Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-14 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-14 00:00:09
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $189.31
Margin Used: $127.21 (67.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-14 06:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-14 00:00:09 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-12 04:00 → 2025-12-14 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,214.00
50h Change: -2.32%
50h Range: $87,886.00 - $92,792.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$90,204.00 (-0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 22:00: O=$90,277.00 H=$90,364.00 L=$90,155.00 C=$90,232.00 (-0.0%)
12-13 23:00: O=$90,206.00 H=$90,494.00 L=$90,158.00 C=$90,353.00 (+0.2%)
12-14 00:00: O=$90,306.00 H=$90,547.00 L=$90,202.00 C=$90,451.00 (+0.2%)
12-14 01:00: O=$90,439.00 H=$90,531.00 L=$90,281.00 C=$90,373.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 02:00: O=$90,357.00 H=$90,555.00 L=$90,317.00 C=$90,395.00 (+0.0%)
12-14 03:00: O=$90,339.00 H=$90,537.00 L=$89,131.00 C=$90,265.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 04:00: O=$90,242.00 H=$90,333.00 L=$90,118.00 C=$90,138.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 05:00: O=$90,102.00 H=$90,266.00 L=$90,074.00 C=$90,214.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.2
RSI(14): 43.9
EMA(20): $90,352.32
EMA(50): $90,791.44
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $504.50
ETH:
Current Price: $3,100.30
50h Change: -4.85%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,272.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,100.30 (+0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 22:00: O=$3,076.00 H=$3,101.50 L=$3,019.30 C=$3,098.50 (+0.7%)
12-13 23:00: O=$3,060.00 H=$3,099.70 L=$3,060.00 C=$3,097.30 (+1.2%)
12-14 00:00: O=$3,097.20 H=$3,112.20 L=$3,090.60 C=$3,109.20 (+0.4%)
12-14 01:00: O=$3,110.70 H=$3,119.80 L=$3,107.50 C=$3,110.90 (+0.0%)
12-14 02:00: O=$3,112.10 H=$3,117.10 L=$3,108.70 C=$3,112.60 (+0.0%)
12-14 03:00: O=$3,114.00 H=$3,115.70 L=$3,107.80 C=$3,109.70 (-0.1%)
12-14 04:00: O=$3,109.70 H=$3,112.40 L=$3,097.00 C=$3,101.30 (-0.3%)
12-14 05:00: O=$3,100.60 H=$3,102.90 L=$3,095.00 C=$3,100.30 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.5
RSI(14): 51.5
EMA(20): $3,089.70
EMA(50): $3,105.02
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $57.16
SOL:
Current Price: $132.61
50h Change: -3.31%
50h Range: $130.35 - $139.99
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$132.61 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 22:00: O=$132.70 H=$133.04 L=$132.34 C=$132.91 (+0.2%)
12-13 23:00: O=$132.84 H=$133.31 L=$132.76 C=$133.19 (+0.3%)
12-14 00:00: O=$133.01 H=$133.60 L=$132.74 C=$133.36 (+0.3%)
12-14 01:00: O=$133.29 H=$133.63 L=$133.07 C=$133.27 (-0.0%)
12-14 02:00: O=$133.37 H=$133.54 L=$133.36 C=$133.36 (-0.0%)
12-14 03:00: O=$133.38 H=$133.38 L=$132.94 C=$133.01 (-0.3%)
12-14 04:00: O=$133.04 H=$133.27 L=$132.51 C=$132.60 (-0.3%)
12-14 05:00: O=$132.47 H=$132.74 L=$132.07 C=$132.61 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.1
RSI(14): 50.6
EMA(20): $133.10
EMA(50): $134.09
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.77
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.26
50h Change: -2.08%
50h Range: $13.03 - $13.77
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$13.26 (-0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-13 22:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.28 L=$13.28 C=$13.28 (+0.0%)
12-13 23:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.37 L=$13.34 C=$13.37 (+0.1%)
12-14 00:00: O=$13.37 H=$13.37 L=$13.36 C=$13.36 (-0.1%)
12-14 01:00: O=$13.35 H=$13.35 L=$13.35 C=$13.35 (+0.0%)
12-14 02:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.34 L=$13.32 C=$13.34 (+0.1%)
12-14 03:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.34 C=$13.34 (+0.0%)
12-14 04:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (-0.0%)
12-14 05:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.26 L=$13.26 C=$13.26 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 32.5
RSI(14): 48.0
EMA(20): $13.32
EMA(50): $13.33
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.88 @ $132.25 (Current: $132.61, P&L: -0.27%)
TP: $130.00 (+1.7%)
SL: $134.50 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $130 (prior support zone from Dec 6-7, psychological level). SL at $134.50 (above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC rallies strongly above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $133.50 with volume confirmation.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,100.30, P&L: -0.87%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
AVAX (SHORT): 7.61 @ $13.37 (Current: $13.26, P&L: +0.81%)
TP: $13.00 (+2.8%)
SL: $13.55 (-1.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $13.00 (Dec 12 low and psychological support, 2.8% gain). SL at $13.55 (above recent consolidation highs and EMA50, 1.3% risk = 3.6x ATR). R:R = 2.8:1. Exit early if BTC breaks above $91.5k with volume or if AVAX reclaims $13.45 with strong buying pressure. Conservative 18% allocation given existing 49% margin usage.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-09 18:00 → 12-11 00:50 (30.8h)
Entry: $14.59, Exit: $13.91 P&L: +4.66% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation between $90k-$90.5k with neutral RSI(14) at 43.9. Price below both EMA20 ($90,352) and EMA50 ($90,791) confirming bearish structure, but lacking clear directional conviction. Recent 8h candles show tight range with no breakout. With 67.2% margin already deployed across 3 short positions, prudent to wait for clearer setup rather than add exposure in this choppy zone. Need break below $89,130 (Dec 14 wick low) or reclaim of $91k with volume for actionable signal.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $3,073.70 currently underwater at -0.87% ($3,100.30). Price consolidated above EMA20 ($3,089.70) in past 8h showing mild strength. RSI(14) at 51.5 is neutral. Position thesis remains valid - bearish EMA structure intact (price below EMA50), but recent consolidation suggests near-term support forming. Trust the TP/SL orders: TP at $2,950 targets Dec 12 lows, SL at $3,135 protects against failed breakdown. No reason to manually close - let position work. Churning here would lock in loss and miss potential downside continuation.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $132.25 slightly underwater at -0.27% ($132.61). Price showing weakness with RSI(7) at 39.1 (oversold in downtrend = continuation signal) and trading below EMA20 ($133.10). Recent 8h candles drifting lower with declining highs. Bearish structure intact with EMA20 < EMA50. Position well-structured: TP at $130.00 targets psychological support and Dec 6-7 lows, SL at $134.50 protects above resistance. Current price action aligns with short thesis - trust the setup and let TP/SL execute automatically. Manual close would realize unnecessary loss.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $13.37 showing positive P&L at +0.81% ($13.26). Price moving toward TP target with RSI(7) at 32.5 (oversold in downtrend = SHORT continuation opportunity). Trading below both EMAs confirming bearish structure. Recent 8h candles showing consistent lower prices with extremely tight ranges (flat candles suggest low volume drift lower). TP at $13.00 is Dec 12 low and psychological level (2.8% gain from entry), SL at $13.55 protects above. Position working as planned - let it run to TP. Premature exit would sacrifice potential 2% additional gain. Trust the process.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=146
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