Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-16 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-16 06:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $185.69
Margin Used: $146.40 (78.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-16 12:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-16 06:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-14 10:00 → 2025-12-16 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,067.00
50h Change: -3.34%
50h Range: $85,011.00 - $91,886.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 09: $90,368.00→$92,277.00 (+2.1%)
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,067.00 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 04:00: O=$85,718.00 H=$85,718.00 L=$85,229.00 C=$85,660.00 (-0.1%)
12-16 05:00: O=$85,745.00 H=$86,023.00 L=$85,670.00 C=$85,864.00 (+0.1%)
12-16 06:00: O=$85,918.00 H=$86,434.00 L=$85,918.00 C=$86,384.00 (+0.5%)
12-16 07:00: O=$86,365.00 H=$86,461.00 L=$85,680.00 C=$85,857.00 (-0.6%)
12-16 08:00: O=$85,834.00 H=$86,229.00 L=$85,834.00 C=$86,105.00 (+0.3%)
12-16 09:00: O=$86,173.00 H=$86,276.00 L=$85,474.00 C=$86,186.00 (+0.0%)
12-16 10:00: O=$86,241.00 H=$87,169.00 L=$86,121.00 C=$86,887.00 (+0.7%)
12-16 11:00: O=$86,844.00 H=$87,117.00 L=$86,709.00 C=$87,067.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.1
RSI(14): 49.9
EMA(20): $86,634.14
EMA(50): $88,035.64
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $657.40
ETH:
Current Price: $2,946.40
50h Change: -4.99%
50h Range: $2,872.10 - $3,167.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 09: $3,125.90→$3,327.40 (+6.4%)
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,946.40 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 04:00: O=$2,929.00 H=$2,929.00 L=$2,872.10 C=$2,907.30 (-0.7%)
12-16 05:00: O=$2,906.90 H=$2,916.80 L=$2,904.50 C=$2,914.10 (+0.2%)
12-16 06:00: O=$2,913.60 H=$2,939.20 L=$2,913.30 C=$2,935.00 (+0.7%)
12-16 07:00: O=$2,934.90 H=$2,935.80 L=$2,907.30 C=$2,910.20 (-0.8%)
12-16 08:00: O=$2,910.20 H=$2,930.10 L=$2,910.20 C=$2,922.50 (+0.4%)
12-16 09:00: O=$2,922.70 H=$2,923.40 L=$2,918.50 C=$2,918.50 (-0.1%)
12-16 10:00: O=$2,917.30 H=$2,955.00 L=$2,917.30 C=$2,937.50 (+0.7%)
12-16 11:00: O=$2,938.00 H=$2,951.80 L=$2,932.10 C=$2,946.40 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.5
RSI(14): 42.2
EMA(20): $2,952.70
EMA(50): $3,029.60
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $28.47
SOL:
Current Price: $128.66
50h Change: -2.91%
50h Range: $123.87 - $135.55
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 09: $133.29→$137.98 (+3.5%)
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$128.66 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 04:00: O=$126.64 H=$126.68 L=$125.03 C=$126.12 (-0.4%)
12-16 05:00: O=$125.95 H=$126.64 L=$125.95 C=$126.54 (+0.5%)
12-16 06:00: O=$126.37 H=$127.35 L=$126.37 C=$127.09 (+0.6%)
12-16 07:00: O=$127.30 H=$127.41 L=$125.62 C=$125.63 (-1.3%)
12-16 08:00: O=$125.61 H=$126.62 L=$125.47 C=$125.89 (+0.2%)
12-16 09:00: O=$125.96 H=$126.44 L=$125.91 C=$126.24 (+0.2%)
12-16 10:00: O=$126.21 H=$128.83 L=$126.21 C=$128.59 (+1.9%)
12-16 11:00: O=$128.50 H=$129.74 L=$128.07 C=$128.66 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.7
RSI(14): 54.5
EMA(20): $127.33
EMA(50): $129.30
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.47
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.35
50h Change: -5.74%
50h Range: $12.10 - $13.30
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 09: $13.63→$14.59 (+7.0%)
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.35 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 04:00: O=$12.23 H=$12.23 L=$12.10 C=$12.13 (-0.8%)
12-16 05:00: O=$12.21 H=$12.21 L=$12.18 C=$12.21 (-0.0%)
12-16 06:00: O=$12.20 H=$12.29 L=$12.20 C=$12.29 (+0.8%)
12-16 07:00: O=$12.32 H=$12.32 L=$12.26 C=$12.26 (-0.5%)
12-16 08:00: O=$12.21 H=$12.21 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (-0.1%)
12-16 09:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.19 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (+0.0%)
12-16 10:00: O=$12.16 H=$12.37 L=$12.16 C=$12.32 (+1.3%)
12-16 11:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.35 L=$12.34 C=$12.35 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.3
RSI(14): 42.0
EMA(20): $12.37
EMA(50): $12.75
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.68 @ $126.37 (Current: $128.66, P&L: -1.81%)
TP: $123.50 (+2.3%)
SL: $129.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $123.50 targets recent lows with 2.4% downside move. SL at $129.00 above EMA20 resistance and 1.7x ATR above entry. Exit early if SOL breaks above $129.50 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal above $87,500 that could lift entire market.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00167 @ $85,790.00 (Current: $87,067.00, P&L: -1.49%)
TP: $84,500.00 (+1.5%)
SL: $87,200.00 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $84,500 (1.6% move, ~2:1 R/R). SL at $87,200 above hour 15-16 consolidation zone and 1.7x ATR above entry. Exit early if RSI(7) drops below 5 (extreme capitulation) or if we see a strong reversal candle with volume spike above $87k resistance.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0549 @ $2,926.40 (Current: $2,946.40, P&L: -0.68%)
TP: $2,875.00 (+1.8%)
SL: $2,990.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,875 (1.9% move, ~2.5:1 R/R). SL at $2,990 above hour 16 consolidation and 1.5x ATR above entry. Exit early if price reclaims $3,000 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal that could lift the entire market.
