Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-15 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-15 00:00:09
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $192.90
Margin Used: $47.31 (24.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-15 06:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-15 00:00:09 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-13 04:00 → 2025-12-15 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,797.00
50h Change: -0.66%
50h Range: $87,955.00 - $91,956.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$89,797.00 (+1.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 22:00: O=$88,597.00 H=$88,688.00 L=$88,183.00 C=$88,597.00 (+0.0%)
12-14 23:00: O=$88,515.00 H=$88,721.00 L=$87,955.00 C=$88,334.00 (-0.2%)
12-15 00:00: O=$88,386.00 H=$88,743.00 L=$88,239.00 C=$88,663.00 (+0.3%)
12-15 01:00: O=$88,615.00 H=$89,506.00 L=$88,599.00 C=$89,365.00 (+0.8%)
12-15 02:00: O=$89,381.00 H=$90,152.00 L=$88,489.00 C=$89,474.00 (+0.1%)
12-15 03:00: O=$89,448.00 H=$89,659.00 L=$89,345.00 C=$89,425.00 (-0.0%)
12-15 04:00: O=$89,414.00 H=$89,983.00 L=$89,405.00 C=$89,849.00 (+0.5%)
12-15 05:00: O=$89,821.00 H=$89,894.00 L=$89,689.00 C=$89,797.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 69.1
RSI(14): 57.0
EMA(20): $89,351.42
EMA(50): $89,857.80
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $554.62
ETH:
Current Price: $3,109.40
50h Change: +2.42%
50h Range: $2,968.60 - $3,142.20
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$3,109.40 (+1.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 22:00: O=$3,069.00 H=$3,078.20 L=$3,042.30 C=$3,060.00 (-0.3%)
12-14 23:00: O=$3,060.00 H=$3,070.80 L=$3,027.80 C=$3,048.20 (-0.4%)
12-15 00:00: O=$3,054.30 H=$3,073.10 L=$3,050.60 C=$3,066.80 (+0.4%)
12-15 01:00: O=$3,066.80 H=$3,107.80 L=$3,060.60 C=$3,103.50 (+1.2%)
12-15 02:00: O=$3,103.10 H=$3,142.20 L=$3,100.20 C=$3,111.40 (+0.3%)
12-15 03:00: O=$3,109.70 H=$3,116.30 L=$3,098.00 C=$3,098.40 (-0.4%)
12-15 04:00: O=$3,102.70 H=$3,115.50 L=$3,094.00 C=$3,115.50 (+0.4%)
12-15 05:00: O=$3,113.70 H=$3,113.70 L=$3,105.90 C=$3,109.40 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.9
RSI(14): 54.7
EMA(20): $3,088.85
EMA(50): $3,079.23
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $31.54
SOL:
Current Price: $131.92
50h Change: -0.74%
50h Range: $128.94 - $134.29
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$131.92 (+1.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 22:00: O=$130.19 H=$130.37 L=$130.04 C=$130.25 (+0.0%)
12-14 23:00: O=$130.60 H=$130.83 L=$129.09 C=$129.58 (-0.8%)
12-15 00:00: O=$129.56 H=$130.56 L=$129.56 C=$130.34 (+0.6%)
12-15 01:00: O=$130.33 H=$131.65 L=$130.00 C=$131.30 (+0.7%)
12-15 02:00: O=$131.33 H=$133.20 L=$128.94 C=$131.74 (+0.3%)
12-15 03:00: O=$131.45 H=$131.72 L=$131.14 C=$131.28 (-0.1%)
12-15 04:00: O=$131.22 H=$131.98 L=$130.99 C=$131.97 (+0.6%)
12-15 05:00: O=$131.91 H=$132.06 L=$131.71 C=$131.92 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.9
RSI(14): 53.6
EMA(20): $131.33
EMA(50): $132.22
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.06
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.22
50h Change: +0.12%
50h Range: $12.83 - $13.43
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$13.22 (+2.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-14 22:00: O=$12.86 H=$12.87 L=$12.86 C=$12.87 (+0.1%)
12-14 23:00: O=$12.88 H=$12.88 L=$12.83 C=$12.86 (-0.2%)
12-15 00:00: O=$12.95 H=$12.95 L=$12.93 C=$12.93 (-0.2%)
12-15 01:00: O=$13.12 H=$13.12 L=$13.12 C=$13.12 (+0.0%)
12-15 02:00: O=$13.12 H=$13.12 L=$13.10 C=$13.10 (-0.2%)
12-15 03:00: O=$13.10 H=$13.10 L=$13.10 C=$13.10 (+0.0%)
12-15 04:00: O=$13.15 H=$13.17 L=$13.15 C=$13.17 (+0.1%)
12-15 05:00: O=$13.16 H=$13.22 L=$13.16 C=$13.22 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 74.6
RSI(14): 60.7
EMA(20): $13.08
EMA(50): $13.20
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00097 @ $89,322.00 (Current: $89,797.00, P&L: -0.53%)
TP: $87,500.00 (+2.0%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.
