Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-15 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-15 06:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $194.89
Margin Used: $97.49 (50.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-15 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-15 06:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-13 10:00 → 2025-12-15 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,839.00
50h Change: -0.72%
50h Range: $87,955.00 - $91,956.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $90,086.00→$90,199.00 (+0.1%)
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$89,839.00 (+1.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-15 04:00: O=$89,414.00 H=$89,983.00 L=$89,405.00 C=$89,849.00 (+0.5%)
12-15 05:00: O=$89,821.00 H=$89,894.00 L=$89,689.00 C=$89,797.00 (-0.0%)
12-15 06:00: O=$89,796.00 H=$90,063.00 L=$89,627.00 C=$89,901.00 (+0.1%)
12-15 07:00: O=$89,932.00 H=$89,988.00 L=$89,686.00 C=$89,928.00 (-0.0%)
12-15 08:00: O=$89,908.00 H=$91,886.00 L=$89,775.00 C=$89,951.00 (+0.0%)
12-15 09:00: O=$89,885.00 H=$90,164.00 L=$89,885.00 C=$90,048.00 (+0.2%)
12-15 10:00: O=$90,008.00 H=$90,179.00 L=$89,867.00 C=$90,036.00 (+0.0%)
12-15 11:00: O=$89,997.00 H=$90,091.00 L=$89,751.00 C=$89,839.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.8
RSI(14): 53.4
EMA(20): $89,621.30
EMA(50): $89,799.46
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $576.45
ETH:
Current Price: $3,147.60
50h Change: +2.33%
50h Range: $2,999.50 - $3,167.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $3,058.00→$3,130.10 (+2.4%)
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$3,147.60 (+3.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-15 04:00: O=$3,102.70 H=$3,115.50 L=$3,094.00 C=$3,115.50 (+0.4%)
12-15 05:00: O=$3,113.70 H=$3,113.70 L=$3,105.90 C=$3,109.40 (-0.1%)
12-15 06:00: O=$3,109.00 H=$3,130.40 L=$3,104.90 C=$3,126.40 (+0.6%)
12-15 07:00: O=$3,126.70 H=$3,126.80 L=$3,109.70 C=$3,115.20 (-0.4%)
12-15 08:00: O=$3,119.20 H=$3,136.30 L=$3,118.50 C=$3,133.40 (+0.5%)
12-15 09:00: O=$3,133.70 H=$3,151.00 L=$3,132.50 C=$3,146.30 (+0.4%)
12-15 10:00: O=$3,147.00 H=$3,167.00 L=$3,143.50 C=$3,149.80 (+0.1%)
12-15 11:00: O=$3,149.30 H=$3,154.40 L=$3,135.30 C=$3,147.60 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 70.5
RSI(14): 57.7
EMA(20): $3,111.23
EMA(50): $3,091.50
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $27.35
SOL:
Current Price: $132.39
50h Change: -0.87%
50h Range: $128.94 - $134.29
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $132.07→$133.31 (+0.9%)
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$132.39 (+2.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-15 04:00: O=$131.22 H=$131.98 L=$130.99 C=$131.97 (+0.6%)
12-15 05:00: O=$131.91 H=$132.06 L=$131.71 C=$131.92 (+0.0%)
12-15 06:00: O=$132.06 H=$132.72 L=$131.74 C=$132.42 (+0.3%)
12-15 07:00: O=$132.58 H=$132.71 L=$132.00 C=$132.35 (-0.2%)
12-15 08:00: O=$132.37 H=$132.70 L=$132.18 C=$132.44 (+0.1%)
12-15 09:00: O=$132.46 H=$133.01 L=$132.18 C=$132.75 (+0.2%)
12-15 10:00: O=$132.87 H=$132.96 L=$132.38 C=$132.63 (-0.2%)
12-15 11:00: O=$132.64 H=$132.88 L=$132.13 C=$132.39 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.6
RSI(14): 53.4
EMA(20): $131.86
EMA(50): $132.14
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.94
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.21
50h Change: -1.09%
50h Range: $12.83 - $13.42
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 08: $13.46→$13.64 (+1.3%)
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$13.21 (+2.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-15 04:00: O=$13.15 H=$13.17 L=$13.15 C=$13.17 (+0.1%)
12-15 05:00: O=$13.16 H=$13.22 L=$13.16 C=$13.22 (+0.4%)
12-15 06:00: O=$13.22 H=$13.30 L=$13.21 C=$13.27 (+0.4%)
12-15 07:00: O=$13.19 H=$13.19 L=$13.18 C=$13.19 (-0.0%)
12-15 08:00: O=$13.19 H=$13.19 L=$13.19 C=$13.19 (+0.0%)
12-15 09:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.19 C=$13.22 (-0.1%)
12-15 10:00: O=$13.22 H=$13.29 L=$13.22 C=$13.28 (+0.5%)
12-15 11:00: O=$13.22 H=$13.22 L=$13.21 C=$13.21 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.0
RSI(14): 55.4
EMA(20): $13.15
EMA(50): $13.19
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00097 @ $89,322.00 (Current: $89,839.00, P&L: -0.58%)
TP: $87,500.00 (+2.0%)
SL: $90,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $87,500 (near 50h low of $87,886, psychological support). SL at $90,800 (above EMA20 at $90,171 plus buffer, ~2.3x ATR). R:R = 1.5:1. Exit early if RSI(7) reaches single digits (extreme capitulation) or if price reclaims $90k with strong bullish volume. Conservative 15% allocation due to existing 49% margin usage.
