Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-14 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-13 18:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $188.43
Margin Used: $92.41 (49.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-14 00:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-13 18:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-11 22:00 → 2025-12-14 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,353.00
50h Change: -2.71%
50h Range: $87,886.00 - $93,164.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 16:00: O=$90,159.00 H=$90,325.00 L=$90,082.00 C=$90,168.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 17:00: O=$90,144.00 H=$90,190.00 L=$90,028.00 C=$90,153.00 (+0.0%)
12-13 18:00: O=$90,141.00 H=$90,264.00 L=$90,116.00 C=$90,192.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 19:00: O=$90,197.00 H=$90,446.00 L=$90,143.00 C=$90,309.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 20:00: O=$90,297.00 H=$90,409.00 L=$90,149.00 C=$90,193.00 (-0.1%)
12-13 21:00: O=$90,144.00 H=$90,306.00 L=$89,921.00 C=$90,240.00 (+0.1%)
12-13 22:00: O=$90,277.00 H=$90,364.00 L=$90,155.00 C=$90,232.00 (-0.0%)
12-13 23:00: O=$90,206.00 H=$90,494.00 L=$90,158.00 C=$90,353.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.5
RSI(14): 46.5
EMA(20): $90,382.08
EMA(50): $91,013.94
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $549.52
ETH:
Current Price: $3,097.20
50h Change: -4.99%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,272.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,097.20 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 17:00: O=$3,057.10 H=$3,095.10 L=$3,016.80 C=$3,018.80 (-1.3%)
12-13 18:00: O=$3,044.00 H=$3,097.20 L=$3,015.90 C=$3,071.90 (+0.9%)
12-13 19:00: O=$3,079.60 H=$3,099.00 L=$3,020.90 C=$3,095.00 (+0.5%)
12-13 20:00: O=$3,074.20 H=$3,096.80 L=$3,010.80 C=$3,091.50 (+0.6%)
12-13 21:00: O=$3,018.20 H=$3,091.50 L=$3,011.30 C=$3,015.70 (-0.1%)
12-13 22:00: O=$3,076.00 H=$3,101.50 L=$3,019.30 C=$3,098.50 (+0.7%)
12-13 23:00: O=$3,060.00 H=$3,099.70 L=$3,060.00 C=$3,097.30 (+1.2%)
12-14 00:00: O=$3,097.20 H=$3,097.20 L=$3,097.20 C=$3,097.20 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.4
RSI(14): 51.6
EMA(20): $3,075.89
EMA(50): $3,120.37
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $77.05
SOL:
Current Price: $133.19
50h Change: -2.89%
50h Range: $130.35 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 16:00: O=$133.35 H=$133.69 L=$132.99 C=$133.22 (-0.1%)
12-13 17:00: O=$133.21 H=$133.21 L=$132.22 C=$132.26 (-0.7%)
12-13 18:00: O=$132.25 H=$132.78 L=$131.94 C=$132.30 (+0.0%)
12-13 19:00: O=$132.42 H=$133.09 L=$132.38 C=$132.84 (+0.3%)
12-13 20:00: O=$132.88 H=$132.99 L=$132.32 C=$132.32 (-0.4%)
12-13 21:00: O=$132.35 H=$132.83 L=$131.73 C=$132.83 (+0.4%)
12-13 22:00: O=$132.70 H=$133.04 L=$132.34 C=$132.91 (+0.2%)
12-13 23:00: O=$132.84 H=$133.31 L=$132.76 C=$133.19 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.2
RSI(14): 48.8
EMA(20): $133.11
EMA(50): $134.50
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.86
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.37
50h Change: -1.24%
50h Range: $13.03 - $13.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 16:00: O=$13.39 H=$13.40 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (-0.3%)
12-13 17:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-13 18:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-13 19:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-13 20:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.39 L=$13.36 C=$13.36 (-0.1%)
12-13 21:00: O=$13.33 H=$13.33 L=$13.24 C=$13.28 (-0.4%)
12-13 22:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.28 L=$13.28 C=$13.28 (+0.0%)
12-13 23:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.37 L=$13.34 C=$13.37 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.7
RSI(14): 54.7
EMA(20): $13.32
EMA(50): $13.36
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.88 @ $132.25 (Current: $133.19, P&L: -0.71%)
TP: $130.00 (+1.7%)
SL: $134.50 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $130 (prior support zone from Dec 6-7, psychological level). SL at $134.50 (above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC rallies strongly above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $133.50 with volume confirmation.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,097.20, P&L: -0.76%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing weakness: bearish EMA structure (price at $13.37, EMA20 at $13.32, EMA50 at $13.36), failed to reclaim $13.50 resistance despite 3 attempts. RSI(14) at 54.7 shows fading momentum after bounce. Recent 8h candles show stalling at resistance with extremely low volatility. Broader market bearish context (BTC/ETH below key EMAs). Entry at current levels with TP at prior support $13.00 and SL above $13.55 offers 2.8:1 R:R. Note: Margin usage at 49% allows for one more conservative position.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $13.00 (Dec 12 low and psychological support, 2.8% gain). SL at $13.55 (above recent consolidation highs and EMA50, 1.3% risk = 3.6x ATR). R:R = 2.8:1. Exit early if BTC breaks above $91.5k with volume or if AVAX reclaims $13.45 with strong buying pressure. Conservative 18% allocation given existing 49% margin usage.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $188.43
Allocation: 18.0% ($33.92 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.37
Size: 7.6100 coins
Notional value: $101.76
📝 Executing SHORT 7.61 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.37
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44961956774)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44961958085)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in bearish structure (price below EMA20/50, EMAs bearish) but showing stabilization at $90k. RSI(14) at 46.5 is neutral, recent 8h candles show tight consolidation with low volatility. No clear directional setup - needs to either break below $89.9k for short entry or reclaim $91k+ for potential long. Current risk/reward unclear in this range. Preserving capital for better setup.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently SHORT from $3,073.70, now at -0.76% P&L. Position is working as intended - ETH remains below EMA20 ($3,075.89) and EMA50 ($3,120.37) confirming bearish structure. Recent consolidation between $3,015-$3,100 with TP at $2,950 still viable. RSI(14) at 51.6 is neutral. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close. Position thesis (bearish trend continuation) remains intact.
Confidence: 70%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently SHORT from $132.25, now at -0.71% P&L. SOL trading just above entry but still in bearish structure (below EMA50 at $134.50). Recent 8h candles show grinding higher but low conviction - price hovering near EMA20 ($133.11). TP at $130 remains valid support target. SL at $134.50 appropriately placed above resistance. Multiple premature manual closes on SOL have hurt P&L - need to trust the process and let TP/SL work.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=145
1 order(s) executed
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