Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-14 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-14 12:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $194.98
Margin Used: $103.69 (53.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-14 18:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-14 12:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-12 16:00 → 2025-12-14 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,966.00
50h Change: -1.02%
50h Range: $87,886.00 - $92,792.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $89,070.00→$90,140.00 (+1.2%)
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,966.00 (-1.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 10:00: O=$90,076.00 H=$91,634.00 L=$89,841.00 C=$89,910.00 (-0.2%)
12-14 11:00: O=$89,937.00 H=$89,937.00 L=$88,864.00 C=$89,458.00 (-0.5%)
12-14 12:00: O=$89,336.00 H=$89,779.00 L=$89,238.00 C=$89,501.00 (+0.2%)
12-14 13:00: O=$89,511.00 H=$89,611.00 L=$89,233.00 C=$89,611.00 (+0.1%)
12-14 14:00: O=$89,597.00 H=$89,668.00 L=$89,058.00 C=$89,232.00 (-0.4%)
12-14 15:00: O=$89,112.00 H=$89,283.00 L=$89,050.00 C=$89,190.00 (+0.1%)
12-14 16:00: O=$89,077.00 H=$89,452.00 L=$88,662.00 C=$88,883.00 (-0.2%)
12-14 17:00: O=$88,880.00 H=$89,080.00 L=$88,733.00 C=$88,966.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 20.7
RSI(14): 42.9
EMA(20): $89,713.68
EMA(50): $90,174.02
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $564.15
ETH:
Current Price: $3,076.90
50h Change: +0.07%
50h Range: $2,948.60 - $3,167.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $3,040.00→$3,065.50 (+0.8%)
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,076.90 (-0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 10:00: O=$3,101.00 H=$3,103.80 L=$3,078.50 C=$3,098.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 11:00: O=$3,098.00 H=$3,098.00 L=$3,046.00 C=$3,076.50 (-0.7%)
12-14 12:00: O=$3,073.20 H=$3,097.80 L=$3,064.50 C=$3,091.20 (+0.6%)
12-14 13:00: O=$3,085.20 H=$3,088.70 L=$3,071.90 C=$3,085.00 (-0.0%)
12-14 14:00: O=$3,085.00 H=$3,091.00 L=$3,065.00 C=$3,074.40 (-0.3%)
12-14 15:00: O=$3,071.60 H=$3,074.00 L=$3,058.80 C=$3,072.90 (+0.0%)
12-14 16:00: O=$3,075.00 H=$3,094.50 L=$3,071.50 C=$3,088.70 (+0.4%)
12-14 17:00: O=$3,088.90 H=$3,094.50 L=$3,066.00 C=$3,076.90 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.0
RSI(14): 48.3
EMA(20): $3,085.28
EMA(50): $3,068.82
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $38.78
SOL:
Current Price: $130.24
50h Change: -2.27%
50h Range: $129.73 - $134.29
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $132.22→$132.35 (+0.1%)
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$130.24 (-2.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 10:00: O=$132.51 H=$132.67 L=$131.03 C=$131.93 (-0.4%)
12-14 11:00: O=$131.91 H=$132.04 L=$130.48 C=$131.50 (-0.3%)
12-14 12:00: O=$131.34 H=$131.99 L=$131.04 C=$131.56 (+0.2%)
12-14 13:00: O=$131.50 H=$131.67 L=$131.18 C=$131.67 (+0.1%)
12-14 14:00: O=$131.85 H=$131.85 L=$130.80 C=$131.03 (-0.6%)
12-14 15:00: O=$131.04 H=$131.21 L=$130.64 C=$131.00 (-0.0%)
12-14 16:00: O=$130.75 H=$131.68 L=$130.66 C=$131.16 (+0.3%)
12-14 17:00: O=$131.14 H=$131.33 L=$129.73 C=$130.24 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 18.6
RSI(14): 28.3
EMA(20): $131.93
EMA(50): $132.56
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.88
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.94
50h Change: -1.04%
50h Range: $12.94 - $13.43
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 07: $13.40→$13.40 (+0.0%)
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.94 (-3.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 10:00: O=$13.10 H=$13.17 L=$13.10 C=$13.15 (+0.4%)
12-14 11:00: O=$13.15 H=$13.15 L=$13.00 C=$13.04 (-0.8%)
12-14 12:00: O=$13.03 H=$13.11 L=$13.02 C=$13.11 (+0.6%)
12-14 13:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.0%)
12-14 14:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.0%)
12-14 15:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.0%)
12-14 16:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.0%)
12-14 17:00: O=$13.04 H=$13.04 L=$12.94 C=$12.94 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 14.4
RSI(14): 24.5
EMA(20): $13.16
EMA(50): $13.23
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00097 @ $89,322.00 (Current: $88,966.00, P&L: +0.40%)
TP: $87,500.00 (+2.0%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,076.90, P&L: -0.10%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
AVAX (SHORT): 2.97 @ $13.03 (Current: $12.94, P&L: +0.70%)
TP: $12.60 (+3.3%)
SL: $13.35 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish setup: RSI(7) at 18.6 (extreme oversold in downtrend = continuation), RSI(14) at 28.3, bearish EMA structure (price < EMA20 < EMA50). Price broke down to new 50h low at $129.73 in last hour. Down -2.1% today, -2.27% over 50h. Recent history shows 2 successful SHORT TPs. Market structure clearly bearish. Entry at current weakness with tight stop above resistance.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $126.50 (3% gain, psychological support level and -$3 from entry). SL at $132.00 (above EMA20 at $131.93 and recent consolidation, ~2.5x ATR). R:R = 2.6:1. Conservative 15% allocation with 3x leverage given current 53.2% margin usage. Exit early if SOL reclaims $131.50 with volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal above $90.5k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $194.98
Allocation: 15.0% ($29.25 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $130.24
Size: 0.6700 coins
Notional value: $87.26
📝 Executing SHORT 0.67 SOL @ 3x with TP: $126, SL: $132
✅ Market order filled @ $130.11
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44994181045)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44994181568)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position working well (+0.40% P&L). Price at $88,966 is trending toward TP at $87,500. RSI(7) at 20.7 shows extreme oversold but in bearish trend this signals continuation not reversal. EMA structure bearish (price < EMA20 < EMA50). Recent 8h candles show steady grind lower with no reversal signals. Trust the TP/SL setup - position has room to run to target near 50h low.
Confidence: 75%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position essentially flat (-0.10% P&L). ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (bullish EMA trend, price > EMA50) but still under pressure. RSI(7) at 43.0 and RSI(14) at 48.3 - neutral zone. Price consolidating in tight range $3,070-$3,095 over last 8h. No clear directional conviction yet. TP at $2,950 remains valid target. Let position develop - premature to close when thesis hasn't been invalidated and SL provides protection.
Confidence: 60%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position performing well (+0.70% P&L). Price at $12.94 just hit new 50h low, showing strong bearish momentum. RSI(7) at 14.4 (extreme oversold) but in bearish trend this typically means continuation not reversal. Recent 8h shows accelerating decline with -0.7% drop in last hour. TP at $12.60 is achievable target. Bearish EMA structure intact. Trust the setup - let it run to target.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=148
1 order(s) executed
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