Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-17 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-17 00:00:09
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $186.22
Margin Used: $108.71 (58.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-17 06:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-17 00:00:09 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-15 04:00 → 2025-12-17 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,380.00
50h Change: -3.39%
50h Range: $85,011.00 - $91,886.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$86,380.00 (-1.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 22:00: O=$87,527.00 H=$87,559.00 L=$87,363.00 C=$87,511.00 (-0.0%)
12-16 23:00: O=$87,520.00 H=$87,542.00 L=$87,230.00 C=$87,542.00 (+0.0%)
12-17 00:00: O=$87,542.00 H=$87,542.00 L=$87,068.00 C=$87,318.00 (-0.3%)
12-17 01:00: O=$87,318.00 H=$87,592.00 L=$85,784.00 C=$87,329.00 (+0.0%)
12-17 02:00: O=$87,375.00 H=$87,379.00 L=$86,930.00 C=$87,207.00 (-0.2%)
12-17 03:00: O=$87,264.00 H=$87,482.00 L=$86,882.00 C=$86,958.00 (-0.4%)
12-17 04:00: O=$86,992.00 H=$87,152.00 L=$86,484.00 C=$86,521.00 (-0.5%)
12-17 05:00: O=$86,531.00 H=$86,531.00 L=$85,985.00 C=$86,380.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 26.6
RSI(14): 38.8
EMA(20): $87,053.14
EMA(50): $87,337.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $673.46
ETH:
Current Price: $2,921.20
50h Change: -5.85%
50h Range: $2,872.10 - $3,167.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,921.20 (-1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 22:00: O=$2,941.80 H=$2,948.40 L=$2,935.90 C=$2,944.50 (+0.1%)
12-16 23:00: O=$2,942.50 H=$2,953.30 L=$2,938.50 C=$2,952.70 (+0.3%)
12-17 00:00: O=$2,952.70 H=$2,952.70 L=$2,937.60 C=$2,942.60 (-0.3%)
12-17 01:00: O=$2,942.90 H=$2,964.90 L=$2,941.90 C=$2,942.30 (-0.0%)
12-17 02:00: O=$2,946.90 H=$2,955.20 L=$2,931.80 C=$2,950.70 (+0.1%)
12-17 03:00: O=$2,952.60 H=$2,953.90 L=$2,935.80 C=$2,937.80 (-0.5%)
12-17 04:00: O=$2,939.80 H=$2,942.00 L=$2,909.40 C=$2,921.70 (-0.6%)
12-17 05:00: O=$2,923.10 H=$2,927.00 L=$2,900.10 C=$2,921.20 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.1
RSI(14): 41.2
EMA(20): $2,940.86
EMA(50): $2,977.27
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $27.44
SOL:
Current Price: $127.76
50h Change: -2.64%
50h Range: $123.87 - $135.55
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$127.76 (-1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 22:00: O=$128.90 H=$129.13 L=$128.44 C=$128.78 (-0.1%)
12-16 23:00: O=$128.60 H=$129.57 L=$128.30 C=$129.42 (+0.6%)
12-17 00:00: O=$129.17 H=$129.23 L=$128.32 C=$129.13 (-0.0%)
12-17 01:00: O=$129.03 H=$129.86 L=$128.90 C=$129.09 (+0.0%)
12-17 02:00: O=$129.25 H=$129.53 L=$128.53 C=$129.47 (+0.2%)
12-17 03:00: O=$129.51 H=$129.65 L=$128.36 C=$128.36 (-0.9%)
12-17 04:00: O=$128.34 H=$128.51 L=$127.53 C=$127.94 (-0.3%)
12-17 05:00: O=$127.90 H=$128.03 L=$127.22 C=$127.76 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.2
RSI(14): 46.2
EMA(20): $128.39
EMA(50): $128.44
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.34
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.13
50h Change: -7.73%
50h Range: $12.00 - $13.30
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$12.13 (-1.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-16 22:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.32 C=$12.32 (-0.2%)
12-16 23:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.34 C=$12.34 (+0.0%)
12-17 00:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.31 C=$12.31 (-0.2%)
12-17 01:00: O=$12.33 H=$12.33 L=$12.33 C=$12.33 (+0.0%)
12-17 02:00: O=$12.33 H=$12.33 L=$12.33 C=$12.33 (+0.0%)
12-17 03:00: O=$12.36 H=$12.36 L=$12.30 C=$12.31 (-0.4%)
12-17 04:00: O=$12.27 H=$12.27 L=$12.21 C=$12.21 (-0.4%)
12-17 05:00: O=$12.14 H=$12.18 L=$12.08 C=$12.13 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.8
RSI(14): 39.4
EMA(20): $12.29
EMA(50): $12.48
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.79 @ $127.27 (Current: $127.76, P&L: -0.39%)
TP: $124.50 (+2.2%)
SL: $130.00 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $124.50 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.2:1 R/R). SL at $130.00 above recent rejection high and ~1.5x ATR above entry ($1.71 ATR). Exit early if SOL reclaims $130 with strong volume or if BTC breaks above $88,000 triggering broader market rally. Conservative 18% allocation given recent SOL stop-out and existing margin usage.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0549 @ $2,926.40 (Current: $2,921.20, P&L: +0.18%)
TP: $2,875.00 (+1.8%)
SL: $2,990.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,875 (1.9% move, ~2.5:1 R/R). SL at $2,990 above hour 16 consolidation and 1.5x ATR above entry. Exit early if price reclaims $3,000 with strong volume or if BTC shows sharp reversal that could lift the entire market.
