Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-17 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-16 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $182.66
Margin Used: $105.15 (57.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-17 00:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-16 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-14 22:00 → 2025-12-17 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,542.00
50h Change: -1.19%
50h Range: $85,011.00 - $91,886.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 16:00: O=$87,837.00 H=$87,859.00 L=$87,219.00 C=$87,411.00 (-0.5%)
12-16 17:00: O=$87,382.00 H=$87,655.00 L=$86,922.00 C=$86,925.00 (-0.5%)
12-16 18:00: O=$86,921.00 H=$87,773.00 L=$86,890.00 C=$87,536.00 (+0.7%)
12-16 19:00: O=$87,620.00 H=$87,620.00 L=$87,027.00 C=$87,344.00 (-0.3%)
12-16 20:00: O=$87,413.00 H=$87,562.00 L=$87,152.00 C=$87,356.00 (-0.1%)
12-16 21:00: O=$87,386.00 H=$87,668.00 L=$87,268.00 C=$87,515.00 (+0.1%)
12-16 22:00: O=$87,527.00 H=$87,559.00 L=$87,363.00 C=$87,511.00 (-0.0%)
12-16 23:00: O=$87,520.00 H=$87,542.00 L=$87,230.00 C=$87,542.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 61.1
RSI(14): 54.3
EMA(20): $87,144.13
EMA(50): $87,580.32
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $639.64
ETH:
Current Price: $2,952.70
50h Change: -3.79%
50h Range: $2,872.10 - $3,167.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 16:00: O=$2,953.60 H=$2,957.10 L=$2,919.60 C=$2,932.80 (-0.7%)
12-16 17:00: O=$2,929.90 H=$2,946.20 L=$2,909.90 C=$2,909.90 (-0.7%)
12-16 18:00: O=$2,909.50 H=$2,958.10 L=$2,907.30 C=$2,946.30 (+1.3%)
12-16 19:00: O=$2,942.20 H=$2,948.60 L=$2,912.80 C=$2,938.80 (-0.1%)
12-16 20:00: O=$2,939.10 H=$2,954.00 L=$2,937.00 C=$2,940.90 (+0.1%)
12-16 21:00: O=$2,941.40 H=$2,946.40 L=$2,928.80 C=$2,943.20 (+0.1%)
12-16 22:00: O=$2,941.80 H=$2,948.40 L=$2,935.90 C=$2,944.50 (+0.1%)
12-16 23:00: O=$2,942.50 H=$2,953.30 L=$2,938.50 C=$2,952.70 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.9
RSI(14): 49.6
EMA(20): $2,943.91
EMA(50): $2,994.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $29.76
SOL:
Current Price: $129.42
50h Change: -0.59%
50h Range: $123.87 - $135.55
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 16:00: O=$129.67 H=$129.70 L=$127.96 C=$128.49 (-0.9%)
12-16 17:00: O=$128.37 H=$128.49 L=$127.36 C=$127.47 (-0.7%)
12-16 18:00: O=$127.27 H=$128.71 L=$127.03 C=$128.19 (+0.7%)
12-16 19:00: O=$128.06 H=$128.06 L=$126.86 C=$127.91 (-0.1%)
12-16 20:00: O=$127.89 H=$129.34 L=$127.61 C=$128.61 (+0.6%)
12-16 21:00: O=$128.39 H=$128.84 L=$128.20 C=$128.59 (+0.2%)
12-16 22:00: O=$128.90 H=$129.13 L=$128.44 C=$128.78 (-0.1%)
12-16 23:00: O=$128.60 H=$129.57 L=$128.30 C=$129.42 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.9
RSI(14): 55.3
EMA(20): $128.22
EMA(50): $128.70
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.53
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.34
50h Change: -4.05%
50h Range: $12.00 - $13.30
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 16:00: O=$12.37 H=$12.37 L=$12.27 C=$12.28 (-0.7%)
12-16 17:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.18 L=$12.18 C=$12.18 (-0.0%)
12-16 18:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.18 L=$12.18 C=$12.18 (+0.0%)
12-16 19:00: O=$12.30 H=$12.31 L=$12.22 C=$12.31 (+0.0%)
12-16 20:00: O=$12.30 H=$12.37 L=$12.29 C=$12.37 (+0.6%)
12-16 21:00: O=$12.31 H=$12.33 L=$12.30 C=$12.33 (+0.2%)
12-16 22:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.32 C=$12.32 (-0.2%)
12-16 23:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.34 C=$12.34 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.7
RSI(14): 49.4
EMA(20): $12.31
EMA(50): $12.56
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.79 @ $127.27 (Current: $129.42, P&L: -1.69%)
TP: $124.50 (+2.2%)
SL: $130.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $124.50 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.2:1 R/R). SL at $130.00 above recent rejection high and ~1.5x ATR above entry ($1.71 ATR). Exit early if SOL reclaims $130 with strong volume or if BTC breaks above $88,000 triggering broader market rally. Conservative 18% allocation given recent SOL stop-out and existing margin usage.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0549 @ $2,926.40 (Current: $2,952.70, P&L: -0.90%)
TP: $2,875.00 (+1.8%)
SL: $2,990.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,875 (1.9% move, ~2.5:1 R/R). SL at $2,990 above hour 16 consolidation and 1.5x ATR above entry. Exit early if price reclaims $3,000 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal that could lift the entire market.