AVAX (SHORT): 2.97 @ $13.03 (Current: $13.22, P&L: -1.42%)
TP: $12.60 (+3.3%)
SL: $13.35 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-15 00:00 (54.0h)
Entry: $3,073.70, Exit: $3,057.20 P&L: +0.54% ($+1.27) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-14 18:00 → 12-15 02:05 (8.1h)
Entry: $130.11, Exit: $132.17 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.38) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing relative strength: +2.42% over 50h vs BTC -0.66%. Bullish EMA structure (price $3,109 > EMA20 $3,088 > EMA50 $3,079). Recent bounce from $3,027 low with higher lows forming. RSI(14) at 54.7 neutral with room to run. Price testing $3,110 resistance - breakout above $3,142 (recent high) would confirm continuation. In bearish macro, ETH outperformance suggests rotation into alts. Entry at current level with tight risk management.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,220 (+3.6%, just below Dec 12 resistance at $3,245, R:R ~2:1). SL at $3,055 (-1.7%, below recent consolidation low and EMA50, ~1.7x ATR). Exit early if BTC breaks below $88k or if ETH fails to hold $3,085 support on volume. 25% allocation with 3x leverage = 75% notional, moderate conviction given mixed macro.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $192.90
Allocation: 25.0% ($48.23 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,109.40
Size: 0.0465 coins
Notional value: $144.59
📝 Executing LONG 0.0465 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,220, SL: $3,055
✅ Market order filled @ $3,109.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45019483968)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45019484488)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position showing small drawdown (-0.53%). Price bounced from $87,955 low and recovered to $89,797, but still below EMA50 ($89,857) maintaining bearish structure. Recent 8h candles show consolidation around $89k with declining momentum. RSI(7) at 69.1 suggests short-term overbought in context of downtrend. TP at $87,500 remains valid target. Trust the SL at $90,800 - no thesis invalidation yet as price hasn't reclaimed $90k+ with conviction. Avoid churning.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL consolidating in tight $130-132 range after bounce from $128.94. Bearish EMA structure (price $131.92 < EMA50 $132.22) but showing stabilization. RSI(7) at 62.9 neutral. Recent whipsaw on 12-14 (SL hit at $132.17) shows choppy conditions. Price action lacks conviction for new entry - needs either break above $133.20 for long or breakdown below $129 for short. Current setup doesn't meet 2-indicator entry requirement. Wait for clearer signal.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at -1.42% drawdown but thesis intact. AVAX rallied from $12.83 to $13.22 but remains in bearish structure (price < EMA50 $13.20). RSI(7) at 74.6 shows short-term overbought - typical in downtrends before continuation. Recent 8h candles show grinding recovery but low volume (tight ranges). TP at $12.60 still valid (next support). Current bounce is likely dead-cat - price hasn't invalidated short thesis. Trust the SL at $13.35. Total margin at 24.5% leaves room.
Confidence: 62%
💾 Database saved: run_id=150
1 order(s) executed
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