AVAX (SHORT): 5.67 @ $12.20 (Current: $12.13, P&L: +0.53%)
TP: $11.90 (+2.4%)
SL: $12.50 (-2.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $11.90 targets 2.5% below current price, extending the downtrend. SL at $12.50 above EMA20 at $12.46 and 3x ATR above entry for safety. Exit early if AVAX reclaims $12.60 with volume spike or if broader market shows coordinated reversal with BTC breaking above $87,000 resistance.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-13 18:00 → 12-14 17:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $132.25, Exit: $129.97 P&L: +1.72% ($+2.01) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-12 18:00 → 12-15 00:00 (54.0h)
Entry: $3,073.70, Exit: $3,057.20 P&L: +0.54% ($+1.27) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-14 18:00 → 12-15 02:05 (8.1h)
Entry: $130.11, Exit: $132.17 P&L: -1.58% ($-1.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $89,322.00, Exit: $89,830.00 P&L: -0.57% ($-0.49) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $13.03, Exit: $13.21 P&L: -1.39% ($-0.54) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 12-15 12:00 → 12-15 14:20 (2.3h)
Entry: $132.37, Exit: $134.87 P&L: +1.89% ($+1.10) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-15 06:00 → 12-15 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $3,109.00, Exit: $3,052.50 P&L: -1.82% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 04:50 (10.8h)
Entry: $12.30, Exit: $12.11 P&L: +1.55% ($+1.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 12:50 (18.8h)
Entry: $85,790.00, Exit: $87,186.64 P&L: -1.63% ($-2.33) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-16 06:00 → 12-16 13:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $126.37, Exit: $129.35 P&L: -2.36% ($-2.03) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure with price below both EMAs, RSI(7) at 26.6 indicating oversold in downtrend. Recent 8h candles show consistent lower lows ($87,542→$86,380). However, RSI is deeply oversold which could trigger short-term bounce. With 58.4% margin already deployed and recent stop-outs on counter-trend trades, avoiding new position. Watch for either breakdown below $85,000 for short continuation or reclaim of $88,000 with volume for reversal signal.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH short position currently +0.18% P&L, approaching TP at $2,875 (currently $2,921). Price action showing steady decline with bearish EMA structure intact. RSI(7) at 37.1 suggests more downside potential. Recent 8h candles confirm weakness with lower lows forming. Trusting existing TP/SL orders - no need to manually close a profitable position that hasn't reached target. TP is well-positioned at next support level. Let the trade work.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short currently -0.39% P&L, slightly against us but within normal variance. Price at $127.76 vs entry $127.27. Bearish structure remains intact with price below both EMAs, RSI(7) at 39.2 showing weakness. Recent candles demonstrate continued selling pressure ($129.42→$127.76). TP at $124.50 remains valid target at support. SL at $130.00 properly positioned. Position is working as planned - trust the setup and let TP/SL manage the trade.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX short performing well at +0.53% P&L. Strong bearish momentum with 7-day decline from $14.62→$12.13 (-17%). Price below both EMAs, RSI(7) at 28.8 deeply oversold but in confirmed downtrend. Recent 8h candles show persistent weakness with tight range compression ($12.34→$12.13). TP at $11.90 targets 2.4% gain with good R/R. Position sizing and risk management appropriate. Let the trade run to TP - no reason to exit manually when thesis intact and automatic orders managing risk.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=158
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