Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-13 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-13 00:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $196.71
Margin Used: $138.00 (70.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-13 06:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-13 00:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-11 04:00 → 2025-12-13 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,337.00
50h Change: +0.99%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $93,499.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,337.00 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 22:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,242.00 L=$90,000.00 C=$90,129.00 (+0.1%)
12-12 23:00: O=$90,224.00 H=$90,224.00 L=$90,040.00 C=$90,040.00 (-0.2%)
12-13 00:00: O=$90,101.00 H=$92,108.00 L=$88,327.00 C=$90,173.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 01:00: O=$90,188.00 H=$90,353.00 L=$89,911.00 C=$90,067.00 (-0.1%)
12-13 02:00: O=$90,087.00 H=$90,155.00 L=$89,714.00 C=$90,035.00 (-0.1%)
12-13 03:00: O=$90,081.00 H=$92,395.00 L=$90,044.00 C=$90,420.00 (+0.4%)
12-13 04:00: O=$90,396.00 H=$90,480.00 L=$90,308.00 C=$90,399.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 05:00: O=$90,433.00 H=$90,575.00 L=$90,295.00 C=$90,337.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.4
RSI(14): 46.0
EMA(20): $90,661.57
EMA(50): $90,937.40
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1161.52
ETH:
Current Price: $2,989.00
50h Change: -6.36%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,279.70
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,076.90 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 22:00: O=$2,998.90 H=$3,089.80 L=$2,995.30 C=$3,002.50 (+0.1%)
12-12 23:00: O=$3,047.00 H=$3,088.70 L=$2,993.90 C=$3,054.30 (+0.2%)
12-13 00:00: O=$3,053.80 H=$3,089.70 L=$2,968.70 C=$3,080.80 (+0.9%)
12-13 01:00: O=$3,082.60 H=$3,084.90 L=$2,968.60 C=$3,001.80 (-2.6%)
12-13 02:00: O=$3,078.90 H=$3,080.30 L=$2,981.50 C=$3,035.20 (-1.4%)
12-13 03:00: O=$3,038.40 H=$3,082.70 L=$2,997.50 C=$2,999.80 (-1.3%)
12-13 04:00: O=$3,036.00 H=$3,081.20 L=$2,981.70 C=$3,007.40 (-0.9%)
12-13 05:00: O=$3,021.40 H=$3,079.10 L=$2,971.20 C=$2,989.00 (-1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.3
RSI(14): 36.3
EMA(20): $3,076.44
EMA(50): $3,171.20
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $76.41
SOL:
Current Price: $132.64
50h Change: +2.66%
50h Range: $129.10 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$132.64 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 23:00: O=$132.69 H=$133.07 L=$132.18 C=$132.24 (-0.3%)
12-13 00:00: O=$132.26 H=$132.77 L=$132.26 C=$132.61 (+0.3%)
12-13 01:00: O=$132.63 H=$132.90 L=$132.45 C=$132.58 (-0.0%)
12-13 02:00: O=$132.65 H=$133.05 L=$132.58 C=$132.64 (-0.0%)
12-13 03:00: O=$132.69 H=$133.03 L=$132.58 C=$133.02 (+0.2%)
12-13 04:00: O=$132.91 H=$132.97 L=$132.61 C=$132.88 (-0.0%)
12-13 05:00: O=$132.86 H=$133.08 L=$132.45 C=$132.71 (-0.1%)
12-13 06:00: O=$132.64 H=$132.64 L=$132.64 C=$132.64 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.3
RSI(14): 42.5
EMA(20): $133.44
EMA(50): $134.07
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.06
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.20
50h Change: -0.61%
50h Range: $12.90 - $13.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.20 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-12 20:00: O=$13.04 H=$13.07 L=$13.04 C=$13.04 (+0.0%)
12-12 21:00: O=$13.09 H=$13.09 L=$13.09 C=$13.09 (-0.0%)
12-12 22:00: O=$13.09 H=$13.09 L=$13.09 C=$13.09 (+0.0%)
12-12 23:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.1%)
12-13 00:00: O=$13.10 H=$13.14 L=$13.10 C=$13.14 (+0.3%)
12-13 01:00: O=$13.14 H=$13.14 L=$13.10 C=$13.11 (-0.2%)
12-13 02:00: O=$13.19 H=$13.19 L=$13.18 C=$13.18 (-0.0%)
12-13 03:00: O=$13.21 H=$13.22 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (-0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.0
RSI(14): 45.5
EMA(20): $13.23
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.12 @ $132.14 (Current: $132.64, P&L: -0.38%)
TP: $127.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $135.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $127 (next support level, -3.9% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $135 above EMA(20) and 1.8x ATR. Exit if reclaims $135 with conviction or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Watching for continued weakness in risk assets.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $2,989.00, P&L: +2.76%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
AVAX (SHORT): 6.79 @ $13.10 (Current: $13.20, P&L: -0.78%)
TP: $12.70 (+3.1%)
SL: $13.45 (-2.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.70 targets psychological support and -3.1% move from entry. SL at $13.45 sits above EMA(20) at $13.28 plus 2x ATR buffer, protecting against trend reversal. Exit manually if BTC/ETH show strong reversal with volume confirmation or if AVAX reclaims $13.40 with conviction. Position sized conservatively at 15% margin (45% notional with 3x) to keep total margin under 70% given existing ETH/SOL shorts.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 12-08 06:00 → 12-09 16:05 (34.1h)
Entry: $3,136.44, Exit: $3,234.00 P&L: +3.11% ($+7.66) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: AVAX short -0.78% but DATA IS 3 HOURS STALE (last update 03:00, now 06:00). Trading on stale data is unacceptable risk - price could have moved significantly. Additionally, AVAX showing relative strength: RSI(7) at 53 (neutral-to-bullish divergence vs other assets), price consolidated tightly at $13.20 near EMA(20) $13.23 suggesting potential base formation while BTC/ETH remain weak. With margin at 70.2% and better short opportunities in ETH (working well), close this marginal position to free capital and avoid trading blind on outdated data.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing indecision at $90.3k with price below both EMA(20) $90,661 and EMA(50) $90,937 confirming bearish structure. RSI neutral at 45-46. Recent volatility spike (wick to $88.3k and $92.4k in 00:00 and 03:00 candles) suggests unstable price discovery. With 70.2% margin already deployed across 3 short positions, adding BTC exposure risks over-concentration. Wait for clearer directional break above $92k (bullish) or below $89k (bearish continuation) before entry.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH short +2.76% in profit and working well. Price at $2,989 trending toward TP at $2,950 (only $39 away). Strong bearish structure: price below both EMAs, RSI oversold at 36.3 confirming downtrend momentum, -6.36% over 50h. Recent 8h candles show consistent selling pressure with lower highs. SL at $3,135 provides 2x ATR protection. Trust the TP/SL system - position is performing exactly as planned. Manual close would forfeit remaining $39 move and incur unnecessary fees. Let it run to TP.
Confidence: 80%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short currently -0.38% (minor drawdown). Price at $132.64 consolidating tightly in $132.45-$133.08 range over last 8h, showing indecision. Position remains valid: price below EMA(20) $133.44 and EMA(50) $134.07 confirming bearish bias, RSI at 41-42 neutral-to-weak. TP at $127 targets strong support (-3.9% move), SL at $135 protects above key resistance. Recent tight consolidation suggests coiling for next move - likely breakdown given broader market weakness. Premature exit would miss the thesis playing out. Hold and trust stops.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=142
1 order(s) executed
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