Output
============================================================
Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-13 00:00:00 UTC
============================================================
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-12 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.88
Margin Used: $109.52 (55.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-13 00:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-12 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-10 22:00 → 2025-12-13 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,101.00
50h Change: -2.06%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $93,499.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,127.00 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 17:00: O=$90,014.00 H=$92,500.00 L=$89,926.00 C=$91,500.00 (+1.7%)
12-12 18:00: O=$92,000.00 H=$92,792.00 L=$90,198.00 C=$92,122.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 19:00: O=$92,122.00 H=$92,500.00 L=$88,000.00 C=$89,900.00 (-2.4%)
12-12 20:00: O=$89,900.00 H=$90,463.00 L=$87,886.00 C=$90,079.00 (+0.2%)
12-12 21:00: O=$90,062.00 H=$90,214.00 L=$89,971.00 C=$90,124.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 22:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,242.00 L=$90,000.00 C=$90,129.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 23:00: O=$90,224.00 H=$90,224.00 L=$90,040.00 C=$90,040.00 (-0.2%)
12-13 00:00: O=$90,101.00 H=$90,101.00 L=$90,101.00 C=$90,101.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.0
RSI(14): 40.1
EMA(20): $90,953.01
EMA(50): $90,960.29
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1093.48
ETH:
Current Price: $3,054.30
50h Change: -8.80%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,361.60
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,053.80 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 16:00: O=$3,074.60 H=$3,096.80 L=$3,054.40 C=$3,073.60 (-0.0%)
12-12 17:00: O=$3,073.90 H=$3,167.00 L=$3,068.40 C=$3,073.20 (-0.0%)
12-12 18:00: O=$3,073.70 H=$3,105.70 L=$3,071.10 C=$3,089.20 (+0.5%)
12-12 19:00: O=$3,086.10 H=$3,088.00 L=$2,953.40 C=$3,068.10 (-0.6%)
12-12 20:00: O=$3,060.00 H=$3,079.20 L=$2,948.60 C=$2,979.00 (-2.6%)
12-12 21:00: O=$2,992.60 H=$3,086.00 L=$2,992.10 C=$3,053.90 (+2.0%)
12-12 22:00: O=$2,998.90 H=$3,089.80 L=$2,995.30 C=$3,002.50 (+0.1%)
12-12 23:00: O=$3,047.00 H=$3,088.70 L=$2,993.90 C=$3,054.30 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.6
RSI(14): 37.3
EMA(20): $3,128.55
EMA(50): $3,202.03
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $61.55
SOL:
Current Price: $132.26
50h Change: -3.56%
50h Range: $129.10 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$132.26 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 17:00: O=$132.20 H=$133.46 L=$131.41 C=$132.10 (-0.1%)
12-12 18:00: O=$132.12 H=$133.17 L=$131.49 C=$132.78 (+0.5%)
12-12 19:00: O=$132.79 H=$132.82 L=$130.35 C=$131.13 (-1.3%)
12-12 20:00: O=$131.15 H=$131.93 L=$131.01 C=$131.57 (+0.3%)
12-12 21:00: O=$131.53 H=$132.08 L=$131.27 C=$131.87 (+0.3%)
12-12 22:00: O=$131.86 H=$132.88 L=$131.82 C=$132.68 (+0.6%)
12-12 23:00: O=$132.69 H=$133.07 L=$132.18 C=$132.24 (-0.3%)
12-13 00:00: O=$132.26 H=$132.26 L=$132.26 C=$132.26 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.0
RSI(14): 37.0
EMA(20): $134.08
EMA(50): $134.14
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.42
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.11
50h Change: -7.74%
50h Range: $12.90 - $14.21
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 16:00: O=$13.08 H=$13.08 L=$13.08 C=$13.08 (+0.0%)
12-12 17:00: O=$13.08 H=$13.08 L=$13.08 C=$13.08 (+0.0%)
12-12 18:00: O=$13.15 H=$13.15 L=$13.15 C=$13.15 (-0.0%)
12-12 19:00: O=$13.06 H=$13.06 L=$13.03 C=$13.03 (-0.3%)
12-12 20:00: O=$13.04 H=$13.07 L=$13.04 C=$13.04 (+0.0%)
12-12 21:00: O=$13.09 H=$13.09 L=$13.09 C=$13.09 (-0.0%)
12-12 22:00: O=$13.09 H=$13.09 L=$13.09 C=$13.09 (+0.0%)
12-12 23:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.4
RSI(14): 37.2
EMA(20): $13.28
EMA(50): $13.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.12 @ $132.14 (Current: $132.26, P&L: -0.09%)
TP: $127.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $135.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $127 (next support level, -3.9% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $135 above EMA(20) and 1.8x ATR. Exit if reclaims $135 with conviction or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Watching for continued weakness in risk assets.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,054.30, P&L: +0.63%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing strongest bearish momentum: -7.74% over 50h, clear downtrend with price below both EMAs ($13.28/$13.42). Recent price action extremely flat (last 8 candles barely moving) suggesting accumulation of selling pressure. RSI(14) at 37.2 oversold but in downtrend context this signals SHORT continuation opportunity. Previous shorts on AVAX have been profitable (2 TPs hit recently). Low volatility (ATR $0.08) allows tighter stops. Entry at $13.11 with TP at $12.70 (-3.1%) targeting psychological support and SL at $13.45 (+2.6%) above EMA resistance gives 1.2:1 R:R. Conservative sizing due to existing margin usage.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.70 targets psychological support and -3.1% move from entry. SL at $13.45 sits above EMA(20) at $13.28 plus 2x ATR buffer, protecting against trend reversal. Exit manually if BTC/ETH show strong reversal with volume confirmation or if AVAX reclaims $13.40 with conviction. Position sized conservatively at 15% margin (45% notional with 3x) to keep total margin under 70% given existing ETH/SOL shorts.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $197.88
Allocation: 15.0% ($29.68 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.11
Size: 6.7900 coins
Notional value: $89.04
📝 Executing SHORT 6.79 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $13
✅ Market order filled @ $13.10
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44926053088)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44926053555)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure with price below both EMAs and recent sharp rejection from $92.5k. RSI(14) at 40.1 indicates oversold but not extreme. However, we're seeing consolidation around $90k after the dump, and volatility is decreasing (tight range last 4 hours). With 55% margin already used, adding BTC exposure here lacks clear edge - no strong reversal confirmation yet, but also no clear breakdown signal. Better to preserve capital and wait for clearer setup.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $3,073.70 is +0.63% in profit. ETH showing strong bearish momentum (-8.8% over 50h, -5.9% yesterday alone). Price well below both EMAs ($3,128/$3,202), RSI(14) at 37.3 oversold. Current price $3,054 is consolidating after sharp drop to $2,948 low. TP at $2,950 is well-positioned near that support retest. Trust the TP/SL system - position is working as planned, no reason to manually close. Let it run to target or get stopped out.
Confidence: 75%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $132.14 is slightly negative (-0.09%) but thesis intact. SOL in clear bearish trend: price below EMAs, RSI(14) at 37.0 oversold, -3.56% over 50h. Recent consolidation around $132 after testing $129 low. TP at $127 targets next support level with solid 2.1:1 R:R. Position sizing is appropriate and SL at $135 protects against reversal. No reason to exit - let the trade develop. Bearish market structure supports continuation lower.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=141
1 order(s) executed
============================================================