Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-15 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-14 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $197.47
Margin Used: $135.32 (68.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-15 00:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-14 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-12 22:00 → 2025-12-15 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,334.00
50h Change: -1.85%
50h Range: $87,955.00 - $92,395.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 16:00: O=$89,077.00 H=$89,452.00 L=$88,662.00 C=$88,883.00 (-0.2%)
12-14 17:00: O=$88,880.00 H=$89,080.00 L=$88,733.00 C=$88,966.00 (+0.1%)
12-14 18:00: O=$88,877.00 H=$89,190.00 L=$88,862.00 C=$89,164.00 (+0.3%)
12-14 19:00: O=$89,080.00 H=$89,080.00 L=$88,636.00 C=$88,748.00 (-0.4%)
12-14 20:00: O=$88,800.00 H=$88,976.00 L=$88,553.00 C=$88,736.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 21:00: O=$88,711.00 H=$88,845.00 L=$88,512.00 C=$88,597.00 (-0.1%)
12-14 22:00: O=$88,597.00 H=$88,688.00 L=$88,183.00 C=$88,597.00 (+0.0%)
12-14 23:00: O=$88,515.00 H=$88,721.00 L=$87,955.00 C=$88,334.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 16.0
RSI(14): 20.8
EMA(20): $89,235.34
EMA(50): $89,943.62
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $513.06
ETH:
Current Price: $3,048.20
50h Change: +1.64%
50h Range: $2,968.60 - $3,120.70
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 16:00: O=$3,075.00 H=$3,094.50 L=$3,071.50 C=$3,088.70 (+0.4%)
12-14 17:00: O=$3,088.90 H=$3,094.50 L=$3,066.00 C=$3,076.90 (-0.4%)
12-14 18:00: O=$3,074.30 H=$3,093.80 L=$3,074.30 C=$3,093.80 (+0.6%)
12-14 19:00: O=$3,091.10 H=$3,092.50 L=$3,076.00 C=$3,081.50 (-0.3%)
12-14 20:00: O=$3,084.40 H=$3,084.50 L=$3,061.60 C=$3,074.30 (-0.3%)
12-14 21:00: O=$3,070.10 H=$3,080.10 L=$3,067.00 C=$3,069.40 (-0.0%)
12-14 22:00: O=$3,069.00 H=$3,078.20 L=$3,042.30 C=$3,060.00 (-0.3%)
12-14 23:00: O=$3,060.00 H=$3,070.80 L=$3,027.80 C=$3,048.20 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.6
RSI(14): 47.1
EMA(20): $3,077.45
EMA(50): $3,070.62
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $34.57
SOL:
Current Price: $129.58
50h Change: -1.73%
50h Range: $129.09 - $134.29
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 16:00: O=$130.75 H=$131.68 L=$130.66 C=$131.16 (+0.3%)
12-14 17:00: O=$131.14 H=$131.33 L=$129.73 C=$130.24 (-0.7%)
12-14 18:00: O=$130.11 H=$130.93 L=$130.08 C=$130.93 (+0.6%)
12-14 19:00: O=$130.74 H=$130.77 L=$130.18 C=$130.54 (-0.2%)
12-14 20:00: O=$130.57 H=$130.84 L=$130.10 C=$130.24 (-0.3%)
12-14 21:00: O=$130.19 H=$130.54 L=$129.76 C=$130.18 (-0.0%)
12-14 22:00: O=$130.19 H=$130.37 L=$130.04 C=$130.25 (+0.0%)
12-14 23:00: O=$130.60 H=$130.83 L=$129.09 C=$129.58 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 22.6
RSI(14): 27.6
EMA(20): $131.17
EMA(50): $132.37
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.87
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.86
50h Change: -1.76%
50h Range: $12.83 - $13.43
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 16:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.11 L=$13.11 C=$13.11 (+0.0%)
12-14 17:00: O=$13.04 H=$13.04 L=$12.94 C=$12.94 (-0.7%)
12-14 18:00: O=$12.95 H=$12.97 L=$12.95 C=$12.97 (+0.1%)
12-14 19:00: O=$12.97 H=$12.97 L=$12.97 C=$12.97 (+0.0%)
12-14 20:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.99 L=$12.91 C=$12.95 (+0.2%)
12-14 21:00: O=$12.95 H=$12.95 L=$12.95 C=$12.95 (+0.0%)
12-14 22:00: O=$12.86 H=$12.87 L=$12.86 C=$12.87 (+0.1%)
12-14 23:00: O=$12.88 H=$12.88 L=$12.83 C=$12.86 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 13.2
RSI(14): 23.2
EMA(20): $13.05
EMA(50): $13.21
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.67 @ $130.11 (Current: $129.58, P&L: +0.41%)
TP: $126.50 (+2.8%)
SL: $132.00 (-1.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $126.50 (3% gain, psychological support level and -$3 from entry). SL at $132.00 (above EMA20 at $131.93 and recent consolidation, ~2.5x ATR). R:R = 2.6:1. Conservative 15% allocation with 3x leverage given current 53.2% margin usage. Exit early if SOL reclaims $131.50 with volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal above $90.5k.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00097 @ $89,322.00 (Current: $88,334.00, P&L: +1.11%)
TP: $87,500.00 (+2.0%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0768 @ $3,073.70 (Current: $3,048.20, P&L: +0.83%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $3,135.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (psychological support, -4% from entry). SL at $3,135 (above recent consolidation resistance and 2x ATR). R:R = 2:1. Exit early if price reclaims $3,100 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish.
AVAX (SHORT): 2.97 @ $13.03 (Current: $12.86, P&L: +1.33%)
TP: $12.60 (+3.3%)
SL: $13.35 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-11 18:00 → 12-11 18:50 (0.8h)
Entry: $132.01, Exit: $134.55 P&L: -1.92% ($-3.84) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-11 19:35 (13.6h)
Entry: $89,845.00, Exit: $91,181.00 P&L: -1.49% ($-3.53) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT position showing +0.83% gain but thesis invalidated. ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - still above EMA(50) at $3,070.62 with bullish EMA trend. RSI(14) at 47.1 is neutral, not oversold like BTC. Price consolidated around $3,070-$3,090 for 6+ hours without breaking down despite BTC weakness. Risk of bounce is high if BTC finds support. Exit now to preserve capital and reduce margin usage from dangerous 68.5%.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position performing well (+1.11% P&L). RSI(7) at extreme oversold 16.0 suggests potential capitulation bounce, but bearish trend remains intact with price below both EMAs. Current position approaching TP at $87,500 (only $834 away). Trust the TP order - no reason to manually close when thesis (breakdown below $89k) remains valid and R:R still favorable.
Confidence: 75%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position working (+0.41% P&L). SOL showing clear weakness: RSI(7) at 22.6, below both EMAs (bearish trend), broke below $130 support. Recent 8h candles show consistent selling pressure with lower lows. TP at $126.50 is reasonable target (-2.4% from current). Position sizing conservative at 15% with 3x leverage. Trust the TP/SL orders.
Confidence: 80%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SHORT position performing (+1.33% P&L). AVAX extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 13.2, RSI(14) at 23.2. Price below both EMAs in bearish trend. Made new 50h low at $12.83 in last hour, showing continued weakness. TP at $12.60 only $0.26 away (2%). While extreme oversold suggests bounce risk, bearish momentum remains strong. Trust the TP order to capture remaining gains. Current margin at 68.5% is high but manageable.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=149
1 order(s) executed
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