 (92.5k→89.8k) followed by sharp recovery to 92k. Price above both EMAs (bullish structure) but RSI neutral at 54. Recent whipsaw action suggests waiting for clearer directional conviction. Multiple recent stop-outs indicate choppy conditions - better to wait for cleaner setup.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 3 hours stale (last update 15:00), making real-time analysis unreliable. Price at $13.08 with RSI(7)=19.5 extremely oversold, but can't trust entry/exit timing with delayed data. Recent shorts have been profitable but current data lag creates unacceptable execution risk. Wait for fresh data on next run.
Confidence: 30%
💾 Database saved: run_id=140
2 order(s) executed
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