Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-13 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-13 12:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $193.63
Margin Used: $58.81 (30.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-13 18:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-13 12:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-11 16:00 → 2025-12-13 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,153.00
50h Change: +0.60%
50h Range: $87,334.00 - $93,499.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $89,070.00→$88,976.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,153.00 (+0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 10:00: O=$90,488.00 H=$91,956.00 L=$90,102.00 C=$90,709.00 (+0.2%)
12-13 11:00: O=$90,688.00 H=$90,715.00 L=$90,420.00 C=$90,487.00 (-0.2%)
12-13 12:00: O=$90,471.00 H=$90,596.00 L=$90,424.00 C=$90,520.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 13:00: O=$90,500.00 H=$90,533.00 L=$90,300.00 C=$90,380.00 (-0.1%)
12-13 14:00: O=$90,387.00 H=$90,410.00 L=$90,053.00 C=$90,198.00 (-0.2%)
12-13 15:00: O=$90,155.00 H=$90,388.00 L=$90,135.00 C=$90,175.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 16:00: O=$90,159.00 H=$90,325.00 L=$90,082.00 C=$90,168.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 17:00: O=$90,144.00 H=$90,190.00 L=$90,028.00 C=$90,153.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 35.1
RSI(14): 43.5
EMA(20): $90,447.27
EMA(50): $91,097.62
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $733.73
ETH:
Current Price: $3,018.80
50h Change: -5.36%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,279.70
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $3,024.50→$3,043.90 (+0.6%)
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,018.80 (-1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 10:00: O=$3,076.00 H=$3,120.20 L=$3,009.00 C=$3,080.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 11:00: O=$3,058.60 H=$3,116.30 L=$3,025.80 C=$3,035.10 (-0.8%)
12-13 12:00: O=$3,034.90 H=$3,110.70 L=$3,008.90 C=$3,100.80 (+2.2%)
12-13 13:00: O=$3,028.50 H=$3,101.90 L=$3,008.00 C=$3,095.20 (+2.2%)
12-13 14:00: O=$3,075.00 H=$3,097.30 L=$3,014.20 C=$3,075.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 15:00: O=$3,025.70 H=$3,101.40 L=$3,018.60 C=$3,057.10 (+1.0%)
12-13 16:00: O=$3,057.10 H=$3,105.40 L=$2,999.50 C=$3,084.20 (+0.9%)
12-13 17:00: O=$3,057.10 H=$3,095.10 L=$3,016.80 C=$3,018.80 (-1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.4
RSI(14): 44.5
EMA(20): $3,066.98
EMA(50): $3,137.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $88.40
SOL:
Current Price: $132.26
50h Change: +0.85%
50h Range: $130.18 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $133.31→$132.25 (-0.8%)
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$132.26 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 10:00: O=$133.55 H=$134.29 L=$133.55 C=$133.92 (+0.3%)
12-13 11:00: O=$133.92 H=$134.10 L=$133.21 C=$133.31 (-0.5%)
12-13 12:00: O=$133.37 H=$133.68 L=$132.70 C=$133.05 (-0.2%)
12-13 13:00: O=$133.01 H=$133.41 L=$132.66 C=$133.19 (+0.1%)
12-13 14:00: O=$133.10 H=$133.45 L=$132.73 C=$133.28 (+0.1%)
12-13 15:00: O=$133.34 H=$133.72 L=$133.16 C=$133.36 (+0.0%)
12-13 16:00: O=$133.35 H=$133.69 L=$132.99 C=$133.22 (-0.1%)
12-13 17:00: O=$133.21 H=$133.21 L=$132.22 C=$132.26 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.1
RSI(14): 43.0
EMA(20): $133.29
EMA(50): $134.66
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.95
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.35
50h Change: +2.94%
50h Range: $12.90 - $13.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 06: $13.20→$13.38 (+1.4%)
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.35 (+1.9%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 09:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
12-13 10:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.41 L=$13.35 C=$13.41 (+0.4%)
12-13 11:00: O=$13.42 H=$13.42 L=$13.42 C=$13.42 (+0.0%)
12-13 12:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.25 C=$13.26 (-0.9%)
12-13 13:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.28 L=$13.25 C=$13.28 (+0.1%)
12-13 14:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.29 L=$13.26 C=$13.29 (+0.1%)
12-13 15:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.38 L=$13.34 C=$13.38 (+0.2%)
12-13 16:00: O=$13.39 H=$13.40 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (-0.3%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.6
RSI(14): 53.0
EMA(20): $13.30
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,018.80, P&L: +1.79%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing clear bearish structure: price below both EMAs (20: $133.29, 50: $134.66), RSI deeply oversold at 31/43 in downtrend context (continuation signal, not reversal). Recent price action: failed to hold $133 support, now testing $132. ATR at $0.95 suggests controlled volatility. Entry at current $132.26 with TP at $130.00 (Dec 6-7 support zone, -1.7%) and SL at $134.50 (+1.7%) gives 1:1 R:R but high probability given trend. Recent manual close at $133.37 was premature - this is better entry at support breakdown.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $130 (prior support zone from Dec 6-7, psychological level). SL at $134.50 (above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC rallies strongly above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $133.50 with volume confirmation.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $193.63
Allocation: 20.0% ($38.73 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $132.26
Size: 0.8800 coins
Notional value: $116.39
📝 Executing SHORT 0.88 SOL @ 3x with TP: $130, SL: $134
✅ Market order filled @ $132.25
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44953775594)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44953776145)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing weak bearish structure (price below both EMAs, RSI 35/43) but already at lower end of 50h range ($87.3k-$93.5k). Recent candles show tight consolidation around $90k with decreasing volatility. While trend is bearish, RSI approaching oversold suggests bounce risk. No clear edge for new position - would need either breakdown below $89.5k with volume for short, or reclaim of $91k+ for long. Current risk/reward not compelling.
Confidence: 40%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing ETH short at $3,073.70 currently +1.79% profit. Price action shows choppy volatility between $3,000-$3,100 with multiple failed attempts to break either direction. TP at $2,950 and SL at $3,135 are well-placed. Recent 8h candles show indecision with large wicks. CRITICAL: Trust the TP/SL orders - they will execute automatically. No reason to manually close just because position is slightly profitable. Thesis (bearish breakdown) remains valid as price stays below EMAs. Let the trade work.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing mixed signals: price slightly above EMA20 ($13.35 vs $13.30), RSI neutral at 56/53, but data is 2h stale which creates execution risk. Recent history shows multiple whipsaws (3 stopped out shorts in last 2 days). Price action very choppy in tight $13.25-$13.40 range with no clear directional bias. Given data staleness, recent poor performance on this asset, and lack of clear setup, best to avoid. Would need fresh data and clearer trend for conviction.
Confidence: 35%
💾 Database saved: run_id=144
1 order(s) executed
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