Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-13 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-13 06:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $192.95
Margin Used: $105.99 (54.9%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-13 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-13 06:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-11 10:00 → 2025-12-13 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,487.00
50h Change: +0.62%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $93,499.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,487.00 (+0.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 04:00: O=$90,396.00 H=$90,480.00 L=$90,308.00 C=$90,399.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 05:00: O=$90,433.00 H=$90,575.00 L=$90,295.00 C=$90,337.00 (-0.1%)
12-13 06:00: O=$90,370.00 H=$91,141.00 L=$90,057.00 C=$90,404.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 07:00: O=$90,404.00 H=$90,503.00 L=$90,362.00 C=$90,412.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 08:00: O=$90,374.00 H=$90,646.00 L=$90,371.00 C=$90,551.00 (+0.2%)
12-13 09:00: O=$90,519.00 H=$90,750.00 L=$90,477.00 C=$90,517.00 (-0.0%)
12-13 10:00: O=$90,488.00 H=$91,956.00 L=$90,102.00 C=$90,709.00 (+0.2%)
12-13 11:00: O=$90,688.00 H=$90,715.00 L=$90,420.00 C=$90,487.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.9
RSI(14): 46.6
EMA(20): $90,592.77
EMA(50): $91,020.36
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $990.77
ETH:
Current Price: $3,035.10
50h Change: -5.39%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,279.70
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,035.10 (-0.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 04:00: O=$3,036.00 H=$3,081.20 L=$2,981.70 C=$3,007.40 (-0.9%)
12-13 05:00: O=$3,021.40 H=$3,079.10 L=$2,971.20 C=$2,989.00 (-1.1%)
12-13 06:00: O=$3,076.90 H=$3,080.60 L=$2,984.20 C=$3,079.30 (+0.1%)
12-13 07:00: O=$2,991.00 H=$3,079.20 L=$2,968.60 C=$2,997.30 (+0.2%)
12-13 08:00: O=$3,040.10 H=$3,120.70 L=$3,004.60 C=$3,081.90 (+1.4%)
12-13 09:00: O=$3,081.90 H=$3,110.00 L=$3,009.00 C=$3,050.30 (-1.0%)
12-13 10:00: O=$3,076.00 H=$3,120.20 L=$3,009.00 C=$3,080.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 11:00: O=$3,058.60 H=$3,116.30 L=$3,025.80 C=$3,035.10 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.2
RSI(14): 45.3
EMA(20): $3,065.94
EMA(50): $3,152.17
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $86.90
SOL:
Current Price: $133.31
50h Change: +1.81%
50h Range: $129.85 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.31 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 04:00: O=$132.91 H=$132.97 L=$132.61 C=$132.88 (-0.0%)
12-13 05:00: O=$132.86 H=$133.08 L=$132.45 C=$132.71 (-0.1%)
12-13 06:00: O=$132.64 H=$132.97 L=$132.40 C=$132.86 (+0.2%)
12-13 07:00: O=$132.91 H=$133.10 L=$132.78 C=$132.88 (-0.0%)
12-13 08:00: O=$133.00 H=$134.17 L=$133.00 C=$133.98 (+0.7%)
12-13 09:00: O=$134.19 H=$134.26 L=$133.53 C=$133.54 (-0.5%)
12-13 10:00: O=$133.55 H=$134.29 L=$133.55 C=$133.92 (+0.3%)
12-13 11:00: O=$133.92 H=$134.10 L=$133.21 C=$133.31 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.7
RSI(14): 47.9
EMA(20): $133.48
EMA(50): $134.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.01
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.42
50h Change: +0.17%
50h Range: $12.90 - $13.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.42 (+2.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 04:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (+0.0%)
12-13 05:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (+0.0%)
12-13 06:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.30 L=$13.29 C=$13.30 (+0.1%)
12-13 07:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.33 C=$13.33 (-0.0%)
12-13 08:00: O=$13.43 H=$13.43 L=$13.41 C=$13.41 (-0.1%)
12-13 09:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
12-13 10:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.41 L=$13.35 C=$13.41 (+0.4%)
12-13 11:00: O=$13.42 H=$13.42 L=$13.42 C=$13.42 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 77.0
RSI(14): 60.5
EMA(20): $13.30
EMA(50): $13.34
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.12 @ $132.14 (Current: $133.31, P&L: -0.89%)
TP: $127.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $135.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $127 (next support level, -3.9% move, 2.1:1 R:R). SL at $135 above EMA(20) and 1.8x ATR. Exit if reclaims $135 with conviction or if BTC/ETH reverse sharply. Watching for continued weakness in risk assets.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,035.10, P&L: +1.26%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-10 12:00 → 12-10 20:20 (8.3h)
Entry: $137.13, Exit: $139.54 P&L: -1.76% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Closing SHORT from $132.14 currently at -0.89% P&L. Position thesis invalidated: SOL showing relative strength vs BTC/ETH with RSI(7) at 49.7 and price consolidating tightly around EMA(20) $133.48. Recent 8h candles show price stabilizing rather than breaking down. With 3 consecutive SOL short stop-outs in recent history, respecting that SOL may not follow broader weakness. Better to cut small loss than risk another SL hit at $135.
Confidence: 65%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for SOL (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing neutral consolidation around $90.4k with RSI near 47-49 (neutral). Price below both EMA(20) $90.6k and EMA(50) $91k confirming bearish structure, but no clear directional conviction yet. Recent 8h candles show tight range ($90.3-$90.7k) after yesterday's -2.6% drop. With 54.9% margin already deployed, waiting for clearer setup rather than forcing a trade in choppy conditions.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT from $3,073.70, currently +1.26% P&L at $3,035.10. Position working well with price below both EMAs (bearish structure intact). Recent action shows volatility but respecting resistance around $3,080-$3,120. TP at $2,950 remains valid target (psychological support). Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close a profitable position that hasn't invalidated thesis. Price still under EMA(20) $3,066 and EMA(50) $3,152.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing concerning strength with RSI(7) at 77 (overbought) and +2.5% bounce today after bottoming at $13.10. Price now at $13.42 above both EMA(20) $13.30 and approaching EMA(50) $13.34. However, this looks like a short-term bounce in bearish structure rather than reversal. With margin at 54.9%, avoiding new position. If we close SOL short, may reassess for a fresh AVAX short on next run if it shows rejection at resistance.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=143
1 order(s) executed
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