ETH (LONG): 0.0465 @ $3,109.00 (Current: $3,147.60, P&L: +1.24%)
TP: $3,220.00 (+3.6%)
SL: $3,055.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,220 (+3.6%, just below Dec 12 resistance at $3,245, R:R ~2:1). SL at $3,055 (-1.7%, below recent consolidation low and EMA50, ~1.7x ATR). Exit early if BTC breaks below $88k or if ETH fails to hold $3,085 support on volume. 25% allocation with 3x leverage = 75% notional, moderate conviction given mixed macro.
AVAX (SHORT): 2.97 @ $13.03 (Current: $13.21, P&L: -1.33%)
TP: $12.60 (+3.3%)
SL: $13.35 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.60 (3.4% gain, next support zone from early December). SL at $13.35 (above EMA20 at $13.24, ~6x ATR for this low-volatility asset). R:R = 1.4:1. Conservative 10% allocation with 2x leverage due to already high margin usage (49%) and need to preserve capital. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $13.20 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply bullish above $91k.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-11 06:00 → 12-12 06:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,220.80, Exit: $3,258.50 P&L: -1.17% ($-1.73) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 00:00 → 12-12 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.41, Exit: $13.70 P&L: -2.14% ($-1.82) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 15:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $3,247.90, Exit: $3,165.40 P&L: +2.54% ($+4.01) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-12 12:00 → 12-12 16:05 (4.1h)
Entry: $13.54, Exit: $13.08 P&L: +3.43% ($+4.84) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-13 00:00 → 12-13 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $13.10, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -1.48% ($-1.32) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-15 00:00 (54.0h)
Entry: $3,073.70, Exit: $3,057.20 P&L: +0.54% ($+1.27) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-14 18:00 → 12-15 02:05 (8.1h)
Entry: $130.11, Exit: $132.17 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.38) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: BTC short is underwater (-0.58%) and showing bullish reversal signs. Price recovered from $88,334 to $89,839 (+1.6% today), reclaiming EMA20 at $89,621. RSI(7) at 58.8 suggests momentum shifting neutral-to-bullish. The 50h range shows consolidation rather than breakdown continuation. With 8h candles showing stability around $89,800-$90,000, the bearish thesis is weakening. Closing to free margin (currently at 50%) and reassess - don't fight emerging strength.
Confidence: 65%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for BTC (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: AVAX short underwater (-1.33%) and losing thesis. Price recovered from $12.86 to $13.21 (+2.0% today), reclaiming EMA20 at $13.15. The 8h candles show stabilization with tight range $13.19-$13.30, suggesting consolidation rather than continuation lower. RSI(7) at 57.0 is neutral. With margin at 50% and this position moving against us, better to cut the small loss and preserve capital. Recent history shows AVAX shorts getting stopped out frequently - respect the price action.
Confidence: 60%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing bullish reversal setup: +2.2% today after bottoming at $129.58, now at $132.39. Price reclaimed EMA20 ($131.86) with RSI(7) at 60.6 (neutral-bullish momentum). Recent 8h candles show consistent buying pressure with higher lows. ATR at $0.94 is manageable. Entry at current levels with TP at $134.50 (recent resistance, +1.6%) and SL at $130.50 (below yesterday's low, -1.4%). R:R = 1.1:1 but quick scalp opportunity given current momentum. Low conviction due to bearish EMA trend and tight range.
Confidence: 45%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $134.50 (50h high resistance, psychological level). SL at $130.50 (below Dec 14 low of $129.58 plus buffer, ~2x ATR). Exit early if BTC reverses below $89k or if SOL fails to break $133 with volume in next 6h. Conservative 15% allocation with 2x leverage given recent choppy price action and multiple SL hits in history.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $194.89
Allocation: 15.0% ($29.23 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $132.39
Size: 0.4400 coins
Notional value: $58.25
📝 Executing LONG 0.44 SOL @ 2x with TP: $134, SL: $130
✅ Market order filled @ $132.37
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45030229303)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45030230165)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH long performing well (+1.24%, approaching TP at $3,220). Strong bullish structure: +3.1% today, RSI(7) at 70.5 shows momentum, price above both EMAs (bullish trend), and making higher highs ($3,167 recent high). Current price $3,147 is $72 from TP. Trust the TP/SL system - position has room to run toward $3,220 target. No reason to manually close a winning position that hasn't reached thesis invalidation. The 8h candles show consistent upward pressure with healthy consolidation.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=151
3 order(s) executed
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