Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-14 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-14 06:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $193.61
Margin Used: $94.84 (49.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-14 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-14 06:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-12 10:00 → 2025-12-14 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,458.00
50h Change: -3.28%
50h Range: $87,886.00 - $92,792.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$89,458.00 (-0.9%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 04:00: O=$90,242.00 H=$90,333.00 L=$90,118.00 C=$90,138.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 05:00: O=$90,102.00 H=$90,266.00 L=$90,074.00 C=$90,214.00 (+0.1%)
12-14 06:00: O=$90,190.00 H=$90,244.00 L=$90,052.00 C=$90,147.00 (-0.0%)
12-14 07:00: O=$90,153.00 H=$90,271.00 L=$90,034.00 C=$90,236.00 (+0.1%)
12-14 08:00: O=$90,254.00 H=$90,322.00 L=$90,132.00 C=$90,184.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 09:00: O=$90,122.00 H=$90,176.00 L=$90,000.00 C=$90,058.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 10:00: O=$90,076.00 H=$91,634.00 L=$89,841.00 C=$89,910.00 (-0.2%)
12-14 11:00: O=$89,937.00 H=$89,937.00 L=$88,864.00 C=$89,458.00 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 15.0
RSI(14): 26.2
EMA(20): $90,171.04
EMA(50): $90,505.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $586.26
ETH:
Current Price: $3,076.50
50h Change: -5.59%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,260.80
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,076.50 (-0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 04:00: O=$3,109.70 H=$3,112.40 L=$3,097.00 C=$3,101.30 (-0.3%)
12-14 05:00: O=$3,100.60 H=$3,102.90 L=$3,095.00 C=$3,100.30 (-0.0%)
12-14 06:00: O=$3,100.70 H=$3,103.00 L=$3,096.20 C=$3,098.80 (-0.1%)
12-14 07:00: O=$3,098.30 H=$3,103.00 L=$3,095.90 C=$3,100.70 (+0.1%)
12-14 08:00: O=$3,105.80 H=$3,111.80 L=$3,100.30 C=$3,100.30 (-0.2%)
12-14 09:00: O=$3,104.10 H=$3,105.70 L=$3,088.50 C=$3,100.70 (-0.1%)
12-14 10:00: O=$3,101.00 H=$3,103.80 L=$3,078.50 C=$3,098.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 11:00: O=$3,098.00 H=$3,098.00 L=$3,046.00 C=$3,076.50 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.0
RSI(14): 46.5
EMA(20): $3,091.77
EMA(50): $3,085.71
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $45.38
SOL:
Current Price: $131.50
50h Change: -4.83%
50h Range: $130.35 - $139.78
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$131.50 (-1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 04:00: O=$133.04 H=$133.27 L=$132.51 C=$132.60 (-0.3%)
12-14 05:00: O=$132.47 H=$132.74 L=$132.07 C=$132.61 (+0.1%)
12-14 06:00: O=$132.68 H=$133.20 L=$132.60 C=$133.04 (+0.3%)
12-14 07:00: O=$132.97 H=$133.39 L=$132.93 C=$133.37 (+0.3%)
12-14 08:00: O=$133.36 H=$133.56 L=$132.72 C=$132.72 (-0.5%)
12-14 09:00: O=$132.75 H=$132.85 L=$132.45 C=$132.50 (-0.2%)
12-14 10:00: O=$132.51 H=$132.67 L=$131.03 C=$131.93 (-0.4%)
12-14 11:00: O=$131.91 H=$132.04 L=$130.48 C=$131.50 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 25.3
RSI(14): 35.7
EMA(20): $132.77
EMA(50): $133.39
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.85
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.04
50h Change: -4.56%
50h Range: $13.00 - $13.66
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$13.04 (-2.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 04:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (-0.0%)
12-14 05:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.26 L=$13.26 C=$13.26 (+0.0%)
12-14 06:00: O=$13.18 H=$13.20 L=$13.18 C=$13.20 (+0.1%)
12-14 07:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (+0.0%)
12-14 08:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.27 L=$13.19 C=$13.19 (-0.6%)
12-14 09:00: O=$13.17 H=$13.17 L=$13.16 C=$13.16 (-0.1%)
12-14 10:00: O=$13.10 H=$13.17 L=$13.10 C=$13.15 (+0.4%)
12-14 11:00: O=$13.15 H=$13.15 L=$13.00 C=$13.04 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 9.8
RSI(14): 24.2
EMA(20): $13.24
EMA(50): $13.27
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.88 @ $132.25 (Current: $131.50, P&L: +0.57%)
TP: $130.00 (+1.7%)
SL: $134.50 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $130 (prior support zone from Dec 6-7, psychological level). SL at $134.50 (above EMA20 and recent consolidation highs, ~2.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC rallies strongly above $91.5k or if SOL reclaims $133.50 with volume confirmation.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,076.50, P&L: -0.09%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 16:05 (10.1h)
Entry: $13.40, Exit: $12.97 P&L: +3.23% ($+2.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: BTC showing clear bearish momentum: RSI(7) at extreme oversold 15.0, price broke below $90k support and EMAs are bearish (price < EMA20 < EMA50). Recent 2h candles show accelerating selling with $89.4k current vs $90.2k at last run. Last hour dropped -0.5% with low of $88,864. This is a continuation short in established downtrend, not catching a falling knife - we're adding to weakness after a failed bounce attempt. Volume-driven breakdown suggests further downside to $87.5k-$88k zone.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $193.61
Allocation: 15.0% ($29.04 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $89,458.00
Size: 0.0010 coins
Notional value: $86.77
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00097 BTC @ 3x with TP: $87,500, SL: $90,800
✅ Market order filled @ $89,322.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44980982086)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44980983648)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing extreme weakness: RSI(7) at 9.8 (most oversold of all assets), RSI(14) at 24.2, bearish EMA structure, and price testing 50h low at $13.00. Just hit TP on previous short at $13.00 (11.8h ago), but breakdown is continuing with last hour -0.8% drop. This is NOT catching a falling knife - it's a trend continuation short after brief consolidation. AVAX has been in clear downtrend since Dec 10 peak at $14.62. Current $13.04 breaking below psychological $13.00 support suggests acceleration to $12.50-$12.70 zone.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 10.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $193.61
Allocation: 10.0% ($19.36 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $13.04
Size: 2.9700 coins
Notional value: $38.73
📝 Executing SHORT 2.97 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $13, SL: $13
✅ Market order filled @ $13.03
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44980987900)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44980989191)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT position from $3,073.70. Current price $3,076.50 shows minimal movement (-0.09% P&L). ETH has contradictory signals: EMA trend is bullish (price above EMA50) but price action is weak. RSI(14) at 46.5 is neutral, not oversold enough for continuation. Last hour dropped -0.7% but this could be BTC correlation rather than ETH-specific weakness. Position is near entry with TP at $2,950 still 4% away. Trust the existing TP/SL orders - no reason to close prematurely. If BTC continues dropping, ETH will follow.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT position from $132.25. Currently profitable at +0.57% ($131.50). SOL showing good bearish momentum: RSI(7) at 25.3 (oversold in downtrend = continuation), price below both EMAs (bearish), and recent candles showing consistent lower lows. TP at $130.00 is only 1.1% away and represents strong psychological support. Last hour dropped -0.3% continuing the trend. No reason to exit manually - let the TP work. Position is performing as expected in this bearish environment.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=147
2 order(s) executed
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