AVAX (SHORT): 5.67 @ $12.20 (Current: $12.34, P&L: -1.12%)
TP: $11.90 (+2.4%)
SL: $12.50 (-2.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $11.90 targets 2.5% below current price, extending the downtrend. SL at $12.50 above EMA20 at $12.46 and 3x ATR above entry for safety. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $12.60 with volume spike or if broader market shows coordinated reversal with BTC breaking above $87,000 resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-15 00:00 (54.0h)
Entry: $3,073.70, Exit: $3,057.20 P&L: +0.54% ($+1.27) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-14 18:00 → 12-15 02:05 (8.1h)
Entry: $130.11, Exit: $132.17 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $89,322.00, Exit: $89,830.00 P&L: -0.57% ($-0.49) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $13.03, Exit: $13.21 P&L: -1.39% ($-0.54) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 12-15 12:00 → 12-15 14:20 (2.3h)
Entry: $132.37, Exit: $134.87 P&L: +1.89% ($+1.10) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-15 06:00 → 12-15 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $3,109.00, Exit: $3,052.50 P&L: -1.82% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 04:50 (10.8h)
Entry: $12.30, Exit: $12.11 P&L: +1.55% ($+1.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 12:50 (18.8h)
Entry: $85,790.00, Exit: $87,186.64 P&L: -1.63% ($-2.33) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-16 06:00 → 12-16 13:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $126.37, Exit: $129.35 P&L: -2.36% ($-2.03) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation around $87,500 after bounce from $86,300 low. Price slightly above EMA20 ($87,144) but below EMA50 ($87,580) maintaining bearish structure. RSI(14) at 54.3 is neutral. Recent 8h candles show tight range ($87,200-$87,600) with no clear directional conviction. With 57.6% margin already deployed and 3 open shorts, adding BTC exposure would push margin usage too high. Market needs to show clearer direction - either break above $88,500 resistance or fail below $86,500 support before taking action.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH short at $2,926 currently -0.90% underwater at $2,952. Position is within acceptable range with SL at $2,990 (still $37 away). Price consolidating in tight $2,930-$2,955 range over last 8 hours, showing indecision. EMA structure remains bearish (price at $2,952 vs EMA50 at $2,994). RSI(14) at 49.6 is neutral. TP at $2,875 remains valid target. Trust the TP/SL system - no reason to manually close as thesis (bearish structure, downtrend continuation) remains intact. Small drawdown is normal position variance.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short at $127.27 currently -1.69% underwater at $129.42, approaching SL at $130.00 (only $0.58 away). Price has shown strength bouncing from $126.86 to $129.42 over last 8 hours. However, SL placement is appropriate at recent rejection high. RSI(7) at 62.9 shows short-term overbought but not extreme. EMA structure still bearish (price $129.42 vs EMA50 $128.70). Recent stop-outs on SOL show this is a choppy asset, but current position has proper risk management. Trust the SL - if it hits, accept the loss. TP at $124.50 remains valid if downtrend resumes.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX short at $12.20 currently -1.12% underwater at $12.34. Position showing minimal movement with price consolidating tightly around $12.30-$12.37 for past 8 hours. SL at $12.50 provides $0.16 buffer above current price. EMA structure bearish (price $12.34 vs EMA50 $12.56). RSI(14) at 49.4 neutral. 7-day trend clearly down from $14.62 to $12.34 (-15.6%). Low ATR of $0.09 indicates compressed volatility which could break either direction, but downtrend remains dominant. TP at $11.90 targets continuation. With margin at 57.6%, no reason to exit - let TP/SL work.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=157
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