AVAX (SHORT): 5.67 @ $12.20 (Current: $12.35, P&L: -1.24%)
TP: $11.90 (+2.4%)
SL: $12.50 (-2.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $11.90 targets 2.5% below current price, extending the downtrend. SL at $12.50 above EMA20 at $12.46 and 3x ATR above entry for safety. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $12.60 with volume spike or if broader market shows coordinated reversal with BTC breaking above $87,000 resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-13 12:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $132.14, Exit: $133.37 P&L: -0.93% ($-1.38) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 00:00 → 12-14 11:50 (11.8h)
Entry: $13.37, Exit: $13.00 P&L: +2.78% ($+2.82) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-15 00:00 (54.0h)
Entry: $3,073.70, Exit: $3,057.20 P&L: +0.54% ($+1.27) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-14 18:00 → 12-15 02:05 (8.1h)
Entry: $130.11, Exit: $132.17 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $89,322.00, Exit: $89,830.00 P&L: -0.57% ($-0.49) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $13.03, Exit: $13.21 P&L: -1.39% ($-0.54) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 12-15 12:00 → 12-15 14:20 (2.3h)
Entry: $132.37, Exit: $134.87 P&L: +1.89% ($+1.10) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-15 06:00 → 12-15 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $3,109.00, Exit: $3,052.50 P&L: -1.82% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 04:50 (10.8h)
Entry: $12.30, Exit: $12.11 P&L: +1.55% ($+1.19) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position currently -1.49% but showing early bounce signs. Price recovered from $85,229 low to $87,067 with RSI(7) at 68.1 indicating short-term strength. However, still below EMA20 ($86,634) and EMA50 ($88,035) in bearish structure. Current bounce may test our SL at $87,200. Given we're 78.8% margin used, holding existing short position with proper SL placement is prudent. TP at $84,500 remains valid target if this bounce fails. Trust the SL - it's placed correctly above consolidation resistance.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position -0.68%, showing similar bounce pattern to BTC. Price recovered from $2,872 low to $2,946 but remains below EMA20 ($2,953) and EMA50 ($3,030). RSI(14) at 42.2 shows weakness. The bounce is weaker than BTC's (ETH +0.3% vs BTC +0.8% last hour), suggesting continued relative weakness. TP at $2,875 targets recent lows with good R/R. SL at $2,990 is appropriate above consolidation. With 78.8% margin used, no reason to close - let TP/SL work.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position -1.81%, most underwater of all positions but showing strong bounce (+1.9% in 10:00 candle). Price at $128.66 vs EMA20 at $127.33 - has reclaimed the 20-period average which is concerning for shorts. RSI(7) at 67.7 shows overbought conditions. However, still below EMA50 ($129.30) and SL at $129.00 is dangerously close. This position is at risk but the SL placement is correct. If stopped out, it's a controlled -2.1% loss. Given high margin usage, holding and trusting the SL is appropriate rather than manual close at worse price.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position -1.24%, showing modest bounce from $12.10 low to $12.35. Price just below EMA20 ($12.37) in tight consolidation. RSI(14) at 42.0 shows weakness but RSI(7) at 56.3 indicates short-term bounce. AVAX has been the weakest performer (-5.74% over 50h) and remains in clear downtrend below both EMAs. TP at $11.90 targets continuation of weakness. SL at $12.50 provides adequate protection above EMA20. With 78.8% margin used and controlled risk on all positions, holding is correct - let the trade play out.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=155
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